Workflow
饲料
icon
Search documents
反内卷预期提振,生猪盘面反弹
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-11 05:10
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Oils and Fats**: Expected to fluctuate [6] - **Protein Meal**: Expected to fluctuate [6] - **Corn and Starch**: Expected to fluctuate weakly [7] - **Hogs**: Expected to fluctuate [8] - **Natural Rubber and No. 20 Rubber**: Expected to fluctuate strongly in the short - term [9] - **Synthetic Rubber**: Expected to fluctuate [11] - **Cotton**: Expected to fluctuate in the short - term [12] - **Sugar**: Expected to fluctuate weakly in the long - term, and run in the 5500 - 5750 range in the short - term [14] - **Pulp**: Expected to fluctuate [15] - **Double - Glue Paper**: Expected to fluctuate [16] - **Logs**: Expected to stop falling and stabilize [19] 2. Core Views of the Report - **Oils and Fats**: Affected by the relatively bearish MPOB report, the market sentiment is weak, and it may continue to adjust. Pay attention to the effectiveness of the lower technical support [6]. - **Protein Meal**: The market has both long and short factors, and the market will continue to fluctuate narrowly. Hold long positions at 2900 - 2910 and add positions on dips. It is recommended that oil mills sell on rallies, and downstream enterprises buy basis contracts or fix prices on dips [6]. - **Corn and Starch**: Maintain the idea of shorting on rallies in the fourth quarter. There is a short - term tight supply, and a short - term long - term long pattern is expected [7]. - **Hogs**: The expectation of "anti - involution" boosts the market. In the short - term, the supply is abundant, and the cycle is still under supply pressure. In the long - term, if the capacity - reduction policy is implemented, the supply pressure in 2026 will be gradually weakened. Pay attention to the reverse arbitrage strategy [8]. - **Natural Rubber**: After the decline, it stabilizes, and there will still be fluctuations in the short - term. The short - term trend is expected to fluctuate strongly [9]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: It returns to the fluctuating trend. The short - term price of butadiene is expected to rise slightly, and the market may fluctuate strongly [11]. - **Cotton**: The cotton price fluctuates within the range. Try short - term long positions when the price reaches the lower limit of the range [12]. - **Sugar**: In the long - term, the sugar price has a downward driving force due to the expected supply surplus in the new season. In the short - term, it runs in the 5500 - 5750 range, and pay attention to the support at 5500 [14]. - **Pulp**: The pulp futures fluctuate sharply with the listing of double - glue paper. It is expected to fluctuate [15]. - **Double - Glue Paper**: The fundamentals are weak, but the listing price is neutral to low. Consider range operation between 4000 - 4500 [16]. - **Logs**: The market is in a game between weak reality and peak - season expectation. The price may stop falling and stabilize in September [19]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Oils and Fats - **Logic**: Due to the limited expected decline in US soybean yield per unit, combined with the impact of oil - meal arbitrage, US soybeans and soybean oil fell on Tuesday. The MPOB report is bearish, and domestic oils and fats fluctuated and fell yesterday. The US soybean is affected by drought, and the domestic soybean oil inventory may peak. The MPOB report on palm oil is bearish, and the domestic rapeseed oil inventory is slowly falling but still high year - on - year [6]. - **Outlook**: Affected by the bearish MPOB report, the market sentiment is weak and may continue to adjust [6]. 3.2 Protein Meal - **Logic**: Internationally, the Fed's rate cut in September is almost certain. There are factors such as the possible occurrence of La Nina and the expected increase in Brazil's soybean exports. Domestically, the state reserve plans to sell 22,500 tons of imported soybeans, and the soybean import volume is large. The demand for soybean meal may increase steadily [6]. - **Outlook**: Both domestic and international markets will continue to fluctuate within the range. Hold long positions at 2900 - 2910 and add positions on dips [6]. 3.3 Corn and Starch - **Logic**: The domestic corn price shows a differentiated trend. The supply is short - term tight, and the demand has a phased increase. With the approaching of the new grain listing, the selling pressure will gradually appear in the fourth quarter [7]. - **Outlook**: Look for short - selling opportunities on rallies when the new grain is concentratedly listed. Consider reverse arbitrage [7]. 3.4 Hogs - **Logic**: The Ministry of Agriculture plans to hold a symposium on hog production capacity regulation enterprises on September 16. In the short - term, the supply is abundant, and the demand is stable. In the long - term, the "anti - involution" policy may drive the price to strengthen in 2026 [8]. - **Outlook**: The spot price is expected to fluctuate. The futures market is in a pattern of "weak reality + strong expectation", and pay attention to the reverse arbitrage strategy [8]. 3.5 Natural Rubber and No. 20 Rubber - **Logic**: The rubber market stabilizes after a sharp decline. The short - term fundamentals are strong, and there are many speculative themes. The supply increase may be postponed, and the downstream purchasing enthusiasm recovers after the price decline [9]. - **Outlook**: The short - term trend is expected to fluctuate strongly [9]. 3.6 Synthetic Rubber - **Logic**: The BR market stabilizes after a large decline and returns to the fluctuating trend. It follows the natural rubber market, and the cost of raw material butadiene provides support. The supply and demand fundamentals support the market to fluctuate in a narrow range [11]. - **Outlook**: The short - term price of butadiene may rise slightly, and the market may fluctuate strongly [11]. 3.7 Cotton - **Logic**: The domestic cotton market has low inventory and marginal improvement in demand. The new cotton commercial inventory is tight, and the demand is improving but the upward driving force is insufficient. Wait for the new cotton purchase price to give direction [12]. - **Outlook**: Fluctuate in the short - term. Try short - term long positions when the price reaches the lower limit of the range [12]. 3.8 Sugar - **Logic**: In the new season, although the drought in Brazil reduces the sugarcane yield, the sugar production is expected to increase due to the high sugar - making ratio. The supply in Southeast Asia is expected to increase. The domestic supply marginally increases, and the sugar price has a downward driving force [14]. - **Outlook**: In the long - term, the sugar price may decline. In the short - term, it runs in the 5500 - 5750 range, and pay attention to the support at 5500 [14]. 3.9 Pulp - **Logic**: The pulp futures fluctuate sharply with the listing of double - glue paper. The supply and demand change little, and it may be due to emotional speculation. The needle - broadleaf pattern is differentiated, and the price may continue to decline [15]. - **Outlook**: The pulp futures are expected to fluctuate [15]. 3.10 Double - Glue Paper - **Logic**: The fundamentals are bearish, with over - supply in the industry, declining demand, and high inventory. The listing price is neutral to low, and consider range operation between 4000 - 4500. Pay attention to reverse arbitrage in the early stage of listing [16]. - **Outlook**: The fundamentals are weak, but the listing price is neutral to low. Consider range operation [16]. 3.11 Logs - **Logic**: The log market is in a game between weak reality and peak - season expectation. The inventory is decreasing, and the demand is expected to increase. The price may stop falling and stabilize in September [19]. - **Outlook**: The price may stop falling and stabilize in September [19].
又借利好减持?金华富豪套现60亿,24万股民梦碎“千亿市值”
凤凰网财经· 2025-09-10 13:32
深蓝财经 . 影响价值圈层!创立于2011年,关注中国最具价值公司,是新中产的财富顾问。 来源丨深蓝财经 左手发布利好,右手公告减持,大北农董事长邵根伙又被股民骂了。 昨日晚间,大北农发布关于控股子公司大豆产品获批阿根廷种植许可的公告。由于这个公告先显示出来,有熟悉公司的股民第一反应竟然是"是不是邵根伙 又想减持了"? 以下文章来源于深蓝财经 ,作者深蓝财经 结果,稍晚时候大北农另一个公告出来了。果不其然,公司控股股东、实际控制人邵根伙拟在3个月内减持股份不超过8560.74万股,占总股本的1.99%,减 持原因是降低融资杠杆。 于是,神奇的一幕发生了——上面那位股民随后调侃"xxx,被我说中了"…… 2021年,邵根伙曾高喊"三年实现千亿市值"的目标。结果公司股价在2020年8月见顶后一路震荡下跌,市值从约540亿元高位一路缩水至如今181亿元左右, 市值蒸发约359亿元,跌幅达66%。 一边画饼的背后是源源不断的减持。据"新浪财经-鹰眼工作室"统计,自2019年5月起,邵根伙迄今为止已累计减持公司股票7.73亿股,累计套现约59.78亿 元。若叠加本次减持套现金额约3.6亿元,他将累计套现约63亿元。 从 ...
9月10日早间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-09-10 10:38
Group 1 - JinkoSolar's subsidiary plans to sell 80% stake in Jinko New Materials for 80 million yuan, which will no longer be included in JinkoSolar's consolidated financial statements [1] - Zhongtai Automobile's subsidiary has been forced to dismantle its T300 vehicle assembly line, making it unable to resume production this year, leading to uncertainty in its ongoing operational capacity [1] - Springlight Technology's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by a total of 0.68% of the company's shares between October 9, 2025, and January 8, 2026 [2] Group 2 - Sentech's energy storage and charging integration business is in the expansion phase, with its main business focusing on building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) and environmental remediation [3] - Qinchuan IoT plans to reduce its holdings by up to 1% of the company's shares from October 9, 2025, to January 8, 2026, with proceeds to be used for working capital [4] - Redick's shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 2% of the company's shares starting from September 9, 2025 [5] Group 3 - Guangxun Technology plans to raise up to 3.5 billion yuan through a private placement to fund various projects, including optical connection and high-speed optical transmission product production [8] - Shanghai Electric has terminated its acquisition of K-Electric Limited, which was planned for 1.773 billion USD, and is now focusing on investing in offshore photovoltaic and wind power projects [9][10] - Longsoft Technology's shareholder intends to transfer 1.72% of the company's shares through a non-public transfer [10] Group 4 - Amgen Pharmaceuticals' shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by a total of 6% of the company's shares between October 9, 2025, and January 8, 2026 [11] - Juhe Materials intends to acquire the blank mask business from SKE for approximately 35 million yuan to expand its semiconductor materials business [12] - Linuo Medical Packaging's shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 3% of the company's shares from October 9, 2025, to January 8, 2026 [13] Group 5 - Dongzhu Ecology plans to acquire 89.49% of Kairuixing Technology through a combination of share issuance and cash payment, aiming to enter the satellite communication and space information technology sector [14] - Dabeinong's controlling shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 1.99% of the company's shares starting from September 10, 2025 [15] - Tianji Technology is promoting the industrialization of lithium sulfide material preparation patents, currently in the early stages of development [16] Group 6 - Jing Shan Light Machine's subsidiary has secured a procurement order worth approximately 1.005 billion yuan from a leading lithium battery company [17] - Daheng Technology plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary with an investment of 600 million yuan to expand its semiconductor business [18]
美农生物:全裕9月1-9日减持0.25%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-10 08:55
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the controlling shareholder and actual controller of the company, Hong Wei, along with his concerted actors Quan Yu and Hong Jun, have reduced their shareholding percentage due to a recent share reduction event [1] - Quan Yu has cumulatively reduced his holdings by 358,400 shares from September 1 to September 9, 2025, which accounts for 0.25% of the company's total share capital [1] - As a result of this reduction, the shareholding percentage of the controlling shareholder has decreased from 47.23% to 46.98%, triggering a change in equity that touches the 1% integer multiple [1]
饲料板块9月10日跌0.17%,大北农领跌,主力资金净流出7058.43万元
Market Overview - On September 10, the feed sector declined by 0.17%, with Da Bei Nong leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3812.22, up 0.13%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12557.68, up 0.38% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Da Bei Nong (002385) closed at 4.21, down 2.32% with a trading volume of 1.9768 million shares and a transaction value of 828 million [2] - Other notable stocks included: - Zhengze Technology (000702) closed at 7.88, up 3.96% [1] - Bangji Technology (603151) closed at 25.82, up 2.99% [1] - Aonong Biological (603363) closed at 5.19, up 1.96% [1] - Qianxin Agricultural (002548) closed at 4.50, up 1.35% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The feed sector experienced a net outflow of 70.5843 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 35.0564 million [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks showed: - Zhengze Technology had a net inflow of 29.616 million from institutional investors [3] - Aonong Biological had a net inflow of 21.4124 million from institutional investors [3] - Da Bei Nong had a net outflow of 79.389 million from retail investors [3]
本周3只新股申购,智能配电设备领先生产企业将登陆A股
Group 1: New IPOs - This week, there are three new stocks available for subscription: one on the Shanghai Main Board, one on the ChiNext, and one on the Beijing Stock Exchange [1][5] - The Beijing Stock Exchange new stock, Shichang Co., has an issue price of 10.9 yuan and a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.74, compared to the industry average dynamic P/E ratio of 28.04 [2] - Shichang Co. specializes in feed production, offering over 100 varieties of products for livestock and aquaculture [2] Group 2: ChiNext New Stock - The ChiNext new stock, Haocreat Technology, focuses on smart distribution equipment and digital solutions for distribution networks [2] - Haocreat Technology's projected revenues for 2023 to the first half of 2025 are 672 million yuan, 867 million yuan, and 451 million yuan, with net profits of 87 million yuan, 111 million yuan, and 62 million yuan respectively [2] - The company aims to raise 477 million yuan through its IPO [2] Group 3: Shanghai Main Board New Stock - The Shanghai Main Board new stock, YouSheng Co., is a manufacturer of aluminum alloy automotive components, focusing on lightweight parts for electric vehicles [3] - YouSheng Co. has projected revenues of approximately 2.35 billion yuan, 2.91 billion yuan, and 3.95 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, with net profits of 233 million yuan, 321 million yuan, and 405 million yuan respectively [3] - The company plans to raise 2.471 billion yuan through its IPO [3] Group 4: Upcoming IPO Meetings - Two companies, Yatu High-tech and Weite Environment, are scheduled for IPO meetings this week on September 12 [4] - Yatu High-tech specializes in the research, production, and sales of high-performance industrial coatings, with applications in various industrial sectors [4] - Weite Environment focuses on water resource pipeline leakage control technology and has become a comprehensive service provider in the field [4]
行业周报:我国对欧盟进口猪肉反倾销初步裁定落地,生猪板块迎配置良机-20250907
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-09-07 10:52
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the profitability of the breeding chain is expected to see significant growth in H1 2025, with the pet sector maintaining its high prosperity [3][20] - The preliminary ruling on anti-dumping measures against EU pork imports is anticipated to drive domestic pork prices upward, presenting a good opportunity for investment in the pig farming sector [4][14] - The report emphasizes a dual driving force from both fundamental and policy aspects, suggesting that pig prices are likely to rise in H2 2025, improving the investment logic in the pig farming sector [20] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The Ministry of Commerce has announced preliminary anti-dumping measures on EU pork imports, with a guarantee deposit rate ranging from 15.6% to 62.4% [4][13] - The domestic pork and pork offal import volume reached 1.15 million tons in H1 2025, with EU imports accounting for 52% [14][16] Market Performance (Sept 1 - Sept 5) - The agricultural index underperformed the market by 0.15 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.18% and the agricultural index down 1.32% [6][24] - The pet food sector led the gains among sub-sectors, with notable increases in individual stocks such as Yuegui Co. (+13.19%) and Honghui Fruits (+9.23%) [6][24][29] Price Tracking (Sept 1 - Sept 5) - The average price of live pigs was 13.77 yuan/kg, up 0.11 yuan/kg from the previous week, while the average price of piglets was 25.4 yuan/kg, down 1.74 yuan/kg [7][35] - The price of corn futures increased by 1.46% to 2219.00 yuan/ton, and soybean meal futures rose by 1.60% to 2536.00 yuan/ton [47][48] Key News (Sept 1 - Sept 5) - The Ministry of Agriculture reported a 5.3% month-on-month increase in the slaughter volume of designated pig slaughtering enterprises in July 2025 [30] - The report indicates that the domestic pig farming sector is expected to benefit from the anti-dumping measures, leading to a potential increase in domestic pork prices [4][14] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the pig farming sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Juxing Agriculture [20] - In the feed sector, companies like Haida Group and New Hope Liuhe are recommended due to strong domestic and overseas demand [20][23]
饲料板块9月5日涨0.65%,邦基科技领涨,主力资金净流出5481.29万元
Market Overview - On September 5, the feed sector rose by 0.65% compared to the previous trading day, with Bangji Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3812.51, up 1.24%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12590.56, up 3.89% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Bangji Technology (603151) closed at 24.97, with a gain of 1.42% and a trading volume of 24,600 lots, totaling a transaction value of 60.63 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included: - Guobao Pet (301498) at 100.30, up 1.36% [1] - Haida Group (002311) at 61.13, up 1.23% [1] - Ziyang Co. (002696) at 6.31, up 0.80% [1] - Boen Group (001366) at 12.76, up 0.79% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The feed sector experienced a net outflow of 54.81 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 37.78 million yuan [2] - Conversely, speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 92.59 million yuan [2] Detailed Capital Flow for Selected Stocks - Dabeinong (002385) had a net inflow of 35.17 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors faced a net outflow of 15.40 million yuan [3] - Haida Group (002311) saw a net inflow of 11.67 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 26.96 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Jinnong (002548) recorded a net inflow of 7.43 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 10.41 million yuan [3]
禾丰股份:2025年第三次临时股东大会决议公告
Core Viewpoint - He Feng Co., Ltd. announced the approval of several proposals during its third extraordinary general meeting of shareholders for 2025, including the termination of the fundraising project for the publicly issued convertible bonds in 2022 and the allocation of remaining funds to new investment projects [1] Group 1 - The third extraordinary general meeting of shareholders was held on September 4, 2025 [1] - The company approved the proposal regarding the conclusion and termination of the fundraising project for the 2022 publicly issued convertible bonds [1] - The company plans to use part of the remaining raised funds for new investment projects [1]
粤海饲料:关于2025年员工持股计划首次授予部分非交易过户完成的公告
Core Viewpoint - The company has completed the non-trading transfer of shares for its 2025 employee stock ownership plan, indicating a strategic move to enhance employee engagement and align interests with shareholders [1] Group 1: Employee Stock Ownership Plan - The company announced the completion of the non-trading transfer of 7,479,800 shares to the "Guangdong Yuehai Feed Group Co., Ltd. - 2025 Employee Stock Ownership Plan" account, which represents approximately 1.07% of the company's total share capital [1] - After the transfer, the company's repurchase account holds a total of 3,120,268 shares, accounting for about 0.45% of the total share capital [1]