Core Viewpoint - Swiss sports brand On Running (ONON.US) saw its stock rise over 8.8% to $49.75 following strong second-quarter sales results that exceeded analyst expectations [1] Financial Performance - On Running reported a 32% year-over-year increase in sales for the second quarter, reaching 749.2 million Swiss francs, surpassing the average analyst estimate of 705.3 million Swiss francs [1] - The company expects full-year net sales to be at least 2.91 billion Swiss francs, an increase from the previous forecast of 2.86 billion Swiss francs [1] - Adjusted EBITDA margin is projected to be between 17% and 17.5%, up from the prior expectation of 16.5% to 17.5% [1]

格隆汇8月12日｜瑞士运动品牌昂跑公布，第二季度销售额同比增长32%，达到7.492亿瑞士法郎，超过 分析师平均预期的7.053亿瑞士法郎；由于美元走软，录得调整后每股亏损0.09瑞士法郎，而去年同期每 股收益为0.14瑞士法郎，分析师预期每股收益为0.21瑞士法郎。 该公司预计全年净销售额至少为29.1亿瑞士法郎，高于之前预期的28.6亿瑞士法郎；预计调整后 EBITDA利润率将介于17%至17.5%之间，而之前预期为16.5%至17.5%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Anta Group is reportedly planning to acquire the Reebok brand from Authentic Brands Group (ABG), which could significantly alter Anta's brand portfolio and enhance its global market presence [2][3][4]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Anta Group has completed the funding for the acquisition of Reebok, although it has not officially commented on the market rumors [3][4]. - ABG has denied the acquisition in a memo sent to Reebok's authorized dealers, indicating uncertainty around the deal [4]. Group 2: Strategic Implications - If the acquisition is finalized, Reebok could serve as a strategic asset for Anta, allowing it to enhance its overseas market presence and achieve a dual-market strategy of "domestic + overseas" [5][16]. - The acquisition aligns with Anta's multi-brand strategy, which has successfully integrated brands like Fila and Descente into the Chinese market [6][16]. Group 3: Reebok's Market Position - Reebok, established in 1958, was once a leading global sports brand but has faced challenges in recent years, including a significant decline in market share after being acquired by Adidas in 2005 [9][10][11]. - In 2021, ABG purchased Reebok from Adidas for $2.5 billion, a significant drop from its previous acquisition price, reflecting Reebok's declining performance [11][12]. Group 4: Current Performance and Future Outlook - Reebok has struggled in the Chinese market, with a slow expansion rate and continuous losses reported by its current operator, Lianya Group [11][12]. - Despite its challenges, Reebok maintains a strong brand recognition in North America and Europe, which could be leveraged by Anta to enhance its global footprint [14][15][16]. - Anta's revenue for 2024 reached 70.826 billion yuan, marking a 13.6% increase, while its market share in China expanded to 23%, leading competitors like Nike and Li Ning [16][17].

那锐步有没有可能成为安踏反惯性的一条通路？即加大海外市场布局，让安踏所持有的品牌真正走上全球化道路，在海外站稳 脚跟，实现"国内+海外"的双腿走路？ 北京关键之道体育咨询有限公司创始人、CEO张庆认为，这需要看双方交易的是锐步全球所有权还是国内运营权。若是前者， 将对安踏全球化战略形成有力支撑。尽管锐步近年业绩持续下滑，但在北美、欧洲等市场仍保有一定的品牌认知度，同时拥有 具备规模的渠道资源。依托安踏自身的供应链优势及多品牌管理经验，有望助力其全球化战略的推进；而如果是后者，则是着 眼于其品牌矩阵中的空白定位"健身+潮流"，创造增量。 英敏特中国品类总监顾菁表示，锐步是曾有过辉煌历史的老牌运动品牌，主打健身、跑步和篮球等"大众运动"领域，相比安踏 主品牌，其受众定位又更偏向潮流和精英人群，可以形成有机互补。这项收购符合安踏多品牌、全球化的集团战略。 8月6日，经济观察报联系ABG方面，截至发稿，尚未收到回复。 据多家媒体报道，安踏集团拟收购美国品牌管理公司Authentic Brands Group（ABG）旗下的锐步品牌，且已完成资金交割。对 此，安踏集团回应称："不对市场传闻发表评论，建议以公司官方发布的 ...

Core Viewpoint - Anta Group is reportedly pursuing the acquisition of Reebok's China operations from Authentic Brands Group (ABG), following its recent acquisition of the German outdoor brand Jack Wolfskin, marking a significant step in its global expansion strategy [1][10]. Group 1: Anta's Acquisition Strategy - Anta's interest in acquiring Reebok has been circulating since March, highlighting its aggressive growth through mergers and acquisitions [7]. - The company has successfully transformed brands like FILA from loss-making entities into profitable ventures, with FILA's revenue reaching 26.63 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 37.6% of Anta's total revenue [7][10]. - Anta's acquisition strategy is characterized by a diversified brand portfolio that spans various price points, allowing it to cater to different consumer segments without internal competition [11]. Group 2: Reebok's Historical Context - Reebok, once the world's leading sports brand in the 1990s, has seen a significant decline, with its global market share projected to remain below 1.5% in 2024 [6][12]. - The brand was acquired by Adidas for $3.8 billion in 2006, but failed to meet growth expectations, leading to its sale to ABG for €2.1 billion (approximately $2.5 billion) in 2021 [4][6]. - Reebok's sales in China have been underwhelming, with total sales on major e-commerce platforms amounting to only 160 million yuan last year, contrasting sharply with Nike's performance [7][12]. Group 3: Market Implications - The potential acquisition of Reebok could provide Anta with new growth opportunities, especially as some of its existing brands face slowing growth [11][12]. - There are concerns among consumers regarding Reebok's pricing strategy post-acquisition, particularly if it aligns more closely with Anta's existing brands like FILA, which may lead to market overlap [12].

Core Viewpoint - Anta Group is diversifying its business by investing in the Korean fashion e-commerce brand MUSINSA, marking a strategic shift towards the fashion industry while other companies focus on the sports and outdoor sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Investment and Strategic Moves - Anta acquired approximately 1.7% of MUSINSA for 50 billion KRW (about 264 million RMB) in January 2025 [1]. - A joint venture was established between Anta and MUSINSA, with MUSINSA holding 60% and Anta 40%, focusing on the Chinese market [1][9]. - Anta's recent acquisitions include the German outdoor brand Jack Wolfskin and potential interest in Reebok, indicating a broader strategy to enhance its brand portfolio [1]. Group 2: MUSINSA's Business Model and Growth - MUSINSA, founded in 2001, evolved from an online sneaker community to a leading fashion e-commerce platform, launching its own brands like Musinsa Standard and a beauty brand [3][5]. - The platform has expanded to include various retail channels, such as women's fashion e-commerce 29CM and limited-edition platform soldout [3][5]. - MUSINSA's offline presence includes three large stores and five Musinsa Standard stores in Seoul, with monthly sales surpassing 10 billion KRW as of September 2024 [5]. Group 3: Market Expansion and Globalization - MUSINSA has established a significant presence in Asia, North America, and Oceania, aggregating around 8,000 Korean fashion brands [7]. - The brand has plans to enter the Chinese market, aiming to open over 100 stores by 2030, with a flagship online store set to launch in September 2025 [9][13]. - MUSINSA's international strategy includes collaborations with local brands, enhancing its global reach and influence [7][9]. Group 4: Future Prospects and IPO Plans - MUSINSA aims for a global GMV of 3 trillion KRW (approximately 15.5 billion RMB) by 2030, with significant interest in the Chinese market as a key growth area [13]. - The company is evaluating options for an IPO, potentially on the KOSPI or NASDAQ, with past investments from notable firms like Sequoia Capital [12][13]. - The success of MUSINSA's entry into China is seen as critical, with the potential for a mutually beneficial relationship with Anta [14].

Core Viewpoint - Anta is reportedly set to acquire Reebok from ABG, marking a significant move in its global expansion strategy, despite Reebok's declining market presence and challenges faced by previous owners [1][7]. Group 1: Anta's Expansion Strategy - Anta has achieved a revenue of 70.826 billion yuan in 2024, surpassing Nike in the Chinese market for the first time [3]. - The company has built a comprehensive brand matrix through acquisitions, including FILA and Amer Sports, positioning itself as a "sports brand harvesting machine" [5][15]. - Anta's chairman, Ding Shizhong, emphasizes the importance of acquisitions for internationalization, aiming to leverage global markets for growth [3][8]. Group 2: Reebok's Market Position - Reebok, once a leading brand, has seen its global market share drop to less than 1.5% by 2024, struggling to maintain relevance [1][7]. - The brand's e-commerce sales in China are projected to be only 160 million yuan in 2024, highlighting its diminished presence [7]. - Despite its decline, Reebok holds unique value for Anta, particularly in North American distribution channels and its strong basketball heritage [7]. Group 3: Challenges and Opportunities - Anta's potential acquisition of Reebok presents both opportunities to enhance its professional sports segment and challenges in integrating Reebok into its existing brand portfolio [7][15]. - The acquisition price poses a significant challenge for Anta's financial resources, as previous sales of Reebok were at substantial valuations [7]. - Anta must address the complexities of multi-brand management and the integration of Reebok's team to ensure a successful turnaround [15][16].

Core Viewpoint - Anta Group is reportedly in talks to acquire the Chinese operations of Reebok from Authentic Brands Group (ABG), marking another step in its international expansion strategy following previous acquisitions [1][3]. Group 1: Anta's Acquisition Strategy - The potential acquisition of Reebok would follow Anta's past acquisitions, including FILA China in 2009, Amer Sports in 2019, and Jack Wolfskin in 2025 [1]. - The deal, if confirmed, would involve brand operations, supply chain integration, and channel resource adjustments for Reebok in China [3]. Group 2: Reebok's Market History - Reebok, founded in 1895, had a peak sales figure of $1.4 billion in 1987, surpassing Nike to become the world's leading athletic shoe brand [1]. - After being acquired by Adidas for $3.8 billion in 2006, Reebok's market share declined due to poor integration strategies, leading to a shift towards the casual fitness market [2]. - Reebok's revenue in China has seen a decline, with a reported 19% decrease in 2024, following a period of limited success under local management [2]. Group 3: Market Context - Anta was previously considered a potential buyer during ABG's acquisition of Reebok in 2021, indicating ongoing interest in expanding its brand portfolio [3]. - The recent rumors of acquisition have surfaced again, suggesting that Anta is accelerating its multi-brand strategy [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][5] Core Insights - Adidas reported a 12% increase in revenue for Q2 2025, with a net profit of €375 million, despite the impact of tariffs [2][7] - The company maintained its full-year guidance, expecting high single-digit revenue growth and double-digit growth for the main brand, despite increased costs due to tariffs [3][28] - All regions and channels achieved double-digit growth in the first half of the year, excluding the impact of Yeezy [4][11] Summary by Sections Performance and Guidance - Q2 revenue was €5.952 billion, a 2.2% year-over-year increase, with a 12% increase in the main brand's revenue at constant currency [2][7] - The company’s gross margin improved by 0.9 percentage points, and operating profit increased by 58% to €546 million [4][24] - Management expects a revenue increase of at least €200 million if not for tariff impacts, maintaining a conservative outlook due to uncertainties [28][29] Regional Performance - All regions except Europe achieved double-digit growth in Q2, with North America showing a 15% increase and Latin America a 23% increase [11][19] - The Greater China region saw an 11% increase, benefiting from localized strategies [11][19] Product Category Performance - Apparel led growth with a 17% increase, while footwear grew by 9% [19][21] - Professional categories, particularly running and training, showed strong performance, with running exceeding 25% growth [19][21] Channel Performance - Wholesale channels led growth with a 14% increase, while DTC channels grew by 9% [23][24] - E-commerce faced challenges with a 3% decline when excluding Yeezy, but overall DTC remained strong [23][24] Cost and Margin Analysis - Gross margin improved to 51.7%, driven by reduced discounts and lower product and shipping costs [24][28] - SG&A expenses decreased by 2.5 percentage points to 42.8%, reflecting improved operational efficiency [24][28] Investment Recommendations - The report highlights confidence in Adidas' growth trajectory, recommending key suppliers like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group, as well as core retailer Taobo [31][32]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The sportswear industry is experiencing internal differentiation, with overall sales growth driven by volume rather than price, particularly in the outdoor category which saw a sales increase of 9.9% and an average price increase of 15.5% [6][7] - International brands are showing a polarized performance; Nike's sales dropped by 13.9% while Adidas achieved a strong growth of 18% through aggressive pricing strategies [6][7] - Domestic brands are recovering some market share driven by running shoes, with Anta and Li Ning showing mixed results in sales performance [7] Group 2: Company Performance - Dongpeng Beverage reported a 36.4% year-on-year revenue increase in H1 2025, with a net profit growth of 37.2% [14][15] - The company’s product categories showed significant growth, particularly in electrolyte water and other beverages, with revenue increases of 213.6% and 65.2% respectively [15][16] - Dongpeng's investment in marketing and new product launches is expected to enhance profitability, with projected revenues for 2025-2027 revised upwards [17] Group 3: Financial Engineering Insights - The market for small and micro-cap stocks, represented by the CSI 2000 index, has shown significant resilience and growth, outperforming larger indices with a 64% increase since September 2024 [18][19] - The liquidity easing measures by the central bank have positively impacted small and micro-cap stocks, enhancing their market performance [18][19] - The CSI 2000 ETF has provided substantial excess returns since its inception, indicating strong investment opportunities in this segment [19] Group 4: Transportation Industry Insights - The express delivery sector is expected to see reduced competition due to the "anti-involution" policy, which aims to improve service quality and stabilize pricing [11][12] - The shipping industry is facing a softening of oil prices, with expectations of a bottoming out in shipping rates during the summer [10][11] - The aviation sector is experiencing a decline in flight volumes post-peak summer season, but there are expectations for price stabilization in the domestic market [11][12]