丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨盈峰环境（000967.SZ） [Table_Title] 盈峰环境 2025H1 点评：环卫装备市占率持续提 升，国际化业务初显成效 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 盈峰环境 2025 上半年实现营业收入 64.63 亿元，同比增长 3.69%，归母净利润 3.82 亿元，同 比增长 0.43%；2025 年 Q2 单季度实现营业收入 32.81 亿元，同比增长 1.41%，归母净利润 2.02 亿元，同比下滑 3.14%。收入利润维持稳定，新能源装备市占率进一步提升。毛利率仍承 压下滑，期间费用率有所下降。新业务布局初显成效，海外订单增长迅速打开长期空间。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 徐科 任楠 贾少波 李博文 盛意 SAC：S0490517090001 SAC：S0490518070001 SAC：S0490520070003 SAC：S0490524080004 SAC：S0490525070006 SFC：BUV415 SFC：BUZ393 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% [Table_Summary2] 事件描 ...

Macro Economic Overview - The report indicates that the next important time point may be in the late third quarter of 2025, with a suggested asset allocation order of stocks > commodities > bonds > currency [2][4] - In the first half of 2025, China's actual GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year, laying a good foundation for achieving the annual target of 5.0% [2][4] - Economic data from July shows signs of growth pressure, including weakened external demand due to increased tariffs from the US and sluggish domestic consumption [2][4] Asset Performance - The A-share market saw an increase, with the CSI 300 index rising by 2.37% and the CSI 300 stock index futures up by 2.83% [11][12] - Commodity futures showed mixed results, with coking coal futures up by 0.33% and iron ore down by 1.65% [11][12] - The yield on ten-year government bonds rose by 6 basis points to 1.75%, while active ten-year government bond futures fell by 0.26% [11][12] Policy Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of expanding domestic demand in the second half of the year, suggesting that policies should be implemented to enhance efficiency and release domestic demand [2][4] - It is noted that the fiscal policy may have room for further adjustments within the year, particularly in light of external pressures easing due to potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2][4] Sector Performance - The report highlights that the TMT sector has shown significant growth, with the ChiNext index leading with an 8.58% increase, followed by the Shenzhen Component Index at 4.55% [35][36] - The report also notes that the banking sector has faced declines, with a drop of 3.22% [35][36] Financial Data - In July, new social financing amounted to 1.13 trillion yuan, while new RMB loans decreased by 500 million yuan, indicating weak financing demand in the real economy [4][17] - The M2 money supply grew by 8.8% year-on-year, reflecting a relatively strong liquidity environment despite weak economic indicators [4][17]

Summary of the Conference Call on the Autonomous Sanitation Vehicle Industry Industry Overview - The autonomous sanitation vehicle industry has high entry barriers due to operational models, technological accumulation, and legal regulations, making it difficult for external companies to enter directly and necessitating deep vertical expertise and government approvals [1][3][4] Key Insights and Arguments - The cost of autonomous driving technology has significantly decreased, with initial R&D costs dropping from approximately 800,000 to 1,000,000 yuan to around 200,000 yuan, with further reductions expected, facilitating market application [1][4] - The expected shipment volume for the autonomous commercial cleaning sector in 2024 is about 13,000 units, with a sales scale of approximately 2.7 billion yuan, projected to grow to 47,000 units and a market size of 18.5 billion yuan in 2025, representing over 50% year-on-year growth [1][5] - The sanitation sector heavily relies on government fiscal spending, with environmental protection project funds allocated for sanitation, and urbanization increasing the area requiring cleaning, indicating potential for budget increases [1][8] - The number of bids and transaction amounts for autonomous sanitation projects surged in the first half of 2025, indicating rapid market demand release, with total contract amounts increasing over tenfold year-on-year [1][10] Market Dynamics - Autonomous sanitation vehicles can replace some manual labor, addressing issues of aging sanitation workers and recruitment difficulties, with a calculated market size of over 80 billion yuan based on a 3:1 replacement ratio [1][12] - The market space for autonomous sanitation vehicles is estimated between 75 billion to 120 billion yuan, considering the annual increase of 80,000 to 100,000 vehicles on main roads and additional demand from non-motorized lanes, sidewalks, parks, and waste transfer scenarios [1][11] Competitive Landscape - Key players in the autonomous sanitation vehicle sector include Jinlv Environment, Yuhua Tian, Qiaoyin Co., Xin'an Clean, Yingfeng Environment, and Fulongma, with Jinlv Environment noted for its strong R&D capabilities and potential for growth [2][14] - The operational model in China primarily involves government outsourcing sanitation services to small enterprises or state-owned enterprises, with over 90% of sanitation services provided through outsourcing [9] Future Prospects - The partnership between Yuhua Tian and Zhiyuan Robotics indicates recognition of the autonomous sanitation sector, with a focus on applying advanced robotics technology in this field [15][16] - The future market for autonomous sanitation vehicles is expected to reach a scale of over 100 billion yuan annually, with significant potential for margin improvement, making it a favorable outlook for related companies [18] Additional Considerations - The aging workforce in the sanitation sector poses challenges, with 65% of workers over 50 years old, and 22% over 60 years old, highlighting the need for technological solutions to mitigate labor shortages [12] - The economic advantages of autonomous sanitation vehicles are evident, with lifecycle costs significantly lower than traditional labor costs, suggesting a strong case for investment in this technology [13] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections regarding the autonomous sanitation vehicle industry, highlighting its potential for growth, competitive dynamics, and the implications for labor and economic efficiency.

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **new energy sanitation equipment industry**, highlighting significant growth in sales and market dynamics for the first half of 2025 [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Sales Growth**: In the first half of 2025, sales of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by **95.9% year-on-year**, with a penetration rate of **16.1%**. This growth is attributed to a low industry base, accumulated replacement demand, policy incentives, and declining costs [1][2]. - **Cost Competitiveness**: New energy sanitation equipment is expected to achieve cost parity with traditional diesel or gasoline vehicles within **3-4 years** of a **5-8 year** usage cycle, driven by cost advantages and government policies promoting procurement [1][4][5]. - **Market Demand for Autonomous Equipment**: A total of **648 autonomous sanitation devices** were procured across **22 provinces, 54 cities, and 80 districts** in the first half of the year, with expectations of annual procurement reaching **1,500 to 2,000 units**, indicating significant market demand for autonomous solutions [1][9]. Competitive Landscape - **Market Leaders**: The competitive landscape remains stable, with **Yingfeng Environment** (Zhonglian) maintaining a leading position. However, some smaller brands have seen an increase in market share, reflecting local governments' sensitivity to pricing [1][6]. - **Company Performance**: Companies like **Yutong** and **Fulongma** have shown varied performance, with Yutong's market share at **3.4%** and Fulongma at **7.9%**. Yutong's performance improved in Q2 with a **91% year-on-year increase** [6][8]. Additional Important Insights - **Technological Advancements**: The growth of autonomous sanitation equipment is driven by labor shortages, rising labor costs, and advancements in technology such as sensor precision and L4 level autonomous driving [3][10][11]. - **Impact of Legal Changes**: The new regulations from the Supreme People's Court regarding social insurance payments may increase operational costs for companies but could also accelerate the demand for autonomous sanitation equipment as a response to rising labor costs [3][13]. - **Future Trends**: The future of the environmental protection industry is expected to focus on **intelligent and automated solutions**, with projections of **50,000 to 60,000 new autonomous sanitation vehicles** being added annually in the coming years [14][15].

Summary of Earnings Call for Yingfeng Environment Company Overview - Yingfeng Environment reported total revenue of 13.1 billion RMB for 2024, with sanitation equipment and services accounting for over 85% of revenue, specifically 5.187 billion and 6.4 billion RMB respectively, with an additional 1.5 billion RMB from wind turbine and solid waste businesses [2][4][23] - The company has a strong market presence in the sanitation equipment sector, with a market share close to 20%, and over 30% for mid-to-high-end products, and 40% for high-end products [2][6] Industry Insights - The sanitation equipment industry is showing signs of recovery, with a 6.7% year-on-year increase in the number of sanitation equipment insured in the first half of 2025, marking the first positive growth since 2021 [2][5] - The public budget for energy-saving and environmental protection spending increased by approximately 6% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, providing support for the sanitation equipment market [2][7] Financial Performance and Projections - Yingfeng Environment's revenue elasticity is projected at 18.3%, 10.5%, and 10.0% for 2025-2027, with corresponding profits of approximately 680 million, 810 million, and 940 million RMB [2][21] - The company expects a significant reduction in goodwill impairment in 2025 due to industry recovery, with an anticipated net profit of around 700 million RMB [21][23] New Energy Equipment Development - Sales of new energy sanitation equipment reached 6,382 units in the first half of 2025, a 95.9% increase year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 16.1% [2][11] - The government has implemented policies to promote new energy sanitation vehicles, aiming for significant electrification in public sector vehicles by 2025 and near-total replacement by 2035 [12][15] Competitive Advantages - Yingfeng Environment maintains a strong competitive edge through effective cost control, with gross margins above industry averages, historically maintaining over 30% gross margin and 15% net margin during stable government spending periods [6][17] - The company is actively developing autonomous sanitation equipment and humanoid robots, with a stable cash flow and approximately 5 billion RMB in cash reserves, indicating long-term investment potential [2][22][23] Market Trends and Challenges - The sanitation service market has seen significant growth, with revenues increasing from 1 billion to over 6 billion RMB from 2019 to 2024, although future growth may slow due to market saturation [18][20] - The transition to new energy vehicles is expected to continue, with the industry projected to maintain high growth rates over the next two to three years [14][15] Conclusion - Yingfeng Environment is well-positioned for future growth with a solid financial foundation, innovative product development, and a favorable market environment for sanitation and new energy equipment [23]

Group 1: Investment Highlights - Key recommendations include companies such as Conch Venture, Hanlan Environment, Green Power, Yongxing Co., and others, indicating a strong focus on the environmental sector [2] - Suggested companies for attention include Green Power Environmental, Deyu Water, and others, highlighting potential investment opportunities in the environmental industry [2] Group 2: Policy Tracking - The first revision of pricing regulations in 27 years aims to promote market-oriented pricing, enhancing ROE and cash flow in sectors like water, waste, and energy [3] - Strengthened environmental inspections signal a more systematic and effective regulatory approach to environmental protection in China [3] Group 3: Industry Insights - The water operations sector is expected to experience a cash flow turning point, similar to the garbage incineration sector, with significant increases in free cash flow anticipated from 2026 [4] - Price reforms are expected to reshape growth and valuation in the water sector, with potential for 2-3 times valuation increases as the market matures [4] Group 4: Company-Specific Analysis - Xingrong Environment shows a current PB of 1.16, with a projected PE of 9.8 for 2025, indicating potential for dividend increases [5] - Yuehai Investment has a PB of 1.08 and a projected PE of 10.6 for 2025, with a dividend yield of 6.2%, suggesting strong market positioning [5] - Hongcheng Environment is committed to maintaining a dividend payout of no less than 50% from 2021 to 2026, with a projected PE of 9.6 for 2025 [5] Group 5: Market Trends - The environmental sanitation equipment sector saw a 7.24% increase in new energy penetration, with a total of 38,164 sanitation vehicles sold in the first half of 2025 [5] - The average price of biodiesel remained stable, with a net profit per ton showing a significant decline [5] - In lithium battery recycling, metal prices showed mixed trends, with lithium carbonate at 71,300 (down 2.2% week-on-week) and cobalt at 276,000 (up 11.3% week-on-week) [5]

Core Viewpoint - The recent public announcement of the bid results for the key sanitation parking lot charging facilities and vehicle renewal project in Beijing indicates a significant investment in hydrogen fuel sanitation vehicles, with Beijing Sanitation Group Equipment Co., Ltd. winning the bid at a price of 44.17093 million yuan [1][2]. Group 1 - The winning bidder for the project is Beijing Sanitation Group Equipment Co., Ltd. [2] - The bid amount for the hydrogen fuel sanitation vehicle procurement project is 44.17093 million yuan [2]. - The project is part of the key sanitation parking lot charging facilities and vehicle renewal initiative in central urban areas of Beijing [1][2]. Group 2 - The project is supervised by relevant authorities, although specific details on the supervisory department are not provided [2]. - Contact information for the bidding organization, Beijing Environmental Sanitation Engineering Group Co., Ltd., is available, including the address and contact person [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights the collaboration between Jinko Environment and Kunheng International to issue RWA, enhancing the market value of quality assets [9] - Huanlan Environment's internal growth and acquisition performance exceeded expectations, with a significant increase in net profit [12] - The report emphasizes the decline in capital expenditure in waste incineration, leading to improved free cash flow and increased dividends, while also noting the efficiency improvements in heating and IDC that boost ROE and valuation [16] - The water service sector is positioned as the next growth area similar to waste incineration, with a focus on marketization and cash flow improvements [19] Summary by Sections Jinko Environment - Jinko Environment has reached a cooperation intention for RWA issuance with Kunheng International, aiming to enhance the market value of its quality assets through digital asset management [9][10] Huanlan Environment - Huanlan Environment reported a net profit of 9.67 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.00%, with a significant internal growth rate of 18% in Q2 2025 [12][14] - The integration of Yuefeng has contributed positively to the company's performance, with a monthly profit contribution exceeding previous levels [14][15] Waste Incineration - The report notes a decrease in capital expenditure in the waste incineration sector, leading to a substantial improvement in free cash flow and increased dividends for companies like Junxin and Green Power [16][17] - The sector is transitioning into a mature phase, with a focus on efficiency improvements and cost reductions to enhance ROE [16][18] Water Services - The water service sector is highlighted as a stable and low-valuation area with high dividend potential, with companies like Xingrong and Hongcheng Environment expected to see significant cash flow improvements [19][21] - The report anticipates a shift in water pricing policies that will support sustainable growth and valuation increases similar to trends observed in the US water industry [20][21] Environmental Equipment - The report indicates a 90.56% year-on-year increase in sales of new energy sanitation vehicles, with a penetration rate of 15.86% [28] - The overall sales of sanitation vehicles increased by 3.59%, indicating a positive trend in the environmental equipment sector [28][34] Biodiesel and Lithium Battery Recycling - Biodiesel prices remained stable, but profit margins have decreased, with the average profit per ton dropping to 130 yuan [42] - The lithium battery recycling sector is experiencing an upward trend in metal prices, leading to slight improvements in profitability [44]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1]. Core Views - The report emphasizes the collaboration between Junxin Co. and Changsha Digital Group to promote the integration of waste incineration and green computing, enhancing operational efficiency and revenue growth [8]. - It highlights the trend of decreasing capital expenditures in the waste incineration sector, leading to improved free cash flow and increased dividends [12]. - The report discusses the stable growth and high dividends in the water utility sector, driven by water price reforms that reshape growth and valuation [16]. Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The environmental protection sector is experiencing a shift towards maturity, with capital expenditures declining and free cash flow turning positive in 2023, continuing to improve in 2024 [12][13]. - The report notes that the waste incineration sector is adopting new business models, including partnerships with data centers, which enhance profitability and return on equity (ROE) [14]. Key Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Hai Luo Chuang Ye, Hanlan Environment, and Green Power, among others, based on their strong dividend potential and operational efficiency [4]. - It suggests focusing on companies with high dividend payout ratios and robust cash flow, such as Junxin Co. and Green Power, which are expected to maintain or increase their dividends significantly in 2024 [12][13]. Water Utility Sector - The water utility sector is projected to see stable growth, with a focus on water price reforms that enhance profitability and ensure reasonable returns on investment [18]. - The report highlights specific companies like Yuehai Investment and Xingrong Environment as key players benefiting from these reforms, with expected high dividend yields [18]. Environmental Equipment - The report notes a significant increase in the sales of new energy sanitation vehicles, with a year-on-year growth of 73% and an increase in market penetration [26][27]. - It emphasizes the importance of transitioning to electric sanitation vehicles as part of the industry's modernization efforts [22]. Biofuel and Lithium Battery Recycling - The report indicates a recovery in the profitability of biodiesel, with prices increasing by 7.1% week-on-week, leading to positive margins [36]. - It also discusses the challenges in lithium battery recycling, with declining metal prices impacting profitability, but notes slight improvements in margins [39][40].

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Insights - The acceleration of unmanned sanitation bidding indicates rapid industry development and technological iteration [8] - Decrease in capital expenditure in waste incineration leads to increased dividends, while improvements in heating and IDC enhance ROE and valuation [9] - Water utility operations show steady growth and high dividends, with water price reforms reshaping growth and valuation [12] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - Unmanned sanitation bidding is accelerating, with a procurement project for 100 small autonomous cleaning vehicles announced, budgeted at 28.6 million yuan [8] - The waste incineration sector is seeing a decline in capital expenditure, leading to improved free cash flow and increased dividends [9] - The water utility sector is experiencing stable growth, with a projected revenue of 655 billion yuan in 2024, and a net profit of 112 billion yuan, reflecting a 27% increase [12] Key Recommendations - Recommended companies include: Huanlan Environment, Green Power, Yongxing Co., and others for their strong dividend performance and growth potential [4] - Focus on companies like Yuehai Investment and Xingrong Environment for their robust cash flow and dividend commitments [12] Equipment and Technology - The penetration rate of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 6.14 percentage points to 14.55% in the first four months of 2025, with sales of 3,570 units, a 73% year-on-year increase [21][22] - The market for bio-diesel remains challenging, with prices stable and profits under pressure due to rising raw material costs [36] Financial Performance - Companies like Junxin Co. and Green Power are expected to increase their cash dividends significantly in 2024, with Junxin's cash dividend projected at 507 million yuan, a 37% increase [9] - The water utility sector is set to benefit from recent price reforms, with Guangzhou implementing significant price increases for residential water [13][14]