Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week's view was that downstream buyers restocked at low prices, leading to a narrow rebound in spot prices. This week's view is that downstream buyers resist high prices, causing the ex - factory price to operate weakly. With the continuous increase in ex - factory prices since the weekend, market sentiment has cooled, and the spot ex - factory quotes of urea in mainstream areas are weakly stable with sluggish transactions. In the short term, domestic demand is still limited, the agricultural demand has ended, and the compound fertilizer industry has not started on a large scale, so the spot market sentiment remains sluggish. In the medium term, after the impact of the fourth batch of export quotas fades and the autumn fertilizer season in China ends, overall demand is weak, and the urea market is expected to operate weakly. However, currently, some downstream buyers are restocking at low prices, and the Northeast region has increased purchases, so in the short term, urea is expected to fluctuate strongly. [4] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Overview - The ex - factory prices in Shandong are weakly stable, with a decline in the operating rate of industrial compound fertilizers, sufficient raw material inventory, high finished - product inventory, few grass - roots orders, and mainly rigid - demand replenishment. In Henan, the market sentiment is weak, the ex - factory prices follow the increase, and the order - receiving volume decreases. Around the delivery area, the ex - factory prices are firm, but the market atmosphere is average. Overall, the daily output has increased to around 20.4 million tons as maintenance devices return one after another. The fourth batch of quotas has been issued, increasing the influence of international prices on the domestic market. The compound fertilizer production in Central and North China has basically ended, the grass - roots stocking is coming to an end, the operating rate of compound fertilizer plants has declined, and the inventory of urea can be used for more than half a month, resulting in low procurement sentiment for raw materials. The inventory of urea production enterprises has decreased by 46,000 tons to around 1.43 million tons, remaining at a high level. [4] 2. Core Data Changes Supply - In the 46th week of 2025 (20251113 - 1119), the capacity utilization rate of coal - based urea in China was 87.23%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.30%; the capacity utilization rate of gas - based urea was 72.55%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.21%. In Shandong, the capacity utilization rate of urea was 84.29%, a week - on - week decrease of 3.09%. [5] Demand - In the 47th week of 2025 (20251114 - 1120), the weekly average capacity utilization rate of melamine in China was 62.20%, an increase of 4.72 percentage points from last week. The capacity utilization rate of compound fertilizer was 34.61%, a week - on - week increase of 4.29 percentage points. As of November 21, 2025, the urea demand of sample compound fertilizer production enterprises in Linyi, Shandong was 1,260 tons, a decrease of 40 tons from last week, a week - on - week decrease of 3.08%. This week (20251114 - 20251121), the arrival volume of urea in the Northeast was 250,000 tons, an increase of 144,000 tons from last week. As of November 19, 2025, the pre - order days of urea enterprises were 7.12 days, a decrease of 0.59 days from the previous period, a week - on - week decrease of 7.65%. [5] Inventory - On November 19, 2025, the total inventory of urea enterprises was 1.4372 million tons, a decrease of 46,400 tons from last week. The sample inventory of Chinese urea ports was 100,000 tons, an increase of 18,000 tons from last week. [5] Valuation - In terms of profit, the price of Jincheng anthracite lump coal was firm, the price of Yulin pulverized coal declined slightly, the spot price of urea rebounded, the fixed - bed production had a loss of 90 yuan/ton, the coal - water slurry production had a loss of 50 yuan/ton, and the entrained - flow bed production had a profit of 190 yuan/ton. The futures fluctuated, the basis was - 50 yuan/ton, and the 1 - 5 spread was - 75 yuan/ton. [5]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - Urea futures opened high and closed low with an intraday decline, while spot prices continued to rise, with large - sized urea showing stronger growth than medium and small - sized ones. High daily production suppresses the rebound space of the futures market, but downstream demand has become more active after the price rebound, and the supply - demand situation has relatively improved. Attention should be paid to the order - receiving situation of enterprises after the futures correction. If downstream demand is not sustainable, the futures market will lack upward momentum [1] Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - Urea futures opened at 1666 yuan/ton and closed at 1654 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.42%. The spot price of small - sized urea in Shandong, Henan, and Hebei ranged from 1580 - 1620 yuan/ton, with a general increase of about 10 yuan/ton. The upstream production capacity is gradually recovering, and the current daily production is around 200,000 tons. The downstream compound fertilizer plant's operating rate increased by 4.29% month - on - month and 2.59% year - on - year, and the melamine operating rate also increased. The inventory has been continuously decreasing [1][2][5] Futures and Spot Market Conditions - Futures: The main urea contract 2601 opened high and closed low, with a closing price of 1654 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.42%, and a position of 243,246 lots (- 2177 lots). Among the top 20 positions, long positions increased by 519 lots and short positions increased by 2109 lots. Spot: The spot price continued to rise, with large - sized urea having a stronger increase. The ex - factory price of small - sized urea in Shandong, Henan, and Hebei was in the range of 1580 - 1620 yuan/ton, with a general increase of about 10 yuan/ton [2][5] Fundamental Tracking - Basis: The spot price rose while the futures closing price fell. Taking Henan as the benchmark, the basis of the January contract was - 4 yuan/ton (+ 31 yuan/ton) compared with the previous trading day. Supply: On November 21, 2025, the national daily urea production was 207,100 tons, an increase of 59,000 tons from the previous day, and the operating rate was 85.34% [8][11]

Group 1: Report Information - The report is an energy and chemical R & D report on urea, dated November 21, 2025 [2] Group 2: Market Review - Futures market: Urea futures fluctuated and declined, closing at 1654 (-0.7/-0.42%) [3] - Spot market: Factory prices increased slightly, with trading volume being average. Factory prices in different regions were as follows: Henan 1580 - 1600 yuan/ton, Shandong small - sized 1610 - 1620 yuan/ton, Hebei small - sized 1620 - 1630 yuan/ton, Shanxi medium and small - sized 1560 - 1570 yuan/ton, Anhui small - sized 1600 - 1610 yuan/ton, and Inner Mongolia 1460 - 1500 yuan/ton [3] Group 3: Important Information - On November 21, the daily production of the urea industry was 20.15 tons, 0.1 tons less than the previous working day and 1.34 tons more than the same period last year. The operating rate was 83.33%, 0.1% higher than 83.23% in the same period last year [4] Group 4: Logic Analysis - Short - term: Domestic demand is limited, with agricultural demand ending and compound fertilizer not starting on a large scale. The spot market sentiment is still low. The price difference between domestic and international markets is large, and the new quota issuance increases the impact of the international market on the domestic market. The mainstream delivery area factory price is around 1580 - 1600 yuan/ton, and downstream acceptance has decreased. Some compound fertilizer plants are restocking at low prices, and storage enterprises are purchasing. The urea market is expected to fluctuate strongly in the short term [5] - Medium - term: The impact of the fourth batch of export quotas will fade, domestic autumn fertilizer production will end completely, and overall demand will be weak. As the factory price rises, downstream acceptance will decrease. Recently, commodities have collectively corrected, and the urea fundamentals are still loose. In the medium term, the urea market is expected to be weak [5] Group 5: Trading Strategy - Unilateral: Short from high levels, do not chase short positions [6] - Arbitrage: Wait and see [6]

Market Overview - US and Asia-Pacific stock markets experienced a collective decline, with A-shares also falling significantly. The Shanghai Composite Index dropped by 2.45% to 3834 points, the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 3.41%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 4.02% [1][2]. Index Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3834.89, down by 96.16 points (2.45%) - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12538.07, down by 442.75 points (3.41%) - The ChiNext Index closed at 2920.08, down by 122.26 points (4.02%) - The North China 50 Index fell by 4.71% to 1377.39 [2]. Sector Performance - Lithium mining and battery sectors faced significant declines, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit down, including Ganfeng Lithium, Jiangte Motor, and Tianqi Lithium [3]. - The organic silicon sector also saw a downturn, with stocks like Yuanxiang New Materials dropping over 10% [3]. - The titanium dioxide sector declined, with Guocheng Mining hitting the daily limit down [3]. - Battery stocks generally fell, with companies like Xingyuan Materials dropping over 10% [3]. - Fertilizer and phosphorus chemical sectors also experienced declines, with Chengxing Shares hitting the daily limit down [3]. - The photovoltaic equipment sector weakened, with Jincheng Shares hitting the daily limit down [3]. - Conversely, the shipbuilding sector rose against the trend, with Jianglong Shipbuilding increasing by over 14% [3]. - The AI application sector saw slight gains, with Kimi and Sora concepts leading the rise, and Yidian Tianxia hitting the daily limit up [3].

Market Overview - The US and Asia-Pacific stock markets experienced a collective decline, with the A-share market also seeing significant drops. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 2.45% to 3834 points, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 3.41%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 4.02% [1] Trading Volume and Market Performance - The total market turnover reached 1.98 trillion yuan, an increase of 261 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with nearly 5100 stocks declining [1] Sector Performance - Lithium mining and battery sectors faced a wave of limit-downs, with companies like Ganfeng Lithium, Jiangte Motor, and Tianqi Lithium seeing significant declines. The organic silicon sector also fell, with stocks like Yuanxiang New Materials dropping over 10% [1] - The titanium dioxide sector declined, with Guocheng Mining hitting the limit down. Battery stocks generally fell, with companies like Xingyuan Materials dropping over 10% [1] - The fertilizer and phosphorus chemical sectors also saw declines, with Chengxing Shares hitting the limit down. The photovoltaic equipment sector weakened, with Jincheng Shares also hitting the limit down [1] - Conversely, the shipbuilding sector rose against the trend, with Jianglong Shipbuilding increasing by over 14%. The AI application sector saw slight gains, with Kimi and Sora concepts leading the rise, and Yidian Tianxia hitting the limit up [1] Index Performance - The performance of various indices was as follows: - Shanghai Composite Index: 3834.89, down 96.16 points (-2.45%) - Shenzhen Component Index: 12538.07, down 442.75 points (-3.41%) - ChiNext Index: 2920.08, down 122.26 points (-4.02%) - CSI 300: 4453.61, down 111.34 points (-2.44%) - CSI 500: 6817.41, down 244.54 points (-3.46%) [1]

在董事会治理上，湖北宜化完善现代企业制度，强化战略引领与风险管控，构建高效规范治理体系，为 企业高质量发展筑牢根基。此次双项荣誉，体现了权威机构对其ESG领域综合能力的高度认可。 作为国有控股上市公司，湖北宜化落实党中央决策部署，遵循宜昌市委市政府规划，履行"长江大保 护"责任。以沿江化工企业"关改搬转"为契机，推动产业绿色、低碳、循环、智慧转型，助力长江流域 生态改善。同时，运用多种资本市场工具，加强投资者关系管理与信息披露，实现企业内在与市场投资 价值同步提升。 此次获奖，表明湖北宜化在规范治理、提升董事会效能、践行可持续发展等方面的标杆作用获资本市场 广泛认同。未来，其董事会将继续坚持新发展理念，强化战略引领与科学决策，筑牢风险防控体系，以 优异业绩回报股东与社会。 近日，中国上市公司协会在北京举办第三届理事会第六次会议及2025上市公司可持续发展大会。湖北宜 化（000422）（000422）凭借可持续发展与董事会治理的出色表现，荣获"2025上市公司董事会最佳实 践案例"和"2025上市公司可持续发展最佳实践案例"，成为资本市场焦点企业。 湖北宜化是我国化工行业骨干、全国重点化肥生产商，1996年上 ...

商务大数据显示，10月份，全国生产资料市场价格环比上涨0.2%。 从主要品种来看： 煤炭价格环比上涨1.2%，同比下降10.4%，其中，炼焦煤、二号无烟块煤、动力煤环比分别上涨3.1%、 1.4%和0.7%。 钢材价格环比下降1.2%，同比下降11.2%，其中，槽钢、热轧带钢、焊接钢管环比分别下降1.7%、1.5% 和1.4%。 化肥价格环比下降1.8%，同比下降8.1%，其中，尿素、三元复合肥环比分别下降2.0%和0.6%。 有色金属价格环比上涨3.0%，同比上涨4.6%，其中，铜、铝环比分别上涨4.9%和0.9%，锌价与上月基 本持平。 成品油价格环比下降1.4%，同比下降4.6%，其中，92号汽油、0号柴油、95号汽油环比分别下降1.5%、 1.5%和1.3%。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Crude Oil: Cautiously bearish [1] - LPG: Cautiously bearish [1] - L: Bearish consolidation [1] - PP: Bearish continuation [1] - PVC: Bearish continuation [1] - PX/PTA: Cautiously bullish [3] - Ethylene Glycol: Cautiously bearish [3] - Methanol: Cautiously bearish [3] - Urea: Rebound and short [3] - Natural Gas: Cautiously bullish [5] - Asphalt: Cautiously bearish [5] - Glass: Bearish continuation [5] - Soda Ash: Bearish continuation [5] 2. Core Views of the Report - The report analyzes multiple energy and chemical products, with most products showing bearish or cautiously bearish trends due to factors such as supply - demand imbalances, geopolitical disturbances, and cost - related issues. Some products like PTA and natural gas show bullish or cautiously bullish trends because of improved supply - demand and seasonal demand factors respectively [1][3][5] 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Crude Oil - **Market Performance**: WTI decreased by 0.42%, Brent by 0.20%, and SC by 1.77%. WTI was at $59/barrel, Brent at $63.38/barrel, and SC at 455 yuan/barrel [6][7] - **Basic Logic**: Core driver is supply surplus and inventory accumulation; short - term driver is geopolitical disturbance [8] - **Fundamentals**: Saudi's September exports reached 646 million barrels/day. OPEC predicts 2025 demand increment of 130 million barrels/day and 2026 of 138 million barrels/day. US commercial crude inventory decreased by 342 million barrels to 424.1 million barrels in the week ending November 14 [9] - **Strategy**: Hold short positions. Focus on SC in the range of [445 - 455] [10] LPG - **Market Performance**: On November 20, PG main contract closed at 4382 yuan/ton, down 0.30% [12] - **Basic Logic**: Anchored to crude oil price, with downstream开工率下降 and inventory accumulation [13] - **Strategy**: Lightly short. Focus on PG in the range of [4350 - 4450] [14] L - **Market Performance**: L2601 contract closed at 6818 yuan/ton (+30) [16] - **Basic Logic**: Basis repair, domestic开工率 seasonal increase, import arrival concentration, and weak downstream demand [18] - **Strategy**: Reduce short positions in the short - term. Wait for rebound to short in the long - term. Focus on L in the range of [6800 - 6950] [18] PP - **Market Performance**: PP2601 closed at 6429 yuan/ton (-51) [21] - **Basic Logic**: Following cost decline, high inventory, and insufficient demand [22] - **Strategy**: Reduce short positions in the short - term. Wait for rebound to short in the long - term. Focus on PP in the range of [6350 - 6500] [22] PVC - **Market Performance**: V2601 closed at 4586 yuan/ton (+5) [25] - **Basic Logic**: Weak fundamentals, high inventory, but low - valuation support [26] - **Strategy**: Industry hedging at high prices. Look for low - long opportunities. Focus on V in the range of [4400 - 4650] [26] PTA - **Market Performance**: TA05 was at 4754 yuan/ton [27] - **Basic Logic**: Low processing fees, increased device maintenance, and relatively good downstream demand. Cost - side PX is strong [28] - **Strategy**: Look for opportunities to go long at low prices. Focus on TA in the range of [4670 - 4750] [29] Ethylene Glycol - **Market Performance**: EG01 was at 4013 yuan/ton [30] - **Basic Logic**: Increased domestic coal - based device maintenance, new device production, and weakening downstream demand expectations. Inventory accumulation expected in November [31] - **Strategy**: Look for opportunities to short on rebounds. Focus on EG in the range of [3790 - 3850] [32] Methanol - **Market Performance**: Not specifically mentioned [33] - **Basic Logic**: High inventory suppressing prices, high domestic and overseas device开工率, and weak demand [35] - **Strategy**: Short positions held cautiously. Look for opportunities to go long on 05 contract at low prices [3] Urea - **Market Performance**: UR01 was at 1652 yuan/ton [38] - **Basic Logic**: High supply, weakening demand, and high inventory [39] - **Strategy**: Look for opportunities to short at high prices. Focus on UR in the range of [1645 - 1675] [40] Natural Gas - **Market Performance**: On November 20, NG main contract closed at $4.753/million British thermal units, up 3.48% [43] - **Basic Logic**: Seasonal demand increase, cost - profit improvement, and supply - demand situation [44] - **Strategy**: Price is likely to rise but upside is limited. Focus on NG in the range of [4.548 - 4.901] [45] Asphalt - **Market Performance**: On November 20, BU main contract closed at 3058 yuan/ton, up 0.43% [47] - **Basic Logic**: Following crude oil price, supply - demand imbalance, and cost - profit situation [48] - **Strategy**: Hold short positions. Focus on BU in the range of [3000 - 3100] [49] Glass - **Market Performance**: FG2601 closed at 1053 yuan/ton (-16) [52] - **Basic Logic**: Supply decline difficult, weak domestic demand due to falling real - estate prices [53] - **Strategy**: Short on rebounds in the long - term. Focus on FG in the range of [1000 - 1050] [53] Soda Ash - **Market Performance**: Not specifically mentioned [54] - **Basic Logic**: Decreased demand support and high - production cycle [5] - **Strategy**: Reduce short positions in the short - term. Wait for rebound to short in the long - term [5]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - Urea prices increased slightly after a period of slow new - order follow - up. The成交 atmosphere improved, with the improvement in the Northeast's compound fertilizer production, the increase in production in Shandong and Hubei, and the rise in melamine production. The entry of off - season storage and the news of export quotas also contributed to the better market situation. However, in the medium - to - long - term, the supply - demand of urea remains relatively loose due to new capacity release, and gas - based maintenance is expected to start in December. The expected improvement in year - end exports is likely to support the spot market, and continuous attention should be paid to the Northeast compound fertilizer start - up rate, raw material procurement rhythm, and national off - season storage rhythm [2] Summary by Directory 1. Urea Basis Structure - On November 20, 2025, the urea main contract closed at 1665 yuan/ton (+2). The ex - factory price of small - sized urea in Henan was 1630 yuan/ton (0), in Shandong was 1640 yuan/ton (+10), and in Jiangsu was 1620 yuan/ton (+10). The basis in Shandong was - 25 yuan/ton (+8), in Henan was - 35 yuan/ton (- 2), and in Jiangsu was - 45 yuan/ton (+8) [1] 2. Urea Output - As of November 20, 2025, the enterprise capacity utilization rate was 83.91% (0.08%) [1] 3. Urea Production Profit and Start - up Rate - The urea production profit was 110 yuan/ton (+10) [1] 4. Urea Overseas Prices and Export Profits - The export profit was 1034 yuan/ton (- 9). In October, 120 million tons of urea were exported, and the cumulative export this year exceeded 400 million tons. Urea producers have obtained a fourth - batch export quota of 60 million tons, which improved the year - end export expectation [1][2] 5. Urea Downstream Start - up and Orders - As of November 20, 2025, the capacity utilization rate of compound fertilizers was 34.61% (+4.29%), the capacity utilization rate of melamine was 62.20% (+4.72%), and the pre - received order days of urea enterprises were 7.12 days (- 0.59) [1] 6. Urea Inventory and Warehouse Receipts - As of November 20, 2025, the total inventory of sample enterprises was 143.72 million tons (- 4.64), and the port sample inventory was 10.00 million tons (+1.80) [1] Strategies - Unilateral: Range - bound, opportunistic cash - and - carry arbitrage - Inter - period: Wait - and - see - Inter - variety: None [3]

机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，红四方十大流通股东中，南方中证1000ETF（512100）位居第一 大流通股东，持股71.12万股，相比上期减少1.34万股。圆信永丰医药健康A（006274）位居第三大流通 股东，持股45.00万股，为新进股东。华夏中证1000ETF（159845）位居第四大流通股东，持股42.41万 股，相比上期增加1500.00股。圆信永丰聚优A（010469）位居第五大流通股东，持股40.01万股，相比 上期减少4.03万股。广发中证1000ETF（560010）位居第七大流通股东，持股32.54万股，相比上期减少 1.59万股。富国中证农业主题ETF（159825）位居第八大流通股东，持股28.75万股，为新进股东。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资料显示，中盐安徽红四方肥业股份有限公司位于安徽省合肥市包河区宿松路与广福路交口信达中心A 座，成立日期2012年3月26日，上市日期2024年11月26日，公司主营业务涉及复合肥和氮肥产品的研 发、生产、销售和服务。主营业务收入构成为：复合肥产品92.93%，氮肥产品5.07%，硫酸钾产品 1.22%，其他(补充)0.79%。 截至9月3 ...