我们理解，良好的开端展示了双方沟通的诚意，关税从 145%的非 理性水平降至目前相对理性水平，这应是双方正常经贸合作的基本， 或是中美经贸谈判的开始，后续谈判或将进入实质性环节。考虑美国 特朗普政府过往的一贯行事风格，后续谈判或存在反复的可能。从美 国特朗普竞选主张，以及美国特朗普政府相关官员的发言，美国特朗 普政府对我国的贸易政策并非基于对等关税政策，而是典型的贸易保 护主义，美国特朗普政府一再扬言，要取消中国最惠国待遇。年初特 朗普团队提名国务卿公布的法案，宣称取消中国最惠国待遇。仅从本 次中美经贸会谈结果来看，在 90 天的豁免期内，美国对我国加征关 税税率已经达到 51%，高于最惠国待遇的平均关税税率；若 90 天的豁 免期结束后，美国继续加征 24%的关税，那么美国对我国商品加征的 平均关税税率则高达 75%。整体来看，目前中美双方或进入实质性谈 判阶段，后续或仍存在谈判空间，最惠国待遇的平均关税税率或是双 方谈判的关键分水岭。考虑美国特朗普政府过往的一贯行事风格，后 续谈判或存在反复的可能，值得关注。 证券研究报告：宏观报告 研究所 分析师:袁野 SAC 登记编号:S1340523010002 E ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record adjusted EPS of $2.72, up 13% from the prior year [8] - Organic growth accelerated to 9% from 6% in the prior quarter, with segment margins reaching 23.9% [8][13] - Total company orders increased by 3% compared to the prior quarter, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - **Electrical Americas**: Organic sales growth accelerated to 13%, with an operating margin of 30%, up 80 basis points year-over-year [14] - **Electrical Global**: Organic growth increased from 5.5% to 9%, with a 2% FX headwind impacting results [16] - **Aerospace**: Organic growth reached 13%, with a strong operating margin of 23.1% [19] - **Vehicle Segment**: Revenue declined by 15%, including an 11% organic decline, but maintained a margin of 15.5% [20] - **eMobility**: Revenue increased by 2%, with a 3% organic growth [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. data center construction backlog increased to nine years based on 2024 build rates, up from seven years [11] - Strong activity was noted in EMEA and APAC regions, with double-digit organic growth reported [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging megatrends in its end markets to drive growth, particularly in data centers and utilities [10][25] - The acquisition of Fiberbond is seen as a strategic move to enhance capabilities in the data center market [10][11] - The company is committed to maintaining a localized sourcing and manufacturing strategy to mitigate tariff impacts [22][23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth prospects despite current economic uncertainties, raising the organic growth outlook for 2025 to a range of 7.5% to 9.5% [28][30] - The company reaffirmed its adjusted EPS guidance for 2025, projecting an 11% growth over the prior year [28] Other Important Information - The company has implemented measures to control costs and limit discretionary spending in response to dynamic market conditions [23] - Management highlighted the importance of strong relationships with customers and suppliers to minimize disruptions [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Data center performance and expectations - Management noted strong double-digit growth in the data center market and expressed optimism for continued high levels of orders and negotiation activity [35][37] Question: Competitive positioning in the U.S. market - The company emphasized its strong local presence and ongoing investments to expand capacity, which positions it favorably against competitors [39][41] Question: Electrical Americas order outlook - Management expects strong order performance in Electrical Americas, supported by a robust backlog and negotiation pipeline [48][50] Question: Implications of data center backlog increase - The increase in backlog is expected to drive demand for modular solutions and enhance the company's competitive position [99][102] Question: Tariff impact on margins - Management discussed the dynamic nature of tariffs and the company's strategy to mitigate cost pressures through pricing and operational efficiencies [72][74] Question: Opportunities in data center orders - Management indicated that the transition to higher power density in data centers will benefit the company's offerings and drive growth [120][122]