Group 1 - Shenzhen Energy held its 39th board meeting on September 29, 2025, via telecommunication to review the performance evaluation plan for senior management for the year 2024 [1] - For the first half of 2025, Shenzhen Energy's revenue composition was as follows: electricity accounted for 62.18%, environmental protection for 18.52%, gas for 13.65%, and other industries for 5.64% [1] - As of the report date, Shenzhen Energy's market capitalization was 32 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The competition between Nongfu Spring and Yi Bao has intensified, with Nongfu Spring's green bottle launch leading to a significant market share decline for Yi Bao, dropping nearly 5 percentage points [1]

Core Points - Company announced adjustments to the repurchase price of restricted stocks and the exercise price of stock options in its 2024 incentive plan [1] - The repurchase price for restricted stocks was adjusted from 11.97 CNY per share to 11.57 CNY per share [1] - The exercise price for stock options was adjusted from 19.87 CNY per share to 19.47 CNY per share [1] Summary by Category Company Actions - Company held meetings on September 26, 2025, to review and approve adjustments to the 2024 incentive plan [1] - Adjustments were made based on the authorization from the second extraordinary general meeting of shareholders in 2024 [1] Financial Adjustments - The repurchase price for restricted stocks decreased by 0.40 CNY per share [1] - The exercise price for stock options decreased by 0.40 CNY per share [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Insights - The gas prices across various regions remain stable due to sufficient inventory in the US, progress in European storage, and slow recovery in domestic demand [1][10] - The report highlights the gradual implementation of price adjustments in urban gas companies, leading to improved profitability and valuation recovery [38] - The report emphasizes the importance of energy independence and the potential impact of US LNG import tariffs on companies with US gas sources [54][56] Price Tracking - As of September 26, 2025, the weekly price changes for various gas prices are as follows: US HH -0.1%, European TTF +1.2%, East Asia JKM -0.6%, China LNG ex-factory -0.1%, and China LNG CIF -2.1% [10][14] - The average total supply of natural gas in the US decreased by 0.1% week-on-week to 1,117 billion cubic feet per day, while total demand increased by 2.7% to 1,013 billion cubic feet per day [16] Supply and Demand Analysis - The report indicates that US natural gas inventory is sufficient, with a week-on-week increase of 750 billion cubic feet to 35,080 billion cubic feet [16] - In Europe, natural gas consumption from January to June 2025 was 2,408 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 5.8% [19] - Domestic natural gas apparent consumption in China increased by 0.8% year-on-year to 2,832 billion cubic meters from January to August 2025 [25][34] Pricing Mechanism Progress - Nationwide price adjustments have been gradually implemented, with 65% of cities adjusting residential gas prices by an average of 0.21 yuan per cubic meter [38] - The report suggests that there is still a 10% room for price gap recovery in urban gas companies [38] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing price adjustments, such as Xin'ao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy [56] - It also highlights the importance of companies with quality long-term contracts and flexible scheduling, such as Jiufeng Energy and Xin'ao Shares [56] - Companies with gas production capabilities, like New Natural Gas and Blue Flame Holdings, are suggested for attention due to the increasing uncertainty in US gas imports [56]

Core Insights - The gas sector experienced a rise of 1.37% on September 29, with Dazhong Public Utilities leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3862.53, up 0.9%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13479.43, up 2.05% [1] Gas Sector Performance - Dazhong Public Utilities (600635) saw a closing price of 5.67, with a significant increase of 10.10% and a trading volume of 2.7854 million shares, amounting to 1.552 billion yuan [1] - Fuan Energy (002911) also rose by 10.01% to close at 12.86, with a trading volume of 247,800 shares and a turnover of 314 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included Xinjiang Torch (603080) with a 5.79% increase, closing at 24.48, and Delong Huineng (000593) with a 3.65% increase, closing at 7.38 [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The gas sector saw a net inflow of 461 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 224 million yuan [2] - Dazhong Public Utilities attracted a net inflow of 380 million yuan from main funds, but had a net outflow of 212 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Fuan Energy had a net inflow of 112 million yuan from main funds, with a net outflow of 571 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangxi Jiufeng Energy Co., Ltd. announced adjustments to the repurchase price of restricted stocks and the exercise price of stock options as part of its 2024 incentive plan, following the approval of its board and supervisory committee [1][3]. Summary by Sections Adjustment Reasons - The adjustments were triggered by the semi-annual profit distribution scheduled for September 10, 2025, which involves a cash dividend of 0.402 yuan per share, leading to a diluted cash dividend of 0.399 yuan per share based on the total share capital [2]. Basis and Results of Adjustments - The repurchase price for restricted stocks was adjusted from 11.97 yuan per share to 11.57 yuan per share, while the exercise price for stock options was adjusted from 19.87 yuan per share to 19.47 yuan per share, in accordance with the established formulas [3]. - The adjustments comply with relevant laws and regulations, and do not harm the interests of the company or its shareholders [3]. Impact on the Company - The company stated that these adjustments will not have a substantial impact on its financial and operational status [4]. - The supervisory committee and legal counsel confirmed that the adjustments have received the necessary approvals and comply with relevant regulations [4].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.07% this week, while the Utilities Index rose by 0.28% and the Environmental Index increased by 1.06%, with relative weekly returns of -0.79% and -0.01% respectively [2][3] - Among the 31 primary industry sectors classified by Shenwan, the Utilities and Environmental sectors ranked 6th and 4th in terms of growth [2][3] Power Sector Performance - In the power sector, thermal power decreased by 0.82%, while hydropower and renewable energy generation increased by 0.82% and 1.09% respectively [2][3] - The water sector saw an increase of 2.74%, while the gas sector declined by 0.63% [2][3] Important Events - At the UN Climate Change Summit, national leaders announced China's new commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 7%-10% from peak levels by 2035 and to increase non-fossil energy consumption to over 30% of total energy consumption [3] - In August, China's total electricity consumption reached 10,154 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 5.0% [3] - Cumulative installed power generation capacity reached 3,690 million kW by the end of August, with solar power capacity growing by 48.5% year-on-year [3] Regional Market Insights - The Sichuan electricity spot market has begun trial settlements, experiencing instances of negative electricity prices due to an oversupply situation [4] - As of 2024, Sichuan's total installed capacity is projected to be 14,346 MW, with hydropower accounting for 71.2% [4] Investment Strategies - In the utilities sector, coal and electricity prices are expected to decline, maintaining reasonable profitability for thermal power companies [5] - Continued government support for renewable energy development is anticipated to stabilize profitability for renewable energy companies [5] - Recommendations include major thermal power companies, national renewable energy leaders, and stable nuclear power operators [5] Environmental Sector Insights - The water and waste incineration sectors are entering a mature phase, with significant improvements in free cash flow [5] - The domestic market for scientific instruments exceeds $9 billion, indicating substantial potential for domestic substitution [5] - The upcoming EU SAF blending policy is expected to increase demand for raw materials, benefiting the domestic waste oil recycling industry [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively expanding into new fields such as SOFC (Solid Oxide Fuel Cell) and green methanol, with ongoing projects and production capabilities being developed [1] Group 1: SOFC Development - The company has completed the assembly of a 50kW SOFC system, with testing currently underway [1] - A 300kW SOFC demonstration application project is actively being developed [1] Group 2: Green Methanol Production - The company's subsidiary, Inner Mongolia Yigao Coal Chemical Technology Co., Ltd., has achieved an annual production capacity of 50,000 tons of green methanol and has commenced bulk sales [1] - From January to May 2025, the subsidiary has delivered 6,000 tons of green methanol products [1] - Future investments will be made to upgrade the existing methanol production line, aiming for a final capacity of 300,000 tons per year [1]

Core Insights - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the national thermal power generation volume in July and August has increased year-on-year, suggesting a potential rise in net profit per kilowatt-hour for major thermal power companies in Q3 2025 due to the peak summer demand [1] - There is a year-on-year decline in national hydropower generation in July and August, with variations across different river basins; nuclear power plants are operating steadily [1] - From January to August, the growth in installed capacity supports a year-on-year increase in electricity generation for green energy operators; the apparent consumption of natural gas in July has also increased year-on-year [1] Thermal Power - The focus for thermal power in Q4 2025 will be on the price differential between electricity and coal [1] - The increase in thermal power generation hours is attributed to the peak summer demand [1] Hydropower - The profitability of hydropower is primarily dependent on water inflow and reservoir conditions during the flood season [1] Green Energy - The attention for green energy will be on the pricing details of the mechanism and the progress of national subsidies [1] Natural Gas - The natural gas sector will be monitored for improvements in demand [1] Environmental Companies - Environmental companies should focus on cash flow, adjustments in water pricing, and the potential for releasing green and smart capabilities [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the national thermal power generation volume has increased year-on-year in July and August, suggesting potential profit growth for major thermal power companies in the third quarter of 2025 due to peak summer demand [1] Group 1: Thermal Power - The national thermal power generation volume has shown a year-on-year increase in July and August, driven by peak summer demand [1] - The net profit per kilowatt-hour for major thermal power companies is expected to continue improving in the third quarter of 2025 [1] - The focus for thermal power in the fourth quarter of 2025 will be on the price differential between electricity and coal [1] Group 2: Hydropower - National hydropower generation volume has declined year-on-year in July and August, with variations across different river basins [1] - The profitability of hydropower will mainly depend on water inflow and reservoir conditions during the flood season [1] Group 3: Nuclear Power - Nuclear power plants are operating steadily, contributing to the overall energy mix [1] Group 4: Green Energy - The growth in installed capacity from January to August supports a year-on-year increase in electricity generation for green energy operators [1] - Attention for green energy will be on the details of pricing mechanisms and the progress of national subsidies [1] Group 5: Natural Gas - The apparent consumption of natural gas nationwide has increased year-on-year in July [1] - The focus for natural gas will be on whether demand improves [1] Group 6: Environmental Companies - Environmental companies should primarily focus on cash flow, water price adjustments, and the potential for releasing green and smart capabilities [1]

证券研究报告 | 2025年09月28日 公用环保 202509 第 5 期 优于大市 2035 年国家自主贡献明确，风光装机容量力争达到 36 亿千瓦 市场回顾：本周沪深 300 指数上涨 1.07%，公用事业指数上涨 0.28%，环 保指数上涨 1.06%，周相对收益率分别为-0.79%和-0.01%。申万 31 个一 级行业分类板块中，公用事业及环保涨幅处于第 6 和第 4 名。电力板块 子板块中，火电下跌 0.82%；水电上涨 0.82%，新能源发电上涨 1.09%； 水务板块上涨 2.74%；燃气板块下跌 0.63%。 重要事件：国家领导人在联合国气候变化峰会上发表致辞，宣布中国新 一轮国家自主贡献：到 2035 年，中国全经济范围温室气体净排放量比 峰值下降 7%-10%，非化石能源消费占能源消费总量的比重达到 30%以上， 风电和太阳能发电总装机容量达到 2020 年的 6 倍以上、力争达到 36 亿 千瓦。国家能源局发布数据显示，8 月全社会用电量 10154 亿千瓦时， 同比增长 5.0%。从分产业用电看，第一产业用电量 164 亿千瓦时，同比 增长 9.7%；第二产业用电量 5981 亿千 ...