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国风国潮持续升温
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-06-12 22:06
Core Insights - The rise of "Guofeng" (national style) and "Guochao" (national trend) among the younger generation, particularly the "post-00s," reflects their desire for cultural identity and personal expression [1][2] - The sales of Guofeng products have shown remarkable growth across various categories, including clothing, home decor, and cultural education items, indicating a strong market trend [1][2] Clothing Sector - The sales volume of Tang suits has increased by 291% year-on-year, making it the fastest-growing item [1] - Men's vests and middle-aged women's clothing have also seen growth exceeding 200%, highlighting the diverse offerings in Guochao apparel [1] - The rural market contributed 56.2% of the total sales volume, indicating the penetration of Guochao clothing into lower-tier markets [1] Home Decor Sector - Sales of home decor items featuring Guofeng elements, such as paper-cut lamps, vases, and hangings, have increased by over 10 times year-on-year [1] - Guochao home decor has become a popular choice for young people, serving as a medium for personal expression [1] - The highest consumption of Guochao home decor is observed in Guangdong, Beijing, and Sichuan provinces [1] Cultural Education Products - The sales volume of cultural education items like badges, gel pens, and ink pads has also surged by over 10 times year-on-year, symbolizing the cultural confidence of the "post-00s" [1] - Practical and culturally resonant products such as pencil cases, diaries, and DIY paper-cutting kits are particularly favored by young consumers [1][2] Market Outlook - The preference for practical and culturally significant products among rural users suggests continued growth in the Guofeng and Guochao market, especially with the expansion of e-commerce and logistics networks [2] - The consumption of Guofeng and Guochao products is expected to evolve from traditional clothing to encompass a wider range of consumer goods, becoming an integral part of daily life for young people [2]
【申万宏观 | 热点思考】“反内卷”的新意?
赵伟宏观探索· 2025-05-20 16:01
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for "anti-involution" measures in various industries due to increasing competition and supply-demand imbalances, particularly in the context of government policies aimed at fostering a more sustainable and efficient market environment [1][2][20]. Group 1: Reasons for Emphasizing "Anti-Involution" - The industrial sector in China is facing significant supply-demand imbalances, highlighted by a decline in capacity utilization and persistent negative growth in the Producer Price Index (PPI), which has been negative for 31 consecutive months as of April 2025 [2][8]. - Capacity utilization rates have dropped from 77.7% in Q3 2021 to 75.1% in Q1 2025, indicating underutilization of resources [2][8]. - Local governments are increasingly competing for investment, leading to "involution" in certain sectors, characterized by concentrated efforts in similar industries, aggressive policy competition, and a lack of sustainable project management mechanisms [2][14]. Group 2: Industries with Potential "Involution" Competition - The focus of the "anti-involution" policy is on four key industries: photovoltaic, e-commerce, automotive, and steel, with measures including industry regulations, anti-monopoly enforcement, and capacity adjustments [3][22]. - Based on data indicators, industries such as black metal smelting, electrical machinery, and non-metallic products are identified as having a high degree of "involution" competition due to low capacity utilization and negative PPI growth [4][24]. - Other industries potentially affected include coal mining, automotive manufacturing, chemical raw materials, and pharmaceutical manufacturing, which exhibit similar characteristics of "involution" [4][47]. Group 3: New Aspects of the Current "Anti-Involution" Measures - The current round of "anti-involution" emphasizes industry self-discipline and market mechanisms, contrasting with previous supply-side reforms that focused primarily on traditional heavy industries [5][49]. - There is a stronger emphasis on regional collaboration and technological upgrades, aiming to create a differentiated and complementary industrial development structure while promoting high-quality growth [6][49]. - The government aims to eliminate outdated capacity and improve inefficient production through targeted policies that leverage digital and green technologies [6][49].