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用电负荷历史新高!一图梳理电力板块个股
天天基金网· 2025-07-08 11:32
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strong performance of the electricity sector in response to high temperatures and increased electricity demand, with specific focus on companies like Huayin Electric and the overall market outlook for 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Electricity Demand and Supply - The National Energy Administration reported that on July 4, the national maximum electricity load reached 1.465 billion kilowatts, an increase of approximately 200 million kilowatts from the end of June and nearly 150 million kilowatts year-on-year, marking a historical high [1]. - The East China Grid recorded a load of 422 million kilowatts, with air conditioning load accounting for about 37% [1]. - Due to the ongoing high temperatures, it is expected that the electricity grid load will remain elevated in the coming week, with the State Grid maximizing its resource allocation capabilities [1]. Group 2: Company Performance and Market Outlook - Huayin Electric announced that it expects to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 180 million to 220 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing an increase of 894.61% compared to the same period last year [2]. - Guosheng Securities suggests that the combination of high temperatures and the peak summer electricity load will catalyze interest in the electricity sector [2]. - Xiangcai Securities anticipates that the sustained high temperatures will maintain high grid loads, improving the electricity supply-demand balance, and recommends focusing on three main lines: hydropower assets, thermal power assets with favorable supply-demand conditions, and leading companies with strong operational capabilities [2].
一季度核电、水电发电量同比正增长,核电机组核准节奏加速 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-04-29 00:55
Core Viewpoint - The electricity consumption growth rate for the first quarter of 2025 is projected at 2.5%, with a notable recovery in March [1][3]. Group 1: Electricity Demand and Supply - In March 2025, the total electricity consumption reached 828.2 billion kWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [1][3]. - Cumulatively, from January to March 2025, the total electricity consumption was 2,384.6 billion kWh, also reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.5%, with the primary industry showing the highest growth rate [1][3]. - For the first quarter of 2025, the industrial electricity generation decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, totaling 22,699 billion kWh [3]. - The share of thermal power generation was 67.52%, while wind power accounted for 12.45%, with hydro and nuclear power at 9.84% and 5.17%, respectively [3]. Group 2: Coal Market Overview - In March 2025, the industrial raw coal production was 44.1 million tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.6% [4]. - The average price of thermal coal at northern ports was 660 RMB/ton, down 2.22% in April 2025 [4]. - Coal inventory at northern ports was 31.12 million tons as of April 25, 2025, with slight fluctuations observed [5]. Group 3: Natural Gas Market Overview - Natural gas production showed stable growth, with an output of 66 billion cubic meters in the first quarter of 2025, up 4.3% year-on-year [6]. - Natural gas imports decreased by 10.0% year-on-year, totaling 29.42 million tons from January to March 2025 [6]. - The price of liquefied natural gas in China was 4,481.6 RMB/ton as of April 20, 2025, reflecting a slight increase of 0.51% [6]. Group 4: Hydropower Situation - As of April 24, 2025, the inflow and outflow of the Three Gorges Reservoir were 8,000 and 8,300 cubic meters per second, respectively, indicating a decrease in inflow compared to the same period in 2024 [7]. Group 5: Regional Electricity Supply and Demand - In March 2025, Henan Province's total electricity consumption was 4.259 billion kWh, up 3.33% year-on-year [8]. - The total electricity generation in Henan Province for March 2025 was 30.092 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.23% [8].