近期，上证指数突破3600点，水泥、钢铁、光伏等传统行业在"反内卷"催化下迎来爆发，也有算力、机 器人等新兴行业在技术突破下的轮动行情。伴随行情的回暖，多家外资公募也纷纷发声看好A股后续市 场表现。 桥水基金认为，未来中国股票宜适度增持，原因是政策支持和估值相对较低。贝莱德基金表示，今年以 来，中国股市、债市及外汇韧性都超预期，将继续看好中国股债双边行情。路博迈基金认为，股市上行 的条件已部分具备，市场等待更确定性的因素落地，三季度末到四季度更有望突破中枢。 投资快报记者从景顺全球最新发布的研究调查看到，国际投资机构对中国市场的兴趣明显回升。从国内 的外资公募持仓来看，公募排排网统计数据显示，二季度有6家进行了股票增持，其中路博迈基金、联 博基金在二季度的股票市值增长率分别高达491.66%、348.49%。 摩根大通基金持股超200亿，超5000万自购 数据显示，截至二季度末，摩根大通基金资产规模高达1989.01亿元，根据基金二季度报，旗下基金在 二季度持有186只标的，合计市值约为225.50亿元。 摩根大通基金二季度持股市值最多的20家公司，均在3亿以上。值得注意的是，自一季度末以来，仅4只 个股出现 ...

证券之星消息，截至2025年7月29日收盘，国际复材(301526)报收于5.0元，上涨1.21%，换手率9.77%， 成交量137.19万手，成交额6.89亿元。 7月29日的资金流向数据方面，主力资金净流出1122.09万元，占总成交额1.63%，游资资金净流入 3802.62万元，占总成交额5.52%，散户资金净流出2680.52万元，占总成交额3.89%。 近5日资金流向一览见下表： | | | | 日期 收盘价 涨跌幅 主力净流入 主力净占比 游资净占比 散户净流入 散户净占比 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-07-29 | 5.00 1.21% | -1122.09万 | -1.63% | 3802.62万 | 5.52% | -2680.52万 | -3.89% | | 2025-07-28 | 4.94 2.70% | 3230.09万 | 6.03% | 847.57万 | 1.58% | -4077.66万 | -7.61% | | 2025-07-25 | 4.81 -1.84% | - ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601636 | | 6.43 | -1.83% | 53.86万 | 3.44亿 | | 002080 | 中材科技 | 29.20 | -1.72% | 59.94万 | 17.55 Z | | 002613 | 北玻股份 | 4.03 | -1.71% | 45.48万 | 1.83亿 | | 600293 | 三峡新材 | 3.15 | -1.56% | - 34.02万 | 1.07亿 | | 618009 | 耀皮玻璃 | 6.56 | -1.50% | 16.98万 | 1.11亿 | | 600176 | 中国巨石 | 12.68 | -1.48% | 39.71万 | 5.03亿 | | 000012 | 南 玻 A | 4.92 | -0.61% | 19.38万 | 9504.54万 | | 605006 | 山东坡纤 | 7.58 | -0.52% | 16.78万 | 1.27亿 | | 603256 | 宏和科技 | 4 ...

Group 1 - The Chinese government is gradually implementing measures for free preschool education, as discussed in a State Council meeting led by Premier Li Qiang [1] - The establishment of the China Capital Market Society marks the creation of an official think tank for the capital market, with the chairman being the head of the China Securities Regulatory Commission [4] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is focused on consolidating the market's recovery and promoting long-term capital inflows, with several key reforms underway [6][7] Group 2 - A joint initiative by ten departments, including the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, aims to enhance agricultural product consumption through nine measures targeting supply, circulation, and market activation [5] - The CSRC is revising the Corporate Governance Code to enhance the governance standards of listed companies, seeking public feedback on the proposed changes [7] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported a 1.8% decline in profits for large-scale industrial enterprises in the first half of the year, with state-owned enterprises seeing a 7.6% drop [9][10]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The stock of Nanfang Glass A (南玻A) has shown a positive trend, with a price increase of 5.2% over the past week, indicating investor confidence and potential growth in the glass fiber sector [1]. Company Announcements - Nanfang Glass Group Co., Ltd. announced an adjustment to its share repurchase price limit, effective from July 23, 2025, with the new upper limit set at RMB 7.53 per A-share and HKD 3.05 per B-share [1]. - The profit distribution plan for 2024 includes a cash dividend of RMB 0.7 per 10 shares (tax included), with key dates for A and B shares outlined for registration and ex-dividend [1]. - The adjusted repurchase plan specifies a minimum repurchase amount of RMB 243 million and a maximum of RMB 485 million for A-shares, with an expected repurchase quantity between approximately 44.44 million and 76.58 million shares [1]. - For B-shares, the repurchase amount is set between HKD 50 million and HKD 100 million, with an expected repurchase quantity between approximately 22.14 million and 38.53 million shares [1].

Investment Rating - The report provides a comprehensive valuation table for various companies in the building materials industry, indicating a range of price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios for 2025E and 2026E [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the expected growth in net profit for several companies, with notable increases such as 90 million CNY for Conch Cement in 2025E and 100 million CNY in 2026E, reflecting a strong market position [1] - The PE ratios for the companies vary significantly, with Conch Cement at 15.3 for 2025E and 13.8 for 2026E, while companies like Jidong Cement show a much higher PE of 37.2 for 2025E [1] - The report emphasizes the valuation metrics, with companies like China National Building Material having a low PB ratio of 0.34, indicating potential undervaluation [1] Summary by Category Cement - Conch Cement has a total market value of 138.1 billion CNY, with projected net profits of 90 million CNY in 2025E and 100 million CNY in 2026E, and a PE of 15.3 for 2025E [1] - Huaxin Cement is valued at 31.9 billion CNY, with net profits expected to reach 25 million CNY in 2025E and 30 million CNY in 2026E, showing a PE of 12.7 for 2025E [1] - Other notable companies include Tianshan Shares with a market value of 43.1 billion CNY and projected net profits of 15 million CNY in 2025E [1] Consumer Building Materials - Rabbit Baby is projected to have net profits of 7.5 million CNY in 2025E and 8.5 million CNY in 2026E, with a PE of 11.2 for 2025E [1] - China Liansu is valued at 14.5 billion CNY, with expected net profits of 22 million CNY in 2025E and 24 million CNY in 2026E, showing a low PE of 6.6 for 2025E [1] Glass and Fiberglass - Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass has a market value of 15.1 billion CNY, with projected net profits of 10.5 million CNY in 2025E and 11.5 million CNY in 2026E, and a PE of 14.3 for 2025E [1] - China Jushi is valued at 51.5 billion CNY, with net profits expected to reach 35 million CNY in 2025E and 40 million CNY in 2026E, showing a PE of 14.7 for 2025E [1] New Materials - Zhongfu Shenying has a market value of 19.3 billion CNY, with projected net profits of 0.5 million CNY in 2025E and 1.5 million CNY in 2026E, reflecting a very high PE of 385.0 for 2025E [1] - Jilin Carbon Valley is valued at 8.5 billion CNY, with expected net profits of 1 million CNY in 2025E and 1.3 million CNY in 2026E, showing a PE of 85.0 for 2025E [1]

| | | | 日期 收盘价 涨跌幅 主力净流入 主力净占比 游资净占比 散户净流入 散户净占比 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-07-14 | 4.88 -2.40% | -6167.71万 | -6.78% | -1402.21万 | -1.54% | 7569.93万 | 8.32% Jan | | 2025-07-11 | 5.00 -9.09% | -9766.64万 | -6.59% | -211.79万 | -0.14% | 9978.43万 | 6.74% | | 2025-07-10 | 5.50 3.00% | 72.51万 | 0.03% | 248.45万 | 0.12% | -320.95万 | -0.15% | | 2025-07-09 | 5.34 5.95% | -3.54亿 | -13.70% | 6286.83万 | 2.43% | 2.91亿 | 11.27% | | 2025-07-08 | 5.04 20.00% | 3.28亿 | 25.73% | -1.91亿 | ...

Group 1 - The A-share market has recently experienced a "anti-involution" theme rally, with sectors such as steel, polysilicon, and glass seeing significant growth. The "anti-involution" theme is expected to become one of the main investment lines in the near future as it spreads across various industries [1] - Securities firms have shown considerable interest in the "anti-involution" theme, with dozens of firms publishing over a hundred reports and articles related to it since July. The most covered industries include building materials, steel, photovoltaics, and coal [1] - Analysts suggest that the implementation of "anti-involution" policies is likely to accelerate the exit of outdated production capacity, improving the net asset return rates in related industries, which would be a significant benefit for the stock market [1] Group 2 - "Expectation management" is the primary method of the current "anti-involution" policy. Traditional cyclical industries like coal and steel have largely cleared their outdated production capacity, and the concentration of industries has significantly increased [2] - The impact of the "anti-involution" policy may vary by industry. Some sectors, such as photovoltaics and lithium batteries, still have growth potential, making direct capacity clearance less likely, while traditional industries with higher capacity utilization and low product prices may see more significant effects on profitability [2] - A report from Huachuang Securities identified potential beneficiary industries of the "anti-involution" measures, with coal mining, coke, and ordinary steel being the most frequently mentioned. Other industries like passenger vehicles and wind power equipment were also highlighted as potential beneficiaries [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to see significant growth in its performance, with a projected net profit of 16.5-17.0 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 71.7%-76.9% [4] - The second quarter of 2025 is anticipated to yield a net profit of 9.20-9.70 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 50.5%-58.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 25.9%-32.7% [4] - The report highlights improvements in the glass fiber industry fundamentals, leading to an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2026 [4] - The company is positioned to benefit from the rebound in glass fiber prices and demand, as well as the growth in electronic fabric driven by AI developments [5][6] Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company's projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 34.3 billion, 39.7 billion, and 45.6 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14.3, 12.3, and 10.7 times [4] - Revenue for 2025 is estimated at 18.684 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.8% [7] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve to 31.8% in 2025, with a net profit margin of 19.0% [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significance of the "anti-involution" policy in promoting high-quality economic development and the construction of a unified national market in China, emphasizing the need to address low-price disorderly competition and improve product quality [2][10]. Market Performance - Since the announcement of the "anti-involution" policies on July 1, the Shenyin Wanguo Glass Fiber sector has seen a cumulative increase of 14.2%, while the Shenyin Wanguo Steel and Photovoltaic Equipment sectors have risen by 11.36% and 9.73%, respectively [2]. Economic and Market Implications - Comprehensive governance of "involution" is expected to enhance overall productivity by correcting low-price competition and overcapacity, thereby preventing "bad money from driving out good" [10]. - The policy is anticipated to accelerate industry consolidation and improve corporate profit expectations, particularly in sectors like steel and cement [10]. - The construction of a unified market is expected to reduce cross-regional transaction costs and stimulate domestic demand [10]. Industry Beneficiaries - Industries likely to benefit from the "anti-involution" policies include photovoltaic, new energy vehicles, steel, and cement [16][18]. - In the photovoltaic supply chain, leading companies in silicon materials and glass are expected to benefit from price stabilization and capacity clearance [16]. - In the new energy vehicle sector, leading manufacturers are likely to restore profitability through production control and price stabilization [16]. Market Dynamics and Sustainability - The sustainability of the "anti-involution" market rally is contingent on demand-side support, with short-term market reactions driven by policy-induced supply reductions [13][14]. - Traditional industries like steel and coal are expected to see basic support for their market performance due to clear capacity constraints [14]. - The performance of related sectors will exhibit differentiation, with traditional industries benefiting from actual capacity reductions, while technology-intensive sectors will need to focus on innovation and efficiency [14][17]. Long-term Opportunities - Key opportunities include supply-demand optimization in sectors like steel and cement, technology barriers in photovoltaic and lithium battery sectors, and cost advantages in industries like pig farming [17]. - Companies with the ability to set technical standards within their supply chains are expected to achieve excess returns, highlighting the importance of long-term structural changes in the industry [17].