Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of the Shanghai Composite Index, which has achieved an "eight consecutive days" rise, driven by strong domestic capital amid the absence of northbound funds due to the Christmas holiday. The market has shown good profitability, with trading volumes exceeding 1.9 trillion yuan on December 25 and 26. The backdrop of AI narratives, domestic demand stimulation, and the depreciation of the US dollar are highlighted as key factors influencing the market dynamics [1][7]. Group 1: Market Performance and Dynamics - The Shanghai Composite Index has achieved an "eight consecutive days" rise, supported by strong domestic capital [1][7]. - Trading volumes exceeded 1.9 trillion yuan on December 25 and 26, indicating a favorable market profitability effect [1][7]. - The offshore RMB has strengthened past the 7.0 mark against the US dollar, which is seen as a critical variable for future market trends [1][7]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Beneficiary sectors are categorized into three tiers: 1. Cost and debt improvement types, which directly benefit from RMB appreciation and have high elasticity [1][7]. 2. Fund flow-driven types, which are core assets benefiting from increased attractiveness of RMB assets [1][7]. 3. Asset revaluation types, which present valuation recovery opportunities due to the intrinsic value enhancement of RMB-denominated assets [1][7]. Group 3: Historical Context and Comparisons - Since 2017, the RMB has experienced three phases of rapid appreciation, each with different underlying logic: 1. The 2017 appreciation was linked to the opening of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, leading to core asset revaluation due to foreign capital inflow [2][8]. 2. The 2020-2021 phase was driven by a significant recovery in export data and strong performance in the new energy sector, showcasing the resilience of Chinese manufacturing [2][8]. 3. The late 2022 to early 2023 phase was characterized by a rebound in manufacturing PMI amid economic pressure, with market speculation on economic recovery [2][8]. Group 4: Current Differences and Strategic Opportunities - The current appreciation is primarily driven by domestic capital rather than foreign investment, favoring high-elasticity sectors rather than stable consumer and financial sectors [3][9]. - The core driving force is the technological revolution and liquidity abundance, with a higher market risk appetite focusing on sectors like commercial aerospace, AI infrastructure, and humanoid robotics [3][9]. Group 5: Recommended Strategies - The recommended trading strategy for the current RMB appreciation phase includes a mid-term focus on "pan-technology" and a short-term defensive approach, emphasizing sectors like commercial aerospace, robotics, and AI applications [4][10]. - It is suggested to maintain a lower position in defensive stocks that directly benefit from RMB appreciation, such as paper manufacturing and airport operations, especially during the annual report forecast period [4][10].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the shipping sector, expecting a strong start in 2026, particularly for companies like ST Song, China Shipbuilding, and China Power [5]. Core Insights - The shipping industry has seen improvements in new ship orders and pricing since October, with expectations for a strong performance in 2026. The report highlights the potential for a seasonal price increase in January, particularly in the oil and bulk cargo sectors [5]. - The report emphasizes the resilience of the railway and highway freight volumes, with steady growth observed. Data from the Ministry of Transport shows a slight decrease in railway freight but an increase in highway truck traffic [5][6]. - The airline industry is at a turning point, with expectations for significant improvements in airline profitability due to supply constraints and increasing passenger volumes [5]. - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with three potential scenarios outlined for future profitability and market dynamics [5]. Summary by Sections Shipping Sector - New ship orders and pricing have improved since October, with expectations for a strong performance in 2026. Companies like ST Song, China Shipbuilding, and China Power are highlighted as key players [5]. - The report notes a significant drop in VLCC rates, with a 34.4% decrease observed on December 24, while crude oil tanker rates showed a 7.6% increase due to supply constraints [5]. Railway and Highway - Railway freight volume was reported at 78.37 million tons, a 1.96% decrease week-on-week, while highway truck traffic increased by 2.02% to 55.44 million vehicles [5][6]. Airline Industry - The report suggests that the airline industry is poised for a golden era, with supply constraints and increased international travel expected to enhance profitability [5]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is undergoing a transformation, with three scenarios proposed for future market dynamics, focusing on price recovery and potential mergers [5]. Overall Transportation Index - The transportation sector index rose by 1.37%, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.95% [6].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an overall investment rating for the industry, but it recommends specific companies such as SF Express and China Southern Airlines based on their performance and market conditions [2][4]. Core Views - The express delivery sector shows a year-on-year growth of 5% in November, with some companies benefiting from price increases due to reduced competition. The total express delivery volume reached approximately 180.6 billion pieces, while revenue decreased by 3.7% to 137.65 billion yuan [2]. - In logistics, the chemical transportation prices remained stable, and the report recommends Haichen Co. for its focus on smart logistics and improved demand [3]. - The aviation sector experienced a slight increase in flight operations, with an average of 14,612 flights per day, reflecting a 1.79% year-on-year growth. The report anticipates profit elasticity for airlines due to supply constraints and rising ticket prices [4]. - The shipping sector indicates a mixed performance, with container shipping rates showing a slight increase, while dry bulk shipping rates have decreased. The report highlights the impact of geopolitical events on oil tanker operations [5]. - The road and rail sector shows stable performance, with highway freight traffic increasing by 2.02% week-on-week, and the Daqin Railway reported a 1.75% increase in freight volume [6][89]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The transportation index rose by 1.3% during the week of December 20-26, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.9%. The logistics sector had the highest gain at 5.5%, while the aviation sector saw a decline of 0.7% [1][13]. 2. Industry Fundamentals Tracking 2.1 Shipping and Ports - The report notes a slowdown in container shipping declines, with support from seasonal demand and long-term contracts. However, it warns of potential downward pressure on rates in January due to increased capacity [24]. - The export container shipping index (CCFI) was reported at 1,146.67 points, up 2.0% week-on-week but down 24.3% year-on-year [25]. 2.2 Aviation and Airports - The civil aviation sector saw a total passenger volume of 60.17 million in November, a 6% increase year-on-year, with domestic routes growing by 5% and international routes by 19% [58]. - The report highlights that airlines are expected to see significant profit increases in Q4 due to high load factors and rising ticket prices [58]. 2.3 Rail and Road - The report indicates that national railway passenger volume reached 331 million in November, a year-on-year increase of 8.94%, while freight volume was 460 million tons, up 1.16% [83]. - The highway freight traffic showed a slight increase, with a total of 55.44 million trucks passing through highways during the week of December 16-21 [89].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the shipping sector, particularly highlighting potential opportunities in ST Songfa, China Shipbuilding, and China Power [5]. Core Insights - The shipping sector is expected to see a strong start in 2026, driven by improved new ship orders and the launch of shipping industry index funds. The report anticipates a rebound in freight rates post the Christmas season, with a potential early trading opportunity for the oil and bulk shipping sectors ahead of the Spring Festival [5]. - The report emphasizes the resilience of the logistics and transportation sectors, with specific attention to the performance of various sub-sectors, including air transport and express delivery, which are poised for significant growth due to supply constraints and increasing demand [5][6]. Summary by Sections Shipping Sector - New ship orders have improved since October, and the shipping industry index fund launch is expected to boost the sector in 2026. The report recommends focusing on ST Songfa, China Shipbuilding, and China Power [5]. - The report notes that the overall oil and bulk freight rates exceeded expectations in Q4, with specific recommendations for China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping Energy [5]. Air Transport - The report highlights the unprecedented challenges in the aircraft manufacturing supply chain and the aging fleet, which are expected to constrain supply. However, the rising passenger volume and the allocation of more capacity to international routes are anticipated to enhance airline profitability [5]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with three potential scenarios outlined: price recovery leading to profit restoration, continued competitive pressure in certain regions, and potential mergers and acquisitions for supply-side optimization. Recommended companies include Shentong Express, YTO Express, and ZTO Express [5]. Road and Rail Transport - The report indicates that railway freight volumes and highway truck traffic are showing resilience, with steady growth expected. Data from the Ministry of Transport shows a slight decrease in railway freight but an increase in highway truck traffic [5]. Market Performance - The transportation index rose by 1.37%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which increased by 1.95%. The raw material supply chain services sector saw the highest increase at 6.57%, while the air transport sector experienced a decline of 0.75% [6].

Group 1: Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index achieved an "eight consecutive days" rise, supported by strong domestic capital, with trading volumes exceeding 1.9 trillion CNY on December 25 and 26[4] - The offshore RMB/USD exchange rate has recently strengthened, breaking the 7.0 mark, influenced by the US interest rate cuts and a weaker dollar, becoming a key variable for future market trends[4] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The recommended trading strategy during this RMB appreciation phase is a mid-term focus on "pan-technology" and a short-term defensive approach, emphasizing sectors like commercial aerospace, robotics, and AI applications[1] - Investors are advised to maintain a low position in defensive stocks such as paper and aviation, which directly benefit from RMB appreciation, especially during the annual report forecast period[1] Group 3: Beneficiary Sectors - Beneficiary sectors are categorized into three tiers: - Tier 1: Cost and debt improvement sectors that directly benefit from RMB appreciation, showing high elasticity[4] - Tier 2: Core assets driven by capital flow, benefiting from increased attractiveness of RMB-denominated assets[4] - Tier 3: Asset revaluation opportunities due to the intrinsic value enhancement of RMB-denominated assets[4] Group 4: Historical Context - Since 2017, the RMB has experienced three rapid appreciation phases, each with different underlying logic and market conditions, including core asset bull markets and significant recovery in exports[5] - The current phase differs from previous ones, characterized by domestic capital dominance and a focus on technology-driven growth rather than economic recovery[6]

Core Viewpoint - The aviation and airport sector experienced a 2.8% increase on December 26, with HNA Holding leading the gains, while the overall market indices showed modest increases [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3963.68, up 0.1%, and the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13603.89, up 0.54% [1]. - HNA Holding's stock price rose by 2.27% to 1.80, with a trading volume of 10.22 million shares and a transaction value of 1.834 billion [1]. - Other notable performers included CITIC Offshore Helicopter, which increased by 1.14%, and Spring Airlines, which saw a slight increase of 0.16% [1]. Group 2: Stock Performance Summary - The table of stock performance shows various companies in the aviation sector, with HNA Holding leading in percentage increase, while several companies like China Eastern Airlines and Shanghai Airport experienced declines [2]. - The overall aviation and airport sector saw a net outflow of 313 million in main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 340 million [2]. Group 3: Fund Flow Analysis - HNA Holding had a net inflow of 18.76 million from main funds, but a net outflow of 17.27 million from retail investors [3]. - China Eastern Airlines experienced a significant net outflow of 26.35 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 60.68 million [3]. - The analysis indicates that retail investors are actively participating in the market, contrasting with the outflows from institutional and speculative funds [3].

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603885 | 吉祥航空 | 14.08 | 1.51% | | 20.16万 | 2.85亿 | | 000099 | 中信海直 | 20.18 | 1.51% | | 12.72万 | 2.56亿 | | 601021 | 春秋航空 | 56.36 | 1.46% | | < 3.72万 | 2.08亿 | | 601111 | 中国国航 | 8.72 | 0.46% | | - 56.12万 | 4.91亿 | | 600009 | 上海机场 | 33.78 | 0.39% | | 14.50万 | 4.92亿 | | 600115 | 中国东航 | 5.62 | 0.00% | | 106.67万 | 5.99亿 | | 000089 | 深圳机场 | 7.06 | 0.00% | | 6.33万 | 4480.95万 | | 002928 | 华夏航空 | 10.96 | 0.00% | | 19.52万 | 2.14亿 ...

南方财经12月24日电，南财投研通数据显示，12月23日，券商给予上市公司目标价共9次，按最新收盘 价计算，目标价涨幅排名居前的公司有吉祥航空、天赐材料、伯特利，目标价涨幅分别为56.46%、 50.22%、44.34%，分别属于航空机场、电池、汽车零部件行业。从券商推荐家数来看，12月23日有22 家上市公司得到券商推荐，其中三花智控获得3家推荐，华联控股、红旗连锁等获得1家推荐。查看原 文：吉祥航空目标价涨幅超56%；22股获推荐丨券商评级观察刚刚 ...

Group 1: Consumer Sector Insights - The central economic work conference prioritizes expanding domestic demand, with "reward economy" expected to drive consumption growth, reshaping consumer behavior and enhancing supply-side requirements [2][6] - The "reward economy" is projected to boost the emotional economy market in China, with a forecasted market size of 23,077.67 billion yuan in 2024, potentially exceeding 45,000 billion yuan by 2029 [6] - The report identifies key consumer companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange, including those in cultural IP, pet food, cosmetics, and food and beverage sectors, which are expected to thrive under favorable policies [6][7] Group 2: Intelligent Driving Industry - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has conditionally approved two L3 autonomous driving models, marking a transition from technology validation to mass production in China's autonomous vehicle industry [11] - The autonomous driving market in China reached a scale of 330.1 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected growth to nearly 450 billion yuan by 2025 [11] - Eleven companies in the intelligent driving supply chain are identified, including Audiwei and Kaiter, which are positioned to benefit from this market expansion [11][12] Group 3: Construction Materials and Fireworks - The upcoming Spring Festival has led to renewed interest in investment opportunities related to fireworks, as policies shift from prohibition to restrictions, enhancing market attention [16] - The report highlights the potential for investment in companies like Guotai Group, which may benefit from these regulatory changes [16] - The IPO market is heating up, with companies like Yuxin Semiconductor receiving approval, indicating a positive trend for the construction materials sector [17] Group 4: Logistics and Transportation - The express delivery industry saw a 5% year-on-year increase in package volume in November, with significant performance variations among major players [21] - The report notes that the average price per package for major express companies has improved, indicating a recovery in profitability within the logistics sector [21][32] - The report emphasizes the resilience of the e-commerce logistics sector, with companies like YTO Express and Shentong Express expected to benefit from ongoing demand and operational improvements [32] Group 5: Shipping and Port Operations - The report discusses the impact of U.S. sanctions on oil tankers, suggesting that compliant oil transport markets may benefit from these geopolitical developments [27] - The Shanghai export container freight index has shown an increase, indicating a positive trend in shipping rates [28] - The report highlights the potential for recovery in the shipping market, driven by OPEC+ production increases and a favorable economic environment [33]

从资金流向上来看，当日航空机场板块主力资金净流出9.04亿元，游资资金净流入3.61亿元，散户资金 净流入5.43亿元。航空机场板块个股资金流向见下表： 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成投资建议。 证券之星消息，12月23日航空机场板块较上一交易日下跌1.49%，海航控股领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3919.98，上涨0.07%。深证成指报收于13368.99，上涨0.27%。航空机场板块个股涨跌见下表： ...