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翰森制药(03692):创新和BD共振,业绩及管线稳进
HTSC· 2025-08-20 09:58
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 42.53, up from a previous target of HKD 28.95 [7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of HKD 74.34 billion for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 14%, with net profit rising by 15% to HKD 31.35 billion. The revenue from innovative drugs reached HKD 61.45 billion, up 22% year-on-year, accounting for 83% of total revenue [1]. - The company is expected to achieve a sales revenue of over HKD 100 billion from innovative drugs by 2025, with a revenue share exceeding 80% [3]. - The company has a robust pipeline with over 40 new molecular entities under research and has consistently achieved high-quality external licensing agreements, totaling USD 7.3 billion over the past three years [3]. Revenue Breakdown by Therapeutic Areas - Oncology: Revenue of HKD 45.31 billion (+1% year-on-year), driven by Amivantamab and other milestone payments, with product sales growth exceeding 20% after excluding collaboration revenue [2]. - Anti-infectives: Revenue of HKD 7.35 billion (+5% year-on-year), primarily driven by Adefovir [2]. - CNS: Revenue of HKD 7.68 billion (+5% year-on-year), mainly driven by Inalizumab [2]. - Metabolic and other diseases: Revenue of HKD 14.00 billion (+142% year-on-year), driven by milestone payments for GLP-1 and HS-20094 [2]. Pipeline and Clinical Development Updates - The company is advancing its pipeline with several drugs in various stages of clinical trials, including HS-20093 and HS-20089, which are expected to enter critical clinical phases in the coming years [4]. - The company is actively expanding into skin and kidney autoimmune diseases, with several candidates already in Phase III clinical trials [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is HKD 52.02 billion, HKD 54.80 billion, and HKD 57.27 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS of HKD 0.88, HKD 0.92, and HKD 0.96 [5]. - The company’s SOTP valuation is estimated at HKD 2529.44 billion, with innovative drugs valued at HKD 2483.38 billion and generics at HKD 46.06 billion [5][12].
翰森制药(03692):首次覆盖:中国龙头创新药企,国际化能力持续提升
Haitong Securities International· 2025-06-16 08:21
Investment Rating - Initiate with OUTPERFORM rating [1][2] Core Views - Hansoh Pharma is a leading innovative pharmaceutical company in China, focusing on oncology, anti-infection, central nervous system diseases, metabolic diseases, and autoimmune diseases, with a robust pipeline of over 30 clinical-stage innovative drug projects and 50 ongoing clinical studies [3][9] - The company has seen a significant increase in innovative drug revenue, projected to exceed 10 billion RMB in 2025, accounting for over 80% of total revenue [3][17] - The oncology segment is a key growth driver, with revenue expected to reach 8.12 billion RMB in 2024, representing 66% of total revenue [27] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Established in 1995, Hansoh Pharma has over 30 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry, with a focus on R&D, production, and commercialization [9][10] - The company has a strong global management team with extensive industry experience [13][14] 2. Oncology Segment - The oncology segment is well-established, with a comprehensive product system covering various disease types and treatment stages [4][27] - The core product, Amivantamab, has gained significant market share and is expected to continue driving growth [27][29] 3. Innovative Drug Pipeline - The company has a diverse pipeline with over 40 innovative drug candidates across various therapeutic areas, including ADCs and dual antibodies [20][24] - Recent collaborations with multinational corporations have strengthened the company's R&D capabilities and expanded its pipeline [5][25] 4. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for FY25-27 are 13.76 billion RMB, 14.86 billion RMB, and 16.5 billion RMB, respectively, with net profits of 4.62 billion RMB, 4.69 billion RMB, and 5.2 billion RMB [6][17] - The company has increased its R&D investment significantly, with a projected R&D expense ratio of 22% in 2024 [15][17] 5. Market Position and Strategy - Hansoh Pharma is positioned as a leading player in the Chinese pharmaceutical market, with a focus on innovative drug development and international expansion [3][9] - The company aims to leverage its strong R&D capabilities and strategic partnerships to enhance its market presence and drive future growth [5][20]