一线城市二手房价格下跌幅度超全国平均水平，对市场信心造成负面影 响。尽管上半年房地产市场总体稳定，但三季度以来价格加速下行，70 城二手房价格环比下降加剧市场担忧。 行政性放松政策未能扭转颓势，降低房贷利率是主要期待。2025 年 LPR 仅小幅下降，银行净息差压力限制让利空间，财政贴息或能减轻居 民购房负担，但成本取决于贴息力度和年限。 若实施按揭贷款利率贴息，预计每年成本 500-600 亿元，基于 15 万亿 销售额和 60%首付比例，新增按揭贷款规模约 6 万亿元，扣除公积金贷 款后商业银行贷款 5 万亿元，100 个基点贴息。 对房地产股市持乐观态度，政策推进将提升市场容忍度，增加新旧住房 交易流动性，改善上市公司业绩。关注香港地产、商业地产及具备困境 反转潜力的公司，这些公司负债压力小、现金流充裕且估值便宜。 贝壳找房受一线城市价格下行影响，但经纪业务弹性较早显现。2026 年利润率提升主要因素包括经纪业务人效提升、AI 技术应用（预计每年 带来 2-3 个百分点经营利润率增长）以及家装和租赁业务利润释放。 地产链：扭转预期，需要踏出那一步 20251120 摘要 Q&A 近期房地产市场的整体表现 ...

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码：000560 证券简称：我爱我家 公告编号：2025-053号 我爱我家控股集团股份有限公司 关于实际控制人所持股份解除司法冻结的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗 漏。 我爱我家控股集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于近日接到公司实际控制人谢勇先生函告，并通过 中国证券登记结算有限责任公司深圳分公司系统查询，获悉谢勇先生持有的15,000,000股公司股份已全 部解除司法冻结。现将具体情况公告如下： 一、股东股份解除司法冻结的基本情况 ■ 二、股东股份累计被司法冻结基本情况 截至本公告披露日，公司实际控制人谢勇先生持有15,000,000股公司股份，占总股本的0.64%，其一致 行动人、公司控股股东西藏太和先机投资管理有限公司持有411,028,689股公司股份，占总股本的 17.45%，谢勇先生及其一致行动人合计持有426,028,689股公司股份，占总股本的18.09%，上述股份不 存在被冻结的情形。 特此公告。 我爱我家控股集团股份有限公司 董 事 会 上述担保发生后，公司对北京 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the competitive advantage of Tabo (滔搏) in the retail sector, emphasizing its strong retail capabilities and high dividend payouts to investors [4][5] - The report projects Tabo's revenue and net profit for FY2025 to FY2027, indicating a slight decline in revenue but a recovery in net profit growth by FY2027 [4][5] Company Overview - Tabo is identified as the largest sports retail and service platform in China, collaborating with major brands such as Nike and Adidas [4] - The company experienced a revenue decline of 7% in FY2025 and a projected decline of 6% in FY2026H1, with net profit dropping by 42% and 10% respectively [4][5] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Tabo are set at 946 billion, 953 billion, and 1,005 billion RMB for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.2%, 0.8%, and 5.5% [4] - The net profit estimates are 37.1 billion, 52.8 billion, and 61 billion RMB for the same years, with growth rates of -8.7%, 42.4%, and 15.5% [4] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "buy" rating for Tabo, citing its robust dividend payout history of 107.3% since its IPO in 2019 and a current cash position of 2.54 billion RMB [5] - The expected price-to-earnings ratio for FY2026 is 14.6, with a dividend yield of 7% [5] Industry Context - The report discusses the broader retail environment, noting challenges such as fluctuating consumer demand and the need for effective e-commerce strategies [5] - It emphasizes the importance of Tabo's strong brand partnerships and retail efficiency in maintaining its competitive edge in the market [4][5]

智通财经APP获悉，国盛证券发布研报称，首予贝壳-W(02423)买入评级，贝壳作为中国领先的居住服 务平台，凭借独特的ACN合作网络和庞大的"楼盘字典"数据库构筑了坚固的竞争壁垒。公司核心的存量 房和新房业务市占率持续提升，在行业下行期中展现出超额增长。依托强大的平台生态和效率优势，贝 壳在房地产交易服务领域的龙头地位稳固。 国盛证券主要观点如下： 叠加平台覆盖网络扩大，公司GTV实现较行业的超额表现，市占率持续提升。(1)存量房交易服务： 2023/2024/2025H1公司存量房总GTV分别为2/2.2/1.2万亿元，同比分别为28.6%/10.8%/13.7%，2024年市 占率达31.1%，同比提升2.5pct。存量房业务的增长，一方面源于当前房地产行业已步入存量时代，二 手房成交中枢持续上移，奠定公司GTV增长的市场基础;另一方面，公司凭借庞大的人店网络、海量的 房源客源优势，不断吸引新的经纪品牌加入，非链家门店拓展提速，推动市占率稳步提升。(2)新房交 易服务：2023/2024/2025H1公司新房GTV分别为1/0.97/0.49万亿元，同比分别为6.6%/-3.3%/26%，分别 优于全国 ...

eXp World Holdings Conference Call Summary Company Overview - eXp World Holdings operates as a cloud-based real estate brokerage, evolving into a global platform that integrates real estate brokerage, technology, and community [2][3] - The company has grown from 30-40 agents to approximately 83,000-84,000 agents across 28 countries over 16 years [2] Core Business Model - eXp differentiates itself from traditional brokerages by eliminating the bricks-and-mortar component, focusing on technology and community [3] - The company views itself as a technology platform that disrupts the legacy real estate brokerage model, similar to how Amazon and Netflix disrupted their respective industries [3] Operational Strategy - eXp emphasizes building collaboration and community through various platforms, including Frame VR, which is a metaverse platform for spatial computing [4] - The company has developed in-house AI technologies to enhance agent services and reduce costs [5] Agent Growth and Team Dynamics - Approximately 40% of new joiners in Q3 were team-based, which positively impacts revenue share dynamics and productivity [6][7] - Teams that complete over 21 transactions have a low churn rate of about 2% annually, indicating strong retention [8] - eXp has improved agent attrition by 18% year-over-year, attributed to various initiatives including eXp University, which provides free coaching and services [10][11] International Expansion - eXp has surpassed $100 million in international revenue, growing 68% year-over-year, with plans to launch in eight new countries by the end of the year [16][17] - The company has developed a repeatable playbook for entering new markets, focusing on leadership and market compatibility [18][19] - The cost to enter new markets has decreased significantly, from an estimated $500,000-$800,000 to about $100,000-$150,000 [19][20] Commercial Real Estate Strategy - eXp is expanding its commercial real estate footprint, leveraging its unique position as a national single brokerage with an enterprise CoStar contract [21][22] - The company aims to capture a significant share of the commercial real estate market, which is currently dominated by a few major players [21] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - eXp is positioned as a scale incumbent rather than a disruptor, with a focus on attracting entrepreneurial realtors rather than solo practitioners [28][30] - The company is well-capitalized and asset-light, allowing it to capitalize on market consolidation opportunities [31][32] Housing Market Insights - The current housing market is characterized by high competition and low transaction volumes, with a forecasted modest recovery [39][40] - eXp's agents are experiencing increased productivity, with top teams reporting a 15.8% revenue increase year-over-year [43] - The company emphasizes the importance of local market knowledge for agents to navigate the current housing landscape effectively [45] Financial Performance - eXp reported a modest decline in GAAP gross margin due to more agents hitting their cap, but views this as a positive sign of increased productivity [59] - The company has returned over $800 million to shareholders through buybacks and dividends, while also investing in technology and international expansion [66][67] Future Outlook - eXp aims to reach 50,000 agents in 50 countries by 2030, viewing this goal as conservative given the total addressable market [24][68] - The company is focused on improving operational efficiencies and leveraging AI to enhance its technology stack [63][81] Key Takeaways - eXp World Holdings is redefining the real estate brokerage model through technology and community engagement - The company is experiencing significant growth in both agent count and international revenue, with a strong focus on team-based structures - eXp is well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities and navigate the challenges of the current housing market through strategic initiatives and operational efficiencies

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market continues to exhibit a "two-eight" differentiation, with the banking sector leading the gains while technology stocks experience volatility, particularly influenced by AI trends [1][11]. Banking Sector - The banking sector remains a key stabilizing force for the market, with the Shenwan Banking Index rising by 1.89% [6]. - Major banks such as China Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) reached historical highs, with China Bank increasing by 5.17% and its market capitalization surpassing 2 trillion yuan, while ICBC rose by 1.58% with a market cap nearing 3 trillion yuan [6][10]. - The report from Kaiyuan Securities emphasizes the importance of large state-owned banks for stable returns and suggests a focus on regional banks with unique characteristics for flexible allocation [10]. Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector showed signs of recovery, with the Shenwan Real Estate Index increasing by 1.59% [4]. - Notable stocks such as I Love My Home and World Union experienced significant price surges, with some reaching their daily limit [4]. - Data indicates a 4.7% year-on-year increase in the transaction area of second-hand homes from January to October, with second-hand homes accounting for 44.8% of total transactions [4]. Technology Sector - The technology sector initially surged following Nvidia's strong quarterly performance but later faced a downturn, with the Shenwan Electronics Index dropping by 0.34% by midday [12][15]. - The performance of the TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sectors varied, with the computer index down by 0.45% and the communication index's gains narrowing to 0.2% [12]. - Despite concerns over valuation bubbles and sustainability of AI investments, recent earnings reports from leading tech companies have generally met expectations, indicating continued growth potential in the sector [16].

Macro News - The People's Bank of China announced that the 1-year and 5-year Loan Prime Rates (LPR) remain unchanged at 3.0% and 3.5% respectively, marking six consecutive months of stability since June [1] - The Federal Reserve's October meeting minutes revealed mixed opinions among officials regarding a potential rate cut in December, with a 36.2% probability of a 25 basis point cut and a 63.8% probability of maintaining the current rate [1] - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will not release the October non-farm payroll report, combining it with the November data to be published on December 16 [2] Industry News - Counterpoint Research forecasts that memory prices are expected to rise by approximately 50% before the second quarter of 2026, primarily due to a critical chip shortage affecting traditional LPDDR4 [3] - The Shanghai Real Estate Brokerage Industry Association initiated a self-discipline campaign to maintain market order, emphasizing accurate market reflection, honest information dissemination, and fair competition among real estate agencies [4] - The China Semiconductor Industry Association predicts that the chip design industry sales will reach 835.73 billion yuan in 2025, a 29.4% increase from 2024, translating to approximately 118.04 billion USD, marking the first time sales exceed 100 billion USD [5] Sector Opportunities - CITIC Securities suggests that domestic charging infrastructure is poised for a new acceleration phase, driven by policy support, particularly for high-power fast charging equipment, benefiting related charging pile equipment companies [6] - Huaxin Securities believes that the overall price of the new energy vehicle supply chain is at a low point, with strong demand resilience, presenting a good opportunity for investment in core companies within the supply chain [6] - CITIC Securities highlights significant advancements in Gemini 3 Pro's multimodal understanding and logical reasoning capabilities, suggesting continued attention to the development of native multimodal technologies and the new application opportunities they present [6]

Core Viewpoint - Beike's Q3 2025 financial report has led multiple international and domestic institutions to maintain "buy" or "overweight" ratings despite a sluggish real estate market impacting transaction volume outlook [1] Group 1: Ratings and Target Prices - Goldman Sachs maintains a "buy" rating for Beike, noting that while the real estate market's downturn may pressure transaction volume, improvements in company efficiency will mitigate some of these impacts [1] - Morgan Stanley also keeps a "buy" rating with a target price of HKD 52, while JPMorgan analyst Alex Yao sets a target price of HKD 47 [1] - Bank of America Securities reiterates a "buy" rating, highlighting Q3 revenue of CNY 23.1 billion, a 2% year-on-year increase, and an adjusted net profit of CNY 1.3 billion, which exceeded expectations [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - Beike's Q3 revenue grew by 2.1% year-on-year to CNY 23.1 billion, aligning with market expectations, while adjusted net profit reached CNY 1.29 billion, surpassing market forecasts due to effective cost control [1] - Bank of America Securities emphasizes significant profitability in home decoration and rental businesses, projecting profit growth in the coming year from cost-saving measures [1] - CICC maintains an "outperform" rating, expressing confidence in Beike's competitive edge in the one-stop residential service platform and its long-term profitability potential from both core and new business segments [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the company, Beike-W (02423), is rated "Buy" by Guotai Junan, with projected adjusted net profits for 2025-2027 being 57.19 billion, 62.44 billion, and 69.95 billion respectively, and a target price of 66.85 HKD per share based on a 38x PE valuation for 2025 [1] - The company is actively developing non-property businesses to mitigate cyclical risks and is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements while increasing shareholder returns to enhance investment value [1] - In Q3 2025, the total transaction volume was 736.7 billion, remaining stable year-on-year, while net income increased by 2.1% to 23.1 billion, although net profit decreased by 36.1% to 0.747 billion [1] Group 2 - The second-hand property business is steadily expanding, with net income from existing properties at 6 billion, down 3.6% year-on-year, while total transaction volume increased by 5.8% to 505.6 billion [2] - The commission rate for existing properties was 1.19%, with the Lianjia existing property commission rate at 2.53% and the Beilian existing property commission rate at 0.38% [2] - The new property business saw a decline in net income by 14.1% to 6.6 billion, with total transaction volume down 13.7% to 196.3 billion in Q3 2025 [2] Group 3 - The company has actively implemented a share repurchase plan, with a record high repurchase amount of 281 million in Q3 2025, bringing the total repurchase amount for the year to approximately 675 million, a 15.7% increase year-on-year [3] - Since the initiation of the repurchase program in September 2022, the cumulative repurchase amount has reached approximately 2.3 billion, accounting for about 11.5% of the total share capital before the program started [3]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong property market is experiencing a surge in transactions, with significant increases in both new and secondary market sales due to favorable market conditions and interest rate cuts [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - Central Plains Real Estate reported 16 transactions in its top ten estates over the weekend, a 60% increase from the previous week's 10 transactions [1] - Midland Realty recorded 17 transactions in its top ten secondary estates, a 70% increase year-on-year, maintaining double-digit activity for five consecutive weekends [1] - The total transactions in the top 15 estates reached 20, marking an increase of approximately 66.7% compared to the previous week [1] Group 2: Buyer Sentiment - The market is filled with positive news, leading to increased buyer confidence, with many buyers accelerating their purchasing decisions due to fears of rising prices [1] - There is a notable presence of first-time buyers, investors, and large-scale buyers in the market, indicating a robust demand for both new and secondary properties [1] - The ongoing effects of interest rate cuts are driving buyer interest, with expectations for continued price increases in the secondary market [1] Group 3: Regional Performance - In the Hong Kong Island area, three estates recorded one transaction each, a 100% increase from the previous week [2] - The Kowloon area saw a total of five transactions across four estates, a decrease of approximately 28.6% week-on-week [2] - The New Territories experienced a significant surge, with ten transactions across three estates, reflecting a 400% increase from the previous week [2]