2025 年 04 月 22 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/21 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 19.42 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 29.20/18.22 | | 总市值(亿元) | 38.50 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 38.50 | | 总股本(亿股) | 1.98 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 1.98 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 71.64 | 医药生物/中药Ⅱ 寿仙谷（603896.SH） 股价走势图 -32% -16% 0% 16% 32% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 寿仙谷 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《2024H1 营收小幅下滑，市场渠道稳 步拓展 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2024.8.29 《营收利润小幅承压，营销改革赋能 品 牌 发 展 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2024.4.27 经营业绩相对承压，省外营销改革有望带来成长动力 ——公司信息更新报告 | 余汝意（分析师） | 巢舒然（联系人） | | --- | --- | | yuruyi@kys ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 692 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 11.81%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 175 million yuan, down 31.34% [7] - The company is expected to experience growth driven by marketing reforms outside its home province, despite short-term sales pressure [7] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 208 million yuan, 240 million yuan, and 274 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.05 yuan, 1.21 yuan, and 1.38 yuan [7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the gross margin was 80.72%, down 2.00 percentage points, and the net margin was 25.26%, down 7.19 percentage points [7] - The sales expense ratio increased to 43.89%, while the management expense ratio rose to 12.60% [7] - The company’s total revenue is projected to recover to 728 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 5.2% [11] Product and Market Analysis - Revenue from Ganoderma lucidum spore powder products decreased by 16.53% to 445 million yuan, while revenue from Dendrobium candidum products fell by 11.00% to 113 million yuan [8] - The company plans to enhance its sales model and marketing strategies to expand its market presence outside Zhejiang province [8] Clinical Research and Internationalization - Clinical research projects are progressing well, including studies on the anti-tumor effects of Ganoderma lucidum spore powder [9] - The company is collaborating with top medical institutions, such as the Mayo Clinic, to advance the internationalization of its products [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 84.01 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decline of 0.34% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.48 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 19.86% year-on-year [8] - The company is focusing on key products such as "Kang Zhong Yao 1381" and "777," which have shown significant sales growth, particularly in the anti-malarial and gynecological product lines [8] - The company is actively expanding its market presence both domestically and internationally, with overseas sales revenue reaching 1.4 billion yuan, an increase of 21.52% [8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 was 84.30 billion yuan, with a projected increase to 92.49 billion yuan in 2025, representing a growth rate of 10.09% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow from 648.08 million yuan in 2024 to 744.95 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 14.95% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.86 yuan in 2024 to 0.98 yuan in 2025 [1] Market Data Summary - The closing price of the company's stock is 17.20 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 13,020 million yuan [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is currently at 20.09, projected to decrease to 17.48 in 2025 [1][5] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a net profit of 11.03 billion yuan by 2027, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 11.81 [1] - The company is expected to maintain a strong brand presence and expand its distribution channels, enhancing its market competitiveness [8]