行 华福证券 机械设备 2026 年 02 月 08 日 业 研 究 机械设备 全球核电发展提速，装机目标或超三倍核能愿景 投资要点： 世界核协会最新报告显示全球核电装机目标远超预期 行 业 定 期 报 告 世界核协会最新报告显示，若各国落实核电开发目标，2050 年全 球核电装机容量有望达 1446GWe，远超三倍核能宣言的 1200GWe 目 标。目前全球有 440 台在运核电机组，70 台在建，2024 年核能发电量 创历史新高，多国也已承诺支持三倍装机目标。报告测算不同阶段核 电增长动力各有不同，2030 年前靠在建机组，2035 年前靠规划项目， 2035 年后则由拟建、潜在项目及政府计划支撑，同时各国还有约 542GWe 无具体项目支撑的装机目标，政策保障力度也存在差异。 明确装机需求，多方协同推动目标落地 报告明确了 2026 至 2050 年各阶段核电年均装机需求，其中 2046 到 2050 年每年需装机 65.3GWe，约为核电建设历史峰值速度的两倍。 为实现目标，WNA 提出多项建议，各国政府需将核电纳入长期规划、 制定可行产业战略、支持核电机组延寿并完善相关机制，金融机构要 实施技术中 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "stronger than the market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [13]. Core Insights - Major technology and new energy companies are entering the nuclear power sector, creating a diversified new landscape for nuclear energy in China. Companies like Alibaba and Geely are investing in coastal nuclear power projects, focusing on stable energy to support computing power demands [3][4]. - The policy environment is increasingly favorable for private investment in nuclear power, with the proportion of private capital expected to rise to 10% by 2024. This trend is supported by the integration of AI and nuclear energy, which is anticipated to deepen as the demand for computing power grows [4]. - Small Modular Reactors (SMR) are highlighted as a key solution to meet the energy demands of AI, with significant interest from technology giants. Companies are developing tailored energy solutions for data centers using SMR technology [5]. Company Summaries - **Jingye Intelligent**: Plans to establish a subsidiary focused on SMR technology for AI data center power supply [6]. - **Jia Electric**: Its main helium fan is the only power device for the fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactor's primary circuit, leading in the nuclear power business segment [6]. - **Guoguang Electric**: Provides critical components for the ITER project, focusing on filter and cladding systems [6]. - **Lanshi Heavy Industry**: Covers the entire nuclear energy supply chain from upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [6]. - **Kexin Electromechanical**: Produces high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products and has developed domestic alternatives for new fuel transport containers [6]. - **Hailu Heavy Industry**: Services various reactor types, including third and fourth-generation reactors and fusion reactors [6]. - **Jiangsu Shentong**: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly valves and ball valves for new nuclear power projects in China [6].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% over the next 6 months [15]. Core Insights - Rolls-Royce SMR collaborates with Skanska to advance the prototype development of seismic bearings, which will be installed beneath the reactor building to ensure structural safety and functional integrity. This project aims to validate seismic technology and modular construction methods, thereby reducing the risks associated with fleet deployment. The 470 MW small modular reactor (SMR) has 90% of its components prefabricated in factories, and the standardized seismic bearing design has passed multiple seismic profile pre-certifications, allowing for global deployment without the need for customized redesigns [4]. - X-energy has signed a ten-year framework agreement with SGL Carbon to secure the supply of graphite materials necessary for the deployment of the Xe-100 small modular reactor. This agreement covers component support for the first four-unit project at the Seadrift site in Texas and capacity reservation for 12 units in Washington state. The Xe-100 is based on high-temperature gas-cooled reactor technology, with graphite being a critical component [5]. - The small modular reactor (SMR) is seen as a key solution to meet the growing energy demands of artificial intelligence (AI). Tech giants are collaborating with SMR and nuclear fusion companies to create tailored energy solutions for data centers. The commercialization of fission is expected to occur earlier than fusion. Domestic company Jingye Intelligent is advancing its key technology development for SMR, with a clear technical route and an initial core R&D team established [6]. Company Summaries - Jingye Intelligent plans to establish a subsidiary, Jinghan Energy, focusing on power supply for AI data centers [6]. - Jiadian Co., Ltd. produces the main helium fan, which is the only power device in the primary circuit of fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactors, and its subsidiary, Harbin Electric Machinery, leads in nuclear main pump products within the nuclear power business segment [6]. - Guoguang Electric's filter and cladding systems are key components of the ITER project [6]. - Lansi Heavy Industry covers upstream nuclear fuel systems, midstream nuclear power plant equipment, and downstream spent fuel reprocessing [6]. - Kexin Electromechanical has manufactured high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products, achieving import substitution for new fuel transport containers [6]. - Haili Heavy Industry services third and fourth-generation reactors as well as thermonuclear fusion reactors (ITER) [6]. - Jiangsu Shentong has secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly valves and nuclear-grade ball valves for newly constructed nuclear power projects in China [6].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - Meta has signed a nuclear power agreement exceeding 6 GW, becoming the largest nuclear power purchaser among large tech companies. The agreement includes significant small modular reactor (SMR) projects, supporting Oklo's project in Ohio with up to 1.2 GW of power and TerraPower's two small reactors with a future purchase agreement for 2.1 GW [3][4]. - The demand for electricity in U.S. data centers is projected to increase by at least 30% by 2030, making electricity a bottleneck for AI industry development. Nuclear power, being clean and stable, provides long-term energy security for Meta's AI data centers, promoting the implementation of new small reactor technologies and aligning with low-carbon goals [4][5]. Summary by Sections Nuclear Power Agreements - Meta's agreements include collaborations with Oklo and TerraPower, focusing on small modular reactors to meet the growing energy demands of AI data centers [3][4]. Energy Demand and AI - The report highlights the increasing electricity consumption in data centers and positions small modular reactors as a key solution to address the energy needs of AI technologies [4][5]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests monitoring several companies involved in the SMR sector, including: 1. Jingye Intelligent, which plans to establish an SMR subsidiary focused on AI data center power supply [5]. 2. Jiadian Co., whose helium fan is the only power device for the fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactor [5]. 3. Guoguang Electric, which provides critical components for ITER projects [5]. 4. Lanshi Heavy Industry, covering upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [5]. 5. Kexin Electromechanical, which has developed high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products [5]. 6. Hailu Heavy Industry, servicing various reactor types including third and fourth generation [5]. 7. Jiangsu Shentong, which has secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade valves in new nuclear power projects in China [5].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% over the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - The year 2026 is highlighted as a pivotal year for global nuclear energy, transitioning from ambition to action, with small modular reactors (SMRs) emerging as a significant development focus. Numerous SMR projects are underway in the U.S. and Canada, with construction already started at the Darlington site in Canada [3][5]. - The nuclear power sector is witnessing steady progress in various countries, including Hungary, the Czech Republic, and Poland, as well as advancements in nuclear projects in Egypt and Rwanda. China continues to advance its nuclear power projects, showcasing strong industrial capabilities [3]. - The industry is focusing on financing and supply chain development, with increased participation from private investors. The second World Nuclear Supply Chain Conference will be held in Manila, and the operational launch of the Onkalo deep geological repository in Finland will provide a model for nuclear waste management [4]. Summary by Sections Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) - SMRs are seen as a key solution to meet the growing energy demands of artificial intelligence, attracting ongoing interest from technology giants. Companies like Jingye Intelligent are advancing their SMR technology development, with plans to establish a subsidiary focused on powering AI data centers [5][6]. Industry Events and Collaboration - The year 2026 marks significant anniversaries for the Chernobyl and Fukushima disasters, prompting the industry to learn from past experiences and enhance nuclear safety cooperation. Various industry events, including the World Economic Forum and the World Nuclear Fuel Cycle Conference, will facilitate communication with the financial sector and energy users [4]. Investment Opportunities - Several companies are recommended for attention: 1. Jingye Intelligent: Plans to establish an SMR subsidiary focused on AI data center power supply [6]. 2. Jiadian Co.: Leading position in the nuclear power sector with its helium blower product [6]. 3. Guoguang Electric: Key components for the ITER project [6]. 4. Lanshi Heavy Industry: Covers upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [6]. 5. Kexin Electromechanical: Producing high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products [6]. 6. Hailu Heavy Industry: Services various reactor types including third and fourth generation reactors [6]. 7. Jiangsu Shentong: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade valves in new nuclear power projects [6].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in global AI computing power and electricity demand, with major US tech companies deeply engaging in the nuclear energy sector through various models. Government policies are strengthening support for the collaboration between AI and nuclear energy [3]. - The report emphasizes the need for top-level design and policy support to promote the deep collaboration between nuclear energy and computing power, suggesting the establishment of demonstration projects and long-term power supply agreements [4]. - Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) are identified as a key solution to meet the growing energy demands of AI, with continuous attention from tech giants. The commercialization of fission is expected to occur before fusion [5]. Summary by Sections International and Domestic Opportunities - The international layout is making breakthroughs, while domestic exploration opportunities are becoming more prominent. Companies in China are actively engaging in forward-looking explorations, with the energy demand continuing to grow and the clean, stable characteristics of nuclear energy aligning well with computing power needs [3]. Policy and Market Expansion - To drive the deep collaboration between nuclear energy and computing power, it is essential to establish demonstration projects and provide policy support. The report suggests a collaborative model involving government, state-owned enterprises, and private enterprises to enhance international competitiveness [4]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on several companies, including: - Jingye Intelligent, which is developing SMR technology in collaboration with Zhejiang University [6]. - Jiadian Co., which leads in the nuclear power business with its helium fan products [6]. - Guoguang Electric, which provides key components for the ITER project [6]. - Lansi Heavy Industry, covering the entire nuclear energy supply chain [6]. - Kexin Electromechanical, which has developed high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products [6].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - Recent reports highlight the progress of Small Modular Reactors (SMR), with "Linglong One" setting a benchmark for global development in this sector [3][4]. - The establishment of Shanghai Junhe Atomic Technology Co., focusing on SMR and hybrid energy systems, has garnered significant attention and funding, with a successful first round of financing amounting to several tens of millions of RMB [4]. - SMR is viewed as a key solution to meet the growing energy demands of artificial intelligence, attracting ongoing interest from major technology companies [5]. Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Overview - The report emphasizes the importance of energy in the development of AI technologies, with China making significant strides in the SMR sector [3]. - The "Linglong One" reactor is highlighted as a global leader in the small modular reactor development [3]. Company Highlights - **Jingye Intelligent**: Collaborating with Zhejiang University to establish a joint R&D center for micro-reactor/SMR technology, showcasing substantial growth potential in the context of global AI demand and energy transition [5]. - **Jia Dian Co.**: Their main helium fan is the only power device in the primary loop of fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactors, positioning them as a leader in the nuclear power segment [5]. - **Guoguang Electric**: Their filter and cladding systems are critical components for the ITER project [5]. - **Lanshi Heavy Industry**: Engaged in the entire nuclear energy supply chain, from upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [5]. - **Kexin Electromechanical**: Developed high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products and achieved import substitution for new fuel transport containers [5]. - **Hailu Heavy Industry**: Provides services for third and fourth-generation reactors as well as fusion reactors [5]. - **Jiangsu Shentong**: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly valves and ball valves for new nuclear power projects in China [5].

Group 1 - The establishment of the world's first IAEA fusion energy research and training collaboration center in Chengdu, Sichuan, signifies a significant elevation of China's international status and influence in the field of fusion energy [1] - Since 2025, the development of China's controllable nuclear fusion industry has accelerated, with notable achievements such as the "dual hundred degree" operation of the "Circulation III" device and the EAST device setting a world record for maintaining 1 million degrees for 1066 seconds [1] - The formation of China Fusion Energy Co., led by China National Nuclear Corporation, aims to focus on large scientific experiments and fusion reactor materials, expanding the controllable nuclear fusion innovation consortium to 38 member units [1] Group 2 - Controlled nuclear fusion has become a key focus in the energy strategies of major countries, with multiple technological pathways advancing simultaneously [2] - The establishment of the IAEA collaboration center in Chengdu and the release of the "World Fusion Outlook" report signify China's rising influence in international collaboration and standard-setting in the fusion energy sector [2] - The combination of strategic necessity, engineering progress, and supply chain advantages is expected to continuously support the positive development of China's controllable nuclear fusion industry [2] Group 3 - Several listed companies in the A-share market, such as Western Superconducting Technologies and Jiangsu Yongding, are involved in various aspects of the controllable nuclear fusion industry chain, attracting market attention and expectations for commercial prospects [3] - Chengdu Guoguang Electric Co., a representative enterprise in the A-share controllable nuclear fusion sector, produces key components for the ITER project, indicating the company's significant role in the industry [3] - The controllable nuclear fusion sector has transitioned from "frontier exploration" to a national strategic focus, with significant breakthroughs in core technologies and increased capital inflow, suggesting a broad commercial development outlook [3]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [7][16] Core Insights - Oklo has seen significant stock price increases, with a 51.59% rise in September and a 31.83% increase in the first eight trading days of October. The company is a key player in the Small Modular Reactor (SMR) sector, which is expected to meet the growing energy demands of AI and data centers. The commercialization of fission technology may occur before fusion technology [3][4] - The consensus in the tech industry is that the future of AI is tied to computing power, which in turn relies on electricity. Projections indicate that by 2035, the total computing power in society may increase by 100,000 times, leading to a significant rise in electricity demand from data centers [4] - SMRs are characterized by their inherent safety, lower investment requirements, rapid deployment, and versatility in application. The Chinese government supports the development of advanced nuclear reactors, with ongoing projects like the "Linglong One" ACP100 expected to be completed by 2026 [5] Company Summaries - Jingye Intelligent: Collaborating with Zhejiang University to establish a joint R&D center for micro-reactor/SMR technology, showcasing significant growth potential in the context of rising AI energy demands [5] - Jiadian Co., Ltd.: The main helium fan is the only power device for the fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactor, with its subsidiary leading in nuclear pump products [5] - Guoguang Electric: The company provides key components for the ITER project, focusing on filter and cladding systems [5] - Lanshi Heavy Industry: Covers upstream nuclear fuel systems, midstream nuclear power plant equipment, and downstream spent fuel processing [5] - Kexin Electromechanical: Produces high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products and has developed new fuel transport containers to replace imports [5] - Hailu Heavy Industry: Services various reactor types, including third and fourth-generation reactors and fusion reactors (ITER) [5] - Jiangsu Shentong: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly valves and ball valves for new nuclear power projects in China [5]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [7][16] Core Insights - Oklo, a key player in the Small Modular Reactor (SMR) sector, saw a significant stock increase of 63.5% over the week, driven by a surge in investment interest in SMR technology [3][4] - The demand for energy is expected to rise dramatically, with projections indicating that by 2035, the total computing power in society may increase by 100,000 times, leading to a substantial rise in electricity consumption from data centers [4] - SMRs are characterized by their inherent safety, lower investment requirements, rapid returns, flexible deployment, and wide application scenarios, making them a promising energy solution for the growing needs of data centers and AI [5] Summary by Sections Investment Opportunities - Companies to watch include: 1. Jingye Intelligent: Collaborating with Zhejiang University on micro-reactor/SMR technology, showing significant growth potential in the context of global AI demand and energy transition [5] 2. Jiadian Co.: Leading in the nuclear power sector with its helium fan as the only power device for the fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactor [5] 3. Guoguang Electric: Key components for the ITER project [5] 4. Lanshi Heavy Industry: Covers upstream nuclear fuel systems, midstream nuclear power plant equipment, and downstream spent fuel processing [5] 5. Kexin Electromechanical: Producing high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products and replacing imports with new fuel transport containers [5] 6. Hailu Heavy Industry: Services for various reactor types including third and fourth generation reactors [5] 7. Jiangsu Shentong: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade valves in new nuclear power projects [5]