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可控核聚变产业加速发展 商业化前景备受期待
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-10-20 13:07
努曼陀罗商业战略咨询创始人霍虹屹在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,中国的聚变产业已经从"科 研领先"进入"工程落地"的加速发展阶段,其中两个信号尤其关键,第一是全球首个国际原子能机构聚 变能研究与培训协作中心正式在成都揭牌,连同IAEA在成都发布《世界聚变展望》,把人才、规则与 国际协作的"入口"放在了中国,这意味着我国在未来标准共建与项目组织上的话语权正在上升;第二是 国内工程装置的节奏显著提速。从产业发展来看,"战略刚需、工程进展、供应链优势"三重利好因素将 持续助力我国可控核聚变产业持续向好。 在A股市场上,西部超导材料科技股份有限公司、江苏永鼎股份有限公司、江西联创光电科技股份有限 公司等多家上市公司已参与到可控核聚变产业链的相关环节,可控核聚变产业的商业化前景及其为相关 企业带来的发展机遇,受到市场多方关注和期待。 近日,全球首个国际原子能机构(IAEA)聚变能研究与培训协作中心落地四川省成都市,标志着中国 在聚变能源领域的国际地位与影响力显著跃升。国家原子能机构相关负责人表示,中国高度重视聚变能 发展,已建成多个大科学装置,正积极推进产学研深度融合与国际合作。 2025年以来,我国可控核聚变产业的 ...
机械设备:美股Oklo持续大涨,SMR或比聚变更早落地,成为满足AI能源需求的关键解决方案
Huafu Securities· 2025-10-11 13:15
行 华福证券 AI 的尽头是算力,算力的尽头是电力,这已成为科技行业的共识。 根据中国信通院,2024 年我国数据中心用电量达到 1660 亿千瓦时,占 全社会用电量比例达到 1.68%,又根据华为近日发布的《智能世界 2035》报告预测,2035 年全社会的算力总量将增长 10 万倍,则彼时我 国数据中心用电量占比或将大幅增加,对电力的需求也有望急剧增长。 SMR 具有科学固有安全,重视国内领先布局企业 机械设备 2025 年 10 月 11 日 业 研 究 机械设备 美股 Oklo 持续大涨,SMR 或比聚变更早落地,成为满 足 AI 能源需求的关键解决方案 投资要点: Oklo 持续大涨,SMR 有望加速落地 行 业 定 期 报 告 美股 Oklo 9 月上涨 51.59%,10 月份截止目前的 8 个交易日上涨 31.83%。美国 Oklo 公司是小型模块化反应堆(Small Modular Reactor, SMR)领域的积极参与者,Open AI 首席执行官 Sam Altman 曾担任公 司 CEO,其曾表示"裂变是满足人工智能日益增长的能源需求的关键 解决方案"。科技巨头正联合 SMR 及核聚 ...
美股 Oklo 大涨,AI 算力建设或驱动全球 SMR 加速发展,重视国内领先布局企业
Huafu Securities· 2025-09-20 14:12
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [7][16] Core Insights - Oklo, a key player in the Small Modular Reactor (SMR) sector, saw a significant stock increase of 63.5% over the week, driven by a surge in investment interest in SMR technology [3][4] - The demand for energy is expected to rise dramatically, with projections indicating that by 2035, the total computing power in society may increase by 100,000 times, leading to a substantial rise in electricity consumption from data centers [4] - SMRs are characterized by their inherent safety, lower investment requirements, rapid returns, flexible deployment, and wide application scenarios, making them a promising energy solution for the growing needs of data centers and AI [5] Summary by Sections Investment Opportunities - Companies to watch include: 1. Jingye Intelligent: Collaborating with Zhejiang University on micro-reactor/SMR technology, showing significant growth potential in the context of global AI demand and energy transition [5] 2. Jiadian Co.: Leading in the nuclear power sector with its helium fan as the only power device for the fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactor [5] 3. Guoguang Electric: Key components for the ITER project [5] 4. Lanshi Heavy Industry: Covers upstream nuclear fuel systems, midstream nuclear power plant equipment, and downstream spent fuel processing [5] 5. Kexin Electromechanical: Producing high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products and replacing imports with new fuel transport containers [5] 6. Hailu Heavy Industry: Services for various reactor types including third and fourth generation reactors [5] 7. Jiangsu Shentong: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade valves in new nuclear power projects [5]
美能源部公布首批核反应堆试点计划名单,谷歌与凯罗斯电力选定田纳西州建先进核电站
Huafu Securities· 2025-08-24 11:02
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% over the next 6 months [13]. Core Insights - The U.S. Department of Energy has announced the first batch of companies selected for the nuclear reactor pilot program, marking the official start of the competition to achieve operational test reactors by July 2026 [3][4]. - The pilot program aims to authorize the construction and testing of at least three experimental reactors by July 2026, creating a new pathway for advanced reactor development outside of U.S. national laboratories [3]. - Google and Kairos Power have chosen Tennessee as the site for an advanced nuclear power plant, which is expected to supply power to Google's data centers by 2030, driven by the increasing energy demands of generative AI [4][5]. - Nuclear power is highlighted as a crucial force in promoting green energy transition due to its clean, safe, and efficient characteristics, with annual utilization hours exceeding 7000 hours, making it the most efficient energy source [5]. Company Summaries - **Jingye Intelligent**: Collaborating with Zhejiang University to establish a micro-reactor/SMR technology R&D center, showcasing significant development potential in the context of global AI demand and energy transition [5]. - **Jia Electric**: The main helium fan is the only power device for the fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactor, with its subsidiary Ha Electric's nuclear main pump products leading in the nuclear power business segment [5]. - **Guoguang Electric**: The company's filter and cladding systems are key components of the ITER project [5]. - **Lanshi Heavy Industry**: Covers upstream nuclear fuel systems, midstream nuclear power plant equipment, and downstream spent fuel processing [5]. - **Kexin Electromechanical**: Produced high-temperature gas-cooled reactor nuclear power products, with new fuel transport containers replacing imports [5]. - **Hailu Heavy Industry**: Services include third and fourth-generation reactors as well as thermonuclear fusion reactors (ITER) [5]. - **Jiangsu Shentong**: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly valves and nuclear-grade ball valves for new nuclear power projects in China [5].
全国上半年核电运行情况出炉,整体运行稳健
Huafu Securities· 2025-08-04 10:02
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [6][13]. Core Insights - The nuclear power sector in China is showing robust performance, with a total of 58 operational nuclear units and an installed capacity of 61,007.74 MWe as of June 30, 2025. The cumulative electricity generation from nuclear power reached 230.086 billion kWh, accounting for 5.08% of the national electricity generation, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.06% [3][4]. - The safety standards are being met, with no significant operational incidents reported in the first half of 2025. Environmental monitoring shows no abnormalities, and several key projects have made significant progress, enhancing nuclear technology development [4][5]. - Nuclear power is recognized as a crucial force in promoting the green energy transition due to its clean, safe, and efficient characteristics. It has the highest annual utilization hours among all power sources, consistently exceeding 7,000 hours, and does not emit harmful pollutants during production [5]. Summary by Sections Operational Performance - As of June 30, 2025, China has 58 operational nuclear power units with a total installed capacity of 61,007.74 MWe. In the first half of 2025, one new unit was commissioned, and the cumulative electricity generation was 230.086 billion kWh, marking an 8.06% increase year-on-year [3]. - The average utilization hours for nuclear power units were recorded at 3,868.71 hours, with a capacity factor of 92.46% [3]. Safety and Project Development - No INES Level 1 or higher incidents occurred in the first half of 2025, and radioactive emissions were below regulatory limits. Significant advancements were made in various nuclear projects, including the completion of hot testing for the Zhangzhou Nuclear Power Unit 2 and the installation of the main pump for Hainan's "Linglong No. 1" [4]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on several companies within the nuclear sector, including: 1. Jiadian Co., which leads in helium fan technology for fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactors [5]. 2. Guoguang Electric, a key supplier for the ITER project [5]. 3. Lanshi Heavy Industry, which covers the entire nuclear fuel cycle [5]. 4. Kexin Electromechanical, which has developed high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products [5]. 5. Hailu Heavy Industry, servicing various reactor types including third and fourth generation [5]. 6. Jiangsu Shentong, which has secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade valves in new nuclear projects [5]. 7. Xianheng International, whose products are used in the operation and maintenance of nuclear power [5].
我国首台第四代商用快堆初步设计完成,核能发展迈关键一步
Huafu Securities· 2025-07-27 05:42
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [12]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant advancement in China's nuclear energy strategy with the completion of the preliminary design of the CFR1000, the first fourth-generation commercial fast reactor, which is crucial for energy security and sustainable development [3]. - Nuclear power is emphasized as a key player in promoting green energy transition due to its high efficiency, safety, and minimal land use, with annual utilization hours exceeding 7000, making it the cleanest energy source [5]. - The report outlines a collaborative effort involving various stakeholders, including government officials and experts, to enhance the fast reactor industry and its technology development [4]. Company Summaries - **Jia Dian Co., Ltd.**: Focuses on helium fans, the only power equipment for the fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactor, and leads in nuclear pump products [5]. - **Guoguang Electric**: Supplies critical components for the ITER project, enhancing its position in the nuclear energy sector [5]. - **Lanshi Heavy Industry**: Engages in the entire nuclear energy supply chain, from upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [5]. - **Kexin Electromechanical**: Produces high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products and has developed domestic alternatives for new fuel transport containers [5]. - **Hailu Heavy Industry**: Provides services for various reactor types, including third and fourth-generation reactors and fusion reactors [5]. - **Jiangsu Shentong**: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly and ball valves in new nuclear power projects [5]. - **Xianheng International**: Supplies products for the operation and maintenance of nuclear power facilities [5].
民营企业核聚变研究获突破,新奥聚变装置创重要进展
Huafu Securities· 2025-04-27 06:35
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - The recent breakthrough in the "Xuanlong-50U" spherical toroidal hydrogen-boron fusion device by Xin'ao Energy Research Institute marks the first successful achievement of a plasma current discharge of 1 million amperes, establishing a foundation for the commercialization of hydrogen-boron fusion [3][4]. - Nuclear power is recognized as a crucial force in promoting the green transition of energy due to its cleanliness, safety, efficiency, and minimal land use, with annual utilization hours exceeding 7000 hours, the highest among all power sources [5]. Summary by Sections Breakthroughs and Developments - The "Xuanlong-50U" device underwent an upgrade in 2023, achieving its first plasma discharge on January 24, 2024, and exceeding expected plasma current indicators on August 15, 2024. The focus for 2025 will be on high-parameter hydrogen-boron plasma discharge research [4]. Investment Opportunities - Recommended companies for investment include: 1. **Jia Dian Co., Ltd.**: Leading in nuclear main pumps and helium fans for fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactors [5]. 2. **Guoguang Electric**: Key components for the ITER project [5]. 3. **Lanshi Heavy Industry**: Covers upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [5]. 4. **Kexin Electromechanical**: Producing high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products and replacing imports [5]. 5. **Hailu Heavy Industry**: Services for third and fourth-generation reactors and thermal nuclear fusion reactors (ITER) [5]. 6. **Jiangsu Shentong**: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade valves in new nuclear power projects [5]. 7. **Xianheng International**: Products applied in the operation and maintenance of nuclear energy [5].
机械设备:2024年全球核电装机容量小幅增加,哈萨克斯坦确定首座核电站建设选址
Huafu Securities· 2025-03-02 07:17
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [6][13]. Core Insights - In 2024, global nuclear power installed capacity is expected to see a slight increase, with 440 operational nuclear reactors and a total capacity of approximately 399 million kilowatts, up from 437 reactors and 393 million kilowatts in 2023 [3]. - Kazakhstan has officially designated the construction site for its first nuclear power plant in the Almaty region, marking a significant step in the country's nuclear energy development [4]. - Nuclear power is recognized for its clean, safe, and efficient characteristics, making it a crucial force in promoting energy transition and addressing global climate change [5]. Summary by Sections Global Nuclear Power Capacity - As of December 31, 2024, there will be 31 countries utilizing nuclear energy, with a total of 440 operational reactors and an installed capacity of about 399 million kilowatts, reflecting a slight increase from the previous year [3]. Kazakhstan's Nuclear Development - The decision to establish Kazakhstan's first nuclear power plant in the Almaty region is based on the country's legal framework for the peaceful use of atomic energy, indicating a commitment to developing its nuclear energy sector [4]. Nuclear Power's Role in Energy Transition - Nuclear power plants maintain an annual utilization rate of over 7000 hours, the highest among all energy sources, and do not emit harmful pollutants, positioning nuclear energy as a key player in the global shift towards greener energy solutions [5]. - The report highlights potential future applications of nuclear energy in desalination, hydrogen production, and medical protection, emphasizing its expanding role beyond electricity generation [5]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests several companies to watch, including: 1. Jiadian Co., which leads in high-temperature gas-cooled reactor power equipment [5]. 2. Guoguang Electric, a key supplier for the ITER project [5]. 3. Lanshi Heavy Industry, covering the entire nuclear fuel cycle [5]. 4. Kexin Electromechanical, which has developed domestic alternatives for nuclear fuel transport [5]. 5. Haili Heavy Industry, servicing various reactor types [5]. 6. Jiangsu Shentong, securing over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade valves in new projects [5]. 7. Xianheng International, involved in the operation and maintenance of nuclear power [5].