（文章来源：新华财经） 新华财经北京10月22日电农业农村部畜牧兽医局与中国饲料工业协会共同发布2025年9月份全国饲料生 产形势。2025年9月，全国工业饲料产量3036万吨，环比增长3.4%，同比增长5.0%。其中，配合饲料、 浓缩饲料、添加剂预混合饲料同比分别增长5.1%、0.3%、6.5%。主要饲料产品出厂价格同比下降，畜 禽配合饲料、添加剂预混合饲料出厂价格环比以增为主，浓缩饲料出厂价格环比小幅下降。饲料企业生 产的配合饲料中玉米用量占比为33.6%，同比下降2.4个百分点；配合饲料和浓缩饲料中豆粕用量占比为 14.3%。 2025年三季度，全国工业饲料总产量24653万吨，同比增长6.6%。其中，配合饲料、浓缩饲料、添加剂 预混合饲料产量分别为23029万吨、954万吨、536万吨，同比分别增长6.8%、0.2%、7.5%。主要配合饲 料、浓缩饲料、添加剂预混合饲料产品出厂价格同比呈下降趋势。 | 项目 | | 浓缩饲料 | | | 添加剂预混合饲料 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 育肥猪 | 蛋鸡高峰 | 肉大鸡 | 4%大 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨海大集团（002311.SZ） [Table_Title] 海大集团 2025 年三季报暨港股上市预案点评： 饲料量利齐升，看好海外业务分拆上市 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司单三季度饲料板块量利齐升，归母净利润增长 30%以上。单三季度饲料销量约 860 万吨， 同比增长 21%，测算饲料吨利 160 元/吨，同比增长 10%，主要系产品结构优化及海外占比提 升。三季度猪价同比大幅下行且套保空间有限，叠加外购仔猪成本抬升，生猪养殖头盈利同环 比下降。此外，积极看好公司海外业务分拆上市，有助于提升公司的国际影响力和全球市场竞 争力，进一步促进上市公司高质量发展。通过登陆香港资本市场能够拓宽公司融资渠道，加快 境外业务的发展，进而提升上市公司整体盈利能力。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 海大集团（002311.SZ） cjzqdt11111 陈佳 顾熀乾 王煜坤 SAC：S04 ...

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector is experiencing a downturn, with the first agricultural ETF (159275) declining by 1.31% as of market close on October 22, 2023 [1] Industry Analysis - The pig farming industry is facing significant capacity pressure, leading to widespread losses. Current prices for fat and piglets have dropped to yearly lows, suggesting a potential further decline in prices. Historical trends indicate that when both prices are low, the industry may initiate market-driven capacity reduction, which could support long-term price increases for pigs [3] - Despite the current challenges, there is an expectation of increased pig supply in the fourth quarter due to rising slaughter volumes and accelerated weight gain as temperatures drop. This has led to a stronger demand for meat, with pig prices stabilizing at psychological levels, easing the pressure on the breeding sector [3] - The valuation of the agricultural sector remains relatively low, presenting a favorable investment opportunity. As of October 22, 2023, the agricultural ETF's index price-to-book ratio stands at 2.57, placing it in the 29.3 percentile over the past decade, highlighting its mid- to long-term investment value [3] Investment Direction - Analysts are optimistic about the pig farming sector due to policy and market forces driving capacity reduction, which is expected to enhance long-term performance [4] - The agricultural sector plays a crucial role in food security, economic development, ecological balance, and social welfare. The traditional farming industry is undergoing significant supply-side reforms, which are likely to benefit large-scale farming enterprises. The domestic market concentration is increasing, and companies that have expanded into overseas markets are expected to gain a competitive edge [5] - The current upward trend in grain prices and favorable conditions in the planting and seed sectors indicate significant investment opportunities in these areas [6] ETF Overview - The agricultural ETF (159275) tracks the CSI Agricultural Index, with major holdings including leading companies in livestock, feed, and planting sectors. The top ten holdings account for over 90% of the index, focusing on agricultural breeding, feed, and planting industries [6]

截至发稿，唐人神市值为69亿元。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——四次登上央视，知名大佬"消失"5年，我们在水果仓库找到了他！从月薪 5000到千亿市值公司联席总裁，他45岁再创业 2025年1至6月份，唐人神的营业收入构成为：饲料产业占比60.25%，猪种苗产业占比34.1%，肉类产业 占比5.58%，动保业占比0.06%。 每经AI快讯，唐人神（SZ 002567，收盘价：4.81元）10月22日晚间发布公告称，公司第十届第四次董 事会会议于2025年10月22日以通讯方式召开。会议审议了《关于公司、子公司分别与专业投资机构共同 投资的议案》等文件。 （记者 王晓波） ...

每经AI快讯，唐人神（SZ 002567，收盘价：4.81元）发布公告称，2025年10月21日，唐人神接受东方 财富证券等投资者调研，公司证券部总经理徐岩、证券部高级谭勇波参与接待，并回答了投资者提出的 问题。 2025年1至6月份，唐人神的营业收入构成为：饲料产业占比60.25%，猪种苗产业占比34.1%，肉类产业 占比5.58%，动保业占比0.06%。 截至发稿，唐人神市值为69亿元。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——展望"十五五"|专访贺铿：必须改变以往将资金过度集中于房屋建设和基础 设施建设的倾向，更加突出民生领域投入 （记者 王晓波） ...

Group 1: Company Overview and Strategy - The company operates under a "company + farmer" model, which has shown rapid development compared to the self-breeding model, offering advantages such as light asset operation and lower capital requirements [2] - As of the first half of 2025, the "company + farmer" model achieved a pig output of 1.9887 million heads, accounting for 80.64% of total pig output [2] Group 2: Cost Management and Financial Health - The company focuses on establishing a low-cost production system to navigate the cyclical nature of pig prices, optimizing feed formulas and reducing procurement costs [3] - As of June 30, 2025, the company's debt-to-asset ratio was 64.5%, with cash reserves of approximately 2.4 billion [3] - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first half of 2025 was 660 million [3] Group 3: Technological Integration - The company has begun implementing AI technology in various business areas, including smart monitoring in feed and livestock management, and intelligent detection in meat processing [3] Group 4: Meat Product Development - The meat business is transitioning from a regional brand to a national brand, with a focus on enhancing customer value and increasing company profits [3] - The company plans to intensify strategic investments in its meat business in the second half of 2025, aiming to strengthen its competitive advantage across the entire pork supply chain [3]

Core Viewpoint - The feed sector experienced a decline of 2.45% on October 22, with Guai Bao Pet Food leading the drop. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3913.76, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12996.61, down 0.62% [1]. Summary by Category Market Performance - The feed sector's overall performance was negative, with a notable decline in key stocks, particularly Guai Bao Pet Food, which fell by 3.98% [2]. - The trading volume and turnover for Guai Bao Pet Food reached 34,900 shares and 301 million yuan, respectively [2]. Individual Stock Performance - Key stocks in the feed sector showed varied performance: - Baiyang Co. (002696) increased by 1.96% to close at 6.75 yuan [1]. - Zhenghong Technology (000702) rose by 0.83% to 7.29 yuan [1]. - Other stocks like Da Bei Nong (002385) and He Feng Co. (603609) saw minor declines of 0.49% and 0.50%, respectively [1]. Capital Flow - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 151 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 1.42 billion yuan [2]. - Guai Bao Pet Food had a net outflow of 23.62 million yuan from institutional investors, indicating a significant shift in capital dynamics [3].

Core Viewpoint - Haida Group's stock has experienced fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 21.11% but a recent decline of 6.54% over the past five trading days [1] Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, Haida Group achieved a revenue of 96.094 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.24%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.142 billion, up 14.31% year-on-year [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 7.6 billion, with 3.739 billion distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Structure - The number of shareholders decreased by 11.81% to 19,000, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 13.39% to 87,561 shares [2] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which increased its holdings by 8.015 million shares, and Invesco Great Wall New Growth Mixed Fund, which reduced its holdings by 3.5374 million shares [3] Market Activity - On October 22, Haida Group's stock price was 57.83 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 165 million and a turnover rate of 0.17% [1] - The stock's market capitalization stood at 96.215 billion [1] Business Overview - Haida Group, established on January 8, 2004, and listed on November 27, 2009, specializes in the research, production, and sales of aquatic premixes, aquatic feeds, and livestock feeds [1] - The revenue composition includes 80.13% from feed sales, 16.55% from agricultural products, 2.37% from trade, 0.79% from animal health products, and 0.17% from other sources [1] Industry Classification - Haida Group is classified under the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector, specifically in the feed and aquatic feed category [1] - The company is associated with various concept sectors, including pork, poultry farming, ecological agriculture, prepared dishes, and rural revitalization [1]

Overall Economic Perspective - The industrial economy shows steady progress, with industrial production increasing by 6.5% year-on-year in September 2025, and a month-on-month increase of 0.64% [4][3] - The manufacturing sector continues to advance towards high-end development, with high-tech manufacturing value-added growing by 10.3% year-on-year in September [4] Consumer Sector - The retail sales growth rate slightly declined to 3.0% year-on-year in September 2025, influenced by the timing of the Mid-Autumn Festival and the diminishing effects of the "trade-in" policy [5][11] - Restaurant income growth was only 0.9% year-on-year, with a decline in revenue from large-scale dining establishments [5][11] Investment Sector - Fixed asset investment decreased by 0.5% year-on-year from January to September 2025, with real estate investment continuing to decline, down 13.9% year-on-year [6][24] - The sales area of new commercial housing fell by 5.5% year-on-year, indicating ongoing challenges in the real estate market [6][21] Food and Beverage Industry - The food and beverage sector is expected to gradually improve as macroeconomic stability and consumption policies take effect, with the liquor industry showing signs of bottoming out [10][11] - Key companies in the sector, such as Wei Long and Ximai Foods, are recommended for investment due to their growth potential [10] Retail Sector - The retail sector maintained steady growth, with online retail sales increasing by 9.8% year-on-year from January to September 2025, while offline retail growth showed signs of slowing down [18][19] - The performance of optional consumption categories, such as cosmetics and jewelry, remains strong, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [17][19] Real Estate Sector - The real estate market is facing significant challenges, with a notable decline in sales and investment, particularly in lower-tier cities [21][24] - Recommendations for investment focus on companies with strong credit ratings and those that can adapt to changing consumer demands [25] Agricultural Sector - Haida Group reported a 13.24% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by strong feed sales [26][27] - The company is planning to spin off its subsidiary for a separate listing, which is expected to enhance its overseas business development [28][29] Home Appliance Sector - The home appliance company, Yingshi Network, achieved steady growth in revenue and profit, with a focus on AI capabilities [31][32] - The company is expanding its product applications and enhancing its cloud platform services, indicating a positive growth trajectory [33] Chemical Industry - Lianlong's Q3 net profit increased by 24.9% year-on-year, reflecting a recovery in profitability and a focus on high-quality development [35][36] - The company is advancing its projects in anti-aging agents and lubricating oil additives, which are expected to stabilize growth [36][38]

饲料销量延续增长，分拆上市助力公司海外发展，维持"买入"评级 饲料业务方面，2025Q1-Q3 公司饲料业务总销量同比增长440 万吨，同比+24%，其中水产料、猪料、 禽料销量分别同比增长90、170、180 万吨。预计公司2025全年国内饲料销量同比+20%，海外销量同比 +40%。2025Q3 受益于产品结构变化，公司饲料单吨净利同比+10 元/吨。公司饲料销量延续增长吨利改 善，海外饲料销量增长动能强劲持续成长。生猪养殖方面，2025Q3 公司实现生猪出栏约150万头，预计 2025 全年生猪出栏640-650 万头。2025Q3 公司生猪综合养殖成本约13 元/公斤，其中自繁自养成本12.2- 12.4 元/公斤，预计2026Q1 自繁自养成本降至12 元/公斤，公司生猪出栏稳健增长，持续提升养殖水平 推动养殖成本下降。 分拆海大控股港股上市助力海外业务发展，公司整体估值水平有望提高 2025 年10 月17 日公司公告拟分拆控股子公司海大控股至港交所主板上市，分拆前海大集团将把下属境 外与饲料、种苗和动保产品生产经营相关的子公司股权重组至海大控股旗下。海大控股未来将聚焦在亚 洲（不含东亚）、非洲和 ...