上周国内权益市场延续高位震荡走势，万得全A周涨幅在0.2%附近，其中周一和周五的成交额有所放 大，再度回到两万亿元以上，市场热点集中在部分题材板块。从行业来看，通信、军工、电子涨幅较 大，而传统板块煤炭、石油石化和纺织服装跌幅较大。 备受投资者瞩目的中央经济工作会议在上周召开，会议总结2025年经济工作，分析当前经济形势，部署 2026年经济工作。泓德基金表示，2026年是"十五五"规划开局之年，做好经济工作至关重要，"五个必 须"既对以往经济实践作出了深刻精辟的总结，也为做好当前和今后一个时期的经济工作提供了思想指 引和行动指南。 12月8日，海关总署公布数据显示，中国11月出口（以美元计价）同比增5.9%，前值下降1.1%；进口增 长1.9%，前值增1%；贸易顺差1116.8亿美元，前值900.7亿美元。泓德基金分析指出，随着节日效应和 高基数影响回落，11月出口数据保持韧性。从1-11月累计来看，今年以来出口同比增长5.4%（2024年同 比增长5.8%），虽然2025年以来我国面临美国新一轮关税冲击的挑战，但是出口表现颇具韧性，一是 转出口贸易提振，二是我国产品竞争力较强，出口强劲是今年我国经济的一大 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformation of Shuyang, a county in Jiangsu, which has successfully attracted over 300,000 young people to return and start businesses, shifting from a history of labor outflow to becoming a vibrant entrepreneurial hub [1][2]. Economic Transformation - Shuyang has risen from being one of the lowest economic performers in Jiangsu to ranking 25th among the top 100 counties in China by 2024, with a GDP that has consistently exceeded 100 billion yuan for five consecutive years [1][2]. - The county has seen a significant reduction in its labor outflow, with the number of migrant workers decreasing from a peak of 450,000 to 180,000 [2]. Return of Young Entrepreneurs - A cultural shift has occurred, where the stigma of returning to rural areas for work has diminished, leading to a 60% employment rate among returning university graduates in the local flower and tree industry [2][3]. - The county has implemented various entrepreneurial policies, including the "Shushang Return" initiative, to attract local entrepreneurs back to invest and start businesses [2][4]. Industrial Development - Shuyang has focused on building a robust industrial foundation, developing three major industrial clusters worth over 100 billion yuan each, which has created over 300,000 jobs [3][4]. - The county has nurtured 1,157 industrial enterprises and 147 national high-tech enterprises, enhancing employment opportunities [3][4]. Support for Entrepreneurship - The establishment of entrepreneurial incubation bases and the "Skills Shuyang" initiative provide comprehensive support for entrepreneurs, including training and certification [4][5]. - The county has launched various programs to cultivate local talent, resulting in 8,200 industry leaders and 54,000 certified farmers [4][8]. Business Environment - Shuyang has prioritized creating a favorable business environment, adopting a service-oriented approach to support returning entrepreneurs, which has led to a "grapevine effect" attracting more businesses [5][6]. - The county's efficient administrative processes have facilitated quick project approvals, encouraging investment from both local and external entrepreneurs [5][6]. Challenges and Solutions - Despite the success, Shuyang faces challenges such as job growth slowing down and skill mismatches, prompting the county to expand into new employment sectors like digital and silver economies [7][8]. - The county has introduced policies to support entrepreneurship, including risk support funds and simplified loan processes, which have disbursed over 1.8 billion yuan in loans in the past four years [8][9]. Quality of Life Improvements - Shuyang is enhancing public services, including education and healthcare, to improve living conditions and attract talent back to the area [9][10]. - The transformation from a "working economy" to a "returning economy" reflects a deeper change in development logic, focusing on industry, service, and environment to retain talent [9].

Summary of the Conference Call for Jian Sheng Group Company Overview - Jian Sheng Group is investing in Egypt to leverage local population resources (approximately 120 million) and lower labor costs (actual wages around $200/month) to address rising domestic production costs [2][3] Key Industry Insights - Egypt offers significant tariff advantages for exports to Europe (zero tariffs) and the U.S. (10% tariffs for products from QIZ zones), making it a competitive location compared to China and Vietnam, which face tariffs of 40%-50% [2][3][8] - The geographical proximity allows for reduced shipping times, with sea transport to Europe taking only 3-4 days and to the U.S. about two weeks [2][3] Core Investment Strategies - Jian Sheng Group has purchased 300,000 square meters of land (approximately 450 acres) to mitigate future land price increases, as suitable industrial land in Egypt is scarce [5] - The company plans to develop a vertically integrated park that includes sock production, seamless garments, dyeing, and auxiliary materials to lower management costs and improve production efficiency [5][6] Project Developments - The Jiangshan Intelligent Factory project will be implemented in phases with an estimated total investment of 80-90 million RMB, focusing on smart equipment and digital management systems to enhance production efficiency and quality control [6][7] - The company anticipates that the Egyptian project will contribute significantly to future sock production capacity, with some production expected to be operational by 2027 [3][9] Financial Considerations - Jian Sheng Group has a low debt-to-equity ratio and strong cash flow, preferring bank financing with a cost of around 2% [10] - There are no current plans for equity financing, but the company may consider divesting underperforming assets to ensure sufficient funds while maintaining dividend levels [10] Labor and Operational Efficiency - The labor situation in Egypt is favorable, with a high number of applicants for job openings, and English is widely spoken, facilitating management [3][13] - The company is confident in its ability to manage and train local employees, although the efficiency of Egyptian labor compared to Vietnamese labor is still being assessed [13] Market Outlook - The company expects a positive outlook for its seamless and cotton sock businesses in 2026, with optimistic order forecasts, particularly for seamless products [18][22] - The domestic asset management strategy includes consolidating production facilities to optimize operations, although this is not the primary funding source for the Egyptian investment [19][20] Conclusion - Jian Sheng Group's strategic investment in Egypt is driven by favorable labor conditions, tariff advantages, and logistical efficiencies, positioning the company for growth in the global market while addressing current production capacity constraints in Vietnam.

哈森股份(603958)今日跌停，全天换手率1.25%，成交额3683.33万元，振幅4.48%。龙虎榜数据显示， 营业部席位合计净卖出481.48万元。 上交所公开信息显示，当日该股因日跌幅偏离值达-9.46%上榜，营业部席位合计净卖出481.48万元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，上榜的前五大买卖营业部合计成交1611.46万元，其中，买入成交额为 564.99万元，卖出成交额为1046.47万元，合计净卖出481.48万元。 具体来看，今日上榜营业部中，第一大买入营业部为中国国际金融股份有限公司北京建国门外大街证券 营业部，买入金额为175.54万元，第一大卖出营业部为方正证券股份有限公司昆明西昌路证券营业部， 卖出金额为538.21万元。 资金流向方面，今日该股主力资金净流出1693.62万元，其中，特大单净流出453.86万元，大单资金净流 出1239.76万元。近5日主力资金净流出2861.60万元。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 10月28日公司发布的三季报数据显示，前三季度公司共实现营业收入10.58亿元，同比增长86.36%，实 现净利润-1847.44万元。（数据宝） 哈森股份12月15日交易公 ...

各位投资者，大家好。 涨跌停板数据，不仅是反映板块和个股强弱的重要指标，更是体现市场情绪与资金流向的重要参考。那 么，今日的涨停个股有哪些特点呢？哪些涨停股又值得重点关注？ 今日，上证指数收盘下跌0.55%，深证成指下跌1.10%，沪深A股涨跌幅的中位数为下跌0.27%。 涨停板方面，今日市场资金打板情绪有所消退。航天板块则延续涨停热度，有9只航天概念股涨停，涨 停数量位居前列。主力资金净流入金额排名前5的涨停股中，有4只属于航天板块。不过，今日涨停最多 的是大消费板块，有18只个股涨停，涨停人气明显增加。 消息面上，12月14日，商务部办公厅、中国人民银行办公厅、金融监管总局办公厅联合印发《关于加强 商务和金融协同更大力度提振消费的通知》，指导地方相关部门和金融机构加强协同，精准施策推动惠 民生和促消费紧密结合，形成提振和扩大消费的更大工作合力。 12月15日，国家统计局发布的数据显示，今年1月份至11月份，社会消费品零售总额456067亿元，同比 增长4.0%。其中，除汽车以外的消费品零售额411637亿元，同比增长4.6%。 一、市场总览及板块特征 从概念特征来看，今日涨停板个股中，大消费、航天、智能电 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the cotton futures market was in a bottom - building phase, with the annual trend mainly influenced by Sino - US trade relations, a significant decline in imports, and a notable increase in Xinjiang's cotton production. The price reached a low due to Sino - US trade tensions, rose due to supply concerns from import decline, and then fell back due to higher - than - expected new cotton production [1]. - In 2026, whether cotton prices continue to build the bottom or rebound depends on supply - side drivers. There is a risk of reduced planting globally, and the price is expected to move upward. The operating range of the cotton 2601 contract is expected to be 13200 - 14000, and that of the 2605 contract is estimated to be 13400 - 14500. It is recommended to focus on buying opportunities at low prices, and downstream industrial customers can consider buying hedging opportunities at the lower end of the range [2][127]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Long - term Cotton Trends and 2025 Market Review 3.1.1 Long - term Historical Review - Since the listing of Zhengzhou cotton futures in 2004, its price has fluctuated greatly, with a historical low of around 9800 and a high of 34870. The price is affected by economic cycles, weather, and policies. The long - term trend can be divided into ten stages, including supply - demand balance, bull and bear markets, and periods affected by events such as the European debt crisis, Sino - US trade frictions, and weather disturbances [11]. 3.1.2 2025 Futures Market Summary - In 2025, domestic cotton futures showed a typical range - bound pattern. From January to April, the price declined due to unmet demand expectations and Sino - US trade frictions. From May to August, it rose due to supply concerns and eased trade relations. From September to November, it fell back as new cotton production pressure emerged [20][21]. 3.1.3 2025 Spot Market Summary - In 2025, the domestic cotton spot market showed a pattern of "range - bound with a slight shift in the center of gravity." The annual average price of 3128B cotton was 14791 yuan/ton, slightly up from the beginning of the year but down year - on - year. The price declined from January to April due to trade frictions, rose from May to July due to improved expectations and supply concerns, and fell again from August to November due to new cotton production expectations and weak demand [22][23]. 3.1.4 Futures Trading Volume and Open Interest - In 2025, the trading volume and turnover of cotton futures decreased. From January to October, the cumulative trading volume was 61340818 lots, a 24.41% year - on - year decline, and the cumulative turnover was 41646 billion yuan, a 31.3% year - on - year decline. The open interest was relatively stable, with a slight increase in October. As of the end of October, the open interest was 918452 lots, higher than the same period last year [25]. 3.2 Global Cotton Market Fundamental Analysis 3.2.1 Global Cotton Supply Market Analysis - **2025/26 Annual Global Cotton Production Growth**: In 2025/26, global cotton production is expected to reach 120 million bales (about 26.13 million tons), a 0.67% year - on - year increase. The growth mainly comes from Brazil and China, while the production of other major cotton - producing countries such as the US and India is flat or slightly declining. The final output of Australia is the main uncertainty [32][33]. - **2026/27 Annual Global Cotton Production Forecast**: In 2026/27, global cotton planting enthusiasm is generally expected to be average, and the area expansion motivation is limited. The core variable of future production will focus on yield performance. Brazil's production is expected to be stable but slightly decreased [38][39]. 3.2.2 Global Cotton Demand Market Analysis - **2026/27 Global Economic Growth Forecast**: The global economic growth is expected to slow down in 2026. Although the growth in 2025 was slightly higher than expected, factors such as high tariffs, public debt, and geopolitical tensions pose threats to the global economy in 2026 [46]. - **Textile and Apparel Markets in Developed Countries**: In 2025, the US textile and apparel market showed some resilience, with moderate growth in consumption and imports. The EU market had strong import growth, and the Japanese market had a moderate increase in both volume and value. However, in 2026, high tariffs will pose challenges to the US consumer market [47][52][55]. - **Asian Textile Markets**: In 2025, India's clothing exports increased by diversifying markets, Bangladesh's exports were stable but faced some challenges, and Vietnam's textile industry had a complex situation of "upstream production increase, downstream production decrease, and export value increase" [57][60][62]. 3.2.3 Performance of US Cotton Prices during the Fed's Interest - Rate Cut Cycle - Since 2000, during the Fed's four major interest - rate cut cycles, the impact of interest - rate cuts on US cotton prices was limited. Cotton prices are mainly determined by supply - demand fundamentals, and macro - monetary policies only have an indirect impact [67][69]. 3.2.4 US Cotton Futures Prices Continue to Build the Bottom - In 2026, the pressure on the global cotton supply side will weaken. The planting enthusiasm for global cotton is decreasing, and the US cotton price has fallen below the production cost line. The demand side has high uncertainty due to economic growth slowdown and trade policies. The trend of US cotton futures prices in 2026 will focus on "bottom - building," and weather conditions will be the key factor [72][74]. 3.3 Domestic Cotton Market Fundamental Analysis 3.3.1 Domestic Cotton Supply Situation Analysis - **This Year's Production Expansion and Next Year's Policy Impact**: This year, domestic cotton production has significantly increased, mainly due to the expansion of planting area. Next year, the planting area is expected to remain stable. The key factors affecting production will be policies and weather [75][78]. - **2025/26 Import Volume Forecast**: In 2025, China's cotton imports decreased significantly. In 2026, the import volume is expected to remain low, with the estimated range between 1.1 million and 1.4 million tons [81][83]. 3.3.2 Domestic Cotton Demand Situation Analysis - **2025 Textile Industry Performance**: In 2025, the Chinese textile industry showed a trend of "stable production but reduced profits." The production was stable, but the profit margin shrank due to weak market demand and high costs [87][92]. - **2025 Domestic Sales Market**: In 2025, the domestic textile and apparel sales market was "stable in retail but under pressure in profits." The retail sales increased moderately, but the production enterprises faced operational pressure. In 2026, the market is expected to run smoothly under policy support [98][100]. - **2025 Textile and Apparel Exports**: In 2025, textile and apparel exports were under pressure due to factors such as global economic slowdown and US tariff policies. In 2026, the export situation will still be challenging, although the tariff advantage of Southeast Asian countries to the US is narrowing [103][105]. - **Substitution Competition of Polyester Staple Fiber and Viscose Staple Fiber**: The substitution competition between polyester staple fiber, viscose staple fiber, and cotton is still strong. In 2026, the substitution pressure is expected to continue, and the price difference between cotton and chemical fibers will be the key factor [110][111]. 3.3.3 Domestic Cotton Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - In the 2025/26 period, the domestic cotton market is expected to maintain a general supply - demand balance, with a slight increase in total supply and a slight decrease in consumption, resulting in a small inventory accumulation [112]. 3.4 Arbitrage Opportunity Analysis - It is recommended to focus on short - selling opportunities for the 5 - 9 spread. Based on the expected decline in imports, the support for the far - month price is gradually strengthening [116]. 3.5 Seasonal Analysis - According to the seasonal chart of the cotton futures index, the probability of price increases is relatively high in April and December, and the probability of price declines is relatively high in February and May [121]. 3.6 Cotton Market Viewpoint Summary and Operation Suggestions - In 2026, the supply side pressure is not significant, and the focus is on processing rhythm, planting area and yield expectations, and import market changes. The demand side faces challenges, mainly from the export market and substitution pressure. The price trend depends on supply - side drivers, and it is recommended to focus on buying opportunities at low prices [124][127]. 3.7 Cotton Option Market Analysis and Operation Strategies - For upstream enterprises, it is recommended to sell out - of - the - money call options. For downstream enterprises, it is recommended to sell out - of - the - money put options. For speculators, it is recommended to sell a wide - straddle combination strategy [134]. 3.8 Related Stock Price Changes - The report lists the price changes of some cotton - related stocks from January 2, 2025, to December 12, 2025, with different stocks showing varying degrees of increase or decrease [136].

Core Viewpoint - The sportswear sector is experiencing a collective rise in stock prices, driven by improved export conditions and positive market sentiment towards key players in the industry [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (00551) increased by 4.46%, reaching HKD 17.35 [1] - Li Ning (02331) rose by 4.58%, trading at HKD 18.49 [1] - 361 Degrees (01361) saw a 3.07% increase, priced at HKD 6.05 [1] - Xtep International (01368) gained 2.98%, with a share price of HKD 5.53 [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - Shenwan Hongyuan reported that the optimization of China-US tariff policies has led to a month-on-month improvement in textile and apparel exports in November, boosting the overall export chain's performance [1] - Recent revenue tracking for November shows that Feng Tai, Yue Yuen (footwear business), and Ju Yang experienced year-on-year revenue changes of -11.8%, -2.4%, and +0.5% respectively, with Yue Yuen and Ju Yang showing month-on-month improvements [1] - The report highlights ongoing optimism regarding the recovery of the Nike supply chain, presenting opportunities in the sports manufacturing sector [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Guosheng Securities emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-quality stocks with stable growth or reversal potential in the branded apparel sector [1] - The report recommends Tmall, a Nike retailer in Greater China, as a key player with reversal potential [1] - It also highlights the resilience of the sports footwear and apparel sector amid market volatility, recommending quality stocks such as Anta Sports and Li Ning for long-term growth [1]

纺织服饰 行 业 研 究 2025 年 12 月 14 日 朱本伦 A0230125090001 zhubl@swsresearch.com 寒潮催化下看好波司登，Nike 修复看好运动制造 中性 ——纺织服装行业周报 20251214 相关研究 《Nike 调整架构以贴近市场，看好运动产 业链机会——纺织服装行业周报 20251207》 2025/12/07 《 本周重磅发布策略报告，挖掘新消费、 看好全球制造——纺织服装行业周报 20251123》 2025/11/23 证券分析师 王立平 A0230511040052 wanglp@swsresearch.com 求佳峰 A0230523060001 qiujf@swsresearch.com 刘佩 A0230523070002 liupei@swsresearch.com 研究支持 朱本伦 A0230125090001 zhubl@swsresearch.com 联系人 本期投资提示： 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 业 及 产 业 / 行 业 ⚫ 本周纺织 ...

对于终止本次重大资产重组的原因，*ST步森表示，未能就交易价格、交易方案等相关核心条款达成一 致。为切实维护各方及公司股东利益，经公司充分审慎研究及与相关交易方友好协商，同意终止本次重 大资产重组事项。 *ST步森表示，本次终止的重大资产重组事项尚处于筹划阶段，截至公告披露之日，交易各方未就具体 方案最终达成实质性协议。终止本次交易是公司与各方充分沟通、审慎分析和友好协商后做出的决定， 各方对终止本次交易无需承担任何违约责任。终止本次重大资产重组不会对公司现有生产经营活动、财 务状况和战略发展造成重大不利影响，不存在损害公司及全体股东尤其是中小股东利益的情形。 公告显示，*ST步森原筹划以现金方式向南通二纺机出售陕西步森35%的股权，本次交易完成后，公司 将不再持有陕西步森任何股权。经初步测算，本次交易预计构成《上市公司重大资产重组管理办法》规 定的重大资产重组。本次交易不涉及公司发行股份，不构成重组上市，亦不会导致公司控制权的变更。 北京商报讯（记者 马换换 王蔓蕾）A股又一重大资产重组事项宣布终止。12月13日，*ST步森 （002569）披露公告称，公司终止筹划重大资产重组。 ...

Consumption - Overall commodity consumption is weak, with automotive sales declining and high-end liquor prices continuing to fall[1] - Seasonal recovery in textile and apparel demand is insufficient compared to the same period last year[1] - Service consumption shows stable population movement, with Shanghai's amusement consumption performing well in the off-season[1] Investment - Investment remains weak, with infrastructure construction slowing down and new home transactions marginally declining[1] - The area of new homes sold in 30 cities continues to decrease, with a slight narrowing of the year-on-year decline[14] - The proportion of second-hand home transactions has increased to 65.94%[14] Production - Production is expected to improve mainly due to year-end rush work, with coal inventory at ports continuing seasonal replenishment[1] - The operating rate of asphalt has slightly decreased to 27.8%, remaining at historical lows[14] - The operating rate of carbonates has increased, but remains at a relatively low level compared to the same period last year[23] Trade - The number of ships departing from ports has shown seasonal recovery, with domestic and international freight rates continuing to diverge due to demand differences[1] - Export value has increased, with a year-on-year growth rate of 17.3%[20] Prices - Industrial product prices have declined, with the PPI dropping by 0.97%[33] - CPI growth rate has decreased by 0.02 percentage points, with significant price increases in food and healthcare services[33] Liquidity - The US dollar index has fallen by 58 basis points to 98.4, influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts[36] - The central bank's net currency injection was 4.7 billion yuan in the week of December 13[36]