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AI革命下的“失败者名单”:投行 Wedbush预警,这些巨头正被时代抛弃
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 13:49
智通财经APP注意到,人工智能正在彻底改变各个行业的支出方式,使英伟达(NVDA.US)、 AMD(AMD.US)等公司受益。但在一部分公司成为赢家的同时,投行 Wedbush Securities 也列出了一份 可能受到人工智能负面冲击的公司名单。 "就像过去的企业软件演进周期一样,颠覆者通常首先通过与较小的公司合作或在利基应用中取得成 功,然后才会威胁到大型企业核心职能中根深蒂固的竞争对手。面临最大威胁的包括 Adobe、Docusign 和 Workday。" 与此同时,Wedbush 将 Nice Systems(NICE.US)的评级从"跑赢大盘"下调至"中性",并将目标价从 170 美 元下调至 120 美元。 最后,Wedbush 认为代理式 AI 对零售业的影响正在颠覆许多领域,包括 Instacart(CART.US)等中介机 构。 分析师解释道:"自动驾驶车队无需人工劳动力即可运送人员和货物,这标志着交通运输经济学领域自 十年前网约车推出以来最具影响力的转变。我们预计这将带来巨大的颠覆,特别是在运输网络领域。随 着自动驾驶(AV)网络规模化,价值将流向拥有 (1) 车队、(2) 数据沉淀和 ...
重磅发布:毕马威《2025年中国首席执行官展望》报告
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-10 11:38
Core Insights - The report highlights the resilience and vitality of the Chinese economy amidst external risks and challenges, with 88% of Chinese CEOs expressing confidence in the country's economic development over the next three years, marking a recent high [8][18][20]. Group 1: Economic Outlook - Despite escalating external risks, Chinese CEOs show a rebound in confidence regarding short-term economic growth, with 54% expressing optimism for the next year, an increase of 9 percentage points from the previous year [9][11]. - The long-term economic outlook remains positive, with 58% of Chinese CEOs confident in global economic growth over the next three years, although this is a decrease of 13 percentage points from the previous year [18][20]. Group 2: Business Challenges - The report identifies "involution" competition as the primary challenge for businesses, with 51% of CEOs acknowledging intensified market competition as a significant impact on current business development [15]. - There is a notable decline in revenue growth expectations, with only 73% of CEOs anticipating positive revenue growth this year, down from 81% last year [11][12]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - 52% of Chinese CEOs prioritize research and innovation to develop new productivity as a key short-term strategy to combat "involution" competition [12][15]. - The focus on digital transformation and compliance investments is increasing, with a significant emphasis on enhancing supply chain security [12][15]. Group 4: Leadership and Management - 54% of Chinese CEOs believe their roles and responsibilities have significantly changed in the past five years, necessitating a multifaceted leadership approach that includes strategic foresight and adaptability [26]. - The importance of agility and rapid decision-making under pressure is emphasized, with 26% of CEOs identifying these as critical leadership capabilities [26]. Group 5: International Expansion - Chinese companies are shifting their overseas strategies from aggressive expansion to rational deepening, with 77% of CEOs citing strategic resource allocation as a primary driver for international ventures [29]. - The choice of overseas markets is increasingly focused on Southeast Asia and the Middle East, reflecting a strategic move to mitigate geopolitical risks [29][31]. Group 6: Technology and AI - The application of artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming more prevalent, with 86% of Chinese CEOs expecting a return on AI investments within three years, a significant increase from the previous year [33]. - Over 60% of CEOs view the competition for AI talent and skills enhancement as a key challenge for future development [36]. Group 7: ESG Investments - There is a growing proactive attitude towards Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investments, with 76% of CEOs believing that ESG investments contribute to corporate transformation and demand enhancement [38]. - 49% of companies have initiated practices in low-carbon transformation, a notable increase from 35% the previous year [38].
麦肯锡《技术趋势展望》解读:技术革命与全球竞争新格局
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-30 02:37
Group 1: Core Insights - The McKinsey report identifies 13 key technologies categorized into three main areas: Artificial Intelligence Revolution, Computing and Connectivity Frontiers, and Advanced Engineering [1] - In 2024, 10 out of the 13 technology trends saw an increase in equity investment, indicating sustained global interest in cutting-edge technologies [4] - The report highlights the rapid growth of agent-based AI, with investment reaching $1.1 billion in 2024 and a 985% increase in related job demand [4][6] Group 2: Artificial Intelligence Revolution - Agent-based AI is characterized by autonomous agents capable of planning and executing multi-step tasks, showing unique value in areas like intelligent customer service and code development [6] - General AI is evolving towards multi-modal interactions, with 78% of organizations deploying AI in at least one business function and 92% of executives planning to increase investments in the next three years [8] - In 2024, global AI equity investment reached $124.3 billion, with OpenAI raising a record $40 billion in a single funding round [8][11] Group 3: Computing and Connectivity Frontiers - The demand for AI-driven computing is growing exponentially, driving innovation in semiconductors, networking, and cloud computing [11] - Customized semiconductors are becoming essential for meeting the massive computational needs of AI, with global equity investment in this area reaching $7.5 billion in 2024 [12] - The report predicts that by 2030, approximately 70% of data center demand will be for AI workloads, with a 33% annual growth rate from 2023 to 2030 [16] Group 4: Advanced Engineering - The integration of AI and robotics is transforming robots from fixed-task executors to collaborative partners, with global investment in robotics expected to reach $7 billion in 2024 [25] - The robotics industry is projected to grow to $900 billion by 2040, driven by opportunities arising from labor shortages and rising production costs [25] - Notable applications include Boston Dynamics' ElectricAtlas for heavy lifting in industrial settings and FigureAI's Helix for complex tasks like grocery sorting [25]