Core Viewpoint - In 2025, China's fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 48,518.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.8% compared to the previous year, with private investment declining by 6.4% [1][3]. Investment by Industry - Investment in the primary industry was 957 billion yuan, an increase of 2.3% year-on-year [3]. - Investment in the secondary industry was 177,368 billion yuan, growing by 2.5% [3]. - Investment in the tertiary industry was 298,248 billion yuan, showing a decline of 7.4% [3]. - Within the secondary industry, industrial investment increased by 2.6%, with mining investment up by 2.5%, manufacturing investment up by 0.6%, and investment in electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply up by 9.1% [3]. - In the tertiary industry, infrastructure investment (excluding electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply) decreased by 2.2%, with pipeline transportation investment increasing by 36.0% and multimodal transport and agency investment increasing by 22.9% [3]. Investment by Region - Investment in the eastern region decreased by 8.4%, the central region by 2.7%, the western region by 1.3%, and the northeastern region by 15.5% [3]. Investment by Registration Type - Domestic enterprises' fixed asset investment fell by 3.8%, investment from Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan enterprises decreased by 2.2%, and foreign enterprises' investment dropped by 13.8% [3][5].

Core Viewpoint - The industrial added value of large-scale industries in December 2025 experienced a year-on-year real growth of 5.2%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.49% compared to the previous month. The total growth for the year 2025 was 5.9% compared to the previous year [1]. Group 1: Industrial Growth by Sector - In December, the mining industry saw a year-on-year growth of 5.4%, manufacturing grew by 5.7%, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water increased by 0.8% [3]. - By economic type, state-controlled enterprises had a year-on-year growth of 3.9%, joint-stock enterprises grew by 5.8%, foreign and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan-invested enterprises increased by 2.7%, and private enterprises grew by 4.2% [3][7]. - Among 41 major industries, 33 maintained year-on-year growth in added value. Notable growth was seen in coal mining and washing (6.4%), oil and gas extraction (3.7%), and the manufacturing of chemical raw materials and products (8.0%) [3][7]. Group 2: Product Output and Sales - In December, out of 623 industrial products, 325 saw a year-on-year increase in output. Steel production was 115.31 million tons (down 3.8%), cement was 144.16 million tons (down 6.6%), and ten non-ferrous metals reached 7.21 million tons (up 4.9%) [4]. - The product sales rate for large-scale industrial enterprises was 98.2%, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year. The export delivery value reached 1,493.2 billion yuan, reflecting a nominal year-on-year growth of 3.2% [4][5]. Group 3: Key Product Performance - In December, the production of automobiles was 3.412 million units (down 2.8%), with new energy vehicles accounting for 1.791 million units (up 8.7%) [4][5]. - The output of ethylene was 3.56 million tons (up 3.0%), while the crude oil processing volume was 6.246 million tons (up 5.0%) [4][5]. - The production of industrial robots increased by 14.7% year-on-year, indicating a strong growth trend in high-tech manufacturing [7].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoint In 2025, facing complex changes in the domestic and international economic environment, China's national economy withstood pressure, moved forward, and achieved new results in high - quality development under the strong leadership of the Party Central Committee and the implementation of various policies, successfully fulfilling the main goals and tasks of economic and social development and concluding the "14th Five - Year Plan" victoriously [4]. 3. Summary by Directory Macroeconomic Data - **GDP**: The annual GDP was 1,401,879 billion yuan, a 5.0% increase at constant prices. The added values of the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries increased by 3.9%, 4.5%, and 5.4% respectively. Quarterly GDP growth rates were 5.4% in Q1, 5.2% in Q2, 4.8% in Q3, and 4.5% in Q4. The Q4 GDP increased by 1.2% quarter - on - quarter [5]. - **Industry**: The annual added value of large - scale industries increased by 5.9%. The added values of the mining, manufacturing, and power sectors increased by 5.6%, 6.4%, and 2.3% respectively. The added values of equipment manufacturing and high - tech manufacturing increased by 9.2% and 9.4% respectively. In December, the added value of large - scale industries increased by 5.2% year - on - year and 0.49% month - on - month [5]. - **Services**: The annual service industry added value increased by 5.4%. In December, the service industry production index increased by 5.0% year - on - year. The business activity index and business expectation index of the service industry increased in December [6]. - **Consumption**: The annual total retail sales of consumer goods were 501,202 billion yuan, a 3.7% increase. Online retail sales increased by 8.6%. In December, total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 0.9% year - on - year and decreased by 0.12% month - on - month. The annual service retail sales increased by 5.5% [7]. - **Investment**: The annual fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 485,186 billion yuan, a 3.8% decrease. Real estate development investment decreased by 17.2%. In December, fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 1.13% month - on - month [8]. - **Import and Export**: The annual total goods import and export volume was 454,687 billion yuan, a 3.8% increase. Exports were 269,892 billion yuan, a 6.1% increase, and imports were 184,795 billion yuan, a 0.5% increase. In December, the total import and export volume increased by 4.9% year - on - year [9]. - **Prices**: The annual CPI was flat compared to the previous year. The core CPI increased by 0.7%. The annual PPI decreased by 2.6%, and the annual purchase price of industrial producers decreased by 3.0% [10]. - **Employment**: The annual average urban survey unemployment rate was 5.2%. In December, it was 5.1%. The total number of migrant workers increased by 0.5% [11]. - **Income**: The annual per - capita disposable income of national residents was 43,377 yuan, a 5.0% nominal increase. After deducting price factors, the real growth was also 5.0%. The per - capita consumption expenditure increased by 4.4% [12]. - **Population**: The year - end national population was 1,404.89 million, a decrease of 3.39 million. The birth rate was 5.63‰, the death rate was 8.04‰, and the natural growth rate was - 2.41‰. The urbanization rate was 67.89%, an increase of 0.89 percentage points [13]. Economic Growth and Business Climate Index No specific summary content other than the index names such as GDP quarterly growth rate, sub - industry GDP growth rate, and PMI index is provided [16]. Industrial Production No specific summary content other than the names of indicators such as industrial added value, power generation, steel production, coal production, railway freight volume, and Keqiang Index is provided [18]. Import and Export No specific summary content other than the names of indicators such as import and export amounts, growth rates, main export country growth rates, and export quantity and price indices is provided [23]. Investment No specific summary content other than the names of indicators such as real estate investment, infrastructure investment, manufacturing investment, and real estate - related indicators is provided [25]. Consumption No specific summary content other than the names of indicators such as total retail sales of consumer goods, automobile and petroleum product retail sales, furniture and building decoration material retail sales, and per - capita disposable income is provided [26]. Finance No specific summary content other than the names of indicators such as M1 and M2 growth rates, M2 - M1 growth rate difference and CPI, loan and social financing total, and corporate and household medium - and long - term loan amounts is provided [32]. Inflation No specific summary content other than the names of indicators such as CPI, PPI, and prices of pork and vegetables is provided [34].

据介绍，初步核算，2025年全年国内生产总值(GDP)1401879亿元，按不变价格计算，比上年增长 5.0%。 "2025年，面对国内外经济环境的复杂变化，我国国民经济运行顶压前行、向新向优，高质量发展取得 新成效，经济社会发展主要目标任务圆满实现，'十四五'胜利收官。"1月19日，在国新办举行的新闻发 布会上，国家统计局局长康义介绍2025年国民经济运行情况。 1401879亿元 "放眼全球，我国经济，贡献率预计达到30%左右。"康义表示。 71488万吨 粮食增产丰收 全年全国粮食总产量71488万吨，比上年增加838万吨，增长1.2%。 全年猪牛羊禽肉产量10072万吨，比上年增长4.2%，首次超过1亿吨。 5.9% 工业生产较快增长 全年全国规模以上工业增加值比上年增长5.9%。 分三大门类看，采矿业增加值增长5.6%，制造业增长6.4%，电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业增长 2.3%。 装备制造业增加值增长9.2%，高技术制造业增加值增长9.4%。3D打印设备、工业机器人、新能源汽车 产品产量分别增长52.5%、28.0%、25.1%。 5.4% 服务业平稳增长 全年服务业增加值比上年增长5.4% ...

Economic Growth - Q4 GDP growth was 4.5%, achieving the annual target of 5%[1] - December industrial added value increased by 5.2% YoY, surpassing the previous value of 4.8%[1] - Exports grew by 6.6% YoY in December, exceeding the consensus forecast of 2.2%[1] Demand and Consumption - Retail sales growth in December was only 0.9%, lower than the previous 1.3% and below the expected 1.5%[1] - Fixed asset investment decreased by 3.8% YoY, worse than the expected decline of 2.4%[1] - Service retail grew by 5.5%, indicating a shift towards service consumption[2] Industrial Production - December industrial production showed resilience, with manufacturing growth at 5.7%[2] - High-tech manufacturing increased by 11%, more than double the overall industrial growth rate[2] - Industrial production faced challenges with a production-sales rate of 96.4%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous year[2] Investment Trends - Real estate investment fell by 17.2% in 2025, while manufacturing investment rose by 0.6%[2] - Equipment renewal investment grew by 11.8%, supported by government policies[2] - The shift from new to second-hand housing sales indicates a change in market dynamics[2] Future Outlook - Despite pressures on domestic demand, 2026 may see a strong start due to supportive policies like "old-for-new" initiatives[2] - Key risks include a weakening real estate market and potential underperformance of export growth[2]

0:00 国家统计局1月19日发布数据显示，2025年，面对国内外经济环境的复杂变化，在以习近平同志为核心的党中央坚强领导下，各地区各部门深入贯彻 落实党中央、国务院决策部署，坚定不移贯彻新发展理念、推动高质量发展，统筹国内国际两个大局，统筹发展和安全，实施更加积极有为的宏观政策， 纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，国民经济运行顶压前行、向新向优，高质量发展取得新成效，经济社会发展主要目标任务圆满实现，"十四五"胜利收官。 初步核算，全年国内生产总值1401879亿元，按不变价格计算，比上年增长5.0%。分产业看： 第一产业增加值93347亿元，比上年增长3.9%； 第二产业增加值499653亿元，增长4.5%； 第三产业增加值808879亿元，增长5.4%。 分季度看： 一季度国内生产总值同比增长5.4%； 二季度增长5.2%； 三季度增长4.8%； 四季度增长4.5%。 从环比看，四季度国内生产总值增长1.2%。 一、粮食增产丰收，畜牧业稳定增长 全年全国粮食总产量71488万吨，比上年增加838万吨，增长1.2%。其中，夏粮产量14975万吨，下降0.1%；早稻产量2851万吨，增长1.2%；秋粮产量 536 ...

从全年来看，采矿业增加值增长5.6%，制造业增长6.4%，电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业增长2.3%。装备制造业增加值增长9.2%，高技术制造业增加 值增长9.4%，增速分别快于规模以上工业3.3、3.5个百分点。 不难看出，装备制造业和高技术制造业增势较好。与之相关的是，2025年，新质生产力给我国经济发展带来诸多新的亮点和变化，从产业来看，产业向新力 积聚成势。 21世纪经济报道记者冉黎黎 北京报道 2026年1月19日，国家统计局发布数据显示，2025年12月份，规模以上工业增加值同比实际增长5.2%（增加值增速均 为扣除价格因素的实际增长率）。从环比看，12月份，规模以上工业增加值比上月增长0.49%。 2025年，全国规模以上工业增加值比上年增长5.9%，保持较快增长态势，增速较上年加快0.1个百分点。 规模以上工业增加值同比增长速度。（国家统计局/图） 分三大门类看，12月份，采矿业增加值同比增长5.4%，制造业增长5.7%，电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业增长0.8%。 进一步而言，国家统计局局长康义在当日举行的2025年国民经济运行情况新闻发布会上提到，高端装备、绿色能源、智能制造等新兴领域 ...

第三产业中，基础设施投资（不含电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业）比上年下降2.2%。其中，管 道运输业投资增长36.0%，多式联运和运输代理业投资增长22.9%，水上运输业投资增长7.7%。 分地区看，东部地区投资比上年下降8.4%，中部地区投资下降2.7%，西部地区投资下降1.3%，东北地 区投资下降15.5%。 分登记注册类型看，内资企业固定资产投资比上年下降3.8%，港澳台企业固定资产投资下降2.2%，外 商企业固定资产投资下降13.8%。 2025年固定资产投资(不含农户)主要数据 注:此表中速度均未扣除价格固意。 据国家统计局网站19日发布数据，2025年，全国固定资产投资（不含农户）485186亿元，比上年下降 3.8%。其中，民间固定资产投资比上年下降6.4%。从环比看，12月份固定资产投资（不含农户）下降 1.13%。 分产业看，第一产业投资9570亿元，比上年增长2.3%；第二产业投资177368亿元，增长2.5%；第三产 业投资298248亿元，下降7.4%。 第二产业中，工业投资比上年增长2.6%。其中，采矿业投资增长2.5%，制造业投资增长0.6%，电力、 热力、燃气及水生产和供应业投 ...

Core Insights - In December 2025, the industrial added value of large-scale industries in China experienced a year-on-year real growth of 5.2% and a month-on-month growth of 0.49% [1] Group 1: Industrial Performance - The mining industry saw a year-on-year growth of 5.4%, while the manufacturing sector grew by 5.7%, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water increased by 0.8% in December [3] - Among different economic types, state-controlled enterprises had a year-on-year growth of 3.9%, joint-stock enterprises grew by 5.8%, foreign and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan-invested enterprises increased by 2.7%, and private enterprises saw a growth of 4.2% [3] - Out of 41 major industries, 33 reported year-on-year growth in added value, with notable increases in coal mining and washing (6.4%), oil and gas extraction (3.7%), and food processing (3.2%) [3] Group 2: Product Output - In December, among 623 industrial products, 325 reported a year-on-year increase in output, including a 4.9% increase in ten non-ferrous metals and a 3.0% increase in ethylene [4] - The production of automobiles reached 3.412 million units, a decrease of 2.8%, while new energy vehicles grew by 8.7% to 1.791 million units [4] - The sales rate of products from large-scale industrial enterprises was 98.2%, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 0.7 percentage points, and the export delivery value reached 1.4932 trillion yuan, showing a nominal year-on-year growth of 3.2% [4]

Core Insights - In 2025, China's total fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) is projected to be 48,518.6 billion yuan, representing a decline of 3.8% compared to the previous year [1] - Private fixed asset investment is expected to decrease by 6.4% year-on-year [1] - Month-on-month, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) fell by 1.13% in December [1] Investment by Industry - Investment in the primary industry reached 957 billion yuan, showing a growth of 2.3% year-on-year [3] - Investment in the secondary industry totaled 177,368 billion yuan, with a growth of 2.5% [3] - The tertiary industry saw a decline in investment of 7.4%, totaling 298,248 billion yuan [3] - Within the secondary industry, industrial investment grew by 2.6%, with mining investment increasing by 2.5%, manufacturing investment rising by 0.6%, and investment in electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply increasing by 9.1% [3] - In the tertiary industry, infrastructure investment (excluding electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply) decreased by 2.2% [3] - Notable growth in infrastructure investment includes a 36% increase in pipeline transportation and a 22.9% increase in multimodal transport and transportation agency services [3] Investment by Region - Investment in the eastern region declined by 8.4% year-on-year [3] - The central region experienced a decrease of 2.7% in investment [3] - The western region saw a decline of 1.3% in investment [3] - The northeastern region faced the most significant drop, with a decrease of 15.5% [3] Investment by Registration Type - Domestic enterprises' fixed asset investment fell by 3.8% year-on-year [3] - Investment from Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan enterprises decreased by 2.2% [3] - Foreign enterprises experienced a significant decline in fixed asset investment, dropping by 13.8% [3]