Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 42.53, up from a previous target of HKD 28.95 [7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of HKD 74.34 billion for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 14%, with net profit rising by 15% to HKD 31.35 billion. The revenue from innovative drugs reached HKD 61.45 billion, up 22% year-on-year, accounting for 83% of total revenue [1]. - The company is expected to achieve a sales revenue of over HKD 100 billion from innovative drugs by 2025, with a revenue share exceeding 80% [3]. - The company has a robust pipeline with over 40 new molecular entities under research and has consistently achieved high-quality external licensing agreements, totaling USD 7.3 billion over the past three years [3]. Revenue Breakdown by Therapeutic Areas - Oncology: Revenue of HKD 45.31 billion (+1% year-on-year), driven by Amivantamab and other milestone payments, with product sales growth exceeding 20% after excluding collaboration revenue [2]. - Anti-infectives: Revenue of HKD 7.35 billion (+5% year-on-year), primarily driven by Adefovir [2]. - CNS: Revenue of HKD 7.68 billion (+5% year-on-year), mainly driven by Inalizumab [2]. - Metabolic and other diseases: Revenue of HKD 14.00 billion (+142% year-on-year), driven by milestone payments for GLP-1 and HS-20094 [2]. Pipeline and Clinical Development Updates - The company is advancing its pipeline with several drugs in various stages of clinical trials, including HS-20093 and HS-20089, which are expected to enter critical clinical phases in the coming years [4]. - The company is actively expanding into skin and kidney autoimmune diseases, with several candidates already in Phase III clinical trials [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is HKD 52.02 billion, HKD 54.80 billion, and HKD 57.27 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS of HKD 0.88, HKD 0.92, and HKD 0.96 [5]. - The company’s SOTP valuation is estimated at HKD 2529.44 billion, with innovative drugs valued at HKD 2483.38 billion and generics at HKD 46.06 billion [5][12].

Investment Rating - Initiate with OUTPERFORM rating [1][2] Core Views - Hansoh Pharma is a leading innovative pharmaceutical company in China, focusing on oncology, anti-infection, central nervous system diseases, metabolic diseases, and autoimmune diseases, with a robust pipeline of over 30 clinical-stage innovative drug projects and 50 ongoing clinical studies [3][9] - The company has seen a significant increase in innovative drug revenue, projected to exceed 10 billion RMB in 2025, accounting for over 80% of total revenue [3][17] - The oncology segment is a key growth driver, with revenue expected to reach 8.12 billion RMB in 2024, representing 66% of total revenue [27] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Established in 1995, Hansoh Pharma has over 30 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry, with a focus on R&D, production, and commercialization [9][10] - The company has a strong global management team with extensive industry experience [13][14] 2. Oncology Segment - The oncology segment is well-established, with a comprehensive product system covering various disease types and treatment stages [4][27] - The core product, Amivantamab, has gained significant market share and is expected to continue driving growth [27][29] 3. Innovative Drug Pipeline - The company has a diverse pipeline with over 40 innovative drug candidates across various therapeutic areas, including ADCs and dual antibodies [20][24] - Recent collaborations with multinational corporations have strengthened the company's R&D capabilities and expanded its pipeline [5][25] 4. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for FY25-27 are 13.76 billion RMB, 14.86 billion RMB, and 16.5 billion RMB, respectively, with net profits of 4.62 billion RMB, 4.69 billion RMB, and 5.2 billion RMB [6][17] - The company has increased its R&D investment significantly, with a projected R&D expense ratio of 22% in 2024 [15][17] 5. Market Position and Strategy - Hansoh Pharma is positioned as a leading player in the Chinese pharmaceutical market, with a focus on innovative drug development and international expansion [3][9] - The company aims to leverage its strong R&D capabilities and strategic partnerships to enhance its market presence and drive future growth [5][20]

Group 1 - The report highlights the impact of trade tensions between the US and China, noting that after the US initiated tariff threats in March 2018, multiple high-level talks occurred, but the US frequently changed its stance, leading to a breakdown in negotiations and escalation of conflicts [2][29] - China's trade surplus has been increasing since 2020, with a projected total trade surplus of $1,105.3 billion by April 2025, compared to an average of $385.1 billion from 2018 to 2019 [2][29] - The report suggests that the domestic industrial production index is recovering, with specific sectors like methanol and polyester filament showing improvement, while others like Shandong refining and tires are declining [2][29] Group 2 - The report discusses the Chinese government's comprehensive financial policies aimed at stabilizing the market and expectations, including initiatives to boost the digital economy, with a target for the core digital economy to account for over 10% of GDP by 2025 [3] - The development of multimodal large models in technology is emphasized, with companies like ByteDance and Alibaba making significant advancements in AI capabilities [3] - The report indicates that the self-sufficiency strategy remains a long-term focus, driven by national policies and the need for domestic supply chain resilience, particularly in sectors heavily reliant on imports from the US [4][6] Group 3 - The report identifies key investment opportunities in sectors with low valuations, particularly in defense, pharmaceuticals, and electronics, while suggesting a focus on the rhythm of industry development [6] - The report notes that the semiconductor industry is expected to see continued growth, driven by advancements in AI and the release of new products, particularly in the context of AI glasses and storage solutions [21][22] - The report highlights the performance of the REITs market, with a focus on infrastructure projects and the increasing activity in the sector, indicating a positive outlook for future growth [32]