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国内外需求景气共振,机构认为储能行业后续增长动力充足
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-17 00:54
股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏,免费查阅>> 责任编辑:栎树 同时,吴祖钰判断,2050年AIDC电力需求将达到全球总用电量的8%。吴祖钰提出,2050年全球"电动 车+AIDC"用电量将约等于新增一个中国总用电量。 平安证券指出,考虑2035年风光总装机36亿千瓦的目标(2024年底的2.6倍),国内储能成长空间广 阔。具体驱动因素来看,"强制配储"退出历史舞台,容量电价、现货市场机制逐渐完善,独立储能收益 模式逐步理顺,国内大储逐渐从成本中心转变为可盈利资产,装机动力提升,供需格局改善。海外市场 在电网支撑、数据中心供电等需求驱动下快速增长,国内外需求景气共振,储能后续增长动力充足。 12月12日,在第三届海辰储能生态日上,海辰储能董事长吴祖钰在演讲中表示,今年我国电动车渗透率 已经过半,预计2050年,全球将实现全面电动化,届时电动车的用电需求将占全社会总用电量的10%, 这也是全球范围内单一最大的用电场景。 ...
机构:储能行业高景气格局确定性持续凸显
广州市人民政府印发《美丽广州建设规划纲要(2025—2035年)》,其中提出,加快构建新型电力系统。 统筹提升电力系统灵活调节能力,加强用电需求侧管理,逐步吸纳公共建筑、电动汽车充换电设施、新 型储能、虚拟电厂等灵活调节资源。鼓励和规范发电侧、电网侧、用户侧储能及独立储能等各类新型储 能项目示范应用和规模化推广。推进国家新型储能创新中心建设。 兴业证券认为,储能需求全球开花,需求快速增长的驱动来源于政策驱动、刚性需求和经济性提升三重 因素的叠加。预测2026年全球储能装机规模将达402GWh,同比增速约53%。国内受容量电价+区域新 能源差异驱动,大储迈入市场化配置阶段;欧洲风光占比2024年达25.5%,大储成为电力稳定刚需;美 国受益于AI用电与制造业回流,储能需求加速释放。长期来看,储能行业随新能源装机扩张同步成 长,高景气格局确定性持续凸显。 开源证券认为,当前,储能行业呈现供需两旺态势,国内外需求共振,新型储能"一芯难求",头部电池 企业持续满产,电池价格延续上涨趋势,供应链整体具备价格传导能力。需求支撑+供给紧缺+上游挺 价,储能行业景气度有望持续。 华源证券认为,储能作为新型电力系统建设的重要灵 ...
4连板热门股拟收购资产,北向资金出手加仓
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-17 00:13
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the significant growth in overseas revenue for over 40 companies in the energy storage sector during the first half of the year, driven by a surge in overseas orders [1][9] Group 2 - Hualing Cable plans to acquire a 35% stake in Anhui San Bamboo Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. for 91.63 million yuan, which will increase its ownership to 70% [2] - The acquisition will allow Hualing Cable to extend its business from cable manufacturing to the connector field, enhancing its solution capabilities in industrial automation and renewable energy applications [2] - The company aims to raise up to 40 million yuan through convertible bonds to fund the acquisition and support R&D and digital transformation projects [2] Group 3 - Trina Solar announced a contract for 1.4 GWh of energy storage products in North America, utilizing its Elementa 2 Pro liquid cooling system [5] - Since September, Trina Solar has signed multiple overseas energy storage orders, with total orders exceeding 10 GWh, doubling from previous figures [6] - The global energy storage market is experiencing rapid expansion, with companies like Sungrow and Guoxuan High-Tech also reporting significant growth in overseas markets [7][9] Group 4 - The energy storage market is entering a high-growth phase, driven by increasing renewable energy integration and supportive government policies in major economies [8] - The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act provides tax credits for energy storage projects, while the UK has introduced long-term investment support for energy storage [8] - Analysts predict substantial growth in global energy storage installations, with expectations of 244 GW and 432 GWh of new installations in 2025 and 2026, respectively [8] Group 5 - Chinese energy storage companies are rapidly expanding their international presence, with a reported 163 GWh of new overseas orders in the first half of 2025, a 246% year-on-year increase [9] - Among A-share listed companies, 56 firms reported overseas revenue exceeding 100 million yuan in the first half of 2024, with over 70% experiencing year-on-year growth [9][10] - Notable companies with significant overseas revenue growth include Yongzhen Co. (275.95%), Kelu Electronics (126.84%), and Shangneng Electric (105.85%) [11]
储能海外大单频现 这些公司境外收入大幅增长
海外储能大单频现 海外储能订单爆发,推动逾40家公司上半年境外收入增长。 国轩高科半年报显示,根据ICC鑫椤资讯发布的数据,2025年上半年公司储能电池出货量位居全球第七 位。公司积极开拓国际储能市场,针对不同国家客户的需求,凭借专业的海外业务服务团队,量身定制 多元化的服务方案。目前,公司的储能产品已成功出口至欧洲、非洲、美洲、亚太等多个地区。 市场进入高速发展期 近年来,随着可再生能源比重不断提高,光伏、风电等新能源大规模并网带来的间歇性、波动性特征对 电力系统安全稳定运行构成严峻挑战。储能技术作为促进新能源大规模开发消纳、提高电力系统安全稳 定运行水平的关键技术和基础储备,已成为构建新型电力系统的核心基础设施。 12月16日午间,天合光能发布公告,子公司近日与北美区域的客户签订了合计1.4GWh的储能产品销售 合同。该项目采用Elementa 2 Pro液冷储能系统,搭配市场领先的新一代PCS,构建4小时独立并网型储 能解决方案,并集成北美当地软件供应商提供的全套软硬件EMS,形成完整的AC侧一体化解决方案。 值得注意的是,9月以来,天合光能连续签订G级海外储能订单。其中9月、10月、12月分别签订1个 ...
4连板热门股拟收购资产,北向资金出手加仓!储能海外大单频现,这些公司境外收入大幅增长
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 23:36
海外储能订单爆发,推动逾40家公司上半年境外收入增长。 华菱线缆拟收购安徽三竹35%股权 华菱线缆12月16日晚间公告,公司拟发行可转换公司债券购买安徽三竹智能科技股份有限公司(简 称"三竹科技""标的公司")35%股权,交易作价9163万元,交易完成后,公司将持有三竹科技70%的股 权。本次交易不构成重大资产重组、不构成重组上市。 另外,公司募集配套资金总额不超过4000万元,全部用于标的公司研发中心建设及数字化改造项目 (2000万元,占比50%)、补充流动资金(1600万元,占比40%)及支付中介机构费用(400万元,占 比10%)。 根据公告,标的公司深耕工业控制连接器多年,是细分领域内的领先企业之一。华菱线缆主要从事电线 电缆的研发、生产及销售,连接器是电线电缆在工业自动化、机器人、新能源等高端应用场景中的关键 接口和"最后一环"。本次交易将使公司的业务从线缆制造自然延伸至连接器领域,形成"线缆+连接 器"的完整解决方案能力,不仅能满足客户对系统化、集成化产品的需求,更能显著提升上市公司在产 业链中的话语权和价值定位。 华菱线缆在公告发布前已连续收获4个涨停板,12月16日收盘仍有14.49万手买单 ...
2026年中国资本市场展望:A股怎么看?怎么配?
Yuekai Securities· 2025-12-16 23:30
Market Overview - In 2025, A-shares experienced significant growth, with the total market capitalization exceeding 100 trillion yuan and the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a nearly ten-year high[1] - The ChiNext Index saw an annual increase of nearly 50%, with the technology sector surpassing the banking sector to become the largest industry by market capitalization[1] Economic Outlook for 2026 - The A-share market is expected to enter a "slow bull" phase in 2026, driven by macroeconomic policies, industrial transformation, and capital market reforms[2] - The core logic supporting the bull market remains solid, with expectations of continued inflows of capital and reduced overseas disturbances[2] Key Drivers of the Bull Market - Continuous macro policy support is anticipated to improve the economic fundamentals, with a focus on domestic demand and investment stabilization[3] - Rapid industrial transformation is expected to release new growth momentum, particularly in emerging sectors like renewable energy, aerospace, and biotechnology[3] - Deepening capital market reforms will enhance investor returns and improve market stability, with a focus on better resource allocation[3] Capital Inflows - Insurance funds are projected to increase their equity investments, with direct investments in stocks reaching 3.6 trillion yuan, accounting for 9.7% of their total assets[3] - There is a notable shift of household assets towards equity markets, with a significant reduction in new bank deposits and increased investments in ETFs and private equity[3] Sector Opportunities - The technology sector, particularly AI, is expected to be a primary investment focus in 2026, with significant growth in AI-related hardware and applications[3] - The energy storage sector is projected to grow substantially, with global demand for storage batteries expected to increase nearly 20 times from 15 GWh to over 300 GWh by 2030[3] - The commercial aerospace industry is entering a rapid development phase, supported by favorable policies and growing market demand for satellite internet and space tourism[3] Metal Sector Insights - The A-share metal sector has seen a 73.7% increase in 2025, with industrial metals like copper and aluminum expected to continue their upward trend due to supply-demand imbalances[3] - Copper demand is driven by AI infrastructure and energy transition, with a projected global shortage of 150,000 tons in 2026[3] - Precious metals like gold and silver have seen significant price increases, with silver prices rising 121.7% year-to-date, although future growth may slow[3]
【早报】中央财办:扩大内需是明年排在首位的重点任务;财务造假?三六零回应来了
财联社· 2025-12-16 23:14
Macro News - The Central Financial Office stated that expanding domestic demand is the top priority for next year, emphasizing the need to boost consumption by addressing structural changes from both supply and demand sides [4] - The Ministry of Commerce proposed to impose anti-dumping duties on imported pork and pork products from the EU, effective from December 17, 2025, for a duration of five years [4] - The Social Security Fund emphasized the importance of leveraging long-term and patient capital to support national development needs and enhance the integration of technological and industrial innovation [4] Industry News - Reports indicate that the EU plans to abandon the ban on internal combustion engines by 2035, allowing certain plug-in hybrid vehicles and fuel-efficient electric vehicles to be sold [6] - The tungsten market has seen a significant price increase, with tungsten concentrate prices exceeding 400,000 yuan per ton and APT prices surpassing 600,000 yuan per ton [6] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development held a national conference on intelligent construction, focusing on promoting smart construction applications and enhancing policy coordination for high-quality development in the construction industry [6] Company News - 360 Group's founder Zhou Hongyi denied allegations of financial fraud, clarifying that the individuals mentioned never held core management positions during their tenure [8] - Wangzi New Materials announced the passing of its third-largest shareholder, Wang Xiaojun, with his shares being inherited by his children [8] - Jia Mei Packaging announced a change in its controlling shareholder to Zhuyue Hongzhi, with stock resuming trading [8] - Century Huatong completed the cancellation of 56.12 million repurchased shares [8] - Jiang Jian Co. announced that its controlling shareholder's shares have been judicially frozen [8] - Chang'an Automobile is expected to conduct L3-level autonomous driving trials in the first quarter of 2026 [8] - Zhongke Electric plans to invest approximately 7 billion yuan in a project to produce 300,000 tons of lithium-ion battery anode materials [8] - Xpeng Motors has obtained a road testing license for L3-level autonomous driving in Guangzhou and has initiated regular L3 road tests [8]
海外储能订单爆发推动逾四十家公司上半年境外收入增长
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-16 18:09
Group 1: Company Developments - Trina Solar announced a sales contract for 1.4 GWh of energy storage products with North American customers, utilizing the Elementa2Pro liquid-cooled storage system and a new generation PCS, creating a complete AC-side integrated solution [1] - Trina Solar has signed multiple overseas energy storage orders since September, with a total of over 10 GWh in hand, expected to be delivered mainly in 2025-2026, indicating a doubling of orders since September [1] - Gotion High-Tech reported that its energy storage battery shipments ranked seventh globally in the first half of 2025, actively expanding into international markets with customized service solutions [2] Group 2: Market Trends - The energy storage market is entering a rapid development phase, driven by the increasing share of renewable energy and the need for stable power system operations [3] - Major economies are implementing supportive policies for energy storage development, such as the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act, which offers tax credits up to 30% for storage projects, potentially increasing to 40% for domestic manufacturing [3] - Analysts predict that global large-scale energy storage installations will see significant growth, with an expected addition of 244 GW and 432 GWh in 2025 and 2026, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 56% and 77% [3] Group 3: International Expansion - Chinese energy storage companies are rapidly expanding their international market presence, with new overseas orders reaching 163 GWh in the first half of 2025, a 246% increase year-on-year [4] - Over 100 listed companies in A-shares are involved in energy storage, with 56 companies reporting overseas business revenues exceeding 100 million yuan in the first half of 2024, and over 70% of these companies experiencing year-on-year revenue growth [4] - Companies like Kelu Electronics and Shangneng Electric reported significant increases in overseas business revenue, with Kelu achieving 12.81 billion yuan, a 126.84% increase, and Shangneng reporting 9.77 billion yuan, a 105.85% increase [5]
海外储能订单爆发 推动逾四十家公司上半年境外收入增长
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-16 18:00
Core Insights - Trina Solar's subsidiary signed contracts for a total of 1.4 GWh of energy storage products with customers in North America, utilizing the Elementa2Pro liquid cooling storage system and a new generation PCS for a complete AC-side integrated solution [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Trina Solar has secured multiple overseas energy storage orders since September, with a total of over 10 GWh in hand, expected to be delivered mainly in 2025-2026, indicating a doubling of orders since September [2] - Guoxuan High-Tech ranked seventh globally in energy storage battery shipments for the first half of 2025, actively expanding its international market presence with tailored service solutions for various countries [3] - Kelu Electronics reported overseas revenue of 1.281 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 126.84%, and is expanding into new markets such as Greece, Czech Republic, and Poland [6] - Shangneng Electric achieved overseas revenue of 977 million yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 105.85%, with overseas revenue accounting for 44.73% of total revenue [6] Group 2: Market Trends - The energy storage market is entering a rapid development phase, driven by the increasing share of renewable energy and the need for stable power system operations [4] - Global policies are increasingly supporting energy storage development, with the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act providing tax credits of up to 30% for storage projects, and the UK introducing a long-term electricity storage investment support plan [4] - Chinese energy storage companies are seizing global market opportunities, with a reported 246% year-on-year increase in overseas orders for the first half of 2025, covering over 50 countries [5]
资金涌入,持续加仓!
01 12月16日,A股、港股市场回调,全市场1300余只ETF中,仅50余只收涨,其中6只产品涨幅在1%及以 上。金融科技、旅游、汽车等行业ETF表现相对坚挺。跨境ETF中,2只巴西ETF和1只标普消费ETF涨 幅居市场前列。 02 值得注意的是,今日逆势收涨的ETF中,多只产品成交额显著放量。例如,标普消费ETF(159529)换 手率飙升至199.92%,全天成交额逼近20亿元,是昨日成交额的4倍;智能驾驶ETF(516520)成交额更 是大幅放量,约为昨日的7倍;旅游ETF(159766)成交额也较昨日翻倍。 03 资金流向方面,前一交易日(12月15日),面对市场回调,ETF整体逆势净流入约67亿元。其中,宽基 ETF吸金势头较盛,多只挂钩中证A500指数的产品单日净流入额跻身市场前十,且较前几个交易日明显 放量。3只A500ETF产品近5个交易日合计获资金净流入已超过135亿元,资金涌入迹象较为明显。部分 货基ETF资金净流出金额居前。 三大行业主题ETF表现坚挺 12月16日,在ETF市场整体跌多涨少的行情下,金融科技、旅游、汽车三大行业的ETF表现相对具有韧 性,多只产品涨幅跻身市场前十。 今 ...