证券之星消息，根据市场公开信息及8月25日披露的机构调研信息，长盛基金近期对4家上市公司进行了 调研，相关名单如下： 1)锐捷网络（301165）(长盛基金管理有限公司参与公司业绩说明会&电话会议) 调研纪要：锐捷网络上半年数据中心产品收入增长主要来自互联网客户，占比超过90%，400G产品占 比超60%。下半年云端算力基础设施需求依旧旺盛，互联网行业基于智算的资本开支预计继续加大。2T 规格产品主要为200G+400G组合，支持大规模GPU集群互联。Scaleup网络在国内发展迅速，公司参与 高通量以太网联盟，推出面向智算场景的产品方案。上半年海外业务收入11.45亿元，同比增长48%， 主要面向SMB市场，合作伙伴数量增长到2620家。Q2交付未受影响，Q3订单多为年初框采合同，预计 新签订单增速可能下降。国内互联网大厂对国产化无明确时间表，国产12.8T芯片可以满足大部分数据 中心场景需求。公司与国产GPU厂商有产品适配和技术交流，但商业化部署需时间。上半年费用总额同 比减少，预计全年费用同比持续下降。园区网络业务受宏观经济影响明显，2024年行业整体呈现下滑趋 势，公司层面在Q2略有复苏。数据中心产品 ...

证券代码：301162 证券简称：国能日新 国能日新科技股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-011 投资者关系活动 类别 特定对象调研 □ 分析师会议 □ 媒体采访 业绩说明会 □ 新闻发布会 □ 路演活动 □ 现场参观 其他（反路演活动） 参与单位名称 详见附件清单 时间 2025 年 8 月 25 日 地点 电话会议 上市公司接待 人员姓名 董事会秘书 赵楠女士 财务总监 啜美娜女士 证券事务代表 池雨坤先生 投资者关系活动 主要内容介绍 关于 2025 年半年度报告整体情况介绍 报告期内，公司坚持技术创新和产品研发，不断提升以功率预测产 品为核心的主营业务产品能力及服务水平，稳固领先市场地位。受益于 新能源整体装机规模快速增长及分布式"四可"管理要求带来的新增市 场机会等积极因素影响，公司主要产品的市场景气度较高。2025 年上 半年，公司实现营业收入 3.21 亿元，同比增长 43.15%；实现归属于上 市公司股东的净利润 4,597.32 万元，同比增长 32.48%,；归属于上市公 司股东的扣非净利润 4,348.46 万元，同比增长 53.52%。公司业务主要 经营成果如下： 1 ...

公司研究 功率预测服务电站规模快速增长，拟每 10 股派发现金红利 2.30 元 ——国能日新（301162.SZ）2025 年中报点评 要点 2025 年 8 月 25 日 事件：公司发布 2025 年中报，2025H1 实现营业收入 3.21 亿元，同比+43.15%， 实现归母净利润 0.46 亿元，同比+32.48%；2025Q2 实现营业收入 1.76 亿元，同 比+45.74%，实现归母净利润 0.29 亿元，同比+31.32%，环比+76.82%。 功率预测服务电站规模快速增长，持续保持行业领先。截至 2025H1 末公司功率预 测服务的电站数量增加至 5461 家，细分行业市占率保持行业领先，2025H1 公司 服务电站规模较 2024 年末净增加 1116 家（远超往年历史同期水平），且始终保 持优异的客户续费率，带动功率预测产品实现营业收入 2.05 亿元，同比增长 55.14%，毛利率同比减少 11.91 个 pct 至 61.58%，主要原因系低毛利率的功率预 测设备收入占比提升所致。 分布式"四可"要求陆续落地，公司分布式融合终端产品优化推广顺利。在新能源 集中式电站领域公司传统并网 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: Guoneng Rixin - **Industry**: New Energy, specifically focusing on power prediction and electricity trading systems Key Points and Arguments 1. **Demand for Power Prediction**: The issuance of Document No. 136 mandates that all new energy electricity must enter the power market, significantly increasing the demand for power prediction accuracy and driving the need for power prediction and electricity trading products at the power station level [2][4] 2. **Distributed Photovoltaic "Four Capabilities" Transformation**: Various provinces are implementing policies requiring existing distributed photovoltaic systems to complete the "Four Capabilities" transformation, which will enhance the company's power prediction business [2][14] 3. **Deepening Market Reform**: By 2024, the proportion of market-based electricity transactions is expected to reach 62.72%, with a notable increase in non-long-term trading volumes, benefiting the company's electricity trading decision support systems [2][4] 4. **Market Share and Customer Retention**: The company leads the new energy power prediction market with an average market share of approximately 20% in 2019, serving 4,345 new energy stations, and maintaining a renewal rate of over 95% for its power prediction services [2][19] 5. **Technological Advantages**: The company has demonstrated high power prediction accuracy, ranking among the top in national assessments, particularly excelling in wind power prediction [2][19] Additional Important Content 1. **Revenue and Profit Trends**: The company's revenue has steadily increased from 151 million in 2018 to 550 million in 2024, with a net profit of 94 million in 2024, reflecting a net profit margin increase from 13.62% in 2018 to 17.21% in 2024 [7] 2. **Future Revenue Projections**: Expected revenues for 2025 to 2027 are projected to be 702 million, 915 million, and 1.2 billion respectively, with net profits of 129 million, 177 million, and 230 million [4][31] 3. **Regulatory Requirements for Power Prediction**: The national regulatory framework has established specific accuracy and reporting requirements for power prediction in wind and solar energy, emphasizing the need for improved reliability in energy supply [11] 4. **Distributed Photovoltaic Growth**: From 2016 to 2024, distributed photovoltaic capacity in China has grown at a compound annual growth rate of 56.68%, with significant increases in new installations [12] 5. **Challenges in Grid Integration**: Many regions are facing limitations in grid capacity for distributed photovoltaic systems, leading to a slowdown in new installations [13] 6. **Investment in Integrated Energy Solutions**: The company is investing 750 million to enhance its integrated energy solutions, with 43 projects already implemented and over 100 in negotiation [20] 7. **Model Development**: The company has released and upgraded its "Kuangming" model, which significantly improves the accuracy of power predictions for wind and solar energy [21][22] 8. **Risks**: Key risks include rapid growth in accounts receivable, potential delays in policy implementation affecting market transactions, and increased competition impacting profitability [36] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, highlighting the company's strategic positioning within the new energy sector and its proactive measures to adapt to regulatory changes and market demands.

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **electric power industry**, specifically focusing on the **integration of renewable energy** into the market and its implications for power trading and forecasting services [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Renewable Energy Market Entry**: The entry of renewable energy into the power market is expected to be a significant change starting June 11, 2025, as mandated by the National Development and Reform Commission. This is viewed as a favorable time for market reform due to current supply conditions [2]. - **Investment Logic Shift**: With the entry of renewable energy, the pace of new installations is anticipated to slow down, shifting investment focus from new installations to the operation of existing capacity. Opportunities may arise in niche markets and barriers in power market operations [3]. - **Power Forecasting Importance**: The importance of power forecasting will transition from being policy-driven to value-driven, expanding the customer base to include various market participants. Higher forecasting accuracy is expected to enhance market share for leading suppliers [4]. - **Electricity Price Forecasting**: Electricity price forecasting will rely on supply-demand balance, with power forecasting services expanding from individual power plants to provincial levels, catering to a broader range of market participants [5]. - **Market Structure Changes**: The structure of trading is expected to evolve, with a significant increase in short-term trading as the market becomes more flexible and responsive to actual supply and demand [7]. Additional Important Content - **Market Volatility**: The entry of renewable energy is likely to increase price volatility in the electricity market, which will drive demand for regional power forecasting products [8]. - **Future Market Growth**: The power forecasting market is projected to grow significantly, with demand potentially reaching ten times the size of 2024 by 2030. This growth is driven by both centralized and distributed generation policies [9][10]. - **Current Market Landscape**: The current power forecasting market is valued at around 1 billion, with a stable competitive landscape dominated by a few key players. Technological advancements are being made to improve forecasting accuracy [11]. - **Data Advantages**: Power forecasting service providers have advantages in data acquisition, particularly through local data collection, which enhances forecasting precision [12]. - **AI in Meteorology**: The application of AI in meteorology is expected to improve weather forecasting accuracy, which is crucial for power forecasting in the context of renewable energy integration [13]. - **Role of SMEs**: Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) are becoming increasingly active in the market due to favorable pricing, and they are expected to transition from simple electricity purchasing to more integrated service offerings [14]. - **Investment Directions**: Key investment areas include the expansion of the renewable power forecasting niche market and the operational aspects involving SMEs and distributed energy resources [19][20]. - **Risks in Market Promotion**: Potential risks include policy implementation delays, increased competition, and uncertainties regarding future company performance, which could affect the overall development pace of the market [21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 52.92 CNY based on a 42x P/E ratio for 2025 [2][4][9]. Core Insights - The company is expected to accelerate growth starting from Q1 2025, with a projected revenue of 550 million CNY for 2024, representing a 20.5% year-over-year increase, and a net profit of 93.59 million CNY, growing by 11.1% [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue increase of 40.1% to 145 million CNY, with a net profit of 16.61 million CNY, up 34.6% [1]. - The growth in revenue is driven by the distributed power station business and effective cost control measures [2][8]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 456 million CNY in 2023 to 1.376 billion CNY by 2027, with respective year-over-year growth rates of 26.9%, 20.5%, 38.0%, 48.4%, and 22.2% [3][12]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 84 million CNY in 2023 to 305 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 25.6%, 11.1%, 61.5%, 57.7%, and 27.9% [3][12]. - The gross margin is forecasted to decline slightly from 67.6% in 2023 to 57.7% in 2027, while the net margin is expected to improve from 18.5% to 22.2% over the same period [3][12]. Business Segment Performance - In 2024, the company anticipates revenue from various business segments, including 310 million CNY from power prediction products (+15.6%), 124 million CNY from grid control systems (+28.1%), and 52.49 million CNY from new energy management systems (+17.8%) [8]. - The Q1 2025 revenue growth is significantly influenced by the rapid increase in income from distributed photovoltaic power station power prediction products [8]. Market Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from favorable policies and the growing demand for distributed photovoltaic power station services, which will likely enhance its customer base and business growth in 2025 and 2026 [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 52.92 CNY based on a 42x P/E ratio for 2025 [2][4][9]. Core Views - The company is expected to accelerate growth starting from Q1 2025, with a projected revenue of 550 million CNY for 2024, representing a 20.5% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 93.59 million CNY, up 11.1% [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows a significant revenue growth of 40.1% to 145 million CNY, with a net profit increase of 34.6% to 16.61 million CNY [1]. - The growth in distributed power station-related businesses and effective cost control have led to an upward revision of revenue growth expectations [2][9]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 456 million CNY in 2023 to 1.376 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.2% [3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 84 million CNY in 2023 to 305 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 27.9% [3]. - The gross margin is forecasted to decline slightly from 67.6% in 2023 to 57.7% in 2027, while the net margin is expected to improve from 18.5% to 22.2% over the same period [3]. Business Segment Performance - In 2024, the revenue from various business segments is expected to grow, with power prediction products reaching 310 million CNY (+15.6%), grid-connected control systems at 124 million CNY (+28.1%), and other products showing significant growth [8]. - The first quarter of 2025 indicates a notable acceleration in revenue, primarily driven by the rapid growth of distributed photovoltaic power station power prediction products [8]. Market and Policy Environment - The company is positioned to benefit from favorable policies and the increasing demand for distributed photovoltaic power station services, which are expected to drive significant growth in the coming years [8].

Group 1: Market Trends and Policies - Distributed photovoltaic (PV) capacity is expected to grow significantly, with the National Energy Administration's guidelines emphasizing the "four capabilities" management requirements for distributed energy sources [2][3] - As of Q1 2025, the company has seen a rapid increase in the number of distributed PV clients due to the new power forecasting requirements [2] - The total installed capacity of wind and solar power in China reached 74.33 million kW in Q1 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of over 20% [5] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The distributed power forecasting market is characterized by a large number of small-scale projects, with lower project prices compared to centralized clients [4] - Major comprehensive group companies show low participation interest in the distributed power forecasting market, leaving it primarily to small and medium-sized forecasting firms [4] Group 3: Future Market Expectations - The company anticipates that the total installed capacity of wind and solar power will reach approximately 200 million kW in 2025, indicating a stable expansion of the new energy market [5] - The company plans to enhance its service quality and product pricing to improve its market share in the centralized forecasting market [5] Group 4: Electricity Trading Market Outlook - The new regulations aim to promote market-oriented pricing for renewable energy, which will increase the demand for power forecasting and trading products [6][7] - The company expects the electricity trading market to become increasingly reliant on big data and artificial intelligence for efficient management and improved trading outcomes [7] - Future characteristics of the electricity trading market include a rising proportion of market-based transactions and a growing importance of renewable energy generation [7] Group 5: Corporate Actions - The company has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for the issuance of A-shares to specific investors in 2024 and will proceed with the issuance process [7]

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of approximately CNY 550 million, a year-on-year increase of 20.50% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 93.59 million, up 11.09% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, revenue reached approximately CNY 145 million, a growth of 40.14% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders in Q1 2025 was CNY 16.61 million, increasing by 34.58% [1] Business Segments Power Prediction Services - By the end of 2024, the company served 4,345 power station clients, a net increase of 755 clients, representing a growth rate of 21.03% [2] - Revenue from power prediction services in 2024 was CNY 309 million, accounting for 56.29% of total revenue, with a gross margin close to 70% [2] - Equipment revenue for power prediction was CNY 78.73 million, up 23% year-on-year [2] Smart Grid Control - The smart grid control business generated approximately CNY 124 million in revenue in 2024, a growth of 28.01%, representing 22.55% of total revenue [3] Innovative Business Development - The innovative business segment achieved revenue of CNY 30.81 million in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 24% [5] - R&D investment in 2024 totaled CNY 95.33 million, accounting for 17.34% of total revenue [5] Market Trends and Policies - In Q1 2025, the total installed capacity of wind and solar power in China increased by 74.33 million kW, a year-on-year growth of over 20% [12] - The company anticipates that the new energy sector will maintain a favorable operating environment in 2025, with an expected addition of 200 million kW of wind and solar capacity nationwide [12] Shareholder Returns - The board proposed a profit distribution plan for 2024, which includes a cash dividend of CNY 4.70 per 10 shares and a bonus share issue of 2 shares for every 10 shares held, totaling nearly CNY 47 million in cash dividends [6] Future Outlook - The company plans to enhance its product offerings in the distributed photovoltaic market, focusing on power prediction systems and integrated solutions for energy management [9][10] - The introduction of the "Kuangming" AI model is expected to improve prediction accuracy and enhance the company's market share in power prediction services [20]