凤凰网财经讯 12月29日，三大指数开盘涨跌不一，沪指高开0.02%，深成指几乎平开，创业板指低开 0.19%，有色金属、风电、贵金属等板块指数涨幅居前，造纸、医药商业、酒店餐饮等板块指数跌幅居 前。 机构观点： 华泰证券：A股短期或仍偏震荡 华泰证券研报表示，上周A股市场"八连阳"收涨，接近11月中旬高点，红包行情能否持续是投资者关注 的重点之一。我们认为目前虽然海外环境相比11月中旬已有一定改善，但考虑到市场仍处于政策和业绩 的真空期、各类资金尚未形成合力，短期A股或仍偏震荡，但逆势资金流入下，A股在12月中旬点位或 具备一定支撑。向后看，险资等配置意愿存在回升动力，春季行情仍具备一定基础，关注1月中旬年报 预告披露及1月可能的降准催化。配置侧，建议继续布局春季行情，在关注电池、部分化工品、军工、 大众消费等景气改善方向的基础上，在主题内部做高切低，挖掘具备涨价及政策逻辑中的低位方向。 中信证券研报表示，近期头部酒企陆续召开重要会议，传递调整、改革、渠道再平衡决心，有利于行业 长期健康发展。今年四季度以来，白酒头部企业均采取持续控制发货、为经销商减负、促进开瓶动销等 措施，以降低渠道库存。综合考虑到动销已 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights that Jinma Amusement has achieved significant performance growth through technological breakthroughs and a comprehensive industry chain layout, covering 13 categories of large amusement facilities and 8 series of virtual immersive projects, with exports to nearly 50 countries [1][2][14] - The amusement equipment industry in China is undergoing structural upgrades driven by policy support and market demand, with the global theme park market expected to reach USD 55.9 billion in 2024, growing by 8.21% year-on-year, indicating a strong recovery trend [2][14] - Jinma Amusement is positioned as a benchmark enterprise in the industry, holding over 240 authorized patents and participating in the formulation of 26 industry standards, while continuously enhancing its R&D capabilities and accelerating the application of AI and robotics in the cultural tourism sector [2][14] Group 2 - The company has a broad customer network, deeply binding with leading domestic theme park groups and entering high-end markets in Europe and the "Belt and Road" emerging markets, with new orders expected to grow by over 40% year-on-year in 2024 [3][14] - Jinma Amusement's strategic investment in Shanghai Matrix Super Intelligence aims to promote the implementation of cultural tourism robotics, establishing a joint venture to create a digital service ecosystem [3][14] - The report projects Jinma Amusement's net profit attributable to shareholders to be CNY 1.09 billion, CNY 2.07 billion, and CNY 3.46 billion for 2025-2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 83, 44, and 26 times, respectively, and assigns a target price of CNY 81.16, indicating a potential upside of 40.7% from the current stock price [3][14]

Group 1 - The report highlights the launch of the domestic AI WanKa super cluster, which integrates computing, networking, and storage, achieving innovative breakthroughs [3][4] - The scaleX WanKa super cluster features a world-first single cabinet-level 640-card super node, capable of deploying 10,240 AI accelerator cards with a total computing power exceeding 5 EFlops [4][5] - The report emphasizes the company's strong ecosystem advantages in the global computing field, with the scaleX640 super cluster showcasing its long-term expertise in high-performance computing [5][6] Group 2 - The automotive sector is expected to experience structural opportunities despite overall market pressures, with a focus on high-end vehicle segments and electric trucks [11][12] - The report forecasts a stable end to 2025 for the automotive market, with a potential decline in passenger vehicle sales in 2026, but an increase in the high-end market share [12][13] - The report identifies opportunities in the intelligent driving sector, with advancements in high-level autonomous driving and the commercialization of robotaxis expected to drive growth [14][15] Group 3 - The lithium battery materials market is anticipated to recover in pricing, with sodium battery development expected to accelerate, driven by technological advancements and market demand [18][22] - The report notes a significant increase in prices across the photovoltaic industry, indicating a positive trend for profitability in 2026 [18][19] - The sodium battery industry is entering a critical phase of commercialization, with applications in energy storage and electric vehicles expected to expand [23][24] Group 4 - The report discusses the integration of cloud technology and robotics, with companies like Yunshen Technology initiating listing guidance and forming joint ventures to enhance their market presence [26][36] - The human-robot collaboration sector is highlighted as a growing investment opportunity, with significant advancements in humanoid robots and their applications expected in the near future [37][38] - The report emphasizes the importance of strategic partnerships and technological innovations in driving the growth of the robotics industry [36][37]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The solar industry is currently experiencing a reversal of "involution," aimed at avoiding price competition and achieving reasonable profitability, which is driving a comprehensive price recovery across the industry chain [1][2] - Despite a potential temporary decline in global solar installations in 2026, multiple factors such as AI and IDC electricity demand, overseas power shortages, and domestic policy expectations may support overall demand, potentially exceeding market expectations [1][3] Core Insights and Arguments - Recent price increases in the solar sector are primarily driven by the reversal of involution, which is expected to gradually expand profitability across various segments of the industry [2] - The sixth round of power transmission and distribution bidding is progressing steadily, with a total bid amount of approximately 13 billion RMB, indicating ongoing development in ultra-high voltage distribution network renovations [3][10] - The solar industry chain's value recovery presents certain investment opportunities, with the main industry chain's price-to-book ratio currently at a low level, indicating potential for systematic value reconstruction [4] Key Companies to Watch - Recommended companies in the solar sector include Tongwei Co., GCL-Poly Energy, LONGi Green Energy, Tianhe Energy, JA Solar, JinkoSolar, Daqo New Energy, and GCL New Energy, all of which possess strong competitiveness and growth potential within the main industry chain [5] Data Center Developments - The recent release of H200 chip supply is expected to significantly drive domestic AIGC (Artificial Intelligence Generated Content) construction, supported by government policies aimed at enhancing computing power [6] - Companies such as Zhongheng Electric, Shenghong Co., Magpow and Oulu Tong are highlighted for their advantageous positions in HVDC and server power supply sectors [6] Lithium Battery Materials - The lithium battery materials segment is experiencing price recovery due to supply-demand dynamics, with advancements in solid-state battery materials and new equipment such as sulfide electrolytes and voltage devices [7] - Companies to focus on include Xiapu New Energy, Zhongyi Technology, and equipment providers like Lacnor and Xian Dao Intelligent, as well as traditional material companies like Enjie [7] Energy Storage Sector - There is a high and reasonable market expectation for future large-scale energy storage demand, particularly for AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) applications, which can enhance power supply stability and emergency response [8] - Companies such as Sungrow Power, Canadian Solar, and De Ye Co. are noted for their strong development potential in the energy storage field [8] Wind Power Industry - The wind power sector saw a 110% year-on-year increase in installations in November, benefiting from strong installation expectations as the 14th Five-Year Plan concludes [9] - Companies to watch include Goldwind Technology, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Yunda Co., with additional opportunities in overseas markets for companies like Dayin Heavy Industry and Zhenjiang Co. [9] Grid Investment Dynamics - The ongoing sixth round of power transmission and distribution bidding, with a total bid amount of approximately 13 billion RMB, indicates a steady development trajectory for ultra-high voltage distribution network renovations [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power equipment and new energy industry [1]. Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry chain is experiencing a price increase trend, while the price competition for lithium battery materials is intensifying [1]. - In the fourth quarter, which is the peak sales season for new energy vehicles, domestic sales of new energy vehicles are expected to maintain high growth in 2025, driving demand for batteries and materials [1]. - The solid-state battery industrialization is progressing, and attention should be paid to the verification progress of related materials and equipment companies [1]. - The report emphasizes a "de-involution" strategy as the main investment theme for photovoltaics, with the integration and acquisition of polysilicon production capacity becoming more proactive [1]. - The demand for wind power is expected to continue growing, with a focus on wind turbines and offshore wind power [1]. - The energy storage sector remains highly prosperous, with recommendations to focus on energy storage cells and large-scale integrated plants [1]. - Hydrogen energy is anticipated to open up demand for green hydrogen, with a focus on downstream hydrogen-based energy applications [1]. - The report suggests monitoring core suppliers in the nuclear fusion sector as it represents a long-term catalytic direction for future energy development [1]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The power equipment and new energy sector rose by 5.37% this week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.88% [10]. - The wind power sector saw the highest increase at 7.14%, followed by the photovoltaic sector at 6.56% [13]. Lithium Battery Market - The price of lithium carbonate has continued to rise, with battery-grade lithium carbonate priced at approximately 98,000 RMB per ton, reflecting an 8% increase [25]. - The price of lithium iron phosphate battery cells has also seen an upward trend, with prices for various models ranging from 0.285 to 0.425 RMB per watt-hour [26]. Photovoltaic Market - The price of polysilicon remains stable, with tight supply and weak downstream demand affecting price transmission [15]. - The price of silicon wafers has shown a significant increase, driven by rising silver prices and industry self-discipline [16]. - The price of battery cells has increased to 0.34 RMB per watt, with manufacturers actively raising prices due to cost pressures [17]. Energy Storage Market - The price of energy storage systems has rebounded, with prices for various configurations ranging from 0.40 to 0.82 RMB per watt-hour [27]. - The demand for energy storage remains strong, particularly in overseas markets, contributing to price stability [26].

入冬以来，全国能源保供工作进入关键期。面对迎峰度冬考验，中央企业积极研究部署，压紧压实责 任，切实发挥好"顶梁柱"和主力军作用，煤炭、天然气等传统能源稳产增供，风电、光伏等可再生能源 项目有序投产，全国电网高效运转，保障群众温暖度冬和经济平稳运行。 核能供暖是近年来冬季能源保供工作一大亮点。11月15日，由国家电投集团实施的"暖核一号"(荣成)核 能供热项目正式向山东荣成市区供热。荣成成为继海阳、乳山之后，山东省第三个感受到"暖核一号"温 暖的城市。 "我们克服了离岸距离远、施工窗口期短、海上作业难度大等多重挑战，从首台风机起吊到98台机组全 部吊装完成仅用时半年，从全面开工到全容量并网历时不足10个月，为后续深远海风电项目开发提供了 可复制、可推广的技术路径与工程经验。"三峡集团江苏分公司盐城公司负责人刘宇说。 电力发得出，还要送得走。12月15日，长三角重要能源枢纽变电站——江苏苏州500千伏车坊变电站超 规模扩建工程顺利送电。这是江苏2025年首个投运的500千伏迎峰度冬电网重点工程，将为江苏冬季用 电再添坚强保障。 "工程完成增容后，新增变电容量100万千伏安，将提升苏州地区年供电87.6亿千瓦时，相 ...

如今，我国已向全球提供约70%的风电设备，近10年来推动全球风电成本下降超过60%。在风能资源较 好地区，陆上风电度电成本降至0.1—0.15元，近海海上风电平均度电成本降至约0.33元，风电已成为具 备市场竞争力的电源类型。 国家能源局有关负责人表示，"十五五"时期，将统筹非化石能源基地建设和分布式发展，建设"三北"风 电光伏基地、西南水风光一体化基地、沿海核电与海上风电基地，大力发展分布式能源。推动风电、光 伏发电更大规模平稳发展，持续提高新能源供给比重。 本报北京12月28日电（记者丁怡婷）国家能源局近日发布的数据显示，截至11月底，全国累计发电装机 容量37.9亿千瓦，同比增长17.1%。其中，太阳能发电装机容量11.6亿千瓦，同比增长41.9%；风电装机 容量突破6亿千瓦，同比增长22.4%。 6亿千瓦，相当于超26个三峡电站的总装机。2025年，风电行业持续刷新纪录，全球最大26兆瓦级海上 风电机组、全球在运海拔最高风电项目、我国离岸距离最远海上风电项目等陆续并网。借助产业链创 新，风电应用场景日益丰富，能够满足沙漠、海洋、低温、高海拔、低风速等各种开发需求。 ...

在经历一段时间的调整后，新能源主题基金的业绩显著回暖。Choice数据显示，近一年新能源主题基金 平均净值上涨41.33%，多只产品涨幅超过60%。站在新一轮景气周期的起点，基金经理普遍看好储能、 风电等细分领域的结构性机会，并建议以长周期视角布局具备核心竞争力的龙头企业，同时关注供需面 临拐点的关键材料环节。（上证报） MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ ...

Overall Viewpoint - The AIDC power/storage sector is experiencing a positive outlook, with North American AI chain focusing on light modules, liquid cooling, AIDC power, and AI storage. Recent developments in liquid cooling have opened up new opportunities for AIDC power overseas orders, and the 26H2 HVDC technology solution is expected to see increased volume. Collaboration related to SST is also anticipated to yield results. The overseas energy storage market remains robust, with the logic of electricity shortages in the U.S. unchanged, and a temporary easing of U.S.-China relations. The market is currently less sensitive to BBB and 301-related legislation, warranting continued attention to AIDC power and overseas storage sectors [4]. Group 1: AIDC Power/Storage - The North American AI chain is prioritizing light modules, liquid cooling, AIDC power, and AI storage, with liquid cooling trends enhancing the potential for AIDC power overseas orders [4]. - The 26H2 HVDC technology solution is expected to facilitate increased production, while SST-related collaborations are projected to gradually materialize [4]. - The overseas energy storage market remains favorable, with the U.S. electricity shortage logic still intact, and a temporary thaw in U.S.-China relations [4]. Group 2: Lithium Battery - Recent environmental assessments for the Jiangxia lithium mine and Tianqi Lithium's decision to not use SMM pricing have influenced the market, with several lithium iron phosphate companies announcing production cuts to strengthen pricing negotiations [4]. - Changes in the supply side of lithium carbonate and the "anti-involution" logic are enhancing price support expectations, leading to a recovery in the lithium battery sector during the spring market [4]. - The investment hierarchy for lithium battery materials is as follows: lithium carbonate > lithium hexafluorophosphate > aluminum foil > separator > copper foil > anode [4]. Group 3: Hydrogen Ammonia and Wind Power - During the 14th Five-Year Plan, hydrogen ammonia is viewed as a significant direction for new energy consumption and non-electric applications, supported by future industry prospects and the EU carbon tariff in 2026 [5]. - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes the potential for coordinated, large-scale, and advanced construction of hydrogen ammonia projects [5]. - Although Goldwind Technology's stock has surged due to commercial aerospace trends, market expectations for hydrogen ammonia remain relatively low, indicating a need for continued focus [5].

Group 1 - The national energy supply work has entered a critical period as winter approaches, with central enterprises actively deploying responsibilities to ensure stable production and supply of traditional energy sources like coal and natural gas, as well as orderly production of renewable energy projects such as wind and solar power [1] - The State Energy Group prioritizes maintaining stable coal production, enhancing resource organization, and increasing external procurement and reserves, with a focus on meeting the requirement of "dynamic clearance of coal storage below 15 days" [1] - Huaren Power has increased its procurement of quality coal and optimized its coal procurement channels, with current coal inventory reaching 11.09 million tons, providing sufficient fuel support for power generation [1] Group 2 - The offshore wind power project in Jiangsu, with a capacity of 800 MW, has achieved full capacity grid connection, expected to meet the daily electricity needs of 1.4 million households and save approximately 860,000 tons of standard coal [2] - The Jiangsu Suzhou 500 kV substation expansion project has successfully commenced operation, enhancing the annual power supply by 8.76 billion kWh, equivalent to the annual electricity consumption of nearly 3 million households [3] - The National Energy Administration reports that investment in key energy projects is expected to reach 3.54 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11%, with strong investments in nuclear power, onshore wind, distributed solar, and grid infrastructure [4]