1、行情 指数小幅上涨，小盘股持续走强。 题材方面，IP经济全天爆发，广博股份、京华激光、创源股份（20CM）、奥飞娱乐、实丰文化、华立科技（20CM炸）先后涨停，金马游乐、 高乐股份、金运激光、汤姆猫、德创文艺、姚记科技等集体大涨； 宠物经济继续走强，源飞宠物、天元宠物（20CM）双双2连板，依依股份、路斯股份（30CM炸）、可靠股份（20CM炸）涨停，瑞普生物、佩 蒂股份、青木科技、中宠股份等集体大涨； 珠宝饰品板块同样大涨，莱绅通灵、潮宏基、曼卡龙（20CM）先后涨停，惠丰钻石、菜百股份、周大生、力量钻石等大涨； 并购重组概念持续走强，并不断有新概念股加入，五新隧装（30CM）、金利华电（20CM）、保变电气、亚泰集团、综艺股份、湖南天雁、湖 南发展、滨海能源等集体2连板，佳合科技（30CM）、慧博云通（20CM）、梦网科技、大唐电信等涨停； 此外，饮品、电力、合成生物、化妆品等均有局部强势表现，航运、港口、化纤等跌幅居前。 截至收盘，沪指、深成指、创业板指分别收涨0.38%、0.77%、0.77%，市场超3800股上涨，1300余股下跌。 另外，北证50、微盘股指数今日双双刷新历史新高。 2、宠物经济 ...

面临消费和审美喜好的不断变化，为了满足这些需求并与竞争对手保持竞争力，珠宝设计师们不断在创 新方面进行尝试。在刘昱眼中，通过产品更新速率快、供给丰富、价格低廉的快时尚逻辑，在年轻一代 中逐渐失去了吸引力。跨界融合、可持续性和数字化颠覆是珠宝设计师需要关注的重要方面。在刘昱的 带领下，BLACKHEAD则聚焦于不同材料的灵活组合，碰撞出新的设计创意和灵感。这种跨界融合不 仅拓宽了珠宝设计的边界，也为消费者带来了更多元化、个性化的选择。 2012年，名为BLACKHEAD的配饰品牌横空出世，这个由刘昱一手设计、打造的全品类首饰产品，凭 借其造型独特且极具设计感的优势，自面世以来便受到众多明星及媒体追捧，也逐渐成为年轻一代的搭 配首选品牌。目前，BLACKHEAD在全球迅速积累了一批核心受众，已有超50家门店，销售每年保持 30%-50%的增速。 早在2018年，BLACKHEAD首个线下实体店就落地于上海新天地（301277），其产品特色鲜明、销售 业绩优秀，因而也受到不少来自业主方的关注，陆续进驻其他核心商圈。在后续两年的摸索中，刘昱根 据市场对店铺进行了全面升级，包括整体视觉、店铺形象、产品系列等，也使得品牌 ...

Core Insights - The rising gold prices have made gold jewelry, particularly "gold patches," popular among consumers, especially the youth [1][3] - Gold patches combine traditional cultural elements with modern design, appealing to young people's fashion and individuality [1] - The affordability of gold patches, with some priced under 100 yuan, attracts budget-conscious young consumers [3] Market Dynamics - Gold patches are marketed at various price points, leading to significant price discrepancies, which often correlate with quality differences [5] - Some brands offer gold patches at prices that, when calculated per gram, exceed traditional gold jewelry prices, indicating potential overpricing [6] - Collaborations with popular IPs result in severe price premiums for certain gold patches, necessitating careful consideration of their added value [7] Consumer Experience - User experiences with gold patches vary, with some consumers appreciating their decorative appeal while others express concerns over quality and pricing [8] - Gold patches are noted for their strong decorative qualities, but consumers must be mindful of style compatibility when making purchases [9] Quality Concerns - The quality of gold patches is inconsistent, with lower-priced options potentially using non-pure gold materials, leading to quality issues [10] - The limited weight of gold patches restricts their value retention and appreciation potential, making them less viable as investment pieces [11] Purchasing Recommendations - Consumers are advised to choose reputable brands to ensure product quality and reliable after-sales service [12] - Attention to product details, such as gold content and craftsmanship, is crucial for making informed purchasing decisions [13] - Understanding basic gold knowledge can enhance consumers' ability to discern product authenticity and quality [14] - A rational approach to purchasing, avoiding trends and high-priced IP collaborations, is recommended to prevent overpaying [13][15]

5月16日，#金价一跌再跌网友直呼亏麻了#进入热搜，截至智通财经发稿，该词条有6054.1万点击，引 起网友的广泛关注。 5月15日盘中，金价一度大幅跳水，现货黄金最低下探至3120美元/盎司，日内跌幅一度接近1.8%； COMEX黄金期货一度跌超2%，最低触及3123美元/盎司。随后金价出现反弹。 据羊城晚报5月14日报道，有人分享了自己的贷款80万元买黄金的经历。据其表述，其成本价高达830 元，现在感到非常心慌。记者据网友所述算了一笔账，从持仓价格的830元到现在的758元左右的价格， 不算贷款利息、回收差价等，每克就已经跌掉了72元，80万元投资的损失在7万元左右。 近期，建设银行、兴业银行、广发银行等多家银行发布了信用卡"炒金"风险提示，强调严控信用卡"炒 金"，明确指出信用卡资金不得用于投资股市、黄金等高风险领域。 黄金价格剧烈波动，花旗率先下调了黄金未来展望。5月12日，花旗发布报告，将未来三个月黄金目标 价从每盎司3500美元大幅下调至3150美元，降幅高达10%。 花旗的分析师在最新研究报告中明确指出，此轮金价下调的核心原因在于全球关税谈判取得突破性进 展。报告强调："此前推动金价上涨的关键 ...

2025 年 05 月 12 日 行业周报 看好/维持 纺织服装 纺织服装 纺服&零售周报:制造端有望企稳回升，关注 618 大促催化(2025. 5.5-5.11) ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (20%) (10%) 0% 10% 20% 24/5/13 24/7/24 24/10/4 24/12/15 25/2/25 25/5/8 纺织服装 沪深300 相关研究报告 <<纺服&零售周报：美护品牌 Q1 表现 亮眼，个护景气度向上(2025.4. 28- 5.4)>>--2025-05-06 <<稳健医疗 24 年报及 25Q1 财报点 评：消费品业务加速成长，核心品类 增速亮眼>>--2025-04-29 <<健盛集团 24 年财报点评：业绩符 合预期，期待无缝利润弹性释放>>-- 2025-04-28 证券分析师：郭彬 电话： E-MAIL：guobin@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190519090001 报告摘要 本周核心观点：1）关税预期缓和：根据商务部新闻发布，5 月 10 日 上午中美经贸高层会谈在瑞士日内瓦开始举行，中共中央政治局委员、国 务院副总理何立峰作为中美经贸中方牵头人。5 ...

2025 年 05 月 12 日 行业周报 看好/维持 纺织服装 纺织服装 纺服&零售周报:制造端有望企稳回升，关注 618 大促催化(2025. 5.5-5.11) ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (20%) (10%) 0% 10% 20% 24/5/13 24/7/24 24/10/4 24/12/15 25/2/25 25/5/8 纺织服装 沪深300 相关研究报告 <<纺服&零售周报：美护品牌 Q1 表现 亮眼，个护景气度向上(2025.4. 28- 5.4)>>--2025-05-06 <<稳健医疗 24 年报及 25Q1 财报点 评：消费品业务加速成长，核心品类 增速亮眼>>--2025-04-29 <<健盛集团 24 年财报点评：业绩符 合预期，期待无缝利润弹性释放>>-- 2025-04-28 证券分析师：郭彬 电话： E-MAIL：guobin@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190519090001 报告摘要 本周核心观点：1）关税预期缓和：根据商务部新闻发布，5 月 10 日 上午中美经贸高层会谈在瑞士日内瓦开始举行，中共中央政治局委员、国 务院副总理何立峰作为中美经贸中方牵头人。5 ...

Group 1 - In April 2023, Guangdong's Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.3% month-on-month, reversing a previous decline of 0.4%, while the year-on-year decline narrowed to 0.4%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial producers in Guangdong decreased by 0.3% month-on-month and 1.4% year-on-year, with the month-on-month decline narrowing by 0.1 percentage points [1] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose by 0.1% year-on-year, contrasting with a decline of 0.1% in the previous month, indicating a change of 0.2 percentage points [1] Group 2 - Food prices increased by 0.3% month-on-month, compared to a decline of 0.9% in the previous month, resulting in a difference of 1.2 percentage points [2] - Within food prices, pork prices decreased by 1.1%, with the decline narrowing by 2.1 percentage points from the previous month [1] - Non-food prices shifted from a decline of 0.3% to an increase of 0.2%, influenced by increased travel demand during the Qingming Festival and the upcoming May Day holiday, as well as large exhibitions like the Canton Fair [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The company's performance in Q1 2025 shows resilience with a revenue increase of 25% and a profit increase of 44%, despite a challenging 2024 impacted by asset impairment [1][3] - The revenue structure indicates a shift towards traditional gold, while fashion jewelry and leather goods face pressure; however, the franchise business is experiencing significant growth [1][2] - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with revenue forecasts of 81 billion, 92 billion, and 103 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 24%, 14%, and 11% [3][4] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 6.52 billion (up 10.5% year-on-year) and a net profit of 194 million (down 42% year-on-year) due to impairment losses [1][4] - For Q4 2024, the revenue was 1.66 billion (up 18.4% year-on-year), but the net profit turned negative at -120 million, primarily due to a 210 million asset impairment loss [1] Store Expansion and Market Position - The company expanded its store count by 129 in 2024, reaching a total of 1,505 stores, with a notable increase in franchise stores [2] - The average GMV for franchise stores showed double-digit growth, indicating strong confidence among franchisees in the brand [2] Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 4.8 billion, 5.6 billion, and 6.4 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 148%, 17%, and 15% [3][4] - The expected P/E ratios for the next three years are 17.5, 15.0, and 13.1 [3][4] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for 2024 was 23.6%, down 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to 3.0% [10] - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 22.9%, down 2.0 percentage points year-on-year, but the net profit margin increased to 8.4% [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company plans to raise approximately HKD 2.7 billion by issuing 4.31 million shares at a price of HKD 630 per share, which will be used primarily for expanding and optimizing its store network [7] - The company has completed the expansion of 12 stores and the renovation of 7 stores since its listing, indicating a strong focus on enhancing its retail presence [7] - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of RMB 19.59 billion, RMB 28.40 billion, and RMB 36.92 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 130.3%, 45.0%, and 30.0% [6][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be RMB 3.50 billion, RMB 5.30 billion, and RMB 7.19 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 137.4%, 51.7%, and 35.6% [6][8] - The company is positioned as a leader in the traditional gold market, leveraging high-quality products, differentiated designs, and superior store service to enhance its luxury brand attributes [7] Financial Summary - The company's total market capitalization is approximately HKD 115.33 billion, with a circulating market capitalization of HKD 92.59 billion [3] - The company's debt-to-asset ratio stands at 38.13% [3] - Earnings per share are projected to increase from RMB 3.0 in 2023 to RMB 42.7 by 2027 [6] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 27.5% in 2023, peaking at 47.1% in 2025 before declining to 36.1% by 2027 [6]

证券研究报告 | 行业专题研究 gszqdatemark 2025 05 06 年 月 日 纺织服饰 行业总结：2024 年纺织制造修复，2025 年关注优质品牌 服饰品牌：2024 年利润承压，2025Q1 降幅收窄，期待后续修复。品牌服饰（仅 A 股）重 点公司 2024 年收入同比-2.2%/归母净利润同比-24.1%（其中 Q2~Q4 利润下滑幅度相对较 大），2025Q1 收入同比-2.6%/归母净利润同比-9.7%。1）盈利能力：利润下滑幅度大于收 入，主要系零售承压背景下负向经营杠杆显现，费用率同比提升。2）营运表现：存货同比增 加（主要系 2024 秋冬货品增加），库龄相对健康，折扣压力可控，毛利率稳中有升（品牌服 饰重点公司2024年毛利率为同比+0.4pct 至56.8%/2025Q1毛利率同比+1.1pct 至57.4%）。 3）现金流与分红：2024 年大部分品牌商现金流匹配业绩表现，分红比例保持较高水平。 服饰制造：过去收入平稳增长、业绩表现卓越，当下关税冲击或加速格局优化。纺织制造重 点公司 2024 年收入同比+6.4%/归母净利润增长 26.9%，产能利用率提升驱动盈利质量改 ...