国开债券ETF

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产品定位货币ETF+,国开债券ETF(159651)历史收益稳健
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 01:41
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance and positioning of the Ping An National Development Bond ETF (159651), which is classified as a currency ETF+ with a current duration of 1.65 years and a static yield of 1.68% [1] - As of September 25, 2025, the National Development Bond ETF has a latest quote of 106.29 yuan, with a cumulative increase of 1.43% over the past year [1] - The ETF has a 100% probability of profit over a three-year holding period, with a monthly profit probability of 87.45% [1] Group 2 - The management fee for the National Development Bond ETF is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, making it the lowest among comparable funds [2] - The ETF closely tracks the China Bond - 0-3 Year National Development Bank Bond Index, which includes policy bank bonds with a maturity of up to three years [2] - The tracking error for the ETF over the past month is 0.012%, indicating the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [2]
万亿基石,稳健之选——投资国开债券ETF(159651)获取稳健收益
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 01:50
Group 1 - The central bank has conducted a 600 billion MLF operation today, resulting in a net injection of 300 billion, indicating a continued loose liquidity environment [1][2][3] - The average yield of medium to long-term pure bond funds since the beginning of the year is only 0.29%, marking one of the worst years for bond investments [1] - The macro leverage ratio of China's non-financial sector reached 292.2% in Q1 2025, significantly higher than the average of developed economies at 252% [1] Group 2 - Jiangxi province has issued various local government bonds with different maturities and interest rates, including a 5-year bond at 1.80% and a 30-year bond at 2.46% [2] - The central bank has been increasing MLF operations for seven consecutive months, with expectations that market interest rates will not rise significantly in the fourth quarter [2][3] - The National Development Bank ETF has shown a 1.54% increase over the past year, with a trading volume of 330.73 million as of September 24, 2025 [3] Group 3 - The management fee for the National Development Bank ETF is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, which are among the lowest in comparable funds [4] - The tracking error for the National Development Bank ETF over the past month is 0.011%, indicating high tracking precision compared to similar funds [5]
风雨中,见稳健——国开债券ETF(159651),您的资产避风港
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 01:39
10年国开方面,当前250210-250215利差在1-2BP左右,在后续1月左右,250215可能继续作为主力券, 老券赔率不及主力券。另外250220-250215利差在8BP左右,这一利差偏高,250220有赔率,但流动性 不行,在投资者更看重流动性的情况下,流动性较差且有赔率的券仅建议小幅配置关注。 10年国债方面,250016-250011利差在7-8BP左右,250016续发一次后流动性相对有所提高,如果后续流 动性保持增加势头,预计250016会有切换主力券的预期,其与250011的利差也有压缩空间,届时可以逐 步关注其配置和交易价值。 30年国债方面,目前25T6比25T2高出10-11BP左右,在续发后,25T6流动性进一步提高,考虑后续还有 一次续发,预计25T6切换为下一个主力券的概率会不断提高,其交易价值较强,如果25T6成为主力 券,其较25T2利差预计在乐观情况下会压缩到3-6BP左右。另外相对活跃的25T5和230023在近期表现一 般,在其流动性没有提升预期且与活跃券利差不算太高的情况下,投资者在市场波动时偏好超长端老券 的概率较低。 机构择券思路上,从曲线静态及持有性价比来看 ...
国开债券ETF:岁月静好,亿万投资无需担忧
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 02:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights China's increasing share of RMB in global payments, which rose to 2.93% in August from 2.88% previously [1] - China's issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds is nearing 90% completion for the year, with a total issuance scale of 1.148 trillion yuan [1] - Investor feedback indicates a short-term market outlook supported by policy benefits and liquidity, with three main investment themes: technology self-sufficiency, consumption upgrades, and high-end manufacturing [1] Group 2 - The National Development Bank bond ETF (159651) showed an increase of 0.02% as of September 17, 2025, with a one-year cumulative increase of 1.52% [1] - The trading activity of the National Development Bank bond ETF was robust, with a turnover rate of 105.23% and a transaction volume of 542 million yuan [2] - The National Development Bank bond ETF has demonstrated strong performance metrics, including a 100% historical holding profit probability over three years [2] Group 3 - The management fee for the National Development Bank bond ETF is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, which are the lowest among comparable funds [3] - The tracking error of the National Development Bank bond ETF over the past three months is 0.014%, indicating the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [3] - The ETF closely tracks the China Development Bank bond index for bonds with a maturity of up to three years, serving as a benchmark for this type of investment [3]
持有2年胜率100%,国开债券ETF致敬抗战胜利80周年
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 01:24
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the Guokai Bond ETF (159651) has shown stable performance with a slight increase in value and strong liquidity, indicating a healthy trading environment [3][4] Group 2 - As of September 2, 2025, the Guokai Bond ETF's latest price is 106.36 yuan, with a cumulative increase of 1.69% over the past year [3] - The ETF has a trading volume of 4.59 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 88.48%, reflecting active market participation [3] - Over the past six months, the net value of the ETF has increased by 0.84% [3] - Since its inception, the ETF has experienced a maximum consecutive monthly increase of 15 months, with a maximum increase of 3.90% [3] - The ETF has a historical annual profit percentage of 100.00% and a monthly profit probability of 87.86% [3] - The maximum drawdown over the past six months is 0.12%, which is the lowest among comparable funds [3] - The management fee for the ETF is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, both of which are the lowest in its category [3] - The tracking error for the ETF over the past month is 0.014%, indicating the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [3][4]
机构择券思路多,国开债券ETF(159651)历史持有2年盈利概率为100.00%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-30 16:32
Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the investment strategy for various bonds, suggesting to avoid certain maturities for government bonds and focus on specific positions for policy bank bonds [1] - The National Development Bank bond ETF (159651) shows a recent price of 106.31 yuan, with a 1.70% increase over the past year as of August 28, 2025 [1] - The liquidity of the National Development Bank bond ETF is noted, with a turnover rate of 1.03% and a transaction volume of 5.29 million yuan on August 28, 2025 [1] Group 2 - The National Development Bank bond ETF has a maximum drawdown of 0.12% over the past six months, which is the smallest among comparable funds [2] - The management fee for the National Development Bank bond ETF is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, making it the lowest in its category [2] - The tracking error for the National Development Bank bond ETF over the past three months is 0.014%, indicating the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [2]
成交额超1000万元,国开债券ETF(159651)实现4连涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 02:06
安徽发行10年期其他专项地方债,规模17.8600亿元,发行利率2.0100%,边际倍数24.57倍,倍数预期2.01;安徽发行15年期其他专项地方债,规模47.7200 亿元,发行利率2.2700%,边际倍数13.25倍,倍数预期2.28;安徽发行20年期其他专项地方债,规模136.3500亿元,发行利率2.3200%,边际倍数80.05倍, 倍数预期2.35;安徽发行30年期其他专项地方债,规模25.2100亿元,发行利率2.3100%,边际倍数15.56倍,倍数预期2.35。数据来源:qeubee终端 辽宁发行7年期一般债地方债,规模122.2148亿元,发行利率1.9700%,边际倍数1.03倍,倍数预期1.91;辽宁发行15年期其他专项地方债,规模14.0000亿 元,发行利率2.2900%,边际倍数1.69倍,倍数预期2.30;辽宁发行30年期其他专项地方债,规模7.0800亿元,发行利率2.3300%,边际倍数1.51倍,倍数预 期2.36。数据来源:qeubee终端 费率方面,国开债券ETF管理费率为0.15%,托管费率为0.05%,费率在可比基金中最低。 跟踪精度方面,截至2025年8月26 ...
成交额超3000万元,国开债券ETF(159651)备受关注
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 01:47
Group 1 - The market experienced fluctuations in long-term bond rates due to external factors, with increased sensitivity to negative factors in wide real estate and credit policies [1] - The total scale of ETFs has grown by 1.04 trillion yuan this year, with broad-based ETFs becoming a stabilizing force in the market [1] - The broad-based ETFs, represented by the CSI 300 and CSI A500, have significantly expanded in scale due to continuous buying from long-term funds like Central Huijin [1] Group 2 - The focus of future monetary policy will be on effective implementation, maintaining a supportive stance to stabilize credit and promote domestic demand [2] - Monetary policy is expected to target three areas to boost consumption: implementing previous service consumption and pension refinancing policies, expanding financing channels for consumption entities, and enhancing policy coordination on the demand side [2] - As of August 18, 2025, the National Development Bank Bond ETF has seen a 0.10% decline, with a 1.65% increase over the past year [2] Group 3 - The National Development Bank Bond ETF had a turnover rate of 6.76% and a transaction volume of 37.27 million yuan on August 18, 2025, with an average daily transaction of 521 million yuan over the past year [3] - The ETF has recorded a 0.59% increase in net value over the past six months, with a historical profit probability of 100% over two years [3] - The maximum drawdown for the ETF in the past six months was 0.18%, the smallest among comparable funds [3] Group 4 - The management fee for the National Development Bank Bond ETF is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, which are the lowest among comparable funds [4] - The ETF closely tracks the China Bond - 0-3 Year National Development Bank Bond Index, which includes policy bank bonds with a maturity of up to three years [4] - The tracking error for the ETF over the past three months is 0.014%, the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [4]
国开债券ETF(159651)交投活跃,机构称若降息预期升温,长债或迎来阶段性反弹
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 02:04
Group 1 - The trading activity of 30-year Treasury futures has significantly declined due to dual impacts of capital migration and supply pressure, with a notable drop in trading volume since mid-July as stock markets and commodities see increased activity and risk appetite rises [1] - Analysts suggest that if stock market sentiment cools or expectations for interest rate cuts increase, long-term bonds may experience a temporary rebound, although the overall bond market is likely to remain in a volatile state due to rising local government bond supply and weak institutional buying [1] - Short-term interest rate trends indicate two possible scenarios: either rates will fluctuate weakly at high levels with opportunities for slight rebounds, or rates will continue to rise but quickly retreat [1] Group 2 - As of August 15, 2025, the National Development Bank Bond ETF (159651) has seen a slight increase of 0.02%, with a latest price of 106.33 yuan, and a cumulative increase of 1.75% over the past year [1] - The National Development Bank Bond ETF has a turnover rate of 4.67% during trading, with a transaction volume of 26.5156 million yuan, and an average daily transaction volume of 5.23 billion yuan over the past year [2] - The ETF has shown a net value increase of 0.61% over the past six months, with a historical performance of 100% profitability over two years and a maximum drawdown of 0.21% in the last six months, which is the lowest among comparable funds [2]
机构择券思路看好短利率,国开债券ETF(159651)历史持有2年盈利概率为100.00%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 02:20
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 1,385 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation at an interest rate of 1.40%, unchanged from previous rates [1] - A record high in the issuance of policy financial bonds was observed, with the Agricultural Development Bank of China and the Export-Import Bank of China issuing six new financial bonds on August 6, marking the highest single-day issuance since 2002 [1] - The Agricultural Development Bank plans to issue up to 42 billion yuan in financial bonds across four maturities, while the Export-Import Bank plans to issue up to 9 billion yuan in two maturities [1] Group 2 - As of August 5, 2025, the National Development Bank Bond ETF (159651) showed a price of 106.3 yuan, with a 1.61% increase over the past year [2] - The ETF had a trading volume of 11.68 million yuan on August 5, with an average daily trading volume of 531 million yuan over the past year [2] - The ETF has achieved a net value increase of 4.44% over the past two years, with a historical profitability rate of 100% over two years [2] Group 3 - The management fee for the National Development Bank Bond ETF is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, which are among the lowest in comparable funds [3] - The ETF closely tracks the China Bond - 0-3 Year National Development Bank Bond Index, which includes policy bank bonds with a maturity of up to three years [3]