京基智农公告，控股股东京基集团于2025年11月21日通过大宗交易减持股份150万股，占总股本 0.29%；其及一致行动人持股降至2.74亿股，比例降至52.82%。减持计划期为2025年11月19日至2026年2 月18日，包括大宗交易不超1037.93万股(2.00%)、集中竞价不超518.97万股(1.00%)，合计不超1556.9万 股(3.00%)。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement from Muyuan Foods indicates that its shareholder, Muyuan Group, will be unpledging a portion of its shares, which reflects a positive development in the company's financial stability and reduces the risk associated with share pledges [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Share Pledge Details** - Muyuan Group will unpledge 82.66 million shares, accounting for 9.74% of its holdings and 1.51% of the total share capital of the company [1] - The unpledging process will start on August 1, 2024, and end on November 21, 2025 [1] - The pledgee for this transaction is CITIC Securities [1] - **Post-Unpledging Situation** - After this unpledging, Muyuan Group and its concerted parties will have 90.018 million shares pledged, which represents 10.61% of their holdings and 1.65% of the total share capital [1] - The remaining pledged shares do not pose a substantial risk of capital repayment for the actual controller and its concerted parties [1]

Core Viewpoint - The successful approval of the "Yisheng 817 broiler chicken" as a national poultry variety marks a significant milestone in China's poultry breeding history, indicating a transition from breeding technology to a nationally recognized variety [1][3]. Group 1: Industry Development - The "Yisheng 817 broiler chicken" was developed to address the shortage of specialized breeds for traditional chicken dishes like "pa chicken" and "roast chicken" [3]. - The breeding model of the 817 chicken integrates existing commercial breed resources, resulting in a breed that is efficient in growth, adaptable, and cost-effective, thus paving a unique development path for China's poultry industry [3][4]. - The 817 chicken has become one of the three main types in China's poultry industry, with an expected output of 2.47 billion birds in 2024, accounting for 17.2% of the national broiler output, and approximately 40% of this production will come from Shandong Province [4]. Group 2: Breeding and Market Impact - The breeding model of the 817 chicken involves a hybridization of fast-growing white feather broiler roosters and high-yield brown-shelled egg layers, which allows for the integration of advanced global breeding results [4]. - The "Yisheng 817 small white feather broiler chicken" has been well-received in the market, with 400,000 sets promoted within a few months [4]. - The breed is characterized by low cost, fast growth, and high-quality meat, making it suitable for both traditional Chinese and Western-style chicken products [5].

11月24日，指数高开回落，创业板指翻绿。 消息面上，11月10日，罗牛山公告，公司2025年10月销售生猪7.15万头，环比增长13.84%，同比增长 57.90%；销售收入11587.32万元，环比下降2.01%，同比增长24.65%。1—10 月，公司累计销售生猪 56.15万头，同比下降2.74%；累计销售收入103296.05万元，同比下降3.82%。 此外，财政部、商务部公布消费新业态新模式新场景试点城市竞争性评审结果，公示名单共包含50个城 市。 中信证券研报表示，2026年，周期和成长仍然是驱动农业板块的主要投资逻辑。周期视角来看，在市场 化亏损以及行政去产能合力下，2025年四季度以及2026年上半年产能去化或呈现加速态势，2026年猪价 或震荡上行。此外，畜禽产业链上持续推荐经营能力领先、穿越周期的公司。种子种植领域推荐品种资 源优势强劲的公司。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 相关ETF方面，农业ETF天弘（512620）成交额超1000万元，换手率2.59%。此外，食品饮料ETF天弘 （159736）成交额破3500万元。 农业ETF天弘（512620）紧密跟踪中证农业指数，覆盖养殖、 ...

华西证券表示，全国能繁母猪存栏量在10月份下降至4000万头以下，表明行业正经历产能去化过程。预 计随着政策支持及市场调整，生猪行业未来将呈现提质增效的趋势，成本较低、财务状况较好的优质企 业市场份额将进一步提高。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 养殖ETF（159865）跟踪的是中证畜牧指数（930707），该指数从沪深市场中选取业务涉及畜禽养殖、 饲料加工等领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映畜牧业相关上市公司证券的整体表现。中证畜牧 指数覆盖了畜禽养殖、饲料及动保等多个细分领域，具有较强的行业代表性。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The main investment logic driving the agricultural sector in 2026 will be both cyclical and growth perspectives, with an expectation of accelerated capacity reduction in the first half of 2026 and a potential upward trend in pig prices [1] Group 1: Cyclical Perspective - In the context of market losses and administrative capacity reduction, capacity deconstruction may accelerate in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first half of 2026 [1] - The pig price is expected to fluctuate upwards in 2026 [1] - Companies with leading operational capabilities in the livestock and poultry industry chain are continuously recommended [1] Group 2: Growth Perspective - The domestic demand for the pet sector remains robust, with strong momentum for domestic brands, potentially leading to high growth in performance in the second half of 2026 [1] - In the fruit and vegetable planting sector, the blueberry dividend is expected to continue, with a focus on leading blueberry companies that are increasing planting area, improving planting efficiency, enhancing brand and channel development, and accelerating overseas expansion [1] - The functional sugar sector is anticipated to welcome a super single product in the sugar substitute category [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities suggests that in 2026, both cyclical and growth factors will drive the main investment logic in the agricultural sector [1] Group 1: Cyclical Perspective - Due to market losses and administrative capacity reduction, capacity deconstruction may accelerate in Q4 2025 and the first half of 2026, leading to a potential upward fluctuation in pig prices in 2026 [1] - The report continues to recommend companies in the livestock and poultry industry that demonstrate strong operational capabilities and can withstand cyclical fluctuations [1] Group 2: Growth Perspective - The domestic demand for the pet sector remains robust, with strong momentum for domestic brands, potentially leading to high growth in H2 2026 [1] - In the fruit and vegetable planting sector, the blueberry market is expected to continue benefiting from ongoing advantages, with a focus on leading companies that are increasing planting area, improving planting efficiency, enhancing brand and channel development, and accelerating international expansion [1] - The functional sugar sector is anticipated to welcome a super sugar substitute product [1]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious investment outlook for the agricultural sector, particularly highlighting the need to focus on capacity reduction in the pig farming industry due to ongoing losses and low prices [1][2]. Core Insights - The agricultural index fell by 3.4% this week, with significant individual stock movements, including a notable increase in companies like Zhongshui Fishery (61.0%) and Quanyin High-Tech (27.4%) [1][2]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing losses in pig farming due to low prices, suggesting that the industry is entering a phase of accelerated capacity reduction, which may present left-side investment opportunities [1][2]. - The pet food sector showed strong sales performance during the "Double Eleven" shopping festival, indicating growth potential for leading companies in this space [1][2]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The report notes a decline in pig prices, with the average price for external three yuan pigs at 11.61 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.43% but a decrease of 2.11% compared to the previous week [1]. - Losses for self-breeding sow enterprises have increased, with losses reported at 96.61 yuan per head, a week-on-week increase of 24.66 yuan [1]. - The report anticipates continued pressure on pig supply through Q4 2025 and into H1 2026, with prices likely to remain low [1]. Pet Food - October data shows a decline in China's pet food exports, with a total export value of 772 million yuan (approximately 109 million USD), down 15.8% year-on-year [1]. - Despite short-term challenges due to trade friction, the domestic pet food market is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with a focus on leading brands [1][2]. Chicken Farming - The report highlights stable prices for white feather broiler chicks and chicken meat, with the average price for chicks at 3.35 yuan each and for chicken meat at 3.50 yuan/kg [1]. - The supply of broilers is expected to remain ample, but improvements in demand due to economic recovery could lead to a rebound in industry profitability [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry, indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing decline in pig prices leading to increased losses in breeding, with a focus on accelerated capacity reduction. The supply pressure for fat pigs remains significant, and the seasonal price increase is not materializing, which may further accelerate capacity reduction in the industry [2][3]. - The pet food sector showed strong sales performance during the "Double Eleven" shopping festival, with recommendations to focus on leading companies with growth certainty. The core brands of listed companies performed well during the promotional period, and the logic of increasing market share continues to be validated [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the cyclical nature of the pig breeding industry, suggesting that the downward cycle is nearing its end, with a potential upward turning point expected in 2026. The report also notes that the pet economy remains a core growth area, with expectations for continued market share growth among leading companies [2][3]. Summary by Sections Agricultural Stock Market Performance - The Shenwan Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index fell by 3.4%, while the CSI 300 Index decreased by 3.8%. The top five gainers included Zhongshui Fishery (61.0%), Quanyin High-Tech (27.4%), and Guolian Aquatic Products (22.5%) [3][10]. Pig Breeding - The report indicates a decline in breeding enthusiasm due to rising costs and high utilization rates of existing facilities. The average selling price of pigs was reported at 11.61 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.43% but a decrease of 2.11% compared to the previous week. Losses for self-breeding sow enterprises reached 96.61 yuan per head, a week-on-week increase of 24.66 yuan [2][3][11]. Pet Food - October data showed a decline in both the export value and volume of pet food from China, with a total export value of 772 million yuan (approximately 109 million USD), reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 15.8%. Despite this, the domestic pet food market is viewed as a high-certainty growth area, with strong sales during the "Double Eleven" event [2][3]. Chicken Breeding - The report notes that the prices of white feather broiler chicks and chicken meat have remained stable, with the average selling price of broiler chicks at 3.35 yuan per chick. The supply of white feather chickens is expected to remain ample in 2025, with potential demand recovery in 2026 [2][3].

Core Viewpoint - Tian Nong Group is seeking to raise funds through an IPO in Hong Kong to expand its processed meat production and dining services, enhance technology and R&D capabilities, and pursue strategic investments or acquisitions [3][8]. Company Overview - Founded in 2003 and headquartered in Qingyuan, Guangdong, Tian Nong Group is the largest provider of Qingyuan chicken in China, focusing on purebred Qingyuan chicken and high-quality pig farming [3][4]. - The company operates a vertically integrated supply chain covering breeding, ecological farming, feed production, slaughtering, food processing, and brand marketing, ensuring food safety and product quality [3][4]. Market Position - In 2024, Tian Nong Group holds approximately 59.3% of the Qingyuan chicken market share in China, ranking second among all yellow feathered chicken providers in Guangdong [4]. - The company ranks eighth among pig farming enterprises in Southwest China by revenue in 2024, with strong profitability reflected in its pig farming operations [5]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025 was approximately 3.952 billion, 3.596 billion, 4.776 billion, and 2.221 billion yuan, respectively, indicating significant revenue fluctuations [6]. - Net profit figures show a loss of 669 million yuan in 2023, a rebound to 890 million yuan in 2024, followed by a decline of 73.1% in the first half of 2025 [9]. Future Development Strategy - The IPO aims to strengthen the company's full industry chain layout, particularly in high-value downstream segments, including processed meat production and dining services [8]. - Plans include opening hundreds of stores for a "Qingyuan Chicken Hot Pot" model and enhancing technology and information systems to support strategic acquisitions [8]. Challenges - The company faces significant internal challenges, including high volatility in financial performance and reliance on the cyclical pricing of core products [9]. - Managing a dual farming model of company-owned and family farms presents operational challenges in cost and quality control [9]. Market Outlook - The IPO presents both opportunities and challenges, with increasing competition in the industry and cautious market valuations for agricultural sectors [10]. - As a leading brand in Qingyuan chicken, the company has a strong regional brand advantage that could facilitate its expansion into downstream markets [10].