近期，与促进消费、提振内需相关的政策密集出台，在提振居民消费预期同时，也给大消费板块行情向 好提供了助力。 业内人士认为，延续并扩大直接补贴及消费贷贴息、改善物价等，有望成为短期内值得期待的扩消费政 策；从投资角度出发，消费行业呈现底部特征，基本面触底修复构成股价"催化剂"，具备规模效应且业 绩弹性突出的连锁餐饮与新茶饮企业、赛事运营与相关服务领域的体育公司、具备稀缺IP价值并能持续 转化粉丝经济的演艺运营商等细分标的值得关注。 政策红利不断释放 在中国银河证券首席经济学家、研究院院长章俊看来，未来经济工作需要促进形成更多由内需主导、消 费拉动、内生增长的经济发展模式，在财政支出方向上，"以旧换新"政策有望延续并更多向服务消费领 域倾斜，2026年推动更多资金资源投资于人、服务民生这一政策导向或会继续强化。 临近年底消费旺季，从中央到相关部委再到地方，一系列旨在扩大内需和提振消费的政策红利持续释 放，市场对增量政策的预期也在不断增强。 两大维度布局消费板块 在继续促进商品消费的同时，服务消费或成为下一步发力的重点。 结合对国内消费结构的分析，万联证券社会服务行业分析师叶柏良认为，服务消费行业预计将迈入快速 增 ...

智通财经APP获悉，西部证券发布研报称，消费行业呈现底部特征，基本面触底修复构成股价催化剂。 该行看好红利+优势全球资产，以及红利+修复，两个细分策略。虽然贸易摩擦对供应链、产能等格局 重塑，但是优质出海供给替代海外品牌依然成为不可逆转的时代主题。未来随着资金视角的全球化，景 气度和竞争实力较强的中国资产，将获得更多的发展机会和回报空间。 传统行业盘子基数大、产业动能较低，未来将保持稳定增长，内需寻找高成长需要围绕新人群、新市场 带来的增量。"Z 世代"人群本身消费能力较强、"新中产"悦己属性提升带动优质品质消费品，对旅游、 健康消费(保健品)、智能科技消费、奶茶、医美产品等高复购的情绪价值消费有较强带动。以十月稻田 为代表的新零售品牌，公司管理效率极高，具备成长性+高人效特征，依然享受结构性的成长红利。 出海是2-3年的时代景气主题 虽然贸易摩擦对供应链、产能等格局重塑，但是优质出海供给替代海外品牌依然成为不可逆转的时代主 题，大部分高增长消费依然聚集在此，该行看好安克、春风等公司在品牌和渠道的长期竞争力和竞争格 局，在估值具备相当安全边际的时候，可以进行配置。 稀缺的境外资产，逐渐将获得国内资金关注 西部 ...

晨会纪要 核心结论 分析师 【食品饮料】2026 消费行业投资展望：底部，是走出来的 消费行业呈现底部特征，基本面触底修复构成股价催化剂。政策面（24 年 9 月）领先资金面（25 年 Q3），资金面领先基本面，基本面触底修复构成催 化剂。除了基本面积极的信息开始增多，催化剂也包括：越来越多的公司开 始注重分红和回购，竞争理性背景下格局有所改善，白酒等公司开始清理报 表包袱，企业沟通治理更加透明和国际化。 【保险Ⅱ】保险行业 2026 年度策略：风起之时：财富权益大迁徙下的寿险 价值重估 以估值、弹性、股息率作为筛选维度，建议关注存量成本较低、经营稳健的 【中国太保】，股息率高且欠配明显的【中国平安】，业绩优异、股息率具备 竞争力的【中国人寿 H】，估值低、投资改善幅度大的【中国太平】，推荐权 益投资能力强、弹性大且股息率高的【新华保险】。 【医药生物】百奥赛图（2315.HK）深度报告：技术驱动研发创新，致力于 成为全球新药发源地 盈利预测与评级：预计 2025-2027 年公司营收分别为 13.87/18.09/23.06 亿 元，同比增长 41.5%/30.4%/27.4%，归母净利润 1.47/3.3 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tianwei Food is pursuing a dual listing in A+H shares to enhance its international strategy and brand recognition, despite facing challenges in a competitive domestic seasoning market [3][7]. Company Overview - Tianwei Food has submitted its application for H-share listing to the China Securities Regulatory Commission and has received acceptance [3]. - The company aims to leverage international capital markets to optimize its capital structure and support long-term development [3][8]. Financial Performance - Tianwei Food's financial performance has been volatile, with a revenue of 1.39 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 5.24% year-on-year, and a net profit of 190 million yuan, down 23.01% [4]. - In the third quarter, revenue showed signs of recovery, increasing by 13.79% to 1.02 billion yuan, but the overall performance for the first three quarters still reflected a decline in net profit by 9.3% [4]. - The company reported a compound annual growth rate of 13.5% in revenue from 2022 to 2024, but recent growth rates indicate a downward trend [4]. Market Challenges - The domestic seasoning market has shifted from a blue ocean to a red ocean, with over 1,000 participants in the compound seasoning industry [7]. - Tianwei Food's main product line, hot pot seasoning, has seen a revenue decline of 12.85% in the first half of 2025 [4]. - The company faces competition not only from traditional seasoning companies but also from cross-industry players like grain and oil companies entering the seasoning market [9]. Strategic Moves - Online sales channels have become a bright spot for Tianwei Food, with a 60.27% increase in online revenue to 631 million yuan, contrasting with a 10.35% decline in offline sales [5]. - The company has made significant acquisitions, including a 55% stake in Shicui Food for 362 million yuan, which contributed to its revenue growth [5]. - Tianwei Food plans to use funds raised from the H-share listing for global sales network development and supply chain construction [8]. International Expansion - The company has begun international food safety standard certifications and has products sold in over 50 countries [8]. - The global seasoning market is projected to grow, with the industry size increasing from 857 billion yuan in 2019 to 1,265 billion yuan in 2024, indicating potential for international expansion [7][8]. - However, challenges remain in breaking into mainstream markets outside the Chinese consumer base [8].

Core Insights - Qingdao Richen Food Co., Ltd. (Richen) reported a revenue of 344 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 15.69% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 64.32 million yuan, up 18.16% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 63.99 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 21.99% [1] - In Q3 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 140 million yuan, with a net profit of 29.08 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.15% [1] Business Performance - The company has established a comprehensive core advantage through "customized R&D + flexible manufacturing + quality control + rapid response" over its 20 years in the compound seasoning industry [1] - Richen focuses on three main sectors: chain catering, food processing, and brand retail, offering over a thousand customized solutions including sauces, powdered seasonings, and food additives [1] - The self-owned brand "Weizhi Wuyue" is expanding its market influence through both offline supermarkets and online e-commerce channels, promoting a diet philosophy of "safety, health, deliciousness, and convenience" [1] Strategic Developments - In March 2025, the company completed the acquisition of 100% of Jiaxing Aibeibang Food Co., Ltd., entering the frozen dough segment for baked goods [2] - From April onwards, the baking segment generated a revenue of 29.10 million yuan in the first three quarters, becoming a new growth driver for the company [2] - The traditional business segments also performed well, with sauce seasonings generating 237 million yuan, powdered seasonings achieving 75.14 million yuan (up 25.99%), and food additives reaching 1.92 million yuan (up 40.37%) [2] Market Positioning - Industry analysts suggest that Richen's dual-driven strategy of "compound seasonings + frozen baked goods" not only strengthens its customized service capabilities for B-end clients but also enhances its penetration in C-end consumer scenarios [2] - With the acceleration of industrialization in the catering sector and a consumer market increasingly favoring quality and price, the company is well-positioned to leverage its first-mover advantage, deep technical expertise, and forward-looking strategic layout to sustain growth in the lucrative segments of compound seasonings and baked goods [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Tianwei Foods plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its international strategy and expand its overseas business footprint [1][5] - Tianwei Foods is a well-established brand in the compound seasoning industry, founded in 2007, focusing on the research, production, and sales of various seasoning products, including hot pot condiments and spicy sauces [3] - The company is controlled by its founders, who hold over 65% of the shares, and they have recently been recognized in the 2025 Hurun Global Rich List due to their strong business performance [3] Group 2 - The decision to list in Hong Kong is driven by strategic considerations to increase brand recognition and leverage international capital market advantages for long-term development [5] - Financially, Tianwei Foods has shown steady performance with continuous growth in revenue and net profit from 2022 to 2024, although revenue growth has slowed down recently [5] - The company is actively seeking new growth opportunities in overseas markets, successfully entering markets in the US, Australia, and Spain, and participating in international food exhibitions to enhance brand visibility [5]

Core Insights - The key to success in a supply-exceeding demand economy is the ability to identify and capture demand before it materializes [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of in-depth market research for companies in the compound seasoning industry to adapt to changing customer needs and competitive environments [2] Report Structure - Chapter 1 analyzes the development environment of the Chinese compound seasoning industry [3] - Chapter 2 examines the current state of the domestic compound seasoning industry [3] - Chapter 3 discusses the competitive status and landscape of the compound seasoning market [3] - Chapter 4 studies the entire industrial chain and upstream market of compound seasonings [3] - Chapter 5 provides analysis and forecasts on market demand, competitive landscape, market prices, and prospects for major types of compound seasonings [3] - Chapter 6 analyzes the demand status and prospects of key regional markets for compound seasonings [3] - Chapter 7 analyzes and interprets leading companies in the Chinese compound seasoning industry, offering practical reference value [3] - Chapter 8 evaluates the development forecast of the compound seasoning industry and outlines investment strategies to assist investors in decision-making [3] Industry Overview - The report highlights the increasing emphasis on market research by leading companies in the compound seasoning sector due to intensifying competition [2][3] - It aims to provide decision-makers with insights into the latest developments in the compound seasoning industry, helping them seize market opportunities and improve operational efficiency [3]

Group 1 - The Chinese herbal health water market is rapidly growing, with brands like Laoshang Baihua Shecao Water and Yuanqi Forest leading the way, expected to exceed 10 billion yuan by 2028. However, issues such as poor taste, severe homogenization, and inadequate channel distribution are prominent [2][9][32] - The beer and beverage industries are increasingly overlapping, with beer companies like Chongqing Beer and Yanjing Beer entering the non-alcoholic beverage market, while beverage companies are attempting to enter the alcoholic sector, indicating a competitive landscape that requires precise consumer and scenario positioning [3][18] - The compound seasoning industry in China is experiencing rapid growth, with a market size reaching 203.2 billion yuan in 2023, accounting for 34% of the total seasoning market, driven by the rise of restaurant chains and the popularity of takeout culture [5] Group 2 - The trend of "Chinese medicine + dining" is gaining traction among young consumers, but issues such as illegal additives and exaggerated efficacy are prevalent, highlighting the need for improved regulations and quality control in the industry [7] - The beverage market is seeing a rise in functional drinks favored by young consumers, with platforms like Xiaohongshu driving trends and product popularity, particularly in the juice category [8][26] - The launch of "Wahaha's" new sugar-free tea brand "Wah Xiaozong" aims to capture the young consumer market, with a focus on product differentiation and brand transformation [13] Group 3 - The energy drink market is dominated by Dongpeng Beverage, which reported a revenue of 15.84 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.33 billion yuan in 2024, but faces uncertainties regarding future growth due to reliance on its flagship product [21] - The non-alcoholic beverage market is becoming increasingly competitive, with Yanjing Beer launching a new soda product to adapt to market trends and consumer preferences [18] - The rapid growth of the "no-sugar tea" market is evident, with brands like "Guozi Shule" achieving significant sales increases through innovative product design and marketing strategies [34]

Group 1 - The compound seasoning industry is expected to reach a revenue of 134.1 billion CNY in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11% from 2019 to 2024 [16][21][29] - The hot pot base market is projected to maintain a growth rate of over 5% in the next five years, with a market size of approximately 600 billion CNY [33][35] - The Chinese compound seasoning sector is still in its growth phase, with significant opportunities for new product development, particularly in categories like sauerkraut fish and crayfish seasoning [41][43] Group 2 - In February, the food and beverage sector outperformed the market by 2.2 percentage points, with sub-sectors like liquor showing strong performance [12][20] - The valuation of the food and beverage sector is at historical lows, with the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio at the 12th percentile and the price-to-book (PB) ratio at the 23rd percentile since 2010 [12][24] - The net inflow of southbound funds in February reached 152.8 billion HKD, indicating strong interest in stocks like Qingdao Beer and COFCO Joycome [12][14] Group 3 - The liquor market is experiencing a recovery, with companies controlling inventory and maintaining prices, as seen with the price of Moutai at 2,210 CNY per bottle [17][32] - The sales of consumer goods improved in February, particularly in beer, dairy products, and frozen foods, while raw material prices showed mixed trends [18][19] - The overall retail sales in January and February 2025 are expected to grow by 4.0% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in consumer spending [28][31] Group 4 - Investment recommendations include key players in the liquor sector such as Luzhou Laojiao, Jinshiyuan, and Shanxi Fenjiu, as well as consumer goods companies like Yanjing Beer and Tianwei Foods [10][12] - The report emphasizes the potential for new product launches in the compound seasoning market, driven by changing consumer preferences and the expansion of retail channels like Sam's Club [41][43] - The macroeconomic environment is improving, which is expected to boost consumer confidence and spending, further supporting the growth of the food and beverage sector [29][31]