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2026年15大行业趋势预测 世界经济将如何变革?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 07:21
Group 1: Global Economic Trends - In 2026, global defense spending is expected to reach a historic high of $2.9 trillion, influenced by geopolitical tensions and U.S. policies, with NATO countries planning to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035 [3][4] - Global energy demand is projected to grow by only 1% in 2026, driven by economic slowdown and improved energy efficiency, while carbon emissions are expected to increase by just 0.7% [4] - The global financial sector will face a new landscape of policy divergence, with major economies expected to lower interest rates, leading to a nearly 5% growth in global bank loans [7][8] Group 2: Automotive Industry - The global automotive market is anticipated to show a complex picture in 2026, with overall new car sales expected to grow by 2.5%, driven by a 15% increase in electric vehicle sales to 24 million units, with China accounting for over half of this market [3] - U.S. automakers are adjusting their electric vehicle strategies due to reduced policy support, with companies like Audi and Aston Martin delaying electric vehicle launches [3] Group 3: Energy Sector - Non-hydro renewable energy generation is expected to surpass 30% of the global energy mix for the first time, exceeding coal [4] - China is projected to add over 300 GW of wind and solar capacity, sufficient to power millions of households [4] Group 4: Healthcare Industry - Global healthcare spending is expected to grow by 5% to nearly $12 trillion, but actual government investment may remain tight due to prioritization of defense and debt reduction [10] - The pharmaceutical market is expected to see a 5% increase in sales, driven by the popularity of oral weight-loss drugs and the introduction of generic drugs in India and China [10] Group 5: Infrastructure Investment - Global infrastructure investment is projected to grow by 6%, exceeding $30 trillion, with nearly half of the investment concentrated in Asia [10][11] - The U.S. is focusing on digital infrastructure, with major tech companies expected to invest $400 billion in data centers [11] Group 6: Consumer Goods and Retail - Global retail sales growth is expected to be limited to 2% in 2026, with markets like India and the Philippines projected to grow by 5% and 7% respectively [15] - Companies are reshaping supply chains in response to trade tensions, with Nike planning to reduce reliance on Chinese manufacturing [16] Group 7: Tourism and Travel - The global tourism industry is expected to see a strong recovery, with international travelers projected to exceed 2 billion and total spending reaching $1.8 trillion [19][20] - The cruise market is set to expand, with at least 16 new cruise ships expected to enter service despite environmental regulations [20] Group 8: Technology and AI - The use of generative AI in businesses is expected to rise significantly, with the proportion of companies utilizing this technology projected to jump from under 5% in 2023 to about 80% by 2026 [18][19] - The demand for AI-related talent is expected to surge, with India alone needing 1 million skilled professionals by 2026 [19]
马踏春风去,麻章过大年
Nan Fang Nong Cun Bao· 2025-12-31 04:33
马踏春风去,麻 章过大年_南方 +_南方plus 红马年的春风吹 拂着雷州半岛广 袤的红土地,南 海温湿的海风荡 起麻章玛珥湖的 一汪碧波,也将 醇厚的年味,悄 然吹遍这片土地 的山山水水。湛 江市麻章区既有 大自然鬼斧神工 的地质奇观,亦 有沉淀千年岁月 的古刹钟声,令 人流连忘返的地 方美味,神秘莫 测的傩舞考 兵......期待旅人 伴着春风的足 迹,乘搭广湛高 铁飞驰而来,奔 赴一场山水有 情、生活多味的 新春之约。 万年玛珥湖,晨 钟声里且养生 麻章湖光岩风景 区是世界地质公 园、国家4A级 景区,14—16万 年前火山喷发馈 赠的玛珥湖,与 德国艾菲尔地区 玛珥湖结为"姐 妹湖",堪称全 球保护最完好的 火山口湖之一。 湖水澄澈如镜, 岸边古树婆娑, 熔岩痕迹清晰可 辨,仿佛在无声 诉说亿万年前那 场惊心动魄的地 质变迁;更令人 称奇的是"落叶 无踪""无蛙无 蛇""根抱石"的 奇特现象,为景 区蒙上了一层神 秘面纱。 麻章湖光岩风景区 千年古刹楞严寺 依溶岩石山而 建,在青山绿水 的映衬下更显古 朴庄严,大雄宝 殿藏身于火山岩 洞之中,是全国 唯一以凝灰岩岩 洞为大殿的寺 庙。宋朝宰相李 纲途经 ...
以文化人 以文惠民
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 04:31
Core Viewpoint - Guizhou is actively promoting cultural heritage and innovation, showcasing the vitality of ethnic culture and enhancing cultural prosperity during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [1][2]. Cultural Heritage and Innovation - Guizhou's rich cultural heritage is being revitalized through protection, excavation, and innovative creation [2]. - The province has established a robust protection system for red cultural resources, including the implementation of regulations for the Long March National Cultural Park and the protection of red resources [3]. Technological Empowerment - Technology is being utilized to animate cultural relics, with initiatives like immersive exhibitions and AR technology bringing historical artifacts to life [4]. Living Cultural Heritage - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, Guizhou has cultivated one national-level cultural ecological protection zone and established over 519 intangible cultural heritage workshops and more than 200 experiential spaces for intangible cultural heritage [5]. Cultural Development and Accessibility - Cultural development in Guizhou is focused on benefiting the people, with public cultural facilities being made freely accessible across urban and rural areas [6][11]. Cultural Innovation and Community Engagement - The popularity of local cultural events, such as "Village BA," reflects the empowerment of the people and the confidence in ethnic culture [7][8]. Cultural Products and Media - Recent television dramas and local artistic productions have achieved significant viewership and acclaim, highlighting the cultural narratives of Guizhou [10]. Tourism and Cultural Integration - Guizhou is transitioning from resource-driven tourism to innovation-driven tourism, with significant growth in visitor numbers and tourism revenue [12]. - The province has seen an increase in the number of high-rated tourist attractions and is recognized as a national model for cultural tourism integration [12]. Cultural Experience and Digital Innovation - Guizhou is enhancing its tourism strategy through immersive cultural experiences and digital innovations, such as AI-driven services and digital archives for cultural heritage [13].
深挖特色文化资源潜能 推动文化大发展大繁荣
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 04:31
Core Viewpoint - The cultural prosperity and development in Guizhou is a significant marker of Chinese-style modernization and serves as a deep force for high-quality development and modernization in the province [1] Group 1: Cultural Projects and Initiatives - Guizhou is implementing "Four Major Cultural Projects" to enhance cultural resources and promote cultural industries, which are increasingly demonstrating their role in leading trends, educating the public, serving society, and driving development [2] - The establishment of a systematic and standardized red culture research system aims to integrate research efforts on the historical context of the Red Army's Long March in Guizhou, leading to high-quality research outcomes and educational materials [2] - The promotion of the "Long March Spirit" through the construction of the Long March National Cultural Park in Guizhou focuses on protecting and utilizing red cultural resources [2] Group 2: Cultural Heritage and Ethnic Culture - A comprehensive survey and research initiative on the history, language, and traditions of various ethnic groups in Guizhou is underway, emphasizing the protection and transmission of intangible cultural heritage [4] - The development of cultural products and services that incorporate traditional crafts and performances aims to revitalize intangible cultural heritage and improve livelihoods [4] Group 3: Cultural Brand Development - The "Mountain Park Province · Colorful Guizhou Wind" cultural tourism brand has gained significant recognition, enhancing Guizhou's cultural influence and identity [6] - Various regional cultural brands, such as "Red Zunyi" and "Cool Guiyang," showcase the unique characteristics of different areas within Guizhou [6] Group 4: Cultural Products and Quality - Guizhou's cultural originality is on the rise, with a focus on creating works that reflect the spirit of the times and local characteristics, including television dramas and stage plays that resonate with audiences [7] - Initiatives like "Our China Dream" aim to bring cultural activities to rural areas, benefiting millions of people annually [7] Group 5: Cultural Heritage Protection - The establishment of a cultural heritage protection system is being enhanced through revised regulations and a coordinated approach among relevant departments, ensuring effective management and utilization of cultural resources [8] - Significant progress has been made in protecting traditional villages and intangible cultural heritage, with notable projects recognized at national and international levels [8] Group 6: Integration of Culture and Tourism - The integration of culture and tourism is being deepened, with the development of high-quality tourism projects that highlight Guizhou's unique cultural and natural resources [9] - New tourism consumption models, such as immersive performances and heritage experiences, are being cultivated to enhance the attractiveness of the cultural tourism sector [9] Group 7: Community Cultural Life - The implementation of the "Guizhou Province New Era Citizen Moral Construction Implementation Plan" is promoting the integration of core socialist values into daily life and governance [10] - Public cultural services are being improved, with a focus on expanding access and enhancing the quality of cultural experiences for the community [10] Group 8: Cultural Resource Innovation - The establishment of mechanisms for creative transformation and innovative development aims to invigorate cultural resources and enhance their modern relevance [11] - Policies supporting cultural prosperity are being developed, focusing on legal frameworks and financial incentives to foster a sustainable cultural environment [11] Group 9: Cultural Industry Development - Guizhou is leveraging its unique cultural resources to create a diverse and complementary cultural industry structure, integrating with tourism, agriculture, and other sectors [13] - Major cultural projects are being planned and implemented to drive the development of the cultural industry and enhance its contribution to social development [13] Group 10: International Cultural Exchange - A modern communication matrix is being established to enhance the dissemination and dialogue of Guizhou's culture on a global scale [14] - Efforts are being made to promote Guizhou's cultural products and engage in international cultural exchanges, showcasing both traditional and contemporary narratives [14]
动画组图|盘点2025中国经济:举多元之力 绘发展新篇
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-12-31 01:52
Group 1 - In 2025, China's economy is expected to demonstrate resilience and accelerate growth across various sectors, including event economy, embodied intelligence, and social welfare [1] - The event economy will play a significant role in driving domestic demand and promoting consumption upgrades, connecting various consumption chains from international to grassroots events [1] - The embodied intelligence industry is set for critical growth in the next 3 to 5 years, supported by increasing policy backing and integration into multiple sectors [1] Group 2 - The inbound tourism market in China is heating up, with foreign visitors contributing to new consumption growth and enhancing China's image as an open and vibrant country [2] - The A-share market has surpassed a total market value of 100 trillion yuan, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a 10-year high, indicating improved investor confidence and market resilience [2] - The concept of "good housing" has gained traction, reflecting the public's desire for safe, comfortable, and green living spaces, which will drive the construction industry towards sustainable practices [2] - The integration of domestic and foreign trade is accelerating, with significant progress in policies that support the formation of a strong domestic market and higher levels of openness [2]
超828万人次 前11个月上海接待入境游客同比增近四成 入境游市场重回高速增长轨道
Jie Fang Ri Bao· 2025-12-31 01:47
能成为海外游客进入中国的首选城市,上海的交通优势堪称硬核。浦东、虹桥两大国际机场,密集 的国际航线通达全球主要城市;便捷的出入境通关流程、完善的机场配套服务,让"抵达中国"的旅途变 得轻松顺畅。上海的城市交通网络四通八达,再加上多语种的清晰标识,哪怕是初次到访的海外游客也 能轻松畅行全城。此外,风驰电掣的磁悬浮列车、穿梭于核心旅游区的双层观光巴士,这些特色出行交 通资源已成为一种别样的都市旅游体验。 上海丰富的游、购、娱资源,既有国际范的新潮体验,也有中国味的经典底蕴,更有江南韵的温婉 诗意,让无数"头回客"心甘情愿变成"回头客"。 记者 李宝花 据上海市文化和旅游局的最新统计数据,今年1月至11月,上海累计接待入境游客828.24万人次, 同比增长38.84%。上海入境游市场重回高速增长轨道,预计今年全年入境游客接待总量将超越2019年 的峰值。 对于一座世界著名旅游城市而言,吃、住、行这些基础条件无时无刻不在影响着人们的综合旅游体 验。 舌尖上的上海,是一场无国界的美食狂欢。这里既有本帮菜的浓油赤酱、江南点心的精致可口,也 聚集了韩式烤肉的醇香、意式披萨的浓郁、法式甜点的浪漫、东南亚风味的酸辣鲜香……全球 ...
2025年科尔尼行业系列回顾|零售
科尔尼管理咨询· 2025-12-31 01:29
Core Insights - The retail industry is transitioning from "traffic and price competition" to "value creation and efficiency realization" by 2025, with a focus on rational consumption and deeper user relationships [1] Group 1: Fresh Produce Value Transformation - Fresh produce retail maintains high growth but faces widespread losses, necessitating a shift from scale expansion to value competition driven by supply chain efficiency, category structure, and operational capabilities [2][4] Group 2: Rise of Efficient Retail - The return to rational consumption is pushing retail from "large and comprehensive" to "small and refined," with membership and discount stores becoming key carriers of efficient retail through quality-price ratio and human-centric experiences [5] Group 3: Sports Business Monetization - The sports industry is moving from sentiment-driven to value management, with event IP, broadcasting, and gambling forming the core value pool, where commercial success relies on systematic layout of growth levers and operational efficiency [6] Group 4: Revival of Physical Experience - Physical retail is not dying but is reshaping growth logic through "small and beautiful" stores, modular design, and immersive experiences, with fashion and beauty sectors leading the store upgrade [8] Group 5: Consumer Sentiment Dullness - Consumers are not collapsing under pressure but are developing "tolerance" for uncertainty, indicating that retail growth hinges on alleviating long-term emotional fatigue and experience monotony [10] Group 6: Sustainable Tourism Industry Transformation - The tourism industry is shifting from merely pursuing scale and foot traffic to a core development path centered on "regenerative growth," balancing economic value with environmental protection, cultural heritage, and community win-win [13] Group 7: Reconstruction of Tourism Retail - Global traveler numbers are recovering, but tourism retail growth is lagging, with a decline in per capita spending evolving from short-term fluctuations to structural imbalances, necessitating a reconfiguration of products, experiences, and operational models to regain consumer appeal [16] Group 8: Active Membership Management - Membership systems are evolving from rule-driven passive management to proactive management centered on data, emotions, and scenarios, becoming a key engine for leveraging existing and ecological growth [17][18]
中国旅游市场步入稳态繁荣阶段 2024年旅游及相关产业增加值58631亿
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-12-30 23:14
2024年旅游业增加值达53546亿 国家统计局发布的数据显示,从内部构成看,2024年中国旅游业增加值为53546亿元,占旅游及相关产 业增加值比重为91.3%,比上年提高0.3个百分点。旅游相关产业增加值为5085亿元,占旅游及相关产业 增加值比重为8.7%,比上年下降0.3个百分点。综合计算,2024年中国旅游及相关产业增加值为58631亿 元,占国内生产总值的比重为4.35%。 稍早一些时候发布的《2025中国旅游业发展报告》显示,2024年中国国内旅游市场稳步进入稳态繁荣阶 段,总人次达56.15亿,同比增长14.80%;旅游总收入5.75万亿元,同比增长17.11%,消费增速高于人 次增速,彰显市场内生动力。消费端呈现鲜明升级特征:77.1%的城乡居民过去一年有出游经历,自由 行占比达79.7%,16—25岁青年与单身群体成为高频出游主力;游客需求从观光打卡转向深度体验,文 化沉浸、亲子互动与性价比受关注度显著提升,但排队、设施陈旧等仍是共性痛点。 目前,中国旅游业已进入从"有没有"到"好不好"的结构性升级阶段,需以新质生产力为引擎,从宏观调 控、部门管理、行业经营三方面协同发力。同时,区域与城市 ...
“生态账本”有效变现
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-30 22:21
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses how Tonggu County in Jiangxi Province has successfully transformed ecological value into economic value through innovative systems, industry cultivation, financial support, and talent assurance, marking the 20th anniversary of the "Green Mountains and Clear Water are Gold and Silver Mountains" concept. Group 1: Ecological Value Transformation - Tonggu County has established the first county-level GEP (Gross Ecosystem Product) accounting system in Jiangxi, which quantifies ecological value into economic terms, addressing challenges in measuring, mortgaging, trading, and realizing ecological products [1][2]. - The GEP accounting system consists of a "1+3" framework, linking a county-level general ledger with detailed accounts at the town, village, and industry levels, allowing for precise ecological value assessment [2]. Group 2: Innovative Practices and Economic Growth - The first pilot village for GEP accounting, Ping Tian Village, demonstrated a per capita GEP of 262,000 yuan, leading to successful applications for green credit and the establishment of over 20 businesses [3]. - The "small class management" model encourages collaboration among government, leading enterprises, village collectives, and farmers, resulting in the circulation of 490,000 acres of forest land and a transaction amount of 450 million yuan [4]. Group 3: Industry Development and Economic Impact - Tonggu County has developed 73,000 acres of Huangjing (a medicinal plant) cultivation, generating an annual output value exceeding 300 million yuan, showcasing the potential of ecological industries [6]. - The bamboo industry has seen significant transformation, with the value of bamboo products increasing from 2,000 yuan to 10,000 yuan per ton through deep processing [8]. Group 4: Financial Innovations and Carbon Trading - The county has pioneered carbon trading in Jiangxi, with a carbon trading agreement valued at over 10 million yuan signed in December 2022, and has quantified carbon credits from 57,800 acres of forest land [10][11]. - Green finance has been activated through innovative "ecological asset pledge" models, leading to a green loan balance of 1.872 billion yuan by the third quarter of 2025 [12]. Group 5: Future Development and Challenges - The county aims to enhance its ecological and economic benefits through continuous innovation in financial products and talent cultivation, with a focus on sustainable development [16]. - The integration of ecological protection and economic growth is emphasized, with a commitment to transforming ecological value into tangible benefits for local communities [16].
在曼谷夜市邂逅市井浪漫,中国游客“点亮”泰国夜经济
Group 1 - The article highlights the vibrant atmosphere of night markets in Thailand, which serve as a cultural hub for both locals and tourists, particularly Chinese visitors [1] - The introduction of a visa exemption agreement between China and Thailand has facilitated travel, allowing Chinese passport holders to stay in Thailand for up to 30 days without a visa [1] - Local businesses, especially food stalls, have seen a significant increase in Chinese customers, driven by social media exposure and the popularity of night markets [1] Group 2 - According to SCB EIC, the Thai government’s tourism stimulus measures and the resurgence of Chinese tourists are expected to lead to an increase in foreign tourist arrivals, projecting around 34.1 million visitors by 2026, up from 32.9 million in 2025 [2]