Investment Highlights - The report highlights the recovery of revenue growth for Yuyue Medical, with a significant increase in overseas sales, achieving a revenue of 7.57 billion yuan in 2024, down 5.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.81 billion yuan, down 24.6% year-on-year [3][8] - Guotai Group's performance shows resilience in its civil explosives business, with a non-net profit growth of 17.09% year-on-year in Q1 2025, despite a slight revenue decline of 1.26% [12][13] - China Merchants Highway reported a revenue of approximately 2.803 billion yuan in Q1 2025, down 7.24% year-on-year, but net profit improved by 2.74% due to cost control and increased investment income [16][17] - Shenzhen Gas's main business in urban gas sales showed growth, with a revenue of 28.348 billion yuan in 2024, down 8.34% year-on-year, but a net profit increase of 1.19% [21][22] - New Industry's overseas business continued to grow rapidly, with a revenue of 4.535 billion yuan in 2024, up 15.41% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.828 billion yuan, up 10.57% [25][26] - Huali Group's revenue in Q1 2025 grew by 12% year-on-year, driven by new brand collaborations and strong sales of sports shoes [30][31] - Bohai Leasing, a leading aircraft leasing company, reported a significant increase in aircraft sales revenue, reaching 12.7 billion yuan in 2024, up 61.08% year-on-year, driven by a strong aircraft market [35][36] - Weimao Electronics, an industrial intelligent connection control solution manufacturer, achieved a revenue of 260 million yuan in 2024, up 13.69% year-on-year, with a focus on expanding into emerging fields [39][40] Company-Specific Summaries Yuyue Medical (002223.SZ) - The company experienced a revenue decline in 2024 due to high base effects from the previous year, but Q1 2025 showed a recovery with a 9.2% year-on-year increase in revenue [3][9] - The product mix has led to a slight decrease in gross margin, with a 50.1% gross margin in 2024, down 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [10] - The company maintains a strong financial position with 7.08 billion yuan in cash and no short-term or long-term loans [10] Guotai Group (603977.SH) - The civil explosives business showed growth, with a revenue of 327 million yuan in Q1 2025, up 1.4% year-on-year [13][14] - The company faced a decline in electronic detonator sales but saw an increase in explosive engineering revenue [14][15] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 32.72%, down 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, but the non-net profit remained stable [15] China Merchants Highway (001965.SZ) - The company is actively pursuing expansion projects, including the ongoing reconstruction of key highways [17][18] - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is expected to grow steadily, with projected profits of 5.74 billion yuan in 2025 [18] Shenzhen Gas (601139.SH) - The urban gas sales volume increased by 2.78% in 2024, with significant growth in the Greater Bay Area [22] - The company is expected to benefit from lower upstream gas prices and increased sales volume [22][24] New Industry (300832.SZ) - The company reported a strong performance in overseas markets, with a 27.67% increase in overseas revenue [27] - The gross margin for 2024 was 72.26%, with a focus on expanding the product lineup in the chemical luminescence sector [28] Huali Group (300979.SZ) - The company maintained a strong partnership with major brands, resulting in a 12.34% revenue increase in Q1 2025 [30][31] - The company is expanding production capacity to meet growing demand, with a workforce increase of 17% [31] Bohai Leasing (000415.SZ) - The company is positioned as a global leader in aircraft leasing, with a fleet size of 1,158 aircraft [36] - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is expected to grow significantly, with a projected profit of 1.913 billion yuan in 2025 [37] Weimao Electronics (833346.BJ) - The company is focusing on the automotive and industrial automation sectors, with a projected growth in the vehicle wiring harness market [40][41] - The company is expanding its production capabilities to meet increasing demand in emerging markets [41]

高楼林立、车流不息。自2015年挂牌以来，中国北方首个自贸试验区——天津自贸试验区秉持为国家试制度、为地方谋发展的初心使命，推 进一系列首创性、集成式探索，为全面深化改革和扩大开放探索新途径、积累新经验。 "面向新10年，我们将加强制度创新整体谋划和系统集成，不断释放先行先试改革红利和发展动力。"天津市商务局局长、天津自贸试验区管 委会副主任孙剑楠说。 当好制度创新"试验田" 新华社天津4月21日电 题：从"试验田"到"新引擎"——北方首个自贸试验区探路制度型开放10年观察 新华社记者杨文、刘羽佳、宋瑞 中国（天津）自由贸易试验区拱门。新华社记者岳月伟 摄 2022年5月，总部位于意大利的高利尔（天津）包装有限公司，在离岸贸易"天津模式"下完成首单离岸贸易结算，如今此类业务已经常态化开 展。 "天津公司可以采购全球供应商的原材料，经由意大利、荷兰等境外制造基地装配后，直接发往泰国等海外销售目的地，收付汇贸易行为发生 在天津公司。"高利尔天津公司总经理米尔科·图里纳说。 传统模式下，跨境资金流与物流必须一致，而"天津模式"则以外汇管理部门+属地行政主管部门+商业银行+离岸贸易实施企业的多方"现场办 公会"形式批 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the impact of a 125% tariff imposed by China on Boeing aircraft and components, significantly affecting the aviation industry and aircraft leasing sector [1][3][5]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Increased Costs for Airlines**: The tariff will substantially raise procurement costs for airlines, potentially leading to cancellations or delays in Boeing aircraft orders. Existing aircraft and those imported before April 10, 2025, are exempt from the tariff [1][3][2]. - **Impact on Aircraft Leasing**: The demand for aircraft leasing may rise due to increased direct purchase costs. However, leasing companies will also face the additional tariff, complicating the overall impact on the leasing industry [1][5]. - **Dependence on U.S. Components**: China heavily relies on U.S. aviation components, with 51% of its 2024 imports coming from the U.S. The tariff will challenge the search for alternative suppliers, potentially extending maintenance cycles and reducing aircraft utilization rates [1][7]. - **Domestic Aircraft Production Challenges**: The production of China's C919 aircraft is hindered by reliance on U.S. components, leading to increased costs and affecting production capacity and pricing [1][8]. - **Airline Strategies**: Major Chinese airlines (Air China, China Eastern, China Southern) may shift to the leasing market or seek support from parent companies due to the tariff's impact on their Boeing acquisition plans [1][9]. - **Shift to Airbus**: There is a potential shift in demand from Boeing to Airbus, which could tighten global aircraft supply and slow down the overall increase in aircraft utilization rates in China [3][11]. Additional Important Content - **Tariff Exemptions**: Aircraft and components imported before specific dates are exempt from the new tariffs, which will not affect rental prices as they are based on aircraft prices [2][6]. - **Long-term Supply Chain Effects**: The tariff is expected to exacerbate supply chain tensions and may lead to a structural change in the aviation market, benefiting the aircraft leasing sector as supply tightens [12][27]. - **Market Dynamics**: The overall demand for aircraft is expected to remain stable, while supply growth will be limited, leading to a favorable environment for aircraft leasing companies [12][13]. - **Maintenance Cost Increases**: The tariff may lead to higher maintenance costs due to increased demand for non-U.S. parts and the overall tightening of the supply chain [25]. - **Potential for Old Aircraft Market Growth**: The demand for older aircraft may rise as airlines look for cost-effective solutions amidst the tariff-induced price increases for new aircraft [15][10]. Conclusion - The imposition of the 125% tariff on Boeing aircraft and components is expected to have significant short-term and long-term effects on the aviation industry, particularly impacting procurement strategies, aircraft leasing dynamics, and overall market supply and demand [27].

Summary of the Conference Call Company Overview - The conference call featured China Aircraft Leasing Group, with key speakers including Chief Strategy Officer and Co-CFO Li Bo-hui and Director of Investor Relations Ivy [1][2]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company reported a total revenue of HKD 5.204 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9% [1]. - Shareholder earnings reached HKD 258 million, maintaining a consistent dividend policy with a final dividend of HKD 0.18 [1]. - New assets grew by 4% to HKD 5.328 billion, with a debt ratio decreasing to 83.4% [2]. - The company achieved an international investment-grade rating from China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co. [2]. Business Operations - The leasing business was active, signing new leases or letters of intent for 48 aircraft, with 17 aircraft delivered [2]. - The company sold 27 out of 50 aircraft signed under SPA, setting a historical record for aircraft transactions [2]. - The fleet composition remains focused on narrow-body aircraft, which constitute 90% of the fleet, ensuring liquidity and value stability [3]. Market Outlook - The global and Chinese aviation markets are experiencing growth, with passenger traffic reaching new records [4]. - Supply chain issues, particularly in OEM production capacity, are causing a persistent aircraft supply shortage, benefiting asset values and rental income [4]. - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are expected to stimulate the aircraft trading market and reduce dollar borrowing costs [4]. Financial Management - The company reported a net income of HKD 213 million, with government support contributing HKD 316 million to operations [5]. - Total financing in the previous year was HKD 24 billion, with an average financing cost of 5.5% [6]. - The company is actively managing its debt structure to improve its international credit rating and reduce interest expenses [7]. Fleet Management - The owned fleet decreased slightly to 159 aircraft, while the managed fleet increased to 30 aircraft, representing 16% of the total fleet [8]. - The company plans to maintain a balance between aircraft deliveries and sales, with 25 aircraft expected to be delivered and sold in 2025 [8]. Customer Base and Expansion - The proportion of overseas customers exceeded 30%, with a focus on first-tier airlines [9]. - The company anticipates a positive rental income outlook due to the high demand for aircraft and the upcoming lease expirations in 2025-2027 [9]. Challenges and Risks - The supply chain issues affecting Boeing and Airbus are primarily due to engine shortages and production quality concerns [12]. - The company is aware of potential delivery delays for aircraft, which could impact fleet expansion plans [13]. Strategic Focus - The company aims to enhance its asset management capabilities and increase management fee income as a growth driver [19]. - There is a strategic emphasis on expanding the managed fleet and optimizing asset management to improve profitability [20]. Future Projections - The company expects to continue benefiting from a strong demand for aircraft leasing, despite potential supply chain constraints [25]. - The leasing market is projected to remain robust, with a significant backlog of orders from manufacturers [25]. Conclusion - Overall, China Aircraft Leasing Group is positioned for continued growth, supported by a strong financial performance, strategic fleet management, and favorable market conditions, despite facing challenges related to supply chain disruptions and aircraft delivery timelines [36][42].

早在2010年的珠海航展上，国银金租就与中国商飞签署了C919客机启动用户协议，此后与中国商飞签 署了50架C919飞机购买意向书。 作为全球首家C919运营商，东航年报显示，目前东航C919机队规模增至10架，已执行航班超6500班。 值得一提的是，在这10架中，4架为自有，6架以融资租赁形式持有。 据悉，近两年国内交付使用的C919共有16架，除东航的10架C919之外，目前南航交付使用的3架C919， 均通过融资租赁方式获得；国航目前运营的3架C919则为自购。 简单来说，在已交付的C919中，有9架来自融资租赁企业。"它们"都是谁呢？ 公开信息显示，南航3架C919交付方为交银金租、工银金租和南航租赁。东航6架交付方为东航租赁、 招银金租和工银金租。 事实上，涉足C919飞机租赁的融资租赁企业并不少见，早在C919初期的订购环节，就有不少金融租赁 公司和融资租赁公司积极布局，尝试向国产飞机租赁迈出重要一步。 国内三大航空公司——南航、国航、东航近日相继披露了各自的2024年年报，其中关于C919调机、试 飞和运行的详细内容，将大众的目光又一次聚焦到国产大飞机C919的交付与运营上。 通俗来说，飞机租赁 ...

Core Insights - 中银航空租赁 (02588) reported significant year-on-year growth in transactions for Q1 2025, with a record-high order book size, indicating strong operational performance and potential for long-term value [1][2]. Group 1: Operational Performance - In Q1 2025, the company executed 158 transactions compared to 54 in Q1 2024, including the delivery of 11 aircraft (up by 6 aircraft year-on-year) and commitments to purchase 125 new aircraft [2]. - The total fleet size increased by 15 aircraft year-on-year to 442, while the order book grew by 117 aircraft year-on-year to 339, marking a historical high [2]. - The company is expected to see an improvement in gross rental yield and stable net rental yield due to enhanced delivery rates and rising aircraft values [2]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The impact of "reciprocal tariffs" on global aviation demand is expected to be manageable, as the company has a strong fleet structure that can withstand uncertainties [3]. - The average age of the company's fleet is 5.1 years, with an average remaining lease term of 7.9 years and a utilization rate of 100%, indicating operational efficiency [3]. - The company has minimized exposure to Chinese airlines, with only 19% of its business related to this segment as of the end of 2024, and no plans to deliver aircraft from the U.S. to Chinese airlines before the end of 2026 [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong financial performance for 2024, with significant growth in both revenue and profit, alongside a robust dividend payout [2][3]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 5,203.8 million HKD in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.2% [2]. - The profit attributable to shareholders reached 257.5 million HKD, showing an increase of over 800% compared to the previous year [2]. - A final dividend of 0.18 HKD per share was proposed, bringing the total dividend for the year to 0.30 HKD per share, including an interim dividend of 0.12 HKD [2]. Leasing Business Development - Total leasing income from financing and operating leases amounted to 4,349.7 million HKD, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.6% [3]. - The average rental yield for financing leases was 7.5%, while for operating leases it was 11.2%, with respective year-on-year changes of -5.7 and -0.2 percentage points [3]. - The weighted average rental yield decreased to 11.1%, down by 0.3 percentage points, primarily due to the sale of high-yield financing lease aircraft in Q4 2023 [3]. Aircraft Transactions - The company signed new leasing agreements or reached leasing intentions for a total of 48 aircraft in 2024, including new deliveries and renewals [4]. - A record number of 50 aircraft sale agreements were signed, with 25 owned aircraft and 2 managed aircraft successfully sold [4]. - A significant transaction with Dubai Aerospace Enterprise (DAE) involved a package of 17 aircraft, marking one of the largest aircraft transactions of the year [4]. Fleet and Orders - As of the end of 2024, the company operated a fleet of 189 aircraft, consisting of 159 owned and 30 managed aircraft, with 90% of the owned fleet being narrow-body aircraft [5]. - The average age of the owned fleet was 8.5 years, with an average remaining lease term of 6.1 years [5]. - The company holds 124 aircraft on order, including 97 Airbus and 27 COMAC aircraft, representing over 70% of the owned fleet size [5].

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook on several sectors, particularly in chemicals, aviation, and refrigerants, indicating potential investment opportunities in leading companies like Baofeng and Wanhua [3][8]. Core Insights - The chemical sector has been in a downward cycle for over three years, but a significant decline in capital expenditure is expected in 2025, which may stabilize demand due to supportive domestic policies [3][5][6]. - The refrigerant sector is performing well, with rising market prices and expected profit increases in the second quarter [9]. - The aviation sector shows signs of recovery, with improving ticket prices and demand expected to rise during holiday periods [13][14]. - Companies like Manbang and China Civil Aviation Information Network are highlighted for their strong performance and optimistic growth forecasts [15][17]. Summary by Sections Chemical Sector - The chemical sector has faced a prolonged downturn, but capital expenditure is expected to decrease significantly in 2025, leading to a potential end to rapid capacity growth [3][5]. - Domestic demand is stabilizing as the real estate market's drag diminishes, supported by policies aimed at boosting consumption [6]. - High upstream energy costs, particularly for crude oil, continue to pressure midstream chemical companies, but a potential adjustment in oil prices could present investment opportunities [7][8]. Refrigerant Sector - The refrigerant market has shown strong performance, with both market and long-term prices on the rise, leading to improved profits for companies in this sector [9]. Aviation Sector - Recent trends indicate a recovery in the aviation sector, with domestic ticket prices showing a narrowing decline and expected demand increases during holiday seasons [13]. - Boeing's limited capacity recovery continues to tighten global aircraft supply, benefiting the aircraft leasing industry [14]. Company Performance - Manbang's performance exceeded expectations, with projected compound profit growth of over 30% for 2025 and 2026, supported by strong online transaction capabilities [15][16]. - China Civil Aviation Information Network is expected to see optimistic growth in 2025, with a low valuation and potential for value appreciation [17][18]. Fiberglass Sector - The fiberglass industry is experiencing demand growth driven by wind power and consumer electronics, with leading companies maintaining strong pricing power [19][20]. Cement Sector - The cement sector shows signs of recovery with improved shipment rates and stable demand, particularly in southern markets, suggesting potential for price increases [21]. Glass Industry - The float glass industry faces challenges but is seeing marginal improvements in production and sales rates, with specific companies like Xinyi Glass highlighted for their competitive advantages [22]. Non-Ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous metals market, particularly copper and aluminum, is experiencing upward trends due to supply constraints and increasing demand, indicating a potential reversal in market conditions [26]. Titanium Industry - The titanium industry is poised for growth due to strong domestic demand and reduced import supply, with companies like Hunan Gold being recommended for investment [27]. Bond Market Outlook - The bond market is expected to experience a downward trend in yields as monetary policy becomes more accommodative, indicating a favorable environment for bond investments [32].

2025 年 03 月 13 日 中银航空租赁 (02588) ——滞俄飞机减计影响出清，交付掣肘与降息放缓成关键 变量 上 市 公 司 非银金融 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 03 月 13 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港币） | 61.85 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 8640.61 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币） | 70.25/53.60 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 429.25 | | 流通 H 股（百万股） | 694.01 | | 汇率（人民币/港币） | 1.0832 | 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势： -3% 17% 37% 57% HSCEI 中银航空租赁 资料来源：Bloomberg 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 研究支持 金黎丹 A0230123060002 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 金黎丹 (8621)23297818× jinld@swsresearch.com 事件：3 月 13 日，中银航空租赁披露 2024 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of USD 2.56 billion for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4%, and a net profit of USD 924 million, up 21% year-on-year, marking a historical high [5] - The core net profit, excluding the impact of the write-down of Russian aircraft, was USD 633 million, reflecting a 16% year-on-year increase [5] - The company faces challenges in aircraft delivery due to supply chain issues, which may affect core rental income [6] - The aviation industry is experiencing a strong recovery, with a projected CAGR of 5.1% for passenger demand in the Asia-Pacific region over the next 20 years, significantly higher than North America and Europe [6] - The company benefits from a young fleet and a high remaining lease term, which positions it well to capitalize on the growth in the Asia-Pacific aviation market [6] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - The company expects revenues to grow from USD 2.56 billion in 2024 to USD 2.82 billion by 2027, with net profits projected to decline to USD 671 million in 2025 before recovering to USD 754 million by 2027 [6][7] - The financial forecast includes a decrease in net profit estimates for 2025 and 2026 due to anticipated delivery issues and rising funding costs [6] - The company’s net asset return is expected to remain stable, with a projected return on equity of around 10.2% from 2025 to 2027 [6] Company Insights - The company has a fleet of 709 aircraft, with 445 owned, achieving a utilization rate of over 99% [6] - The average age of the fleet is 5.0 years, significantly younger than the global average of 15 years, which enhances its competitive position [6] - The company sold 29 aircraft in 2024 and signed 118 new lease commitments, indicating active fleet management [6] - The company’s order book stands at 232 aircraft, reflecting strong demand despite delivery challenges [6]