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结算锚定“Mysteel+期货”不再参考SMM价格 天齐锂业定价体系重构
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 01:38
12月25日,一份关于锂盐现货结算价调整的文件在行业内流传。 文件显示,自2026年1月1日起,天齐锂业所有产品现货交易结算价将不再参考现有标准,调整为参考Mysteel的电池级锂盐价格,或者参考广期所的碳酸锂 期货主力合约价格。 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 对此,21世纪经济报道记者从公司人士处核实了上述定价调整文件的真实性。 此前,该公司现货定价锚定SMM的现货价格,而此次调整则源于其价格与其他行业机构、期货之间的明显价格差。 以12月24日为例,当天近月合约LC2601的结算价为12.1万元/吨,SMM的电池级碳酸锂市场均价则为10.15万元/吨,二者相差接近2万元/吨。 不过,需要指出的是,经过近期的连续上涨后,碳酸锂期货的高位波动风险正在快速增加。 一方面,交易所层面在不断加大调控力度。24日晚间广期所宣布,自12月26日交易时起,对LC2601等合约单日开仓量进一步收紧,25日早盘部分碳酸锂期 货合约跌幅也一度达到5%以上。 另一方面,24日还有媒体报道称,宁德时代枧下窝锂矿预计在春节前后复产。类似消息反反复复已经出现至少三次,市场的承受度也在不断提升,不过一 ...
天齐锂业定价体系重构
12月25日,一份关于锂盐现货结算价调整的文件在行业内流传。 文件显示,自2026年1月1日起,天齐锂业所有产品现货交易结算价将不再参考现有标准,调整为参考 Mysteel(上海钢联)的电池级锂盐价格,或者参考广期所的碳酸锂期货主力合约价格。 对此,21世纪经济报道记者从业内人士处核实了上述定价调整文件的真实性。 此前,该公司现货定价锚定SMM(上海有色)的现货价格,而此次调整则源于其价格与其他行业机 构、期货之间的明显价格差。 以12月24日为例,当天近月合约LC2601的结算价为12.1万元/吨,SMM的电池级碳酸锂市场均价则为 10.15万元/吨,二者相差接近2万元/吨。 不过,需要指出的是,经过近期的连续上涨后,碳酸锂期货的高位波动风险正在快速增加。 当天,现货价格整体处于"贴水"状态。公开数据显示,Mysteel的早盘电池级碳酸锂市场价格区间为 11.45万元~11.75万元/吨,平均价为11.6万元/吨,百川盈孚的电池级碳酸锂市场均价与之相差不多,当 天上涨至11.5万元/吨左右。 一方面,交易所层面在不断加大调控力度。24日晚间广期所宣布,自12月26日交易时起,对LC2601等 合约单日开仓量 ...
从6.84亿元到1.77亿元,从2022年到2025年,西藏矿业子公司100%股权还是没征到受让方公司:后续将适当安排与处置
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-25 16:33
曾经一度被寄予厚望的子公司,如今却成了业绩"累赘",更惨的是,还甩卖不掉……这是西藏矿业 (SZ000762,股价26.96元,市值140.4亿元)正在面临的一道"难题"。 12月25日晚,西藏矿业发布公告披露了公司转让子公司白银扎布耶锂业有限公司(以下简称"白银扎布 耶")100%股权的最新进展。公告显示,白银扎布耶100%股权项目的第二轮公开挂牌期已满,但未能 征集到符合条件的意向受让方,根据上海联合产权交易所相关规定,项目从上海联合产权交易所官网上 自动撤牌。 《每日经济新闻》记者获悉,早在2022年,西藏矿业便开始公开挂牌转让白银扎布耶100%股权,最初 挂牌转让价格曾高达6.84亿元。虽然多次调整挂牌价、挂牌期满后再启动公开挂牌,但该资产一直未能 征集到受让方。到今年5月,白银扎布耶100%股权的挂牌价格已降至1.77亿元。 据了解,白银扎布耶于2004年成立,于2005年正式投产,并于2020年停产。多年来,受自身技术瓶颈及 原料供应不足等因素影响,白银扎布耶持续亏损。2024年,白银扎布耶的营收不到1万元,净利润 为-1221.47万元。 如今,转让亏损资产未果,西藏矿业在公告中称,后续公司将作 ...
中辰集团许绍新:2026年A股将呈现“N字形”走势
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-25 14:47
Group 1: A-Share Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to show an N-shaped trend in 2026, with a peak in Q1, followed by a likely consolidation in Q2 and Q3, and new highs in the second half of the year [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index (SHCI) is facing a significant resistance at the 4000-point level, which has been a downward trend line for 17 years, making it challenging to break through [1] - The SHCI has successfully broken the 3700-point resistance, indicating a consolidation phase between 3800 and 4000 points, but the duration of this consolidation may delay the breakout in Q1 2026 [1] Group 2: Semiconductor Industry Analysis - The semiconductor industry is anticipated to experience a prolonged upward cycle lasting approximately two and a half years, with a peak expected in the first half of 2026 [2] - After the final surge in the semiconductor sector, it is advised to shift focus to industries related to PPI and CPI in the second half of 2026 [2] - The performance of the brokerage sector is crucial for the SHCI's ability to break through in the first half of the year, making it a key area to monitor [2] Group 3: Investment Strategies - The current timing is deemed appropriate for investing in the humanoid robot sector, indicating a shift in focus from previous strategies centered on AI [3] - The main board is expected to rely on non-bank financials, with excess returns driven by thematic investments and cyclical reversals [3] - Investment in energy storage and lithium mining is projected to continue its cyclical reversal trend until 2027, suggesting a strategy of buying on dips during off-seasons [2]
天齐锂业现货结算参考更改,重构碳酸锂定价体系
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-12-25 14:42
Group 1 - Tianqi Lithium Industry announced that starting from January 1, 2026, all product spot transaction settlement prices will no longer reference SMM prices, but will be adjusted to either Shanghai Steel Union's high-quality battery-grade lithium carbonate and battery-grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) prices, or the main contract price of lithium carbonate on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange, as chosen by customers [1] - On December 25, the SMM battery-grade lithium carbonate price range was between 97,800 yuan/ton and 112,000 yuan/ton, while Shanghai Steel Union's early morning battery-grade lithium carbonate market price range was between 114,500 yuan/ton and 117,200 yuan/ton, and the closing price of the lithium carbonate futures main contract was 123,520 yuan/ton [1] - In 2025, the domestic lithium carbonate price showed a trend of first declining and then rising, with the fundamentals shifting from a loose supply-demand balance to a scenario of increasing supply and demand, indicating that supply-demand mismatch will be the main theme of the lithium carbonate market in 2026 [1] Group 2 - Tianqi Lithium Industry focuses on lithium as its core business, including the development of hard rock lithium resources, production and sales of lithium concentrate, and production and sales of lithium chemical products [2] - Shengxin Lithium Energy's main business includes lithium ore mining and selection, as well as the production and sales of basic lithium salts and lithium metal products [2]
晚报 | 12月26日主题前瞻
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-12-25 14:37
Currency - The offshore RMB to USD exchange rate has surpassed the 7.0 mark, indicating a significant appreciation trend throughout the year [1] - Huatai Securities notes that the recent appreciation of the RMB could weaken the price competitiveness of export-oriented manufacturing while benefiting industries reliant on imported raw materials by lowering costs [1] - The appreciation is attributed to a robust domestic economic foundation, a weakening USD, and capital inflows [1] Lithium Industry - Tianqi Lithium announced that starting January 1, 2026, all product spot trading settlement prices will no longer reference SMM prices but will be based on Shanghai Steel Union's battery-grade lithium carbonate and hydroxide prices or the Guangzhou Futures Exchange's main contract prices [2] - The price range for battery-grade lithium carbonate on December 25 was reported between 97,800 to 112,000 CNY per ton, with futures closing at 123,520 CNY per ton [2] - In 2026, the lithium market is expected to shift from a loose supply-demand balance to a scenario of increasing supply and demand, with a projected global lithium resource supply exceeding 2 million tons, a 25% year-on-year increase [2] Consumer Sector - The Ministry of Commerce is implementing actions to boost consumption, including organizing various promotional activities to meet the festive consumption needs of urban and rural residents [3] - The focus is on enhancing service consumption, with a notable emphasis on optimizing policies to stimulate demand in the service sector [3] - The central economic work conference highlighted the importance of domestic demand and plans to expand the supply of quality goods and services [3] Robotics - Beijing Yizhuang will host a humanoid robot half marathon on April 19, 2026, featuring a "human-robot co-running" format [4] - The event aims to showcase the capabilities of humanoid robots and promote their application beyond experimental stages [5] - The robotics sector is experiencing significant advancements, with Tesla's Optimus V3 set to begin mass production in 2026, and several domestic robotics companies preparing for IPOs [5] Storage Industry - According to TrendForce, prices for DDR4 and DDR5 memory modules continue to rise, although the rate of increase has slowed [6] - Kingston has significantly raised DRAM prices, and the NAND flash market is showing bullish sentiment due to expectations of rising contract prices [6] - The supply of DDR4 DRAM is expected to remain tight, with ongoing production halts by major manufacturers contributing to price increases [6] Magnetic Levitation - A team from the National University of Defense Technology achieved a world record by accelerating a test vehicle to 700 km/h in two seconds during magnetic levitation experiments [7] - This breakthrough addresses key technological challenges and positions China as a leader in ultra-high-speed magnetic levitation technology [7] E-cigarette Industry - The National Tobacco Monopoly Administration is seeking opinions on a draft policy aimed at balancing supply and demand in the e-cigarette market [8] - The market is transitioning from chaotic growth to regulated restructuring, with expectations of significant market size growth from 4.2 billion CNY in 2023 to 96.66 billion CNY by 2025 [8]
南华期货碳酸锂数据日报-20251225
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 11:38
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report No explicit core view is presented in the given content. The report mainly provides a comprehensive set of data on the lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide futures and spot markets, including price, volume, and inventory data. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Data - The closing price of the main lithium carbonate futures contract was 123,520 yuan/ton, down 1,200 yuan (-0.96%) daily but up 17,360 yuan (16.35%) weekly. The trading volume was 924,823 lots, down 24,183 lots (-2.55%) daily and 89,093 lots (-8.79%) weekly, and the open interest was 607,187 lots, down 40,179 lots (-6.21%) daily and 65,524 lots (-9.74%) weekly [3]. - The closing price of the weighted - index contract was 123,776 yuan/ton, down 926 yuan (-0.74%) daily but up 17,683 yuan (16.67%) weekly. The trading volume was 1,532,681 lots, up 190,899 lots (14.23%) daily and 221,433 lots (16.89%) weekly, and the open interest was 1,072,674 lots, down 2,555 lots (-0.24%) daily but up 6,443 lots (0.60%) weekly [3]. - For different contract spreads, e.g., LC2601 - LC2605 was - 1,980 yuan/ton, with daily and weekly changes of - 20 yuan (1.02%) and - 260 yuan (15.12%) respectively [3]. - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange's lithium carbonate warehouse receipts were 17,101 lots, unchanged daily but up 1,465 lots (9.37%) weekly [3]. 3.2 Spot Data - In the lithium ore market, the average price of lithium mica (2 - 2.5%) was 3,265 yuan/ton, up 55 yuan (1.71%) daily; lithium spodumene (3 - 4%) was 6,405 yuan/ton, up 55 yuan (0.87%) daily; and lithium spodumene (5 - 5.5%) was 10,590 yuan/ton, up 90 yuan (0.86%) daily [18]. - In the lithium salt market, the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 102,250 yuan/ton, up 3,400 yuan (3.44%) daily; battery - grade lithium carbonate was 104,900 yuan/ton, up 3,400 yuan (3.35%) daily; and industrial - grade lithium hydroxide was 88,430 yuan/ton, up 3,400 yuan (4.00%) daily [18]. - Regarding price spreads, the difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 2,650 yuan/ton, unchanged daily but up 50 yuan (1.92%) weekly; the difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and battery - grade lithium hydroxide was 10,620 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan (-0.93%) daily and 950 yuan (-8.21%) weekly [22]. 3.3 Basis and Warehouse Receipt Data - The basis quotes of different lithium carbonate brands for the LC2601 contract varied, e.g., Shengxin Lithium Energy was - 1,900 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan; Tianqi Lithium was - 1,700 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan [30]. - The total number of lithium carbonate warehouse receipts was 17,101 lots, unchanged from the previous day. Some warehouses had no change in receipts, while Yichun Yinli decreased by 300 lots, and Shanghai Guochu decreased by 13 lots [32]. 3.4 Cost and Profit - The production profit of lithium carbonate from purchased lithium spodumene concentrate (Li₂O:6%) and lithium mica concentrate (Li₂O:2.5%) showed certain trends over time, as presented in the graph [34]. - The production profit of lithium hydroxide by causticization and smelting methods also had corresponding trends over the period from December 24 to October 25 [34]. - The theoretical delivery profit of lithium carbonate, as well as the export profit of lithium hydroxide and the import profit of lithium carbonate, were also presented in graphical form, showing their trends over time [36][38].
结算锚定“Mysteel+期货”,天齐锂业定价体系重构
12月25日,一份关于锂盐现货结算价调整的文件在行业内流传。 文件显示,自2026年1月1日起,天齐锂业所有产品现货交易结算价将不再参考现有标准,调整为参考Mysteel(上海钢联)的电池级锂盐价格,或者参考广 期所的碳酸锂期货主力合约价格。 对此,21世纪经济报道记者从公司人士处核实了上述定价调整文件的真实性。 此前,该公司现货定价锚定SMM(上海有色)的现货价格,而此次调整则源于其价格与其他行业机构、期货之间的明显价格差。 以12月24日为例,当天近月合约LC2601的结算价为12.1万元/吨,SMM的电池级碳酸锂市场均价则为10.15万元/吨,二者相差接近2万元/吨。 不过,需要指出的是,经过近期的连续上涨后,碳酸锂期货的高位波动风险正在快速增加。 一方面,交易所层面在不断加大调控力度。24日晚间广期所宣布,自12月26日交易时起,对LC2601等合约单日开仓量进一步收紧,25日早盘部分碳酸锂期 货合约跌幅也一度达到5%以上。 另一方面,24日还有媒体报道称,宁德时代枧下窝锂矿预计在春节前后复产。类似消息反反复复已经出现至少三次,市场的承受度也在不断提升,不过一旦 该项目成功复产,势必会增加短期供给。 ...
继续反攻,是机会还是陷阱?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-25 11:15
Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a notable increase with a trading volume exceeding 400 billion, indicating a healthy trend despite uncertainties about future movements [1] - The liquor sector, particularly with news of price increases for various series of a major brand, is seeing a rebound, but there are concerns about the sustainability of this recovery due to weak fundamentals [3] - The lithium mining sector is expected to face a downturn, with indications that the recent upward trend may not continue, suggesting a cautious approach for investors [4] Group 2 - The banking sector's ability to support the market is diminishing as its fundamentals weaken, making it increasingly difficult for banks to provide market stabilization [5] - The cost of market support has risen, which could lead to adverse outcomes for major players if they become trapped in their positions [5]
西藏矿业:白银扎布耶锂业100%股权转让未征集到符合条件的意向受让方
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-25 10:09
每经AI快讯,12月25日,西藏矿业(000762)(000762.SZ)公告称,公司公开挂牌转让控股子公司白银 扎布耶锂业有限公司100%股权项目未征集到符合条件的意向受让方,已从上海联合产权交易所官网撤 牌。后续公司将结合实际情况和需要,作出适当安排与处置,并及时提交公司决策机构审议。 ...