21世纪经济报道 记者 崔文静 实习生 张长荣 北京报道 1月7日，21世纪经济报道记者从中信建投处了解到，其研究所所长武超则升任机构业务委员会主任。与 此同时，中信建投证券首席经济学家黄文涛代行研究发展部行政负责人职责。黄文涛或成为中信建投研 究业务新任负责人。 实际上，首席经济学家担任行政管理职务，正在成为新趋势。在中证协最新调整的首席经济学家（发展 战略）专业委员会中，已有约三分之一的首席经济学家同时担任研究所所长、副所长等管理职务，更有 部分人士晋升至副总裁等核心管理层。这一现象表明，首席经济学家的专业影响力正更多地向内部战略 与管理领域渗透。 与此同时，另一个趋势也日渐清晰：承担更多"股市叙事"功能，正在成为监管层对首席经济学家的新期 待。证监会主席吴清明确要求，首席经济学家"讲好中国股市叙事"。这意味着首席经济学家需更多发挥 智库功能，客观反映经济现实、传递正能量。 然而，将"讲好股市叙事"的智库功能落到实处，仍面临现实挑战。目前，券商对首席经济学家的考核普 遍仍与研究所的佣金收入紧密挂钩，这使得其服务于市场投资决策的"业务功能"在实践中往往占据主 导。如何平衡创造直接经济收益与履行公共智库角色， ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news indicates a decline in major financial indices, with the China Securities Bank Index down by 0.9%, the China Securities Company Index down by 2.7%, the CSI 300 Non-Bank Financial Index down by 3.1%, and the Hong Kong Securities Index down by 3.2% [1] - The securities insurance ETF managed by E Fund (512070) and the securities ETF (512570) saw net inflows of 560 million yuan and 8 million yuan respectively [1] - According to Founder Securities, the brokerage sector's fundamentals are expected to improve continuously by 2025, with a projected 62% year-on-year increase in net profit and a 44% growth in main business revenue for the first three quarters [1] Group 2 - The brokerage sector is currently undervalued, and it is anticipated that the return on equity (ROE) will return to an upward trend by 2026 [1] - The two financing balances and derivative business are expected to be the main directions for brokerages to leverage, with an acceleration in mergers and acquisitions among leading brokerages, leading to an increase in industry concentration [1]

Core Viewpoint - The IFRS Foundation's Capital Markets Advisory Committee (CMAC) has appointed three new members to enhance its independent operations and provide ongoing perspectives from financial statement users across various markets [1]. Group 1: New Appointees - Deborah Taylor has been a professional trainer at Financial Edge for seven years, teaching accounting and financial modeling, and previously worked at Barclays Equity Research for seven years [2]. - Jungyeon (Jay) Seo is the chief analyst at Shinyoung Securities, specializing in consumer and internet sectors, with over 2,000 published analyses since joining in 2006 [3]. - Xiaolu Wang leads Due Diligence and Portfolio Management at Efund PE in China, with prior experience in Transaction Services at PricewaterhouseCoopers Hong Kong [4]. Group 2: Appointment Details - Each of the three new appointments is for a three-year term, with the possibility of one renewal [4]. - The new members replace Anthony Scilipoti, Joao Toniato, and Koei Otaki, who stepped down at the end of 2025 [4].

Core Insights - Wealth management capability is becoming a key factor for high-quality development in investment banking [1][2] - The transition from traditional debt and equity business to trading and ultimately to the integration of wealth management and financial technology is emphasized [1] - Current issues in China's securities industry include a lack of wealth management services, insufficient depth in buy-side advisory, and low client trust [1] Industry Analysis - The evolution of international investment banks, exemplified by Goldman Sachs, highlights the importance of wealth management for long-term competitiveness [1] - There is a need for diversified products and multi-strategy trading tools to meet the growing asset allocation and stable appreciation demands of residents [1] - The industry faces challenges such as single trading strategies and severe product homogeneity [1] Strategic Recommendations - The transformation towards buy-side advisory is seen as an inevitable direction for the industry [1][2] - In a low-interest-rate environment, asset allocation should leverage diversified products and strategies to enhance risk resistance and yield stability [1] - The positive impact of quantitative trading and algorithmic technology on market liquidity and efficiency should be recognized, promoting a "finance for good" development philosophy [1]

Core Viewpoint - Western Securities Co., Ltd. is undergoing a transformation in its wealth management business and has decided to close its Weinan Dongfeng Street Second Securities Business Department to enhance operational efficiency [1] Group 1: Business Transformation - The company aims to promote the rapid development of its wealth management business through this strategic decision [1] - The closure is part of a broader initiative to improve the efficiency of branch operations [1] Group 2: Compliance and Procedures - The company will handle customer assets, settle securities business, and terminate operations in accordance with the Securities Law of the People's Republic of China and relevant regulatory announcements [1] - Necessary procedures for business deregistration will be carried out, including filing with the local branch of the China Securities Regulatory Commission [1]

Group 1 - CITIC Securities has undergone significant personnel changes, with Wu Chaoze appointed as the head of the Institutional Business Committee, overseeing various departments including Institutional Business, Research Development, Custody, and International Business [2] - Wu Chaoze has a notable career trajectory, having been promoted multiple times since 2025, enhancing his influence within CITIC Securities [2] - Wu Chaoze is recognized as the youngest senior executive at CITIC Securities, with a strong background in technology research, particularly in 5G, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things, earning multiple accolades as a top analyst in the telecommunications sector [2] Group 2 - Huang Wentao, who has been with CITIC Securities since 2010, is now acting as the head of the Research Development Department following Wu Chaoze's promotion [2] - Huang Wentao has proposed ten major global macro investment opportunities for 2026, emphasizing the concept of "New Four Bulls" in the A-share and Hong Kong stock markets, which include "Capital Inflow Bull," "Technology Innovation Bull," "Institutional Reform Bull," and "Consumption Upgrade Bull" [3] - Huang Wentao predicts that precious metals, particularly gold, will maintain a strong market position in 2026, despite potential price fluctuations, with an overall trend of accumulation and price increase until a new global trade and international monetary system stabilizes [3]

Core Viewpoint - Japan's government bond market is facing significant challenges due to the largest net increase in supply in over a decade, with an 8% rise in net supply expected to reach approximately ¥65 trillion ($415 billion) in the upcoming fiscal year [1]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The deterioration in supply-demand conditions may necessitate the government to adjust bond issuance quarterly [3]. - The benchmark 10-year bond yield has risen to 2.13%, the highest level since 1999, with expectations that it could reach a fair value of around 2.2–2.3% [7]. Group 2: Central Bank Actions - A major factor contributing to the increase in net supply is the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) decision to reduce monthly gross purchases by over a quarter to approximately ¥2.1 trillion [5]. - The BOJ's holdings are projected to decrease by ¥46.5 trillion in the next fiscal year, compared to ¥41.1 trillion in the current period [5]. Group 3: Investor Behavior - Banks and pension funds have been the primary buyers since the BOJ began loosening its control on bond yields, with net purchases exceeding ¥30 trillion since April 2023 [6]. - However, concerns are rising that these purchases may not be sufficient to absorb the increasing net supply [6]. Group 4: Performance Comparison - Japanese bonds experienced a loss of over 6% last year, marking the worst performance among more than 40 sovereign markets, while U.S. Treasuries gained 6.3% and German securities fell by 1.6% [4].

Group 1 - The core point of the announcement is that the company has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) to publicly issue perpetual subordinated bonds with a total face value of up to 5 billion yuan [1][3] - The issuance of the perpetual subordinated bonds must strictly follow the prospectus submitted to the Shanghai Stock Exchange [2] - The approval is valid for 24 months from the date of consent, allowing the company to issue the bonds in tranches within this period [3] Group 2 - The company is required to report any significant events that occur from the date of approval until the completion of the bond issuance [3] - The company will handle the issuance of the bonds in accordance with relevant laws and regulations, and will fulfill its information disclosure obligations [3][4]

Group 1 - The A-share market has shown strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving a 14-day consecutive rise and reaching a new high in the current bull market by January 7, 2026 [1] - In 2025, the total number of new A-share accounts opened reached 27.4369 million, a year-on-year increase of 9.75%, with individual investors contributing 27.3324 million accounts and institutions 104,539 accounts [2][5] - The monthly new account openings peaked in March 2025 with 3.0655 million accounts, followed by September with 2.9372 million accounts [2][3] Group 2 - The A-share market's upward trend is linked to investor enthusiasm, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 18.41% in 2025, an increase of nearly 6 percentage points compared to 2024 [5] - Following the New Year, the market is expected to continue its structural trend, supported by positive investor sentiment from the Hong Kong market and the renminbi exchange rate [7] - The focus for January includes performance disclosures, with expectations for significant year-on-year growth in earnings due to low comparative bases from the previous year [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the retirement of Li Kang, the chief economist of Xiangcai Securities, who has played a significant role in the development of China's capital market over the past 35 years, marking the end of an era for the industry [1][4]. Group 1: Li Kang's Career and Contributions - Li Kang, born in 1965, has a diverse career spanning financial consulting, investment, sell-side research, and senior management roles in securities firms [1][5]. - He gained recognition in the 1990s as a prominent stock commentator and financial journalist, known for his in-depth analysis of financial issues in listed companies [5][6]. - After joining Xiangcai Securities in 2009, he implemented a "research first" strategy that significantly contributed to the company's business development [6][10]. Group 2: Transition and Future Role - Li Kang's retirement was officially announced on January 7, 2026, after a smooth transition of responsibilities to his successor, Cao Xute, who took over as the head of the research institute [1][10]. - Despite retiring, Li Kang will continue to serve as an advisor to the Chief Economist Professional Committee of the China Securities Association, emphasizing his ongoing influence in the industry [7][9]. Group 3: Xiangcai Securities' Research Institute - Under Li Kang's leadership, Xiangcai Securities' research institute aimed to create value through research and enhance the company's brand influence [10][12]. - The research institute primarily serves local governments and large enterprises, focusing on total research as a guiding principle [10][12]. - In the first half of 2025, Xiangcai Securities reported a commission income of 3.4828 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.42%, ranking 58th in the industry, but improving by 14 positions compared to the previous year [10].