Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, especially the situation between the US and Iran, has a significant impact on the global financial and commodity markets. It affects risk preferences, inflation expectations, and the prices of various assets [2][4]. - The global economic situation is complex, with concerns about inflation, recession, and the impact of central bank policies. The Fed's hawkish stance and high oil prices have led to changes in market expectations and trading strategies [4][38]. - Different industries and commodities have their own supply - demand characteristics and price trends. Some are supported by fundamentals, while others are under pressure due to various factors such as geopolitical risks, supply disruptions, and changes in demand [13][15][33]. Summary by Directory Macro - Financial Stock Index - **行情资讯**: News includes Iran's stance on the war, potential impacts of the Iran - US conflict on the global economy, corporate projects, and business suspensions [2]. - **基差年化比率**: Different contracts of IF, IC, IM, and IH have specific basis annualized ratios [3]. - **策略观点**: The US - Iran conflict affects global risk preferences, and the hawkish statements of Powell and European Central Bank officials have led to a retreat in the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations. It is recommended to pay attention to the change in the war situation and control risks [4]. Treasury Bonds - **行情资讯**: The prices of different treasury bond contracts have certain changes. There are also news about power statistics and shipping business resumption. The central bank conducted reverse repurchase operations with a net injection of funds [5]. - **策略观点**: The economic data in January - February improved, but the sustainability of economic recovery needs to be observed. The Iran geopolitical conflict and inflation concerns may put pressure on the bond market. The bond market is expected to be volatile and weak in the short term [8]. Precious Metals - **行情资讯**: The prices of gold and silver in domestic and international markets have different trends. There are also relevant policies in Russia and Iran's conditions for ending the war [9]. - **策略观点**: Geopolitical conflicts are the core focus of the market. If the conflict eases, gold may regain its upward momentum. However, in the short term, precious metals still face valuation pressure. It is recommended to be cautiously bearish [10]. Non - Ferrous Metals Copper - **行情资讯**: The copper price rose due to the improvement of market risk sentiment. The LME inventory increased, and the domestic warehouse receipts decreased. The spot discount in the East China region expanded, while the spot premium in the Guangdong region increased [12]. - **策略观点**: The situation in the Middle East is slightly alleviated but may be repeated. The supply of copper raw materials is tight, and the consumption sentiment has improved. The copper price is expected to be supported in the short term, but the upward resistance has increased [13]. Aluminum - **行情资讯**: The aluminum price fluctuated. The trading volume and inventory of relevant contracts changed. The spot discount in the East China region narrowed [14]. - **策略观点**: The situation in the Middle East has eased, but the market sentiment is still volatile. The overseas supply of aluminum is expected to be tight, and the domestic demand improvement may drive inventory reduction. The aluminum price is expected to be volatile in the short term [15]. Zinc - **行情资讯**: The zinc price declined. The inventory and basis of zinc in domestic and international markets have specific data [16][17]. - **策略观点**: The zinc industry is in a weak situation. The high oil price has put pressure on the non - ferrous metal sector, and the zinc price is in a downward trend. Attention should be paid to downstream restocking, Fed policies, and geopolitical conflicts [17]. Lead - **行情资讯**: The lead price rose. The inventory and basis of lead in domestic and international markets have specific data [18]. - **策略观点**: The lead price is at the lower edge of the long - term oscillation range. The downstream buying and the low operating rate of recycling smelting enterprises support the spot price. However, the high oil price and the inflow of overseas lead ingots may put pressure on the lead price, and the price volatility is increasing [18]. Nickel - **行情资讯**: The nickel price declined. The spot price and cost of nickel have specific data [19]. - **策略观点**: In the short term, the nickel price is expected to be weak due to the impact of the geopolitical conflict and the Fed's hawkish stance. In the medium term, the supply - demand situation of nickel is improving, and the price has strong support at the bottom. It is recommended to operate within a range [20]. Tin - **行情资讯**: The tin price rose. The production and inventory of tin have specific data [21]. - **策略观点**: The supply of tin is still constrained by raw materials, and the demand is in a weak recovery. Considering the geopolitical disturbance and the decline in the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations, the tin price is expected to be weak [22]. Lithium Carbonate - **行情资讯**: The price of lithium carbonate increased. The spot and futures prices have specific data [23]. - **策略观点**: The supply and demand of lithium carbonate are both strong. The downstream restocking provides support. The supply stability is a concern. Attention should be paid to the changes in positions, industry events, and spot premiums [24]. Alumina - **行情资讯**: The alumina price declined. The spot price, basis, and inventory have specific data [25]. - **策略观点**: The bauxite export policy in Guinea may lead to an increase in ore prices. The short - term supply of alumina is tight, but the long - term oversupply situation is difficult to change. It is recommended to wait and see [26]. Stainless Steel - **行情资讯**: The stainless steel price rose. The spot price, basis, and inventory have specific data [27]. - **策略观点**: The stainless steel price is supported by the increase in raw material costs and policy disturbances. The market supply is still loose, and the demand release is weak. The price is expected to be volatile at a high level in the short term [28]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **行情资讯**: The price of cast aluminum alloy rose. The trading volume, inventory, and price difference have specific data [29]. - **策略观点**: The cost of cast aluminum alloy has increased, and the demand is expected to improve. The short - term price is supported [30]. Black Building Materials Steel - **行情资讯**: The prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil declined. The registered warehouse receipts, positions, and spot prices have specific data [32]. - **策略观点**: The steel market is in a weak balance state. The demand is marginally improved, and the inventory is gradually reduced. Attention should be paid to the release of peak - season demand and the impact of raw material price fluctuations [33]. Iron Ore - **行情资讯**: The iron ore price declined. The futures price, positions, and spot price have specific data [34]. - **策略观点**: The iron ore price was affected by the negotiation news. The supply is increasing, and the demand is recovering. The price is expected to be volatile at a high level in the short term [35]. Coking Coal and Coke - **行情资讯**: The prices of coking coal and coke declined. The spot prices, basis, and technical analysis have specific data [36][37]. - **策略观点**: The market is in a stagflation and recession trading environment. The black sector may be supported to some extent. The short - term supply of coking coal and coke is relatively loose. It is recommended to operate short - term or wait and see in the short term, and be optimistic about coking coal in the long term [38]. Glass and Soda Ash - **行情资讯**: The prices of glass and soda ash declined. The spot prices, inventory, and positions have specific data [39][41]. - **策略观点**: The glass market is affected by high inventory and weak demand, and is expected to be volatile. The soda ash market has a loose supply - demand pattern and is expected to be in a low - level wide - range oscillation [40][41]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **行情资讯**: The price of manganese silicon rose slightly, and the price of ferrosilicon declined slightly. The spot prices, basis, and technical analysis have specific data [42]. - **策略观点**: The market is in a stagflation and recession trading environment. The black sector may be supported. The supply - demand situation of manganese silicon is not ideal, while that of ferrosilicon is better. Attention should be paid to the cost and supply - side factors [43][45]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **行情资讯**: The price of industrial silicon rose, and the price of polysilicon rose. The trading volume, inventory, and spot prices have specific data [47][49]. - **策略观点**: The price of industrial silicon is expected to be volatile due to the support of cost and weak demand improvement. The polysilicon market has a weak fundamental situation, and the price is expected to find the bottom through oscillation [48][50]. Energy and Chemicals Rubber - **行情资讯**: The rubber price rebounded. The market has different views on the rise and fall of rubber prices. The operating rates of tire enterprises and the inventory of natural rubber have specific data [53][54]. - **策略观点**: The market fluctuates greatly. It is recommended to trade flexibly according to the disk, set stop - losses, and take quick profits. Options can be configured, and hedging positions can be held [56]. Crude Oil - **行情资讯**: The prices of crude oil and related refined products declined [57]. - **策略观点**: It is recommended to configure short - term bearish strategies for crude oil, do long - short spreads for different oil varieties, short the cracking spread of high - sulfur fuel oil, and short the INE - Brent cross - regional spread [58]. Methanol - **行情资讯**: The methanol price changed. The MTO profit also changed [59]. - **策略观点**: It is recommended to take profits at high prices and do long - short spreads for MTO profits [60]. Urea - **行情资讯**: The urea price changed. The regional spot prices and basis have specific data [61]. - **策略观点**: It is recommended to short urea due to the high - level start - up in the first quarter and the limited export quota. Pay attention to the short - term demand support when the substitution valuation reaches the extreme [62]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **行情资讯**: The prices of pure benzene and styrene declined. The cost, supply, demand, and inventory have specific data [63]. - **策略观点**: The profit of non - integrated styrene is neutral to high, and the valuation repair space is limited. It is recommended to wait and see [65]. PVC - **行情资讯**: The PVC price declined. The cost, production, demand, and inventory have specific data [66]. - **策略观点**: The short - term fundamentals are affected by the Iran issue. The price is expected to rise, but attention should be paid to risks [67]. Ethylene Glycol - **行情资讯**: The ethylene glycol price declined. The supply, demand, inventory, and cost have specific data [68]. - **策略观点**: The industry is in the maintenance season, and the inventory is expected to decrease. The price may rise, but attention should be paid to risks [70]. PTA - **行情资讯**: The PTA price declined. The production, demand, inventory, and processing fee have specific data [71]. - **策略观点**: The PTA is difficult to enter the de - stocking cycle, and the processing fee is difficult to rise. The price may rise, but attention should be paid to risks [72]. p - Xylene - **行情资讯**: The p - xylene price declined. The production, demand, inventory, and valuation have specific data [73]. - **策略观点**: The p - xylene load is expected to decline, and the inventory is expected to decrease. The valuation is expected to rise, but attention should be paid to risks [74]. Polyethylene (PE) - **行情资讯**: The PE price declined. The spot price, basis, production, inventory, and demand have specific data [75]. - **策略观点**: The PE valuation has downward space. It is recommended to short the LL2605 - LL2609 contract spread when the shipping volume in the Strait of Hormuz increases [77]. Polypropylene (PP) - **行情资讯**: The PP price declined. The spot price, basis, production, inventory, and demand have specific data [78]. - **策略观点**: The cost pressure is relieved, and the demand is rebounding seasonally. The long - term contradiction has shifted from the cost side to the production mismatch [79]. Agricultural Products Live Pigs - **行情资讯**: The pig price declined. The prices in different regions and the market situation have specific data [81]. - **策略观点**: The supply is concentrated, and the demand is weak. The short - term spot price is expected to be weak, and it is recommended to wait and see [82]. Eggs - **行情资讯**: The egg price was mostly stable. The prices in different regions and the market situation have specific data [83]. - **策略观点**: The egg production capacity is expected to decline, but the supply is still high. The short - term spot price is expected to be strong, and it is recommended to short on rebounds for the far - month contracts [84]. Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - **行情资讯**: There are forecasts for the planting areas of corn and soybeans in the US, export data, and inventory data [85]. - **策略观点**: The cooling of the US - Iran situation and the relaxation of soybean import inspection standards are negative for the meal prices. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [86]. Oils and Fats - **行情资讯**: There are policies and production, export, and inventory data of palm oil in Indonesia and Malaysia [87][89]. - **策略观点**: The cooling of the US - Iran situation is negative for the oil prices. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [90]. Sugar - **行情资讯**: There are import data, production data, and consumption data of sugar [93][94]. - **策略观点**: The cooling of the US - Iran situation is negative for the sugar prices. It is recommended to wait and see [95]. Cotton - **行情资讯**: There are import data, production data, and consumption data of cotton [91]. - **策略观点**: The new import quota is negative for the Zhengzhou cotton price in the short term and positive for the US cotton price. It is recommended to buy on dips in the medium term [92].

Core Viewpoint - The overall price level in February shows a significant recovery trend, with both CPI and PPI experiencing notable increases due to concentrated consumer demand during the Spring Festival and structural improvements in the economy [2][5][11]. CPI Analysis - In February, the national CPI increased from 0.2% to 1.3% year-on-year, marking the highest level in nearly three years, while the core CPI rose from 0.8% to 1.8% [5][6]. - Food prices shifted from a decline to an increase of 1.7%, contributing approximately 0.30 percentage points to the CPI increase, driven by heightened demand during the Spring Festival [6][7]. - Service prices surged by 1.6% year-on-year, influenced by concentrated consumer demand during the holiday, contributing about 0.75 percentage points to the CPI [6][7]. PPI Analysis - The PPI decreased by 0.9% year-on-year in February, with the decline narrowing by 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous month, marking the third consecutive month of reduced decline [11]. - The prices of production materials recorded a year-on-year decrease of 0.7%, while living materials saw a decline of 1.6% [11]. - Key industries such as electronic components and high-end equipment manufacturing showed price increases, with notable rises in aviation manufacturing (7.7%) and shipbuilding (0.5%) [11][15]. Price Trends - The PPI increased by 0.4% month-on-month in February, maintaining a five-month upward trend, primarily driven by rising production material prices [13]. - Significant price increases were observed in the energy sector, with oil and gas extraction prices rising by 5.1% and refined petroleum products by 0.7% [4][15]. - The prices of non-food industrial consumer goods expanded by 0.1 percentage points to 0.4% month-on-month, influenced by international geopolitical factors and rising commodity prices [7][15].

Inflation Trends - Inflation continues to accelerate, with February CPI at 1.3%, up from 0.2% previously, and PPI at -0.9%, an improvement from -1.4%[2] - The simulated monthly deflation index for February 2026 is 0.42%, marking the first positive reading in 36 months, one month earlier than expected[2] - The monthly simulated deflation index turned negative in March 2023 at -0.58%, reaching a low of -2.16% in June 2023, before gradually recovering[2] Price Movements - CPI for February 2026 shows a month-on-month increase of 1.0%, consistent with previous years (2015, 2018, 2024) at 1.2%, 1.2%, and 1.0% respectively[2] - Key contributors to CPI increases include air travel (31.1%), travel agency fees (15.8%), and gold jewelry (6.2%)[4][3] - PPI shows a month-on-month increase of 0.4%, marking the fifth consecutive month of positive growth, with notable increases in mining (1.2%) and processing industries (0.6%)[8] Future Outlook - March inflation data is expected to remain favorable due to rising oil prices, with Brent crude increasing from $72.5 to $92.7 per barrel[10] - The South China Industrial Product Index has shown an upward trend, averaging 3902 in March compared to 3656 in February[11] - Risks include potential external economic shocks, geopolitical tensions, and fluctuations in commodity prices that could impact downstream pricing[12]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information provided in the content about the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current domestic macro - environment in China is generally favorable, serving as the core support for risk assets in Q1. Overseas, the focus is on the Walsh trade, US tariff developments, and Middle East geopolitical tensions. It is recommended to moderately increase risk appetite and enhance offensive positioning within a balanced framework [7][8][9]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 February Review of Major Assets - Global major asset classes in February shifted towards "structural divergence". In the equity market, A - shares outperformed overall with style differences, mid - cap and small - to - mid cap segments led, while large - cap indices lagged. Hong Kong stocks were weak, tech sector retreats were notable. Developed markets in overseas equities diverged, emerging markets performed better. In the bond market, rate - sensitive assets were stable. In the foreign exchange market, the US dollar strengthened, pressuring non - dollar currencies. In the commodity market, it was overall weak but with structural features [14][15][18]. 3.2 Market Focus: The Unfolding of the "Walsh Trade" - The market's perception of Kevin Walsh's trading legacy has evolved. The "Walsh Trade" was initially characterized by a bull flattening of the yield curve. The key contention is the feasibility of "rate cuts + QT". If QT triggers a liquidity crisis, it may invalidate Walsh's policy framework. His policy mix is more supportive of growth - oriented equities but may pressure long - dated bonds [22][24][25]. 3.3 Macro Environment Outlook 3.3.1 Overseas Macro - Global manufacturing PMI edged up in January to 50.9. US macro data in January showed signs of a "Goldilocks" scenario with inflation softening, unemployment rate declining, and employment data improving. Q4 GDP missed expectations but the effects of rate cuts may be materializing. Tariff developments added market uncertainty, and the legal effect of a court decision on tariffs may take effect from mid - March to early April [26][30][33]. 3.3.2 Chinese Domestic Macro - The domestic macroeconomic outlook will remain generally supportive in Q1, with favorable investment environment for risk assets. Policy expectations for a strong start to the 15th Five - Year Plan and anticipated inflation rebound are the core themes, and economic structural transformation and upgrading are long - term drivers [36]. 3.4 Outlook for Major Assets 3.4.1 Stock Index - In March, the domestic equity market is likely to continue its volatile yet upward movement. Policy acceleration, recovering inflation, and economic structural transformation are the driving factors. It is recommended to overweight IC [39]. 3.4.2 Commodities - **Precious Metals**: In March, geopolitical trading and tariff adjustments will drive the market. Precious metals may trend higher with gold receiving stronger impetus from geopolitical factors [44]. - **Non - Ferrous Metals**: Geopolitical factors may support non - ferrous metals. Prices may be volatile but biased higher. Copper, aluminum, and tin may see price centers shift upward [50]. - **Ferrous Metals**: In March, there will be a tug - of - war between inventory trends and policy expectations. Ferrous metals are expected to trade in wide ranges, and iron ore faces significant downside pressure [54]. - **Energy & Chemicals**: Oil prices will enter a validation phase for geopolitical supply disruption concerns. Chemical products have limited downside and merit attention [59]. 3.4.3 Bonds - In March, short - duration bonds are likely to outperform medium - to long - duration bonds, and overall asset payoff is modest. Future rate - cut space appears limited [64]. 3.5 Strategic Asset Allocation Recommendations - In March, moderately increase risk appetite and adopt a more aggressive posture on a balanced allocation framework. Overweight mid - cap style in domestic equity indices (focus on IC), have a neutral stance on government bonds with a standard long position in the short end (focus on TS), overweight non - ferrous metals, have a standard long in the chemical chain, and a standard short in ferrous metals. Overweight gold futures and have a standard position in silver futures [68][69][70].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Amid the US-Iran conflict, global risk appetite is disturbed, oil prices are rising, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations are weakening, and US bond yields are climbing rapidly. It is recommended to pay attention to domestic Two Sessions policy signals and changes in the war situation and control risks [4]. - The inflation rebound still exerts potential pressure on the bond market. The endogenous power of economic recovery is not yet solid, and the strength of the credit start is weak. The US-Iran geopolitical conflict has intensified, and short-term market risk aversion sentiment is favorable for the bond market to rise. However, if the conflict lasts longer than expected, inflationary pressure may put pressure on the bond market. The bond market is expected to continue to fluctuate [6]. - The strengthening of the US dollar index and the rise of the 10-year US bond yield have significantly suppressed the prices of gold and silver. If the US bond yield continues to rise and the US dollar remains strong, the price of gold still has the risk of further decline. However, once the interest rate expectation changes significantly or the market risk aversion sentiment heats up again, the price of gold may rise again [7][8]. - The US's tough stance on the Middle East war has softened. Although risk appetite has been frustrated under the disturbance of the geopolitical situation, the key mineral resource attribute has strengthened to support the copper price. The short-term support for the copper price is strong, and it is expected to run in a range [11]. - The supply of aluminum in the Middle East is worried due to the closure risk of the Strait of Hormuz caused by the Middle East war. The short-term aluminum price is expected to be strong and run in a range [13]. - The zinc industry in China remains weak. The actual impact of the Iran conflict on zinc ore supply is small, but the market is still worried about trade disruptions and energy price increases. During the conflict, the zinc price is expected to fluctuate widely following the sector sentiment [15]. - Although there has been a large accumulation of lead ingots at home and abroad, the current lead price is at the lower edge of the shock range. The smelting profit of smelting enterprises that is declining marginally may narrow the surplus of lead ingots. It is expected that the lead price will stop falling and stabilize in the short term and gradually recover as the supply of lead ingots narrows [16]. - In the medium term, the RKAB quota reduction policy in Indonesia is gradually implemented, and the price center of nickel ore is rising. It is expected that the nickel price will slowly fluctuate upward. In the short term, the contradiction between spot supply and demand is limited, and the inventory still maintains a small increase. It is expected that the price will fluctuate to digest the inventory pressure. It is recommended to sell high and buy low [17]. - Under the background of macro - easing and general price increases in the semiconductor industry, the market sentiment of going long on the tin price is strong. However, it should also be noted that the supply and demand of tin ingots are marginally loose, and the inventory has steadily increased recently. It is not advisable to blindly chase the high. It is expected that the tin price will run in a wide - range shock. It is recommended to wait and see [19]. - The tension in the Iran situation has led to a significant correction in lithium carbonate and other previously rebounding varieties. The lithium price callback may release spot buying. It is necessary to pay attention to the downstream stocking rhythm, changes in the spot market premium and discount, and the atmosphere of the commodity market in the future [20]. - The increase in maintenance and the delay in production start drive the contraction of the inventory accumulation amplitude. The supply of the ore end continues to be in surplus, and the high - level registration of warehouse receipts due to the premium on the disk suppresses the upward movement of the disk price. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term, and the futures price may maintain a wide - range shock [22]. - With the continuous intensification of the Middle East geopolitical conflict, non - ferrous metals are generally under pressure to fall back. The supply - side pressure of stainless steel has increased significantly, but the market procurement atmosphere has improved. It is expected that stainless steel will maintain a volatile upward pattern [24]. - The cost of cast aluminum alloy is strong. After the festival, the resumption of work and production of downstream enterprises will promote the improvement of demand. Coupled with supply - side disturbances and seasonal tightness of raw material supply, the short - term price is expected to be strong [26]. - The current fundamentals of the black system are significantly weaker than expected before the festival. In the short term, the core contradiction is still inventory digestion and demand verification. Before the real demand in the peak season is confirmed, the price is unlikely to reverse the trend and is likely to continue the range - bound and weak pattern [29]. - After the end of the weather influence, the overseas supply recovers, and the high inventory suppresses the price increase. The iron water production on the demand side recovers well. It is expected that the iron ore price will fluctuate, and attention should be paid to the policy guidance of the important meeting in March [31]. - In the short term, the coking coal and coke market may continue to fluctuate and reduce volatility, and the black sector is in a weak state. There is a risk of a phased correction in coking coal in the short term, but it is expected to have a relatively smooth upward market in 2026, especially from June to October [36]. - The glass market is expected to maintain a weak shock pattern in the short term due to high inventory and slow demand release. The soda ash market is expected to maintain a narrow - range shock pattern due to the expected reduction in supply and slow demand release [38][40]. - In the long - term, the commodity bull market is expected to continue, but the short - term market may continue to fluctuate and reduce volatility. The black sector is in a weak state. The future trend of ferrosilicon and manganese silicon is mainly affected by the overall market sentiment and cost - push factors. Attention should be paid to possible changes in manganese ore supply and the progress of the "dual - carbon" policy [43][44]. - The industrial silicon is expected to show a pattern of both supply and demand increasing, and the price will fluctuate weakly. The polysilicon price is expected to continue to be under pressure, and attention should be paid to whether there are new "anti - involution" related statements in important meetings [46][49]. - For rubber, it is recommended to trade flexibly according to the disk, set stop - losses, and enter and exit quickly. For crude oil, a mid - term layout is the main operation idea, but it is necessary to wait for the end of the geopolitical conflict to eliminate tail risks. For methanol, it is recommended to take profits when the price is high. For urea, it is recommended to short - allocate on rallies. For pure benzene and styrene, wait for the non - integrated profit to fall to a low level before considering long - entry opportunities. For PVC, the domestic supply is strong and the demand is weak, and the short - term rebound is driven by the sentiment of crude oil cost. For ethylene glycol, pay attention to the opportunity of going long at low prices. For p - xylene, pay attention to the follow - up situation in the medium term. For polyethylene and polypropylene, the prices are affected by geopolitical conflicts and seasonal factors, and for polypropylene, it is recommended to go long on the PP5 - 9 spread at low prices [54][56][58][60][64][66][69][71][73][76]. - For live pigs, the near - term contract should be treated with a short - bias after the rebound, and the far - end contract should not be over - chased. For eggs, pay attention to the valuation pressure on the far - end contract. For soybean and rapeseed meal, wait for the price to pull back before trying to buy. For oils and fats, go long at low prices. For sugar, go long with a small amount at low prices. For cotton, go long at low prices [79][81][83][86][88][90]. Summary by Directory Macro - Financial Stock Index - **Market Information**: The US stock panic index VIX rose 24% to 26.6 points; the European natural gas price increase expanded to 40% to 62.5 euros/MWh, and it rose more than 100% in two days; the US State Department issued 6 evacuation orders; the top five in the global AI application monthly active list are ChatGPT, Doubao, Qianwen, Quark, and DeepSeek, with Qianwen's growth rate reaching 552% [2]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Affected by the US - Iran conflict, it is recommended to pay attention to domestic Two Sessions policy signals and changes in the war situation and control risks [4]. Treasury Bonds - **Market Information**: On Tuesday, the closing prices of the main contracts of TL, T, TF, and TS changed by 0.03%, - 0.03%, - 0.01%, and 0.01% respectively. The 14th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference will be held from March 4th to 11th. The central bank conducted 343 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 4917 billion yuan [5]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The inflation rebound has potential pressure on the bond market. The endogenous power of economic recovery is not solid. The US - Iran conflict has increased short - term risk aversion sentiment, but if the conflict lasts long, inflation may put pressure on the bond market. The bond market is expected to fluctuate [6]. Precious Metals - **Market Information**: Shanghai gold fell 3.78% to 1144.98 yuan/gram, Shanghai silver fell 1.88% to 21521.00 yuan/kilogram; COMEX gold fell 3.99% to 5099.50 US dollars/ounce, COMEX silver fell 7.38% to 82.30 US dollars/ounce; the US 10 - year Treasury bond yield was 4.06%, and the US dollar index was 99.05. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran may push up inflation expectations, and the Fed officials' cautious attitude towards interest rate cuts supports the US dollar [7]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The strengthening of the US dollar and the rise of US bond yields suppress the prices of gold and silver. If the US bond yield continues to rise and the US dollar remains strong, the gold price may fall; otherwise, it may rise. It is recommended to be cautiously bearish, with the reference range of Shanghai gold at 1100 - 1170 yuan/gram and Shanghai silver at 20900 - 21800 yuan/kilogram [8]. Non - Ferrous Metals Copper - **Market Information**: Affected by the Middle East war, copper prices fluctuated lower. LME copper 3M contract fell 0.92% to 12964 US dollars/ton, and Shanghai copper main contract closed at 101330 yuan/ton. LME inventory remained unchanged, and domestic warehouse receipts increased. The spot discount in East China and Guangdong narrowed, and the import loss was about 500 yuan/ton [10]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The US's stance on the Middle East war has softened. The key mineral resource attribute supports the copper price. The short - term support for the copper price is strong, with the reference range of Shanghai copper at 100000 - 104000 yuan/ton and LME copper 3M at 12700 - 13300 US dollars/ton [11]. Aluminum - **Market Information**: Affected by the Middle East war, the supply of aluminum was disturbed, and the price rose. LME aluminum 3M contract rose 2.83% to 3275 US dollars/ton, and Shanghai aluminum main contract closed at 24410 yuan/ton. The position of Shanghai aluminum weighted contract decreased, and the warehouse receipts increased. The inventory of aluminum ingots and aluminum rods increased slightly, and the processing fee of aluminum rods increased [12]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The inventory of domestic aluminum ingots has reached a high level, but it is expected to peak earlier than in previous years. The Middle East war has increased the supply concern of aluminum. The short - term aluminum price is expected to be strong, with the reference range of Shanghai aluminum at 24000 - 25000 yuan/ton and LME aluminum 3M at 3220 - 3350 US dollars/ton [13]. Zinc - **Market Information**: On Tuesday, the Shanghai zinc index fell 1.90% to 24401 yuan/ton, and the LME zinc 3S fell 55.5 to 3300 US dollars/ton. The domestic and foreign inventories of zinc ingots increased, and the import loss was - 2660.88 yuan/ton [14][15]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The domestic zinc industry remains weak. The actual impact of the Iran conflict on zinc ore supply is small, but the market is worried about trade disruptions and energy price increases. The zinc price is expected to fluctuate widely during the conflict [15]. Lead - **Market Information**: On Tuesday, the Shanghai lead index fell 0.27% to 16847 yuan/ton, and the LME lead 3S fell 13.5 to 1964.5 US dollars/ton. The domestic and foreign inventories of lead ingots increased, and the import profit was 598.52 yuan/ton [16]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The lead ore inventory and TC increased slightly, and the raw material inventory of secondary lead decreased. The smelter's operating rate declined, and the downstream demand has not fully recovered. It is expected that the lead price will stop falling and stabilize in the short term and gradually recover as the supply of lead ingots narrows [16]. Nickel - **Market Information**: On March 3rd, the Shanghai nickel main contract fell 3.86% to 135450 yuan/ton. The spot premium and discount remained stable, and the price of nickel ore was flat. The price of ferronickel continued to rise [17]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: In the medium term, the nickel price is expected to rise slowly. In the short term, the price is expected to fluctuate to digest the inventory pressure. It is recommended to sell high and buy low, with the reference range of Shanghai nickel at 120000 - 160000 yuan/ton and LME nickel 3M at 16000 - 20000 US dollars/ton [17]. Tin - **Market Information**: On March 3rd, the Shanghai tin main contract fell 11.06% to 394890 yuan/ton. The supply of tin ore in Myanmar is worried, but there is no impact on production for the time being. The production of refined tin is at a low level, and the downstream demand has not been effectively reflected [18]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The market sentiment of going long on the tin price is strong, but the supply and demand are marginally loose, and the inventory has increased. It is not advisable to blindly chase the high. It is expected that the tin price will run in a wide - range shock. It is recommended to wait and see, with the reference range of the domestic main contract at 370000 - 430000 yuan/ton and overseas LME tin at 47000 - 52000 US dollars/ton [19]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Information**: The MMLC spot index of lithium carbonate fell 8.16% to 159322 yuan. The LC2605 contract fell 12.30% to 150860 yuan, and the premium and discount of battery - grade lithium carbonate in the trading market was - 950 yuan [20]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The tension in the Iran situation has led to a correction in lithium carbonate. The lithium price callback may release spot buying. It is necessary to pay attention to the downstream stocking rhythm, changes in the spot market premium and discount, and the atmosphere of the commodity market. The reference range of the Guangzhou Futures Exchange lithium carbonate 2605 contract is 138000 - 160000 yuan/ton [20]. Alumina - **Market Information**: On March 3rd, the alumina index rose 1.24% to 2820 yuan/ton, and the position decreased. The spot price in Shandong rose, and the import loss was - 4 yuan/ton. The futures warehouse receipts remained unchanged, and the price of ore remained stable [21]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The increase in maintenance and the delay in production start drive the contraction of the inventory accumulation amplitude. The supply of the ore end is in surplus, and the high - level registration of warehouse receipts suppresses the upward movement of the disk price. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term, and the reference range of the domestic main contract A02605 is 2750 - 2950 yuan/ton [22]. Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: On Tuesday, the stainless steel main contract fell 1.39% to 14185 yuan/ton, and the position increased. The spot price in Foshan and Wuxi remained unchanged, and the raw material price increased. The futures inventory decreased, and the social inventory increased [23]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: With the intensification of the Middle East geopolitical conflict, non - ferrous metals are under pressure. The supply - side pressure of stainless steel has increased, but the market procurement atmosphere has improved. It is expected that stainless steel will maintain a volatile upward pattern, with

Group 1 - Guangxi Guangsheng New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. has obtained a patent for "Processing Method, Device, Terminal Equipment, and Storage Medium for Metal Plates," with authorization announcement number CN116713694B, applied on May 2023 [1] - Guangxi Guangsheng New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 2020, located in Fangchenggang City, with a registered capital of 100 million RMB [1] - The company has participated in 69 bidding projects and holds 89 patent records, along with 70 administrative licenses [1] Group 2 - Guangxi Shenglong Metallurgy Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003, also located in Fangchenggang City, with a registered capital of 3 billion RMB [1] - The company has invested in 30 enterprises and participated in 2,264 bidding projects, holding 23 trademark records and 401 patent records, along with 3,279 administrative licenses [1] Group 3 - Guangxi Shenglong Steel Materials Research Institute Co., Ltd. was established in 2022, located in Fangchenggang City, with a registered capital of 5.1 million RMB [1] - The research institute holds 219 patent records [1]

Group 1: Overall Market Analysis - The global macro - market last week was affected by multiple variables. The reconstruction of global liquidity expectations, policy and event disturbances in core economies, and the intensification of monetary policy differentiation were the core logics. Four major variables, including the Japanese election, weak US employment, China's pro - growth policies, and Australia's interest rate hike, dominated the market game, leading to high volatility in multiple sectors [2] - Short - term market trends will be verified by a series of events such as the Japanese election results, US key economic data, and China's inflation and consumption performance. The long - term trend is related to the US AI strategy, China's industrial and investment development, global key raw material strategic reserve logic, and the background of persistent differential inflation and monetary policies [2] Group 2: Financial Futures Macro - In the Japanese House of Representatives election on February 8, the ruling coalition composed of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Innovation Party won a majority of seats. The Bank of Canada Governor said that if Canada loses preferential trade access to the US through the USMCA, its economy may fall into recession, but this is not the central bank's baseline scenario. The Japanese Finance Minister said it's not easy to use foreign exchange reserves for tax cuts and spending, and the Japanese Prime Minister will consider reducing the consumption tax [1] RMB Exchange Rate - The RMB appreciated against the US dollar in the previous trading day. The RMB's short - term movement against the US dollar is affected by seasonal settlement demand and the US dollar index. Exporters are advised to lock in forward settlement at around 7.01, and importers can adopt a rolling purchase strategy at around 6.93 [3][4] Stock Index - The stock index fluctuated and adjusted last trading day. Short - term (before the Spring Festival), it is expected to remain volatile, and large - cap stock indices may be relatively dominant. Attention should be paid to the release of US non - farm payroll data and domestic CPI data [5] Treasury Bonds - Last week, bond futures rose overall. Whether the bond market can continue to rise this week depends on whether trading sentiment can be maintained. It is recommended to shift mid - line long positions during intraday adjustments and take profits on the March contract at high prices [6] Group 3: Commodities New Energy Lithium Carbonate - Last week, lithium carbonate futures prices fell sharply. Before the Spring Festival, downstream replenishment is over, and it is recommended to hold a light or empty position during the holiday. High volatility in the lithium carbonate futures market presents an opportunity to sell volatility [9] Industrial Silicon & Polysilicon - Industrial silicon and polysilicon are in a situation of weak supply and demand. In February, production schedules will decline, and inventory reduction is the main task. Industrial silicon prices may continue to decline [11][12] Non - ferrous Metals Aluminum Industry Chain - Aluminum is expected to fluctuate and adjust, with a support level of 23000 - 23500. It is recommended to build long positions or sell options at the support level. Alumina is expected to be weak in the long - term, but there are short - term disturbances. Cast aluminum alloy has a strong follow - up to aluminum, and attention can be paid to its price difference with aluminum [15][16] Copper - Copper prices had high volatility last week. Before the Spring Festival, it is recommended to focus on short - term range operations and be cautious about chasing up or selling down [19] Zinc - Zinc prices fluctuated narrowly. Before the Spring Festival, supply and demand are both weak. It is recommended to pay attention to this week's employment data, as weak data may support prices [20] Nickel - Stainless Steel - Nickel - stainless steel had a deep correction this week, mainly affected by the overall market and macro - level sentiment. The supply and demand are both weak. It is necessary to pay attention to the impact of the quota release rhythm and Indonesian downstream layout [20][21] Tin - Tin prices are expected to fluctuate widely, and attention should be paid to this week's US employment and CPI data. Weak data may support non - ferrous metal prices [23] Lead - Lead prices are expected to be weakly volatile, with support at the bottom but lack of upward drive before the Spring Festival [23] Oils and Fats, and Feeds Oilseeds - The external market of soybeans is strong, while the domestic market is weak. It is recommended to lightly try long positions, but the upside is limited [24][25] Oils and Fats - Before the Spring Festival, funds flowed out of the oils and fats market, which is expected to be weakly volatile. It is not recommended to short, and selling put options can be considered [26] Energy and Oil and Gas Fuel Oil - Fuel oil is operating weakly. Although the supply shortage has been alleviated, the demand is still weak, and attention should be paid to geopolitical uncertainties [28] Low - sulfur Fuel Oil - Low - sulfur fuel oil has a low cracking spread. The supply is abundant, the demand is stable, and the inventory decline has a slight positive impact on the cracking spread [29][30] Asphalt - Asphalt's upward trend is weak. Before the Spring Festival, demand drops to zero. The future trend will follow the cost - end crude oil, and attention should be paid to geopolitical factors and inventory pressure after the Spring Festival [30][31] Precious Metals Platinum & Palladium - Platinum and palladium prices fluctuated sharply. In the long - term, the bull market foundation remains. High volatility requires attention to position control [33][35] Gold & Silver - Gold and silver prices fluctuated sharply last week. In the short - term, operation is difficult, but the long - term upward trend remains. It is recommended to buy on dips in installments and control positions. Before the Spring Festival, it is recommended to hold a light or empty position [36][39] Chemicals Pulp - Offset Paper - Pulp futures prices are expected to continue to decline. It is recommended to partially close short positions, conduct short - term range trading, or lightly try short - term long - buying strategies. Offset paper futures can return to range trading [41][42] LPG - LPG prices are affected by geopolitical factors. The supply is neutral, and the demand from PDH is low. Attention should be paid to the change of warehouse receipts [43][44] PTA - PX - PX - PTA's valuation is returning to the fundamentals. PX is in short supply in the second quarter. It is recommended to buy on dips. PTA's high processing fees are difficult to maintain, and it is recommended to shrink the processing fees on the disk [45][48] MEG - Bottle Chips - Ethylene glycol's demand weakens seasonally. The supply - demand balance improves in the first half of the year. It is expected to fluctuate widely with the macro - environment, and attention should be paid to geopolitical risks [49][50] Methanol - It is recommended to hold an empty position during the Spring Festival. Methanol prices follow geopolitical and non - ferrous metal trends, and the trading is difficult [51][53] Plastic PP - Polyolefin prices are affected by macro - sentiment and cost. PE shows a trend of decreasing supply and increasing demand, and PP shows a pattern of decreasing supply and demand. Short - term attention should be paid to macro - atmosphere changes and the Iran - US conflict [54][55] Pure Benzene - Styrene - Pure benzene's supply increases and demand is flat. Styrene's supply will increase in February, and demand will decline during the Spring Festival. Short - term geopolitical factors and exports support prices. It is recommended to wait and see in the short - term [56][57] Urea - Urea is in a stage of over - supply. The 05 contract has an expected price increase, but the short - term price may correct. It is recommended to close long positions and hold an empty position during the Spring Festival [58][59] Glass and Soda Ash - Soda ash is oscillating weakly, and the supply is expected to remain high in the long - term. Glass has a weak supply - demand pattern and is at risk of high intermediate inventory [60][63] Propylene - Propylene prices are affected by cost, supply and demand, and market sentiment. The short - term fundamentals provide some support, but attention should be paid to risks [63][64] Black Metals Rebar & Hot - rolled Coil - Rebar's inventory is accumulating, and hot - rolled coil's inventory is changing from decreasing to increasing. Steel prices are expected to fluctuate weakly, and attention should be paid to whether they break through the lower limit of the oscillation range [65][67] Iron Ore - The supply and demand of iron ore are both weak. The port inventory is under pressure. It is recommended to wait and see cautiously before the Spring Festival [68] Coking Coal and Coke - Coking coal supply is seasonally shrinking, and coke's supply and demand are both recovering. Attention should be paid to the post - holiday resumption rhythm of mines and steel mills [69][70] Ferrosilicon & Ferromanganese - Ferrosilicon and ferromanganese are in an oscillating pattern between cost support and downstream inventory pressure. Ferrosilicon's fundamentals are slightly better [71] Agricultural and Soft Commodities Live Pigs - The live pig market is operating weakly. It is recommended to short the 03 contract and long the 05 contract in terms of the spread strategy [73][74] Cotton - Cotton prices are affected by macro - sentiment. The domestic cotton price is restricted by the internal - external price difference. It is expected to oscillate in the short - term, and attention should be paid to downstream imports and new orders [75][76] Sugar - The domestic sugar demand is average, and the international raw sugar price is weak, dragging down the domestic sugar price. The upside space is limited [77][78] Eggs - The pre - holiday stocking demand for eggs has ended. It is recommended to sell the JD2603 - C - 3100 call option [79][80] Apples - Apple's pre - holiday stocking is coming to an end. The consumption peak logic is almost realized. The price is supported by delivery contradictions and is likely to rise rather than fall [81][82] Red Dates - Red dates' pre - holiday purchase and sales are slowing down. In the short - term, the price may remain low - oscillating, and in the long - term, the supply - demand pattern is loose, and the price is under pressure [83]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on February 3, 2026, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, covering aspects such as basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - variety spreads. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Power Coal - **Basis**: From January 27 to February 2, 2026, the basis of power coal was - 116.4 on January 27, - 111.4 on January 28, and - 109.4 from January 29 to February 2 [2]. - **Inter - period spreads**: The spreads of 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month were all 0 during the period from January 27 to February 2, 2026 [2]. 3.2 Energy Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - **Basis**: For fuel oil, the basis on February 2, 2026 was 127.38; for INE crude oil, the basis on February 2, 2026 was - 3.68; for crude oil/asphalt, the basis on February 2, 2026 was 0.1392 [7]. - **Price Ratio**: The price ratio of some energy commodities was also provided, such as 99.68 for a certain ratio on February 2, 2026 [7]. 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - **Inter - period spreads**: For rubber, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread was - 485, the 9 - month minus 1 - month spread was - 625, and the 9 - month minus 5 - month spread was - 140; for methanol, the corresponding spreads were - 64, - 45, and 19; for PTA, they were 40, 38, and - 2; for LLDPE, they were - 35, 3, and 38; for PVC, they were - 218, - 101, and 117; for PP, they were 46, 72, and 26; for ethylene glycol, they were - 167, - 76, and 91 [9]. - **Inter - variety spreads**: For example, on February 2, 2026, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 1889, the LLDPE - PP spread was 171, the PP - PVC spread was 1718, and the PP - 3*methanol spread was - 93 [9]. - **Basis**: On February 2, 2026, the basis of rubber was - 80, methanol was - 4.5, PTA was - 72, LLDPE was 122, PVC was - 254, and PP was 76 [10]. 3.3 Black Metals - **Inter - period spreads**: For rebar, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread was - 82, the 9 - month(10) minus 1 - month spread was - 33, and the 9 - month(10) minus 5 - month spread was 49; for iron ore, the corresponding spreads were 29, 12, and - 17; for coke, they were - 149, - 82, and 67; for coking coal, they were - 248.5, - 172, and 76.5 [19]. - **Inter - variety spreads**: On February 2, 2026, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.96, the rebar/coke ratio was 18132.1, the coke/coking coal ratio was 4690, and the rebar - hot - rolled coil spread was - 161 [19]. - **Basis**: On February 2, 2026, the basis of rebar was 112, iron ore was 4, coke was - 175.5, and coking coal was 38.5 [20]. 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - **Basis**: On February 2, 2026, the basis of copper was 1460, aluminum was 635, zinc was 455, lead was - 70, nickel was 10760, and tin was 850 [28]. 3.4.2 London Market - **LME Ascending/Descending Premium**: On February 2, 2026, the LME ascending/descending premium of copper was (59.17), aluminum was (22.32), zinc was (5.35), lead was (47.99), nickel was (218.73), and tin was (300.00) [34]. - **Shanghai - London Ratio**: On February 2, 2026, the Shanghai - London ratio of copper was 7.83, aluminum was 7.73, zinc was 7.53, lead was 8.49, nickel was 7.85, and tin was 8.16 [34]. - **CIF**: On February 2, 2026, the CIF of copper was 101532.75, aluminum was 25597.59, zinc was 27517.86, lead was 15764.97, nickel was 136168.76, and tin was 375735.34 [34]. - **Domestic Spot Price**: On February 2, 2026, the domestic spot price of copper was 101060, aluminum was 23680, zinc was 24970, lead was 16640, nickel was 140410, and tin was 392480 [34]. - **Import Profit and Loss**: On February 2, 2026, the import profit and loss of copper was (472.75), aluminum was (1917.59), zinc was (2547.86), lead was 875.03, nickel was 4241.24, and tin was 16744.66 [34]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: On February 2, 2026, the basis of soybeans No.1 was - 233, soybeans No.2 was 96.22, soybean meal was 350, soybean oil was 578, and corn was 49 [38]. - **Inter - period spreads**: For example, for soybeans No.1, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread was - 28, the 9 - month minus 1 - month spread was 5, and the 9 - month minus 5 - month spread was 33 [38]. - **Inter - variety spreads**: On February 2, 2026, the soybeans No.1/corn ratio was 1.93, the soybeans No.2/corn ratio was 1.55, the soybean oil/soybean meal ratio was 2.97, the soybean meal - rapeseed meal spread was 477, the soybean oil - palm oil spread was - 944, the rapeseed oil - soybean oil spread was 1082, and the corn - corn starch spread was - 249 [38]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: On February 2, 2026, the basis of CSI 300 was - 20.84, SSE 50 was 133.85, CSI 500 was - 19.49, and CSI 1000 was - 5.74 [50]. - **Inter - period spreads**: For CSI 300, the next - month minus current - month spread was - 46.2, and the next - quarter minus current - quarter spread was - 1.2; for SSE 50, the next - month minus current - month spread was - 24.8, and the next - quarter minus current - quarter spread was - 10.6; for CSI 500, the next - month minus current - month spread was - 35.2, and the next - quarter minus current - quarter spread was - 145.6; for CSI 1000, the next - month minus current - month spread was - 38.8, and the next - quarter minus current - quarter spread was - 104.2 [50].

Core Insights - China's total electricity consumption is projected to exceed 10 trillion kilowatt-hours by 2025, reaching 10.4 trillion kilowatt-hours, marking a 5% year-on-year increase, which is unprecedented for a single country globally [1][6] - This milestone reflects China's robust economic resilience and profound transformation, with the total electricity consumption doubling from 5 trillion kilowatt-hours in just over a decade [1][3] Economic and Structural Drivers - The growth in electricity consumption is supported by a stable macroeconomic foundation and increased demand due to high temperatures and the rising electrification of daily life, including household appliances and electric vehicles [1][3] - High-end manufacturing sectors, such as new energy vehicles and wind power equipment manufacturing, are expected to see electricity consumption growth rates exceeding 20% and 30%, respectively, becoming key drivers of this growth [3] Emerging Industries - The rapid development of the digital economy is evident, with the internet services and charging industries experiencing electricity consumption growth rates of over 30% and nearly 50%, respectively, indicating a shift towards high-tech and high-value-added economic activities [3][4] - The contrast between the rising electricity consumption in high-tech industries and the declining growth in high-energy-consuming sectors, such as black metal smelting, highlights China's structural adjustments and transformation efforts [4] Power Supply and Stability - Ensuring the safe and stable supply of 10 trillion kilowatt-hours is a significant achievement, supported by a modern power supply system that coordinates efforts across power generation, grid management, and demand-side management [3][4] - Coal power continues to play a stabilizing role, while renewable energy sources like wind and solar are becoming the main contributors to incremental growth, complemented by energy storage solutions [3] Conclusion - The unprecedented figure of 10.4 trillion kilowatt-hours not only demonstrates China's strength as a global manufacturing powerhouse but also showcases its progress towards high-quality development and the establishment of a new power system [6] - This data reflects the vigorous pace of industrial structure upgrades, the commitment to green and low-carbon transitions, and the strong resilience of the Chinese economy in a complex environment [6]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints No core viewpoints are presented in the given content. It mainly consists of various commodity futures data. Summary by Commodity Categories 1. Power Coal - Provided power coal basis data from January 7 - 14, 2026, with the basis on January 13 being -100 yuan/ton [2] 2. Energy and Chemicals Energy Commodities - Presented basis data of fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt from January 7 - 13, 2026, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt [7] Chemical Commodities - Showed cross - period, cross - variety, and basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol from January 7 - 13, 2026 [9][10] 3. Black Metals - Provided cross - period, cross - variety, and basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from January 7 - 13, 2026 [19][20][21] 4. Non - ferrous Metals Domestic Market - Presented domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from January 7 - 13, 2026 [30] London Market - Showed LME premium/discount, Shanghai - London ratio, CIF, domestic spot price, and import profit/loss data of LME non - ferrous metals on January 13, 2026 [33] 5. Agricultural Products - Provided basis, cross - period, and cross - variety data of soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, sugar, and cotton from January 7 - 13, 2026 [38] 6. Stock Index Futures - Presented basis and cross - period data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from January 7 - 13, 2026 [49][51]