Group 1 - The metal lead concept declined by 0.71%, ranking among the top declines in the concept sector, with companies like Hengbang Co., Chifeng Gold, and Hunan Gold experiencing significant drops [1][2] - Among the metal lead concept stocks, ST Shengtun, Yuehongyuan A, and Western Mining saw increases of 2.39%, 1.28%, and 0.97% respectively [1][2] - The metal lead concept experienced a net outflow of 690 million yuan from main funds today, with 23 stocks seeing outflows, and 5 stocks with outflows exceeding 50 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - Zijin Mining led the outflow with a net outflow of 168 million yuan, followed by Chifeng Gold and Hunan Gold with outflows of 158 million yuan and 145 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The stocks with the highest net inflows included ST Shengtun, Western Mining, and Gao Neng Environment, with inflows of 51.64 million yuan, 36.74 million yuan, and 8.52 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The trading volume for the metal lead concept stocks showed significant turnover rates, with Hengbang Co. at 7.37% and Chifeng Gold at 4.26% [2][3]

Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - For lead, although downstream is in the off - season with high inventory accumulation risk, due to the continuous shortage of waste batteries, increased losses of secondary lead smelters, and high uncertainty in production, lead prices may rebound in the short term. Attention should be paid to the effectiveness of cost support and macro - uncertainty factors [1]. - For zinc, despite the recent improvement in macro - sentiment and better spot trading after the price decline, considering the supply - side suppression and inventory build - up expectations, the rebound space of zinc prices is limited, and a short - position allocation strategy is still recommended [1]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Lead Price and Market Data - SMM1 lead ingot average price was 16,625 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day; the futures main contract closed at 16,845 yuan/ton, down 0.21% from the previous day; the basis was - 220 yuan/ton, up 35 yuan; the trading volume of the active futures contract was 21,724 lots, down 40.01%; the open interest was 43,989 lots, up 0.05% [1]. - LME3 - month lead futures closed at 1,993.5 dollars/ton, up 0.30%; the ratio of Shanghai - London lead prices was 8.45, down 0.51% [1]. News and Production - An east - China secondary lead smelter plans to resume production at the end of June, and raw material procurement may resume one week before the furnace starts [1]. - A south - west primary lead smelter plans a one - week maintenance starting in late June, with an expected daily lead ingot output reduction of about 300 tons, but the monthly output is expected to be unaffected [1]. Fundamental Analysis - Primary lead production is stable with a slight increase; secondary lead production is at a relatively low level due to rising waste battery prices, limited raw materials, and high costs; demand is weak in the off - season, providing limited support for lead prices [1]. Zinc Price and Market Data - SMM1 zinc ingot average price was 22,230 yuan/ton, up 0.63%; the futures main contract closed at 22,140 yuan/ton, up 1.35%; the basis was 90 yuan/ton, down 155 yuan; the trading volume of the active futures contract was 170,227 lots, up 7.31%; the open interest was 125,779 lots, down 6.88% [1]. - LME3 - month zinc futures closed at 2,651 dollars/ton, down 0.28%; the ratio of Shanghai - London zinc prices was 8.35, up 1.64% [1]. News and Resource - Xingye Yinxi Mining Co., Ltd.'s subsidiary's silver mine resource reserve verification report was approved, with silver reserves increasing from 859.8 tons to 11,114 tons, and associated metals' resources also increasing [1]. Fundamental Analysis - Zinc smelters have sufficient raw material stocks, and the raw material shortage situation has improved, with cost support weakening and production increasing; demand is in the off - season, and considering environmental inspections, the start - up rate is expected to decline this week [1].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The zinc price's box - style oscillation pattern awaits a breakthrough, while the lead price is expected to remain volatile. Attention should be focused on the price trend of waste batteries [4][64]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Report Abstract - The US ADP employment increase in a certain month was 1.37 million, lower than the expected 1.5 million and the previous value of 2.625 million, reaching the lowest level in years. The market focused on this data [4]. - China's manufacturing PMI in a certain month was 49.5%, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, but still below the critical point. It was the first time to fall below the critical point in a certain period [4]. - The European Central Bank mentioned continued small - scale interest rate cuts, and countries would increase investment in national defense and infrastructure, providing support on a broader macro - level [4]. - The China Zinc Raw Material Joint Negotiation (Coordination) Group announced the guidance price range for imported zinc concentrate procurement fees in the third quarter of 2025 [4]. - The supply of zinc raw materials remained loose, and the zinc ingot output might have a large - scale increase. The domestic zinc ingot social inventory decreased slightly, and the low inventory supported the zinc price [4]. - The supply of recycled lead was unstable, and the inventory of lead ingots in the national market increased. The consumption of waste batteries was weak, and the lead price was expected to remain volatile [4]. 3.2 Multi - and Short - Focus 3.2.1 Multi - and Short - Factors Analysis (Zinc) - Bullish factors: The output of domestic and foreign zinc mines may accelerate in June, and the zinc ingot output ratio may have a large - scale increase, and the social inventory has decreased [7]. - Bearish factors: The consumption end is weak [7]. 3.2.2 Multi - and Short - Factors Analysis (Lead) - Bullish factors: The supply of recycled lead is still unstable [10]. - Bearish factors: The operating rate of primary lead enterprises is high, the price of waste batteries is running weakly, and the off - season consumption has not improved significantly [10]. 3.3 Data Analysis 3.3.1 Zinc - Related Data - In April, China's zinc ore concentrate imports were 494,662.21 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 37.64% and a year - on - year increase of 72.63%. The supply from major countries increased, and Australia became the top supplier [12]. - In June, the average domestic zinc concentrate TC increased by 150 yuan/metal ton to 3,650 yuan/metal ton, and the average imported ore TC increased by 10 dollars/dry ton to 55 dollars/dry ton. The China Zinc Raw Material Joint Negotiation (Coordination) Group released the guidance price range for imported zinc concentrate procurement fees [15]. - The price of zinc concentrate slightly increased. The price of 50% zinc concentrate in Hechi was 17,930 yuan/ton, up 90 yuan/ton from the previous week; in Chenzhou, it was 17,700 yuan/ton, up 70 yuan/ton from the previous week [20]. - In April, China's refined zinc output was 576,000 tons, down 39,000 tons from March, with a year - on - year slight increase of 0.3%. From January to April, the cumulative output was 2.333 million tons, and the year - on - year decline narrowed to 2.9%. Due to the increase in zinc ore processing fees, the smelter's production profit was repaired [23]. - In April, refined zinc imports were 28,200 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 2.4% and a year - on - year decrease of 38.66%. From January to April, the cumulative imports were 129,200 tons, with a year - on - year decrease of 9.44% [26]. - Policies such as the new energy vehicle countryside campaign and urban renewal were introduced, which may have an impact on the consumption of zinc in related industries [30]. - As of June 5, the LME zinc inventory was 137,150 tons, down 1.44% from the previous week. The SHFE zinc inventory decreased by 4% to 42,310 tons in the week of May 30. As of June 5, the zinc ingot inventory in the national main markets was 58,300 tons, down 900 tons from June 3 [33]. 3.3.2 Lead - Related Data - This week, the lead futures and spot prices rebounded after hitting the bottom. The basis was 55 yuan/ton, and the premium range narrowed. The price difference between 1 lead and recycled refined lead was 110 yuan/ton, down 60 yuan/ton from the previous week [38]. - The weekly price of 60% lead concentrate in Kunming decreased by 257 yuan/ton, and in Baoji, it decreased by 251 yuan/ton. As of May 30, the lead concentrate processing fees in different regions changed, with some decreasing and some increasing [42]. - In April 2025, the lead concentrate imports were 111,046 physical tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 4.3% and a year - on - year increase of 22.1%. As of 2025, the cumulative lead concentrate imports were about 448,700 physical tons, with a year - on - year increase of 41%. In April, the refined lead imports were 4,734 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 65% [46]. - In April 2025, China's lead output was 664,000 tons, with a year - on - year decrease of 1%. Both primary lead and recycled lead production decreased in April, but some enterprises resumed production in May [48]. - The operating rate of primary lead increased by 5.98 percentage points to 66.26%. The operating rate of recycled lead enterprises increased by 10.94 percentage points to 62.91%, and the operating rate of lead batteries increased by 1.99 percentage points to 74.34% [51][53][57]. - Last week, the LME lead inventory decreased after a large - scale increase, and the SHFE lead inventory decreased by 3.98% to 46,500 tons in the week of May 30. As of June 5, the national main market lead ingot social inventory was 50,800 tons, up 3,900 tons from June 3 [61]. 3.4 Market Outlook - The zinc price's box - style oscillation pattern awaits a breakthrough; the lead price is expected to remain volatile, and attention should be paid to the price trend of waste batteries [64].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Zinc: Bearish; Lead: Sideways [6] 2. Core Views of the Report - In Q1 2025, overseas zinc concentrate production increased year - on - year, while lead concentrate production decreased. The zinc smelting industry is expected to see increased supply in Q2, but the lead market has uncertainties due to production disruptions. In June, lead and zinc prices will be demand - driven. For zinc, short - term oversupply is expected, and for lead, the market is in a bearish pattern [2][3][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Event Overview - Recently, overseas leading mining companies announced their Q1 2025 production. Some adjusted their 2025 production guidance. The report statistics cover 30 overseas leading mining companies, with the sample proportion of zinc concentrate rising from 60% to about 65% and that of lead concentrate from 40% to 49% [11]. 3.2 Zinc Concentrate and Lead Concentrate Production - **Zinc Concentrate**: In Q1 2025, overseas sample zinc concentrate production was 1.312 million metric tons, a 6.4% year - on - year increase and a 4% quarter - on - quarter decrease. The increase was due to large - scale project restarts, new project ramp - ups, higher grades and recoveries, a low base in the previous year, and fewer disruptions. The decrease was due to seasonal factors and end - of - year production rushes [12]. - **Lead Concentrate**: In Q1 2025, overseas sample lead concentrate production was 300,000 metric tons, a 4.4% year - on - year decrease and a 9.2% quarter - on - quarter decrease. The decline was mainly due to lower ore grades, external disruptions, and reduced operational efficiency [13]. 3.3 Production Changes and Factors of Individual Mining Companies - **Zinc Concentrate**: The top five companies with year - on - year production increases were Ivanhoe, Vedanta, Boliden, Group Mexico, and Sibanye - Stillwater. The top five with decreases were Teck, NEXA, Peñoles, MMG, and South32. The increase was mainly due to large - scale project restarts, new project ramp - ups, higher grades and recoveries, etc. The decrease was due to lower grades, external disruptions, and reduced operational efficiency [27][29]. - **Lead Concentrate**: Companies including Volcan, Glencore, Vedanta, Pan American Silver, and Silvercrop contributed to the year - on - year increase, while South32, Newmont, Aurelia Metals, NEXA, and MMG contributed to the decrease [27]. 3.4 Zinc Mine Costs - The 90% cash cost quantile of zinc mines in 2025 is $1,993/ton, a 9.3% year - on - year decrease. Although the LME zinc price has declined, the mining end still has sufficient profits. Different companies' cost changes vary due to factors such as mining costs, processing fees, and by - product contributions [47]. 3.5 Production Guidance - Among 13 leading mining companies, only South32 slightly lowered its annual production guidance in Q1. The total 2025 production is expected to be between 2.839 and 3.1 million metric tons, a 4.7% year - on - year increase. Some projects are expected to increase production, while others may continue to face production declines [48][50]. 3.6 TC Views and Investment Recommendations - **Zinc Concentrate TC**: There may be a slight upward space in Q2 2025, but in the second half of the year, upward movement may be restricted or even decline slightly due to factors such as domestic seasonal production increases, bearish zinc price expectations, and potential overseas production shortfalls. - **Lead Concentrate TC**: Overseas production is expected to increase slightly in Q2 2025, but domestic imports may be limited, and there is a downward expectation for the medium - term TC. - **Investment Strategy**: For zinc, in June, it is recommended to short on rallies on a medium - term basis and maintain a long - short arbitrage strategy between domestic and overseas markets. For lead, it is recommended to look for medium - term long opportunities after demand reaches a low point [52][53].

Meeting Overview - The 26th (temporary) meeting of the 8th Board of Directors of Yunnan Luoping Zinc Electric Co., Ltd. was held on May 23, 2025, via telecommunication voting [2] - All 8 directors participated, and the meeting was deemed legal and effective [2] Resolutions Passed - The board unanimously approved a proposal to provide guarantees for its wholly-owned subsidiaries, aimed at supporting their operational development and liquidity needs [3] - The board also approved a proposal for the wholly-owned subsidiary to apply for financing loans [4] Guarantee Details - The company and its subsidiaries will provide guarantees for the wholly-owned subsidiary, Puding County Xiangrong Mining Co., Ltd., to apply for loans from non-bank financial institutions [8] - The guarantee amount is set at 30 million yuan (approximately $4.6 million) with a term of 19 days at an annual interest rate of 7.2% [10] Financial Impact - The total external guarantee amount for the company and its subsidiaries is 200.9 million yuan, with an actual guarantee balance of 155.875 million yuan, representing 17.7% of the latest audited net assets [13] - The financing loan is expected to alleviate the financial pressure on the subsidiary, increasing its current liabilities by 30 million yuan and anticipated financial expenses by 110,000 yuan [19]

Group 1 - The metal lead concept increased by 1.39%, ranking 10th among concept sectors, with 23 stocks rising, including Yuehongyuan A which hit the daily limit, and Zijin Mining, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Shanjin International showing notable gains of 5.90%, 5.62%, and 5.10% respectively [1][2] - The leading stocks in terms of net inflow of main funds include Zijin Mining with a net inflow of 3.80 billion yuan, followed by Chifeng Jilong Gold, Yuehongyuan A, and Hengbang Shares with net inflows of 2.55 billion yuan, 900.604 million yuan, and 188.678 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The net inflow ratio for stocks such as Yuehongyuan A, Baodi Mining, and Zhongse Shares were 30.38%, 12.12%, and 8.38% respectively, indicating strong investor interest [3] Group 2 - The top gainers in the metal lead concept include Zijin Mining with a 5.90% increase and a turnover rate of 1.27%, and Chifeng Jilong Gold with a 5.62% increase and a turnover rate of 7.47% [3][4] - Stocks like Hunan Silver and Shengda Resources also showed positive performance with increases of 2.01% and 1.97% respectively, while stocks such as Wisdom Agriculture and Guocheng Mining experienced declines of 1.85% and 1.43% [4][5] - The overall market sentiment for the metal lead sector appears positive, with significant capital inflows and several stocks achieving substantial gains [2][3]

Group 1: Project Development - The Darui lead-zinc mine project in Indonesia has a total resource/reserve of 20.7 million tons of ore, with zinc metal amounting to 225,620 tons and lead metal amounting to 132,030 tons, ranking high in both resource quantity and grade among undeveloped lead-zinc projects globally [2] - The project is currently in the construction phase, focusing on financing and technical feasibility studies for tailings-free processing [2] Group 2: Exploration and Resource Expansion - In 2024, the company conducted exploration to increase reserves at the Baiyin Noer lead-zinc mine, adding 44,000 tons of lead-zinc metal [2] - The company is implementing various resource expansion strategies, including domestic exploration and international cooperation in Kazakhstan and Indonesia [2][3] Group 3: Business Strategy and Financial Performance - The company aims to develop resource bases in Northwest China (Qinghai, Inner Mongolia) and Central Asia (Kazakhstan) while pursuing opportunities along the Belt and Road Initiative [3] - In 2024, the engineering contracting business revenue is projected to grow by 7.39%, with new contract amounts reaching 16.488 billion yuan [3] Group 4: Cash Flow and Operational Challenges - The fluctuation in operating cash flow is attributed to the timing of revenue recognition based on project progress and increased procurement costs for engineering contracts [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - For lead, due to tight raw materials, some secondary lead smelters have cut production, and the demand is in the off - season. It is expected that the lead price will fluctuate widely in the short term [1]. - For zinc, the macro - sentiment is stable and positive, but the fundamentals of SHFE zinc are weak. The zinc price is expected to fluctuate widely in the short term, and the center of the zinc price may shift down in the long - term. A strategy of short - selling on rebounds is recommended [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lead Price and Market Data - On May 21, 2025, the average price of SMM1 lead ingots was 16,650 yuan/ton, down 0.45% from the previous day; the closing price of the SHFE lead futures main contract was 16,845 yuan/ton, down 0.09% [1]. - The trading volume of the active lead futures contract was 24,386 lots, down 9.32%; the open interest was 22,798 lots, down 16.76% [1]. - LME lead inventory was 245,750 tons, unchanged; SHFE lead warrant inventory was 44,980 tons, down 10.12% [1]. Company and Industry News - Huayu Mining completed a mining volume of 283.3 million tons and a beneficiation volume of 242.66 million tons in 2024. The Shannan Branch completed a lead - zinc - antimony metal volume of 36,200 tons, including 19,600 tons of zinc, 14,400 tons of lead, 2235 tons of antimony, and 53.57 tons of silver [1]. Fundamental Analysis - The operation rate of primary lead is stable with a slight increase, while the operation rate of secondary lead has decreased significantly due to rising raw material costs and limited supplies [1]. - The demand is in the off - season, and downstream procurement is weak, providing limited support for the lead price [1]. Zinc Price and Market Data - On May 21, 2025, the average price of SMM1 zinc ingots was 22,540 yuan/ton, down 0.18% from the previous day; the closing price of the SHFE zinc futures main contract was 22,435 yuan/ton, down 0.09% [1]. - The trading volume of the active zinc futures contract was 94,706 lots, down 24.89%; the open interest was 76,630 lots, down 10.44% [1]. - LME zinc inventory was 156,725 tons, unchanged; SHFE zinc warrant inventory was 1,526 tons, down 10.29% [1]. Company and Industry News - Zijin Mining's Kyzyl - Tashtyg lead - zinc mine in Russia will maintain normal operation, canceling the plan to suspend operations in June. In 2024, the mine produced about 71,300 DMT of zinc concentrate and about 4750 tons of lead concentrate [1]. - In April 2025, the import volume of zinc concentrates was 494,700 tons (physical tons), a month - on - month increase of 37.6% and a year - on - year increase of 72.07%. The cumulative import volume from January to April was 1.7125 million tons (physical tons), a cumulative year - on - year increase of 45.26% [1]. Fundamental Analysis - Zinc smelters have sufficient raw material reserves, and zinc concentrate processing fees are rising. The limitation of raw material shortages on smelter production has weakened, and production is expected to increase [1]. - After the May Day holiday, the operation rate of downstream enterprises has increased, but the terminal market has not improved, and downstream enterprises are bearish on the zinc price and have weak procurement enthusiasm [1]. - Different downstream sectors have different performances: galvanizing has mixed performance, die - casting zinc alloy has good electronic orders but weak traditional hardware orders, and zinc oxide has uncertain export orders due to anti - dumping investigations [1].

祁玉蓉（F03100031, Z0021060），联系电话：010-8229 5006 2025/5/20 单位 今值 变动 近期趋势 SMM1#铅锭平均价格 元/吨 16,725.00 -0.30% 期货主力合约收盘价 元/吨 16,860.00 -0.06% 沪铅基差 元/吨 -135.00 -40.00 升贴水-上海 元/吨 - -10.00 升贴水-LME 0-3 美元/吨 -4.45 0.38 升贴水-LME 3-15 美元/吨 -59.10 -0.60 沪铅近月-沪铅连一 元/吨 -15.00 10.00 沪铅连一-沪铅连二 元/吨 - -5.00 沪铅连二-沪铅连三 元/吨 - -20.00 期货活跃合约成交量 手 26,893.00 -17.21% 期货活跃合约持仓量 手 27,388.00 -4.11% 成交持仓比 / 0.98 -13.66% LME库存 吨 0.00% 246,350.00 沪铅仓单库存 吨 50,047.00 0.25% LME3个月铅期货收盘价（电子盘） 美元/吨 1,961.50 -1.93% 沪伦铅价比值 / 8.60 1.90% SMM1#锌锭平均价格 元/吨 ...

一、主要会计数据和财务指标 | 报告期指标 | 2024年年报 | 2023年年报 | 本年比上年增减(%) | 2022年年报 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益（元） | 0.2512 | -0.2356 | 206.62 | 0.4505 | | 每股净资产（元） | 4.02 | 3.48 | 15.52 | 3.79 | | 每股公积金(元) | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0 | 0.02 | | 每股未分配利润(元) | 3.32 | 3.07 | 8.14 | 3.31 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | - | - | - | - | | 营业收入(亿元) | 16.39 | 14.68 | 11.65 | 19.73 | | 净利润(亿元) | 2.3 | -2.15 | 206.98 | 4.12 | | 净资产收益率(%) | 6.70 | -6.43 | 204.2 | 13.19 | 数据四舍五入，查看更多财务数据>> | 名称 持有数量(万股) | | 占总股本比例 | 增减情况(万 | | --- | --- | --- | -- ...