Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the basic chemical industry [6] Core Views - The agricultural chemical sector is experiencing a recovery in market conditions, with prices for glyphosate and paraquat increasing. Glyphosate prices reached 25,501 CNY/ton, up 200 CNY/ton from the previous week, with a gross profit of 2,772.4 CNY/ton, an increase of 132.2 CNY/ton [5][20] - The demand for agricultural chemicals is expected to remain strong, particularly if major players like Monsanto exit the market, which could lead to supply shocks for glyphosate and related products [5] - The fluorochemical sector is seeing price increases for R32 refrigerant due to seasonal demand and supply constraints, with R32 priced at 53,500 CNY/ton, up 500 CNY/ton from the previous week [4][31] Summary by Sections (1) Key Chemical Product Price Tracking - Prices for key monitored products such as vitamin B1 (up 12.82%) and vitamin D3 (up 7.14%) saw significant weekly increases, while hydrochloric acid (-8.29%) and isobutylene (-7.98%) experienced notable declines [15] (2) Polyurethane: MDI Prices Down, TDI Prices Up - MDI prices decreased due to weak domestic demand and external market conditions, with average prices for polymer MDI at 14,850 CNY/ton (down 0.67%) and pure MDI at 16,450 CNY/ton (down 0.9%). In contrast, TDI prices increased to 12,650 CNY/ton (up 2.85%) [18] (3) Agricultural Chemicals: Glyphosate, Urea, and Potassium Chloride Prices Up - Glyphosate prices increased to 25,501 CNY/ton, with a weekly production of 11,000 tons and a decrease in inventory to 34,100 tons. Urea and potassium chloride also saw price increases, with urea priced at 1,816 CNY/ton (up 0.94%) and potassium chloride at 3,339 CNY/ton (up 3.53%) [20][27] (4) Fluorochemicals: R32 Refrigerant Price Increase - The price of R32 refrigerant rose to 53,500 CNY/ton due to increased demand from the air conditioning sector and supply constraints. The prices of upstream materials like fluorspar and hydrofluoric acid remained stable [31]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the refrigerant industry, indicating a high level of prosperity and suggesting that related companies are likely to see significant improvements in profitability [8][66]. Core Insights - The prices of third-generation refrigerants R32, R125, and R134a have increased as of May 30, 2025, with respective prices of 51,000 CNY/ton, 45,500 CNY/ton, and 48,500 CNY/ton, reflecting increases of 4.08%, 1.11%, and 2.11% compared to the end of April [8][15]. - The production quotas for second-generation refrigerants are set to decrease in 2025, while the total production quota for third-generation refrigerants will remain at baseline levels, leading to a tightening supply-demand relationship for both generations [8][66]. - The domestic production of household air conditioners is expected to maintain a year-on-year growth trend from June to August 2025, with production volumes of 20.5 million units, 17.13 million units, and 12.09 million units, representing year-on-year growth rates of 11.50%, 6.30%, and 2.70% respectively [8][39]. Summary by Sections Refrigerant Tracking - As of May 30, 2025, the total inventory of R32, R134a, and R125 refrigerants was 4,042 tons, 3,380 tons, and 2,623 tons respectively, showing a mixed change compared to the previous month [8][21]. - The production of R22 in May 2025 was 32,082 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 15.19% but a month-on-month increase of 9.94% [8][28]. Fluoropolymer - The prices of fluoropolymers have shown fluctuations, with PTFE, PVDF, and HFP prices recorded at 41,000 CNY/ton, 62,000 CNY/ton, and 37,000 CNY/ton respectively as of May 30, 2025 [8][49]. - The production of PTFE, PVDF, and HFP in May 2025 was 12,946 tons, 10,538 tons, and 7,371 tons respectively, with year-on-year increases of 28.13%, 30.42%, and 34.02% [8][56]. Industry News - A new technology for the resource conversion of trifluoromethane has been developed, achieving international leading levels and promising significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions [8][59]. - Juhua Co., Ltd. has been actively increasing its shareholding, reflecting confidence in its future performance [8][60][61]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the refrigerant industry and those with well-established supply chains in the fluorochemical sector, such as Juhua Co., Ltd., Sanmei Co., and Jinshi Resources [8][66].