证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2026-02-06 [Table_Tag] 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观点评 20260204：商品流动性冲击之后，哪些品种被"错杀"？ 大宗商品市场每一轮流动性冲击和恐慌情绪急跌，在完成"清洗"高杠 杆、高风偏的超涨品种之外，部分依托于供需产业链改善逻辑的品种却也 被流动性风险"误伤"，在风险中心已渐进平息之后，被错杀和被误伤的 商品品种和板块，或再度回归各自基本面定价逻辑，迎来相比轮动式上涨 阶段更好的介入时机。 金融产品深度报告 20260203：黄金 ETF，2026 年 1 月复盘与 2 月展望 事件驱动盘点： 资产配置价值：宏观数据与政策预期在月内反复切换， 降息预期对黄金资产配置价值形成阶段性支撑，但政策不确定性上升亦 带来短期扰动。 货币价值：美元信用变化主导黄金货币属性定价，美元 指数与储备结构调整对金价形成阶段性影响，货币价值在支撑与压制之 间反复博弈。 避险价值：多区域地缘与政治风险交织抬升市场不确定 性，避险需求呈现事件驱动、脉冲式释放特征，为金价提供阶段性支撑。 商品价值：央行购金与投资端需求预期保持稳 ...

Industry News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and seven other departments issued the "Implementation Plan for High-Quality Development of Traditional Chinese Medicine Industry (2026-2030)", aiming to establish a collaborative development system for the entire industry chain by 2030, promote the approval of innovative Chinese medicine drugs, cultivate 10 major traditional Chinese medicine products, and facilitate the transformation of Chinese medicine preparations in medical institutions into innovative drugs [20]. - Eleven departments jointly issued the "Implementation Opinions on Enhancing Digital Service Convenience for Foreign Personnel Entering the Country", proposing significant improvements in the internationalization and convenience of digital services by 2027, with a focus on streamlining digital applications in residence, healthcare, payment, tourism, and public services [20]. - Infineon Technologies announced a price increase for power switches and related chips due to ongoing supply shortages and rising costs of raw materials and infrastructure, effective April 1, 2026 [20]. - BASF announced an 11% price increase for TDI products in the Asia-Pacific region (excluding mainland China), with 24% of global TDI production capacity undergoing maintenance in January 2026, leading to a growing supply gap in overseas markets [22]. - Major PC manufacturers, including HP, Dell, Acer, and Asus, are considering sourcing memory chips from manufacturers in mainland China due to supply constraints threatening production and increasing costs across the tech industry [22]. Company News - GCL-Poly announced that it has not yet received any orders in the "space photovoltaic" sector [23]. - NewEase Technology indicated that the revenue share of its 1.6T related optical module products is expected to increase further in 2026 [24]. - Meituan announced plans to acquire Dingdong for $717 million [25]. - Tianqi Mould announced plans to purchase equity in Dongshi Co., leading to a stock suspension [26]. - Bolee announced that its actual controller, Ma Xuejun, is under investigation by the Securities Regulatory Commission for alleged market manipulation [27]. - Guoxuan High-Tech announced plans to raise no more than 5 billion yuan through a private placement for a 20GWh power battery project [28]. - ST Cube announced a cumulative increase of 314.93% in stock price from January 20 to February 5, leading to a stock suspension for verification [29]. - NIO expects to record an adjusted operating profit of 700 million to 1.2 billion yuan in the fourth quarter of 2025, marking the company's first quarterly adjusted operating profit [29]. - Muyuan Foods reported a sales revenue of 10.566 billion yuan for January 2026, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 11.93% [30].

Group 1 - The 25th Winter Olympic Games will be held in Italy from February 6 to 22 [1] - The National Health Commission has issued a notice to support the construction of high-value small incision scenarios, promoting the large-scale application of new technologies and products in the medical insurance field [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments have issued the "Implementation Plan for High-Quality Development of Traditional Chinese Medicine Industry (2026-2030)", aiming to establish a collaborative development system for the entire industry chain by 2030 [4] Group 2 - The launch of the "Digital Passport Technical Requirements for Light Industry Products" aims to provide a "digital ID" for light industry products, facilitating data connectivity throughout their lifecycle [3] - The National Supercomputing Internet Application Technology Conference has launched a core node for a supercomputing platform, providing over 30,000 domestic AI computing resources for large-scale AI computing scenarios [2] - Alibaba's Qianwen has become the first official large model for the Olympics, integrating over 400 AI service functions into its app, marking a significant upgrade in its service capabilities [5] Group 3 - Nanjing Mining Group announced a cash investment of $30 million to acquire a 10% stake in Eagle Valley Gold [7] - Huisheng Bio has approved a total investment of 1 billion yuan for a synthetic biology manufacturing project in Xinjiang, aimed at meeting market demand and achieving technological upgrades [7] - Guoxuan High-Tech plans to raise no more than 5 billion yuan through a private placement to fund various battery projects [8] Group 4 - Zairun New Energy received a net institutional buy of 32.16 million yuan, recognized as a core supplier in the global photovoltaic component market [9] - Jushi Group has seen a net institutional buy of 248 million yuan, leveraging its market position in the marine economy and securing international certifications [10] - The Hong Kong technology sector has attracted significant ETF inflows, indicating a potential structural market recovery in 2026 [11]

Group 1 - The article discusses the performance and characteristics of various indices tracking the Sci-Tech Innovation Board (科创板) in China, highlighting the focus on high-tech sectors such as semiconductors, medical devices, and software development [2][3] - The Sci-Tech 50 ETF tracks the Sci-Tech 50 Index, which consists of 50 stocks with large market capitalization and good liquidity, with over 65% of its composition in the semiconductor sector and nearly 80% in hard technology sectors [2] - The Sci-Tech 100 ETF follows the Sci-Tech 100 Index, comprising 100 stocks with medium market capitalization, focusing on small and medium-sized innovative enterprises, with over 75% of its composition in electronics, power equipment, and pharmaceutical industries [2][3] Group 2 - The Sci-Tech 200 ETF tracks the Sci-Tech 200 Index, which includes 200 stocks with smaller market capitalization, emphasizing growth potential in small-cap innovative companies, with a significant portion in the electronics sector [2] - The Sci-Tech Comprehensive Index ETF covers all stocks listed on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, focusing on core industries such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors, new energy, and innovative pharmaceuticals, encompassing all 17 primary industries on the board [3] - The Sci-Tech Growth ETF tracks the Sci-Tech Growth Index, which consists of 50 stocks with high growth rates in revenue and net profit, with over 65% of its composition in the electronics and communication sectors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic equipment sector is experiencing significant fluctuations, with several companies facing sharp declines in stock prices as of February 5th. Group 1: Market Performance - As of 9:32 AM on February 5th, companies such as JunDa Co., Ltd. and JinChen Co., Ltd. hit the daily limit down, while Laplace saw a drop of over 10% [1] - The following companies reported notable declines: - Laplace: down 12.77% - JunDa Co., Ltd.: down 10.00% - JinChen Co., Ltd.: down 10.00% - JinkoSolar: down 9.76% - Haiyou New Materials: down 9.74% - JingSheng Electromechanical: down 9.42% - Aotwei: down 8.97% - Jiejia Weichuang: down 8.68% - Shichuang Xinyuan: down 8.25% - Saisang Technology: down 8.17% - Gaoce Co., Ltd.: down 7.66% [2]

奥特维跌超10%，钧达股份、金辰股份双双跌超9%，迈为股份、拉普拉斯、东方日升、晶盛机电、晶 科能源等个股跟跌。 (本文来自第一财经) ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company is expected to see gradual improvement in Q4 earnings, benefiting from advancements in space photovoltaic and robotics industrialization [1] - The company has achieved a significant milestone by validating the cutting of 50μm ultra-thin silicon wafers, positioning itself to benefit from cutting-edge applications in the photovoltaic sector [8] - The company is entering the robotics market, leveraging its core technology in grinding equipment and tungsten wire materials, which may open up a new growth trajectory [8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 6,184 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 73.19%. However, a decline is expected in 2024 and 2025, with revenues of 4,474 million yuan and 3,817 million yuan, respectively [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1,461.12 million yuan in 2023, but is expected to decline to -44.23 million yuan in 2024 and -40.23 million yuan in 2025, before recovering to 127.28 million yuan in 2026 and 240.55 million yuan in 2027 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.76 yuan in 2023, dropping to -0.05 yuan in 2024 and 2025, and recovering to 0.15 yuan in 2026 and 0.29 yuan in 2027 [1] Market Data Summary - The closing price of the stock is 14.20 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 11,797 million yuan [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is currently at 8.20, with projections of -270.86 in 2024 and -297.77 in 2025, before stabilizing at 94.12 in 2026 and 49.80 in 2027 [1][9] - The company has a net asset value per share of 4.70 yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 49.59% [6]

Market Overview - On February 5, A-shares experienced a collective pullback, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.64% to 4075.92 points, the Shenzhen Component down 1.44% to 13952.71 points, and the ChiNext Index down 1.55% to 3260.28 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 21,945 billion yuan, a decrease of 3,090 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - The market saw more declines than gains, with 1,618 stocks rising and 3,719 stocks falling, including 56 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 23 stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] Sector Performance - The consumer sector showed relatively strong performance, attributed to its defensive nature and the upcoming Spring Festival, which typically sees increased consumer spending [2] - In contrast, sectors such as precious metals, photovoltaic equipment, energy metals, and non-ferrous metals experienced significant declines, with the photovoltaic sector index dropping nearly 3% [1][2] Company Specifics - In Hunan stocks, only 40 out of 146 stocks rose, with Huasheng Co., Ltd. hitting the daily limit up and being the only stock in the region to rise over 4% [3] - Huasheng Co., Ltd. announced a 2025 earnings forecast indicating a net loss attributable to shareholders of 46 million to 34 million yuan, representing a year-on-year change of -6.76% to -31.08% [3] - The company's net profit after deducting non-recurring items is expected to be between -85 million and -65 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year change of -38.46% to -5.88%, indicating a reduction in losses [3]

贵金属板块今日表现疲软，湖南白银等多股跌停，多股大跌。 光伏设备板块今日继续调整。光伏、 CPO、煤炭等板块跌幅居前。 全市场超 1600只个股上涨，全天成交额超2.1万亿元。市场情绪较前日弱化明显。 2月5日，A股三大指数全天低位窄幅震荡，截至收盘，沪指跌0.64%，深证成指跌1.44%，创业板指跌1.55%。 盘面上，银行板块逆势上涨，厦门银行涨停。 午后，零售板块异动拉升，茂业商业、三江购物涨停。此外，林业、医疗美容、日用化工等板块涨幅居 前。 2月5日，主力资金主要流入传媒、银行、食品饮料等板块，而电力设备、有色金属等遭遇显著抛售。 | | | •主力资金流入TOP5 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 证券简称 | 涨跌幅(%) | 主力净流入额(亿元) | | 801760.SI | 传媒(申万) | 0.11 | 62.52 | | 801780.SI | 银行(申万) | 1.57 | 55.02 | | 801120.SI | 食品饮料(申万) | 1.31 | 54.92 | | 801150.SI | 医药生物(申万) | 0.18 | 31 51 ...

Group 1 - The stock price of HeMai Co., Ltd. (688032.SH) fell by 4.25% to 108.44 yuan, currently in a state of breaking issue [1] - HeMai Co., Ltd. was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board on December 20, 2021, with an initial offering price of 557.80 yuan per share and a total of 10 million shares issued [1] - The total funds raised from the initial public offering amounted to 5.578 billion yuan, with a net amount of 5.406 billion yuan after deducting issuance costs, exceeding the original plan by 4.848 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The company announced a dividend plan on May 30, 2022, distributing 30 yuan (pre-tax) for every 10 shares and a bonus of 4 shares, with the ex-dividend date on June 7, 2022 [1] - On June 6, 2023, HeMai Co., Ltd. announced another dividend plan, distributing 53 yuan (pre-tax) for every 10 shares and a bonus of 4.9 shares, with the ex-dividend date on June 13, 2023 [1] - A new dividend plan was announced on June 13, 2024, distributing 36 yuan (pre-tax) for every 10 shares and a bonus of 4.9 shares, with the ex-dividend date on June 19, 2024 [2]