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纺织服装行业周报:业绩收官表现分化,运动及户外产业链景气占优-20250506
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the textile and apparel industry, highlighting the resilience of the sports and outdoor segments [1]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector has shown mixed performance, with the SW textile and apparel index declining by 0.1% from April 25 to April 30, underperforming the SW All A index by 0.1 percentage points. The SW apparel and home textile index increased by 0.3%, outperforming the SW All A index by 0.3 percentage points, while the SW textile manufacturing index fell by 2.1%, underperforming the SW All A index by 2.1 percentage points [3][4]. - Key industry data indicates that the retail sales of clothing, shoes, and textiles totaled 386.9 billion yuan in the first quarter, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.4%. Textile and apparel exports reached 66.3 billion USD, a 0.6% increase year-on-year, with textile yarns and fabrics up by 4% and apparel down by 2% [3][34]. - Cotton prices have shown a downward trend, with the national cotton price index at 14,103 yuan/ton, down 0.7%, and international cotton prices also declining [3][36]. Summary by Sections Textile Sector - The textile manufacturing sector is experiencing performance divergence, with companies like Weixing showing high growth while others like Huali and Jiansheng report declines in net profit. High-quality stocks in the outdoor equipment supply chain, such as Zhejiang Natural, are seen as having significant rebound potential due to their limited exposure to the U.S. market and successful production ramp-up in Cambodia and Vietnam [10][11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand recovery as a key investment theme for 2025, with a focus on high-quality domestic brands and new growth opportunities in outdoor and new consumption sectors [15]. Apparel Sector - The sports apparel segment is leading the market, with brands like Anta and FILA reporting significant year-on-year revenue growth of 65%-70%. Other brands like 361 Degrees also show double-digit growth, while Li Ning and Xtep report moderate growth. The home textile sector, particularly Luolai, has exceeded profit expectations [13][15]. - The report notes that the overall inventory levels in the sports segment are healthy, and discounting remains stable, indicating robust operational quality [13]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights the impact of U.S. tariffs on the textile manufacturing sector, suggesting that the cost burden will be shared among manufacturers, brand owners, and consumers. The long-term implications of the new tariff structure on global supply chains are expected to be significant, with a trend towards supply chain diversification and flexible production capacities [12][15]. - The report also discusses the performance of international apparel companies, noting that Skechers faced a 16% decline in sales in the Chinese market, attributed to increased competition and a slowdown in consumer spending [21][22].
兴业科技:公司信息更新报告:主业内销需求疲软致业绩承压,期待宏兴及外销发力-20250506
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-05-06 05:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to face challenges due to weak domestic demand but is anticipated to benefit from external sales and new automotive interior leather models, supporting revenue growth [4][5] - The revenue and net profit forecasts for 2024 are 2.95 billion and 140 million yuan, respectively, with a year-over-year change of +9.3% and -24% [4] - The company aims to maintain its strategy as a one-stop supplier of cowhide materials, with successful external sales expansion and new automotive models driving revenue growth [4][5] Financial Summary - The total market capitalization is 2.725 billion yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of 2.697 billion yuan [1] - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 2.951 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth of 9.3% [7] - The net profit for 2024 is expected to be 140 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 24% year-over-year [7] - The gross margin for 2024 is estimated at 21.4%, with a net margin of 4.8% [6][7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 0.57 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.1 [7] Business Performance - The company reported a revenue of 1.44 billion yuan in 2024, with a slight decline of 1% year-over-year, while net profit decreased by 49% to 57 million yuan [5] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 296 million yuan, down 3% year-over-year, with a net profit of 8 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 61.8% [5] - The automotive leather segment is performing well, with revenue from automotive leather expected to reach 730 million yuan in 2024, a growth of 19.8% [5]
兴业科技(002674):公司信息更新报告:主业内销需求疲软致业绩承压,期待宏兴及外销发力
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-05-06 04:42
公 司 研 究 兴业科技(002674.SZ) 2025 年 05 月 06 日 投资评级:买入(维持) | 日期 | 2025/4/30 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 9.23 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 13.02/7.72 | | 总市值(亿元) | 27.25 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 26.97 | | 总股本(亿股) | 2.95 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 2.92 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 90.23 | 股价走势图 数据来源:聚源 -48% -36% -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 兴业科技 沪深300 纺织服饰/纺织制造 相关研究报告 《Q3 外销与汽车皮革增速亮眼,静待 内需订单改善—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.10.30 《H1 资产减值拖累利润,汽车内饰皮 革盈利好于预期—公司信息更新报 告》-2024.8.22 主业内销需求疲软致业绩承压,期待宏兴及外销发力 ——公司信息更新报告 | 吕明(分析师) | 周嘉乐(分析师) | 张霜凝(分析师) | | --- | --- | ...
【太平洋研究】5月第一周线上会议
远峰电子· 2025-05-05 11:37
Group 1 - The article discusses various upcoming industry reports and presentations, highlighting key topics and speakers [1][4][12] - The first event focuses on Kailong Co., with a performance exchange meeting scheduled for May 6, featuring Wang Liang and Sun, the company's deputy general manager [1] - The second event is a deep report on Pearl River Beer, taking place on May 7, led by analysts Guo Mengjie and Lin Xuxi [1] Group 2 - The third event on May 7 will cover the black electrical appliances industry, specifically emerging markets, with insights from analysts Meng Xin and Zhao Mengfei [1][8] - The fourth event on May 8 will present a deep report on Yixin Group, led by financial analyst Xia Mianang [1][12] - The final event on May 8 will recommend stable medical products, presented by analyst Guo Bin [1]
伟星股份:关注内需景气及关税进展-20250504
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-04 04:25
公司报告 | 季报点评 伟星股份(002003) 证券研究报告 关注内需景气及关税进展 公司发布 25 年一季报 营收 10 亿,同比+22%,归母净利润 1 亿,同比+29%,扣非归母净利润 1 亿,同比+30%; 维持盈利预测,维持"买入"评级 毛利率 39%,同比+1pct,归母净利率 10%,同比+1pct; 销售费率 9%,同比持平;管理费率 11%,同比-2pct;研发费率 4%,同比 -1pct; 经营活动产生的现金流量净额同比-66%,主因购买商品、接受劳务支付的 现金增加; 投资活动产生的现金流量净额同比+31%,主因购建固定资产、无形资产和 其他长期资产支付的现金减少。 积极应对关税变化 从产品交付的角度看,公司主要根据品牌服饰企业的要求将产品直接交付 给客户自有或其指定的成衣加工等企业,因而公司国际业务的出口区域基 本集中在孟加拉、越南等国际服装加工出口较多的国家或地区,直接出口 到欧美源头国家的业务量非常低。因此,终端消费国或区域调整成衣等商 品的关税对公司业务的直接影响有限。 公司将加强与下游品牌服饰客户及成衣加工企业的交流,积极商讨并评估 相关影响;另一方面,公司坚定推进国际化战略 ...
伟星股份(002003):关注内需景气及关税进展
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-03 13:43
公司报告 | 季报点评 伟星股份(002003) 证券研究报告 关注内需景气及关税进展 公司发布 25 年一季报 营收 10 亿,同比+22%,归母净利润 1 亿,同比+29%,扣非归母净利润 1 亿,同比+30%; 毛利率 39%,同比+1pct,归母净利率 10%,同比+1pct; 投资活动产生的现金流量净额同比+31%,主因购建固定资产、无形资产和 其他长期资产支付的现金减少。 积极应对关税变化 从产品交付的角度看,公司主要根据品牌服饰企业的要求将产品直接交付 给客户自有或其指定的成衣加工等企业,因而公司国际业务的出口区域基 本集中在孟加拉、越南等国际服装加工出口较多的国家或地区,直接出口 到欧美源头国家的业务量非常低。因此,终端消费国或区域调整成衣等商 品的关税对公司业务的直接影响有限。 公司将加强与下游品牌服饰客户及成衣加工企业的交流,积极商讨并评估 相关影响;另一方面,公司坚定推进国际化战略,持续做好与源头品牌的 对接与开发工作,努力提升市场份额,实现稳健发展。 在产能规划上,在贸易环境和国际客户需求明朗之前,公司能够对国内外 工业园产能进行合理的调配,有效发挥公司快速反应和产品运输半径大的 优势 ...
华利集团:新厂爬坡短暂拖累盈利,新客户订单显著增长-20250502
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-02 02:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6]. Core Views - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was 5.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 760 million, a decrease of 3% [1]. - The company is experiencing significant growth in new customer orders due to strategic expansion and deepening cooperation with emerging sports brands [1][2]. - The initial phase of new factory operations is impacting overall gross margin due to employee training periods, but the company is implementing measures to enhance operational efficiency [1]. - The company is adjusting its production strategy in response to changes in tariff policies, which affect supply chain decisions [3]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 4 billion, 4.7 billion, and 5.5 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.41, 3.99, and 4.68 [4]. - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at 27.15 billion, with a growth rate of 13.1% [5]. - The company’s EBITDA for 2025 is forecasted to be 5.97 billion, with a net profit margin of 14.67% [11]. Customer Base and Market Strategy - The company has a diverse customer base, primarily consisting of listed companies, with many clients showing growth in their performance [2]. - The company is continuously expanding its new customer base, which is crucial for stable growth [2]. Production and Operational Strategy - The company has accelerated the construction and production pace of new factories to meet rising capacity demands, with two new finished shoe factories already operational in Q1 2025 [1]. - The company is focusing on optimizing training mechanisms and advancing the deployment of intelligent production equipment to improve operational efficiency in new factories [1].
兴业科技:持续推进汽车内饰用皮革业务-20250501
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-01 14:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a downward adjustment [5][4]. Core Views - The company continues to advance its automotive interior leather business, with a focus on expanding production capacity in Indonesia and Vietnam [2][4]. - The financial performance for Q1 2025 shows a revenue of 600 million, a year-on-year increase of 5%, but a significant decline in net profit attributable to shareholders, down 45% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares, with an expected payout of 40 million, resulting in a payout ratio of 31% [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For the full year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 140 million, down 24% year-on-year [1][4]. - The revenue breakdown for 2024 shows that leather for shoes and bags generated 2 billion, accounting for 68% of total revenue, while automotive interior leather contributed 700 million, representing 24% of total revenue [2]. - The gross margin for automotive interior leather improved by 4 percentage points year-on-year to 34% [2]. Profit Forecast Adjustments - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 150 million, 180 million, and 230 million respectively [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates have been revised to 0.5, 0.6, and 0.8 yuan for 2025-2027 [4]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of international sports brands such as Adidas and COLEHAAN, indicating strong market positioning [2]. - The overseas revenue increased by 97% year-on-year, highlighting the potential for growth in international markets due to the investment in production capacity in Southeast Asia [2].
兴业科技(002674):持续推进汽车内饰用皮革业务
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-01 10:19
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a downward adjustment [5] Core Views - The company continues to advance its automotive interior leather business, with a focus on expanding production capacity in Indonesia and Vietnam [2][4] - The company reported a revenue of 600 million in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 45% to 20 million [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares, with an expected payout of 40 million and a payout ratio of 31% [1] Financial Performance Summary - For the full year 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9%, with a net profit of 140 million, down 24% [1] - The revenue from leather for shoes and bags was 2 billion, up 8%, accounting for 68% of total revenue, while automotive interior leather revenue was 700 million, up 20%, accounting for 24% [2] - The gross margin for automotive interior leather improved by 4 percentage points to 34% [2] Subsidiary Performance - The subsidiary Hongxing Automotive Leather reported a net profit of 150 million, up 51%, attributed to increased sales and improved gross margin [3] - The subsidiary Lianhua Leather reported a net loss of 10 million, down 62%, due to increased financial expenses and exchange losses [3] Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 150 million, 180 million, and 230 million respectively [4] - The EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be 0.5, 0.6, and 0.8 yuan respectively [4]
华利集团(300979):新厂爬坡短暂拖累盈利,新客户订单显著增长
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-01 08:26
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue of 5.4 billion in Q1 2025, representing a 12% year-on-year increase, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 760 million, a decrease of 3% year-on-year [1]. - The company is strategically expanding its customer base and deepening cooperation with emerging sports brands, leading to a significant increase in new customer orders in Q1 2025 [1][2]. - The initial phase of new factory operations has impacted overall gross margin due to employee training periods, but the company is implementing measures to enhance operational efficiency [1]. - The company is adjusting its production strategy in response to changes in tariff policies, which affect supply chain decisions for its clients [3]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 4 billion, 4.7 billion, and 5.5 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.41, 3.99, and 4.68 [4]. - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at 27.15 billion, with a growth rate of 13.1%, and expected to reach 35.84 billion by 2027 [5]. - The company’s EBITDA for 2025 is forecasted at 5.97 billion, with a slight decrease from previous estimates [5]. Customer Base and Market Position - The company has a diverse customer base, primarily consisting of publicly listed companies, with many showing growth in their performance [2]. - The company maintains a strong competitive position within the supply chains of clients, ensuring order share even when some clients experience slower revenue growth [2].