Group 1 - The core point of the article is that COFCO Group's subsidiary, Joy City Property, has received shareholder approval for its privatization plan, marking the end of its 12-year listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, reflecting significant changes in the capital market and the real estate industry during a period of cyclical adjustment [2][4] - Joy City Property's development trajectory is closely linked to the golden period of China's commercial real estate, having been established in 1992 and listed in 2013, during which it became a benchmark enterprise in the sector with strong rental income growth [2][3] - The "A-share red-chip" structure, initiated in 2019, aimed to leverage both A-share and Hong Kong markets for efficient resource allocation, but failed to deliver expected financing synergies, leading to increased operational complexity and costs [3][4] Group 2 - The decision to privatize was driven by significant operational pressures, with cumulative losses exceeding 7 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, and negative cash flow for two consecutive years, making the Hong Kong listing a financial burden [4][8] - The privatization is seen as a strategic move to streamline decision-making and enhance operational efficiency, allowing the company to focus on its core business areas [4][5] - The capital market responded positively to the privatization news, with a 45.95% increase in stock price following the announcement, indicating investor optimism regarding asset integration and strategic development [8][9] Group 3 - The trend of privatization among real estate companies is increasing, with 23 listed firms exiting the capital market in the past three years, reflecting a shift from high-leverage growth models to a focus on quality development [8][9] - Analysts suggest that while the industry is undergoing a transformation, it does not signify a decline but rather a rationalization and structural optimization, with strong companies likely to gain competitive advantages [9][10] - For companies like Joy City, with a strong state-owned background and quality asset reserves, privatization may open new growth opportunities during the industry's high-quality development phase [10]

然而，理想与现实之间存在显著差距，中粮集团希望借此打通境内外融资通道的初衷未能如愿奏效。一方面，港股市场对内地商业地产企业的估值偏低，大 悦城地产股价长期徘徊在净资产下方，估值优势难以体现，再融资能力受到严重制约。另一方面，A股市场的大悦城控股同样面临经营压力，受房地产行业 整体下行、销售端承压以及资产减值等因素影响，公司连年陷入亏损境地，未能形成有效的盈利支撑。双重市场压力下，"A控红筹"架构不仅未能发挥预期 的融资协同效应，反而增加了企业治理的复杂性与运营成本。 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 转自：新华财经 新华财经上海11月18日电（谈瑞）11月17日，中粮集团旗下大悦城地产（00207.HK）宣布私有化决议案获计划股东通过，其在香港联交所的上市地位预计 将于11月27日正式撤销，标志着这家央企商业地产巨头12年的上市历程即将画上句号。在房地产行业周期性调整的背景下，这一举措不仅是企业应对经营压 力的现实选择，更是行业转型期房企战略重构的典型样本，折射出资本市场与房地产行业生态的深刻变化。 回溯其资本市场进程，作为中粮集团旗下核心的商业地产平台，大悦城地产的发展轨迹与中国商业地产的黄 ...

Core Insights - The commercial real estate investment in the Asia-Pacific region reached $39.5 billion in Q3, marking a 2% year-on-year increase and a significant 26% quarter-on-quarter rise [1] - Year-to-date total investment amounts to $106.6 billion, an 11% increase compared to the same period last year [1] - The market is experiencing a slow recovery amid fluctuating interest rates and ongoing geopolitical risks [1] Investment Performance by Sector - In Hong Kong, commercial real estate investment totaled approximately $1.2 billion in Q3, a 10% year-on-year decline, but cumulative transactions for the year reached $3.7 billion, an 18% increase [1] - Office assets in Hong Kong showed strong performance with Q3 transactions of about $460 million and year-to-date totals of approximately $1.8 billion, primarily driven by owner-occupier purchases [1] - Retail properties in Hong Kong recorded Q3 transactions of about $330 million, with year-to-date totals reaching $780 million [1] Market Trends and Investor Behavior - High returns and signs of stabilization in retail sales attracted long-term investors back to the market in Q3, although transactions were mainly dominated by local private investors [1] - In the industrial and logistics sector, Hong Kong's Q3 transactions amounted to approximately $230 million, with year-to-date totals of about $530 million [2] - The largest transaction in Q3 was the purchase of an industrial project by Jianhua Group for $95 million [2] Regional Highlights - India recorded a remarkable Q3 performance with $2.6 billion in transactions, a 511% year-on-year increase, and year-to-date totals of $4.7 billion, up 131% [2] - Japan led the Asia-Pacific commercial real estate market with Q3 investments of $10.3 billion, a 23% year-on-year increase, contributing to a year-to-date total of $31.6 billion [2] Cross-Border Investment Trends - Cross-border investment reached a historical high of $12 billion in Q3, a 60% year-on-year increase, with year-to-date totals rising 88% to $27.3 billion [3] - The residential market showed strong growth with Q3 transactions surging 304% to $5 billion, leading to a year-to-date total of $11 billion, up 137% [3] Private Wealth Investment - Private wealth investments increased by 35% year-on-year to $6 billion in Q3, with year-to-date totals rising 14% to $15.9 billion [4] - Australia and Japan accounted for nearly half of private wealth investment transactions, with Australia representing 26% and Japan slightly over 20% [4] - The participation of family offices in Australia has significantly increased, now accounting for 42% of national investors, up from 10% in 2020 [4]

Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes expanding domestic demand as a strategic foundation, focusing on improving people's livelihoods and promoting consumption, which presents new opportunities for retail real estate [2][3] - The commercial real estate sector is entering a phase of differentiation and revitalization, with some companies recovering investment activities despite facing revenue challenges [2][3] - The demand for experiential consumption is increasing, indicating a shift in consumer preferences that retail commercial real estate must adapt to [3][4] Group 1: Market Trends - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 36.5877 trillion yuan from January to September 2025, with a growth rate of 4.46% [3] - During the recent 8-day National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, domestic travel reached 888 million people, an increase of 123 million compared to the previous year, with total spending of 809 billion yuan, up 108.2 billion yuan [3] - The commercial real estate development investment is still facing growth challenges, with large enterprises capturing market share but struggling for continuous revenue growth, while small and medium-sized enterprises face operational difficulties [3][5] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - The middle-aged and elderly population, along with young consumers, are identified as key demographics with significant spending potential [4] - The middle-class consumer group is experiencing structural shifts, leading to a complex consumption mindset characterized by a desire for diverse products and services [4] - Companies are adopting strategies that integrate social media and personalized services to enhance customer engagement and attract consumers [4][5] Group 3: Business Strategies - Companies are focusing on optimizing existing assets and exploring new business models, such as the "light asset" approach to expand their market presence [5] - The competition in the commercial sector is intensifying, requiring businesses to innovate in content creation, unique experiences, and refined operations [5][6] - The overall short-term policy effects on consumption are becoming evident, although the recovery of investment remains slow, indicating a gradual restoration of market confidence [6]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of a strategic vision in commercial projects, contrasting it with the functional efficiency that has dominated the Chinese market for the past two decades [2][10][17] - It highlights that successful global commercial projects have a clear "existence declaration" that defines their identity and purpose, integrating cultural and social values into their offerings [1][3][11] Group 1: Strategic Vision vs. Functional Orientation - The shift from "functional orientation" to "strategic vision" is a critical evolution in commercial development, where projects must transcend mere operational efficiency to become cultural nodes within urban narratives [2][3] - Global benchmarks like ICONSIAM and Tokyo's Azabudai Hill exemplify how commercial spaces can embody cultural confidence and societal values, while many Chinese projects remain trapped in a functional logic [1][3][4] Group 2: Stages of Commercial Evolution - The evolution of Chinese commercial spaces can be categorized into five stages, from physical space to social and meaning spaces, reflecting a historical context for the absence of a strategic vision [5][6][9] - The fifth stage emphasizes the role of commercial entities as cultural representatives and public spaces, necessitating a shift in focus from mere profitability to cultural and social responsibilities [9][10] Group 3: The Necessity of Vision in Modern Commerce - The article argues that modern consumers, particularly younger generations, prioritize spaces that offer emotional value and meaningful experiences over mere transactional interactions [12][14] - A clear vision is essential for differentiating commercial spaces in a saturated market, as it provides a foundational narrative that resonates with consumers [12][13][14] Group 4: Building an Effective Strategic Vision - An effective strategic vision must possess directionality, integrative qualities, and the ability to attract like-minded users and partners, serving as a guiding principle for all operational aspects [15][16] - The vision should not be a superficial slogan but a core element that influences resource allocation, experience design, and community engagement [15][16] Group 5: Conclusion - The article concludes that for Chinese commercial entities to compete on a global scale, they must transition from a strategy-focused approach to one that emphasizes a meaningful strategic vision, addressing the scarcity of meaning in a market saturated with products [17]

人民财讯11月18日电，中金发布商业地产2026年展望，认为以可持续的商业地产租金收入利润为主体的 个股仍然是兼备成长性和股息率的优质绝对收益型选项，中金判断相关股票在2026年起的2—3年维度有 望实现5%—10%的可派息租赁利润增长，同时提供5%—6%的股息收益回报。开发业务体量占比仍较大 的综合型房企股价则在短周期维度更多取决于开发逻辑；长周期资产价值视角下，部分个股体内商业资 产价值相对于REITs和一级市场仍有一定重估空间。 ...

中金研究 我们认为以可持续的商业地产租金收入利润为主体的个股仍然是兼备成长性和股息率的优质绝对收益型选项，我们判断相关股票在2026年起的2-3年维 度有望实现5-10%的可派息租赁利润增长、同时提供5-6%的股息收益回报。开发业务体量占比仍较大的综合型房企股价则在短周期维度更多取决于开 发逻辑；长周期资产价值视角下，部分个股体内商业资产价值相对于REITs和一级市场仍有一定重估空间。 点击小程序查看报告原文 Abstract 摘要 稳定宏观环境提供良好经营基础，市场份额持续头部集中。 我们认为提振消费将是宏观中长期维度的政策重点之一，为购物中心经营提供良好的环境基 础；渠道方面，线下占比和购物中心整体份额相对稳定，其中后者约为社会零售总额的一成左右。行业内部，我们认为头部集中趋势有望延续：一方面， 品牌和消费者两端的市场集聚将持续推动超额同店增长，存量组合中的新项目爬坡亦有望有所贡献；另一方面，集团资金实力与运营商专业能力亦推动头 部商管企业在管项目规模实现较同业更快的成长。 商管企业战略主旋律仍为深化运营，优质重奢场经营复苏有望延续。 我们认为购物中心运营商将在传统项目深化运营、新项目场景模式创新等方面不 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the real estate industry [8]. Core Insights - The downward slope of various real estate indicators has expanded in October, with significant pressure on sales expected to continue through November and December due to high base effects. The need for further loosening of industrial policies has become increasingly evident as the pressure on both volume and price has intensified throughout the year [2][11]. - The report suggests that the most challenging phase may be nearing its end, with expectations of continued double-digit declines in construction and investment for 2025. However, sales performance will largely depend on the effectiveness of subsequent policy measures [11][12]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In the first ten months of 2025, national commodity housing sales value and area decreased by 9.6% and 6.8% year-on-year, respectively. In October alone, sales value and area fell by 24.3% and 18.8% year-on-year, indicating a significant contraction influenced by high base effects [11][12]. - The average selling price of new homes in October was 9,722 yuan per square meter, down 6.9% year-on-year, while the average price for residential properties was 10,286 yuan per square meter, down 6.2% year-on-year [12]. Construction Activity - New construction area in the first ten months of 2025 decreased by 19.8% year-on-year, with a sharper decline of 29.5% in October. The report notes that the decline in construction is primarily due to sales expectations, inventory digestion cycles, and funding pressures [11][12]. - The completed construction area also saw a year-on-year decline of 16.9% in the first ten months, with a 28.2% drop in October, indicating a continued downward trend [11][12]. Financial Conditions - Funding for real estate companies decreased by 9.7% year-on-year in the first ten months, with a notable 21.9% decline in October. This includes a 6.7% drop in domestic loans and a 17.2% decrease in self-raised funds [11][12]. - Real estate development investment fell by 14.7% year-on-year in the first ten months, with a 23.0% decline in October, reflecting ongoing financial pressures on the sector [11][12]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality real estate companies with relatively low inventory pressure and strong product capabilities. It also suggests considering leading firms in commercial real estate, property management, and brokerage sectors for medium to long-term investment opportunities [2][11].

Core Viewpoint - Dalian City Real Estate is set to privatize, ending its listing journey that began in 2013, with the delisting expected on November 27, 2023 [2] Company Overview - Dalian City Real Estate, a commercial real estate platform under COFCO Group, manages 32 projects across five major city clusters in China, including first-tier city investment properties and luxury hotels [2] - The company is a consolidated subsidiary of Dalian City Holdings, which is listed on the A-share market [2] Privatization Details - The privatization resolution was approved by shareholders during a court meeting on November 17, 2023 [2] - The total cost for the share buyback is approximately HKD 29.32 billion [2] Shareholding Structure - Before the agreement, COFCO Group held 64.18% of shares, while after the privatization, its stake will increase to 96.13% [3] - This change indicates that Dalian City Holdings will have almost complete control over Dalian City Real Estate post-privatization [3] Financial Performance - Dalian City Holdings has reported continuous losses over the past three years, with losses of CNY 2.882 billion in 2022, CNY 1.465 billion in 2023, and an estimated CNY 2.977 billion in 2024, totaling over CNY 7 billion [4] - The company anticipates turning a profit by the first half of 2025, aided by the privatization [4] Industry Trends - The trend of privatization among real estate companies has been increasing, with several firms, including China Hongtai Development and Huafa Property, announcing similar moves [4][5] - Key reasons for privatization include insufficient stock liquidity, loss of financing capabilities, and the need for strategic flexibility amid a challenging market environment [5] - The real estate industry is undergoing significant adjustments, with expectations of continued consolidation and restructuring in the next 2-3 years [5]

Core Viewpoint - Dalian City Real Estate is set to privatize after being listed since 2013, with the decision approved by shareholders during a court meeting on November 17, 2023 [2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Dalian City Real Estate, a commercial real estate platform under COFCO Group, has established a presence in five major city clusters across China, managing 32 commercial projects and luxury hotels [3]. - The company plans to delist from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on November 27, 2023, following a share buyback agreement valued at approximately HKD 29.32 billion [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Dalian City Real Estate has faced significant losses over the past three years, with reported losses of CNY 2.882 billion in 2022, CNY 1.465 billion in 2023, and an estimated CNY 2.977 billion in 2024, totaling over CNY 7 billion [4]. - The company aims to achieve profitability by the first half of 2025, with the privatization expected to enhance its equity and improve net profit margins [4]. Group 3: Industry Context - The trend of privatization among real estate companies has been increasing, with several firms, including China Hongtai Development and Huafa Property, announcing similar plans in recent years [4][6]. - Key reasons for this trend include insufficient stock liquidity, loss of financing capabilities, and the need for strategic flexibility amid a challenging market environment [5][6].