2026年春节酒饮消费旺季正式收官，在经历了长达数年的调整与复苏之后，今年的酒水市场并未迎来市场期待中的全面普涨、全线飘红，反而上演了极度 分化、冷热不均的行业分化新格局。 随着商务活动回暖、消费信心逐步修复，高端白酒（800元以上）所具备的品牌价值、礼赠属性与保值功能，在今年春节再次被市场放大。 茅台批价稳步回升，终端需求持续旺盛，成为礼赠市场与商务消费的绝对主力。2026年飞天茅台散瓶批价也从年初的1500元回升至1650元，原箱价稳定在 1700元左右。 高端持续坚挺、次高端集体承压、大众酒全面爆发——三者之间的反差之大，堪称近年来春节市场之最。 以古井贡酒为例，其古5、古8在宴席和大众消费支撑下，动销仍然出现个位数下滑；古20等产品因商务宴请减少，下滑幅度更是超两成；今世缘百元价位 的淡雅、柔雅系列有所增长，而其核心次高端产品"四开"动销偏弱。 为了争夺有限的市场份额，不少次高端品牌被迫开启降价、促销、买赠等让利模式，虽然短期拉动了销量，却严重压缩了经销商利润，进一步加剧价格体 系混乱。价格倒挂、库存高企、竞争白热化，几乎成为这一价位带的集体标签。 五粮液普五批价也从760元/瓶回升至800元区间，国 ...

2026年马年春节作为假期延长后的首个春节，叠加消费市场持续回暖的利好态势，成为检验酒类产业转型成效、洞察消费趋势变革的关键窗口。中国酒业 协会结合全国多地市场调研、渠道反馈及第三方数据监测发现，马年春节酒类消费市场呈现"结构分化、理性升级、场景多元、品质为王"的鲜明特征，高 端酒稳健承压、大众酒韧性凸显、特色酒多点突破，行业正从"规模扩张"向"质效提升"稳步迈进，在团圆年味中书写高质量发展的新答卷。 一、消费核心转向：理性回归主导，品质需求凸显 马年春节，酒类消费彻底告别"盲目攀比、过度消费"的旧模式，"少喝、喝好、喝对"成为主流共识，消费者决策更趋理性，品质与性价比成为核心考量因 素，这也与行业长期"由规模向质量的转型方向高度契合。 从消费行为来看，消费者主权时代特征愈发明显，开瓶率取代渠道库存成为衡量品牌健康度的核心指标，头部酒企纷纷通过精准投放、扫码促销等措施， 将资源集中于促进终端开瓶，推动行业增长引擎切换至真实消费。调研显示，春节期间多数消费者饮酒频次较往年有所减少，但对酒体品质、酿造工艺的 关注度显著提升。 价格带表现呈现清晰的"两极稳健、中端承压"格局：100元以下光瓶酒、口粮酒销量同比增长； ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor market, particularly the white liquor segment, is experiencing a significant downturn during the traditional peak sales season around the Spring Festival, with sales expected to decline over 10% compared to last year, indicating a challenging outlook for 2026 [2][3] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The sales peak for the Spring Festival has been notably shortened to about two weeks, compared to a month in previous years, disrupting the usual consumption rhythm [4] - Three main factors contributing to the market cooling include decreased consumer purchasing power, the lingering effects of alcohol bans leading to reduced consumption in social settings, and the impact of e-commerce promotions reducing foot traffic in physical stores [4][5] - The cautious approach of distributors, who are hesitant to stock up due to fears of excess inventory, reflects a broader lack of confidence in the market [4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The decline in sales has intensified competition, leading to thinner profit margins, with many distributors resorting to price cuts to attract customers [5] - The market is showing a structural divide, with products priced between 80-200 yuan and those above 800 yuan performing well, while the mid-range segment (300-600 yuan) is facing significant declines [6][7] - Moutai remains a standout performer, with sales growth exceeding 30%, particularly in online channels, while other premium brands like Wuliangye and Guojiao 1573 are also benefiting from Moutai's success [7] Group 3: Consumer Behavior and Trends - The 300-600 yuan price range, which is typically associated with business gifting and dining, has seen sales drop over 20%, highlighting the correlation with economic activity [8] - The current market environment is shifting focus from growth potential to survival and resilience, emphasizing the importance of brand strength, pricing health, and channel cohesion for companies to navigate through challenging times [8]