Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing a recovery in domestic demand and favorable conditions for exports, leading to improved profitability and a positive outlook for the sector's performance [1]. Domestic Sales Performance - In January, domestic sales of major engineering machinery products showed significant growth: excavators sold 8,723 units (up 61.4% year-on-year), loaders 5,293 units (up 42.8%), and truck cranes 1,608 units (up 0.56%) [2]. - The overall strong performance in domestic sales is attributed to the impact of the Spring Festival, with expectations for continued growth driven by favorable policies in real estate and infrastructure, as well as an ongoing equipment replacement cycle [2]. Export Performance - In January, all categories of exports experienced year-on-year growth: excavators sold 9,985 units (up 40.5%), loaders 6,466 units (up 53.4%), and truck cranes 452 units (up 128%) [3]. - The positive export performance is expected to continue due to improving overseas market conditions and the deepening penetration of domestic brands in international markets, which will likely enhance their market share abroad [3]. Investment Recommendations - The company recommends focusing on investment in SANY Heavy Industry, Hengli Hydraulic, and LiuGong as key players in the engineering machinery sector [3].

据 中国工程机械工业协会对挖掘机主要制造企业统计，2026年1月销 售各类挖掘机18708台，同比增长49.5%。 | | | 2026年1月 中国挖掘机市场概况 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 国内 | 대 ロ | 合计 | | 当期销量 | 8,723 | 9.985 | 18,708 | | 去年同期 | 5.405 | 7.107 | 12,512 | | 同比涨幅 | 61.4% | 40.5% | 49.5% | | 累计销量 | 8,723 | 9.985 | 18,708 | | 去年同期 | 5.405 | 7.107 | 12,512 | | 同比涨幅 | 61.4% | | 40.5% 公众号·工程9.5%杂志 | 挖掘机 其中：国内销量8723台（含电动挖掘机24台），同比增长61.4%；出口量 9985台（含电动挖掘机11台），同比增长40.5%。 装载机 据中国工程机械工业协会对装载机主要制造企业统计，2026年1月 销售各类装载机11759台，同比增长48.5%。 | | | 2026年1月 中国装载机市场概况 | | | --- | --- ...

Core Insights - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, highlighting the ongoing recovery in the engineering machinery sector and the high demand for humanoid robots due to their participation in the 2026 Spring Festival Gala [7][70] - Key companies recommended for investment include Zoomlion Heavy Industry (000157), Hengli Hydraulic (601100), Jiechang Drive (603583), and Haomai Technology (002595), all rated as "buy" [4][70] Industry Overview Market Review - From January 4 to February 3, 2026, the CSI 300 Index rose by 0.65%, while the Shenwan Mechanical Equipment Index increased by 8.42%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 7.77 percentage points, ranking 7th among all primary industries [6][59] - As of February 3, 2026, the price-to-earnings ratio (PE, TTM) for the Shenwan Mechanical Equipment Industry was 51.18 times, with a valuation premium of 265.16% compared to the CSI 300 [6][66] Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing a sustained recovery, driven by the rollout of key projects and favorable policies for large-scale equipment upgrades. Excavator sales for 2025 are projected to reach 235,300 units, a year-on-year increase of 17% [7][70] - Domestic leading manufacturers are accelerating their expansion into overseas markets, leveraging their competitive advantages in technology and cost-effectiveness [7][70] Industrial Robots - The industrial robot sector is maintaining high demand, with 2025 projected to see a cumulative production of approximately 773,100 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 28%. In December 2025 alone, production reached 90,100 units, up 14.7% year-on-year [43][44] - The upcoming 2026 Spring Festival Gala is expected to enhance brand visibility and commercialization of humanoid robots, potentially reigniting widespread interest in the sector [7][70] Rail Transit Equipment - In 2025, the total fixed asset investment in national railways reached 901.5 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 5.98%. The cumulative production of high-speed trains for the year was 1,994 units, up 6.7% [48][53] Company Announcements - TuoSiDa announced a profit forecast for 2025, expecting a net profit of 60 million to 80 million yuan, driven by improved profitability in its industrial robot and injection molding machine segments [57] - Zhonghe Technology won a bid for the Taizhou Urban Railway S2 Line signal system procurement project, with a contract value of approximately 432.35 million yuan [57]

2026 年 02 月 01 日 行业周报 看好/维持 机械 机械 2025 年工程机械内外需全面回升，继续看好行业需求向上（20260126-20260201） (10%) 4% 18% 32% 46% 60% 25/2/5 25/4/17 25/6/27 25/9/6 25/11/16 26/1/26 机械 沪深300 ◼ 子行业评级 ◼ 推荐公司及评级 相关研究报告 证券分析师：崔文娟 电话：021-58502206 E-MAIL：cuiwj@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190520020001 ◼ 走势比较 证券分析师：张凤琳 电话： E-MAIL：zhangfl@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190523100001 报告摘要 行情回顾 行业周报 2025 年工程机械内外需全面回升，继续看好行业需求向上 P2 本期（1 月 26 日-1 月 30 日），沪深 300 上涨 0.1%，机械板块下跌 4.2%， 在所有一级行业中排名 25。细分行业看，油气装备涨幅最大，上涨 4.1%； 锂电设备跌幅最大，下跌 8.4%。 本周观点 2025 年工程机械内外需全面回升，继续看好行业需 ...

Core Insights - In 2025, Changsha's foreign trade demonstrated resilience amidst international uncertainties, achieving a total import and export value of 287.54 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.5% [2] - Changsha ranked 10th among provincial capital cities in terms of foreign trade scale, solidifying its position as a leader in Hunan's foreign trade [3] Trade Performance - The city contributed nearly 10 billion yuan to the province's foreign trade growth, increasing its share to 53.1%, up by 3.8 percentage points from the previous year [3] - The number of enterprises engaged in import and export activities reached 4,841, a 12.5% increase year-on-year, with significant contributions from private, state-owned, and foreign-invested enterprises [6] Trade Structure and Growth - Changsha maintained trade relations with over 220 countries and regions, with more than half of its trading partners experiencing growth [7] - Exports to Africa saw a historic high, with significant increases in trade with ASEAN, Latin America, and the Middle East [7] Product and Trade Model Upgrades - Changsha's exports of "new three items" (electric vehicles, lithium-ion batteries, and photovoltaic products) surged, with total export value reaching 16.3 billion yuan, a 90.9% increase [8] - Electric vehicle exports led the growth, surpassing 10 billion yuan for the first time, with a year-on-year increase of 143.2% [8] Domestic Demand and Import Growth - Changsha's imports exceeded 100 billion yuan for the first time, with notable growth in integrated circuits, rubber, machine tools, and specialty agricultural products [11] Policy and Infrastructure Support - The Huanghua Comprehensive Bonded Zone achieved national and central region "Double A" status, enhancing its competitive position [12] - Innovative customs supervision and logistics measures, including the operation of 1,037 China-Europe freight trains, have effectively reduced costs and improved efficiency for enterprises [12]

Group 1: Excavator Sales and Market Trends - In December 2025, excavator sales in China (including exports) reached 23,095 units, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, with domestic sales at 10,331 units, up 10.9% [4] - For the entire year of 2025, excavator sales (including exports) totaled 235,257 units, marking a 17.0% increase, while domestic sales were 118,518 units, up 17.9% [4] - The non-excavator construction machinery segment showed significant recovery, with loader sales up 17.6%, grader sales up 70.5%, truck crane sales up 39.1%, crawler crane sales up 95.5%, and truck-mounted crane sales up 36.7% in December 2025 [4] Group 2: Export Growth and Opportunities - In December 2025, excavator exports reached 12,764 units, a 26.9% increase, with total annual exports at 116,739 units, up 16.1% [5] - The export value of construction machinery in December 2025 was $6.42 billion, a 27.2% increase, with the total annual export value at $60.17 billion, up 13.8% [5] - Future opportunities for construction machinery exports include demand growth in Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East, as well as increased penetration in high-end markets in Europe and the U.S. [5] Group 3: Electric Loader Sales and Industry Trends - Electric loader sales in December 2025 reached 2,722 units, a significant year-on-year increase of 218.7%, with an electrification rate of 22.2%, up 13.2 percentage points [7] - For the entire year of 2025, electric loader sales totaled 29,771 units, a 165.3% increase, with an electrification rate of 23.2%, up 12.9 percentage points [7] - The central economic work conference emphasized the need for energy-saving and carbon reduction transformations in key industries, indicating that electrification will be a key development direction for the construction machinery sector [7] Group 4: Forklift Sales and Market Potential - In December 2025, total forklift sales reached 111,363 units, a slight year-on-year increase of 0.03%, with domestic sales at 63,807 units, down 5.2%, and export sales at 47,556 units, up 8.0% [8] - For the entire year of 2025, total forklift sales were 1,451,768 units, a 12.9% increase, with domestic sales at 906,812 units, up 12.6%, and export sales at 544,956 units, up 13.4% [8] - The rapid development of robotics and artificial intelligence is driving the penetration of unmanned forklifts, with projected sales of 39,000 units in 2025, a 39.3% increase, indicating significant market growth potential [8]

Macro - The risk of a government shutdown in the U.S. is considered lower than in 2025, with six departmental budgets already passed and preliminary consensus on the remaining six [5] - The Trump administration's pressure on pharmaceutical companies to lower prices has alleviated urgent healthcare disputes, reducing the likelihood of a political standoff [5] - The current administration is focusing more on foreign issues, suggesting a preference for stability in domestic matters to avoid dual fronts [5] Machinery Manufacturing - In December 2025, the sales of excavators in China reached 235,257 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.0%, with domestic sales at 118,518 units, up 17.9% [5] - Non-excavator machinery sales showed significant recovery, with loader sales up 17.6%, grader sales up 70.5%, truck crane sales up 39.1%, crawler crane sales up 95.5%, and truck-mounted crane sales up 36.7% [5] Food and Beverage - Junlebao, starting from yogurt, launched its first infant formula in 2014, followed by the "Jianchun" brand in 2017 and the high-end fresh milk brand "Yuexianhuo" in 2020 [6] - "Jianchun" became the top brand in low-temperature yogurt by retail sales in China starting in 2022, while "Yuexianhuo" is projected to reach an income of 1.88 billion in 2024, becoming a leading high-end fresh milk brand [6] Pharmaceuticals - The AI healthcare sector is expanding, with companies developing AI products and services across various segments, including health management, precision medicine, digital clinical trials, and drug development [8] - The investment logic in AI healthcare is centered on "data closed-loop" and "scene necessity," driven by cost control in healthcare and technological advancements [8] - Future competition will hinge on possessing exclusive, high-quality private data and the ability to achieve continuous data iteration through business scenarios [8] Banking - Industrial Bank reported a revenue of 212.7 billion for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.2%, and a net profit of 77.5 billion, up 0.3% [9] - The bank's revenue growth has returned to positive territory, with stable asset expansion and deepening layouts in five new sectors [9] - Deposits are steadily increasing, enhancing liability stability, while the non-performing loan ratio remains low, indicating strong risk compensation capabilities [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article provides a comprehensive overview of the sales performance of various construction machinery in China for December 2025, highlighting significant growth in several categories, particularly in excavators and loaders, indicating a potential recovery in the industry [1][4][7]. Excavator Market Summary - In December 2025, a total of 23,095 excavators were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.2%. Domestic sales accounted for 10,331 units (up 10.9%), while exports reached 12,764 units (up 26.9%) [1][2]. - For the entire year of 2025, total excavator sales reached 235,257 units, marking a 17% increase compared to the previous year, with domestic sales at 118,518 units (up 17.9%) and exports at 116,739 units (up 16.1%) [2]. Loader Market Summary - In December 2025, 12,236 loaders were sold, showing a 30% increase year-on-year. Domestic sales were 5,291 units (up 17.6%), and exports were 6,945 units (up 41.5%) [4][5]. - For the full year of 2025, loader sales totaled 128,067 units, a growth of 18.4%, with domestic sales at 66,330 units (up 22.1%) and exports at 61,737 units (up 14.6%) [5]. Electric Excavator Market Summary - In December 2025, 39 electric excavators were sold, with a breakdown of 11 units under 6 tons, 7 units between 6-10 tons, 2 units between 10-18.5 tons, 19 units between 18.5-28.5 tons, 1 unit between 28.5-40 tons, and a decrease of 1 unit over 40 tons [3]. Electric Loader Market Summary - December 2025 saw sales of 2,722 electric loaders, with 72 units under 3 tons, 181 units at 3 tons, 10 units at 4 tons, 1,499 units at 5 tons, 820 units at 6 tons, 129 units at 7 tons, and 3 units each for 8 tons and above [6]. Grader Market Summary - In December 2025, 792 graders were sold, reflecting a 14% year-on-year increase, with domestic sales of 133 units (up 70.5%) and exports of 659 units (up 6.81%) [7]. Crane Market Summary - December 2025 recorded sales of 1,911 truck cranes, a 38.1% increase year-on-year, with domestic sales of 886 units (up 39.1%) and exports of 1,025 units (up 37.2%) [9]. - For the entire year, truck crane sales reached 19,974 units, a slight increase of 1.39% [9]. Roller Market Summary - In December 2025, 1,343 rollers were sold, marking a 25.6% increase year-on-year, with domestic sales of 437 units (up 18.4%) and exports of 906 units (up 29.4%) [15][16]. - The total sales for rollers in 2025 were 17,434 units, a 23% increase [16]. Paver Market Summary - December 2025 saw sales of 107 pavers, a decline of 11.6%, with domestic sales of 59 units (down 32.2%) and exports of 48 units (up 41.2%) [16]. Aerial Work Platform Market Summary - In December 2025, 14,326 aerial work platforms were sold, down 8.36% year-on-year, with domestic sales of 4,446 units (down 25.1%) and exports of 9,880 units (up 1.92%) [16].

Forklift Sales - In December 2025, a total of 111,363 forklifts were sold, representing a year-on-year growth of 0.03%. Domestic sales were 63,807 units, down 5.17%, while exports reached 47,556 units, up 7.97% [1] - For the entire year of 2025, a total of 1,451,768 forklifts were sold, marking a 12.9% increase year-on-year. Domestic sales were 906,812 units, up 12.6%, and exports were 544,956 units, up 13.4% [1] - Excluding electric walk-behind warehouse vehicles, 42,849 forklifts were sold in December 2025, down 5.42% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 23,985 units, down 11.8%, while exports were 18,864 units, up 4.19% [1] Grader Sales - In December 2025, 792 graders were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14%. Domestic sales were 133 units, up 70.5%, and exports were 659 units, up 6.81% [2] - For the full year of 2025, a total of 8,360 graders were sold, representing an 8.35% increase year-on-year. Domestic sales were 1,468 units, up 32.4%, and exports were 6,892 units, up 4.31% [2] Truck Crane Sales - In December 2025, 1,911 truck cranes were sold, showing a year-on-year growth of 38.1%. Domestic sales were 886 units, up 39.1%, and exports were 1,025 units, up 37.2% [3] - For the entire year of 2025, 19,974 truck cranes were sold, a 1.39% increase year-on-year. Domestic sales were 10,659 units, up 1.41%, and exports were 9,315 units, up 1.37% [3] Crawler Crane Sales - In December 2025, 385 crawler cranes were sold, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 68.1%. Domestic sales were 131 units, up 95.5%, and exports were 254 units, up 56.8% [4] - For the full year of 2025, a total of 3,415 crawler cranes were sold, reflecting a 30.1% increase year-on-year. Domestic sales were 1,091 units, up 32.9%, and exports were 2,324 units, up 28.9% [4] Truck-Mounted Crane Sales - In December 2025, 2,664 truck-mounted cranes were sold, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.2%. Domestic sales were 2,274 units, up 36.7%, and exports were 390 units, up 27.5% [5] - For the entire year of 2025, 26,006 truck-mounted cranes were sold, a year-on-year increase of 11.1%. Domestic sales were 20,462 units, up 8.47%, and exports were 5,544 units, up 22.2% [5] Tower Crane Sales - In December 2025, 395 tower cranes were sold, showing a year-on-year decline of 30.8%. Domestic sales were 182 units, down 45.7%, while exports were 213 units, down 9.75% [6] - For the full year of 2025, a total of 5,178 tower cranes were sold, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 30.7%. Domestic sales were 2,726 units, down 50%, while exports were 2,452 units, up 21.9% [6] Roller Sales - In December 2025, 1,343 rollers were sold, indicating a year-on-year increase of 25.6%. Domestic sales were 437 units, up 18.4%, and exports were 906 units, up 29.4% [7] - For the entire year of 2025, a total of 17,434 rollers were sold, representing a year-on-year growth of 23%. Domestic sales were 6,482 units, up 17.9%, and exports were 10,952 units, up 26.2% [7] Paver Sales - In December 2025, 107 pavers were sold, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 11.6%. Domestic sales were 59 units, down 32.2%, while exports were 48 units, up 41.2% [8] - For the full year of 2025, a total of 1,547 pavers were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 24.8%. Domestic sales were 1,082 units, up 30.7%, and exports were 465 units, up 12.9% [8] Aerial Work Platform Sales - In December 2025, 14,326 aerial work platforms were sold, showing a year-on-year decline of 8.36%. Domestic sales were 4,446 units, down 25.1%, while exports were 9,880 units, up 1.92% [10] - For the entire year of 2025, a total of 165,171 aerial work platforms were sold, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 28.6%. Domestic sales were 63,886 units, down 42.4%, and exports were 101,285 units, down 16% [10] High-altitude Operation Vehicle Sales - In December 2025, 431 high-altitude operation vehicles were sold, indicating a year-on-year decline of 5.48%. Domestic sales were 404 units, down 7.97%, while exports were 27 units, up 58.8% [11] - For the full year of 2025, a total of 4,993 high-altitude operation vehicles were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.7%. Domestic sales were 4,755 units, up 26.7%, and exports were 238 units, up 51.6% [11]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic excavator sales in China continue to grow, indicating a recovery in the internal demand cycle, with significant increases in non-excavator machinery sales as well [4][5][6]. Group 1: Excavator Sales and Growth - In November 2025, China's excavator sales (including exports) reached 20,027 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.9%, with domestic sales at 9,842 units, up 9.1% [4]. - From January to November 2025, total excavator sales were 212,162 units, reflecting a 16.7% year-on-year growth, while domestic sales were 108,187 units, increasing by 18.6% [4]. - The sales of non-excavator construction machinery showed a notable recovery, with loader sales up 29.4%, grader sales up 24.7%, truck crane sales up 25.8%, crawler crane sales up 102.0%, and truck-mounted crane sales up 36.4% in November 2025 [4]. Group 2: Future Demand and Market Trends - The ongoing replacement cycle of construction machinery is expected to drive sales, with a projected compound growth rate of around 30% for replacement demand in the coming years [5]. - The export of second-hand construction machinery to developing countries is reducing the domestic machinery inventory, further supporting new machine sales [5]. Group 3: Policy and Investment Impact - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy in 2026, which is expected to stimulate infrastructure investment and subsequently boost demand for construction equipment [7]. - The meeting highlighted the need to optimize fiscal expenditure and enhance the management of local government special bonds, which will contribute to stabilizing investment [7]. Group 4: Export Performance - In November 2025, excavator exports reached 10,185 units, a year-on-year increase of 18.8%, with total exports from January to November at 103,975 units, up 14.9% [8]. - The export value of construction machinery in November 2025 was $5.23 billion, reflecting a 16.6% year-on-year growth, with a total export value of $53.76 billion from January to November, up 12.4% [8]. - Future opportunities for exports include increased demand in Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East, despite challenges such as U.S.-China tariff uncertainties [8]. Group 5: Electrification Trends - In November 2025, electric loader sales surged to 2,935 units, marking a 192.0% year-on-year increase, with an electrification rate of 25.7%, up 14.1 percentage points [9]. - From January to November 2025, electric loader sales totaled 27,049 units, a 160.9% increase, with an electrification rate of 23.4%, up 12.9 percentage points [9]. - The emphasis on green and electric machinery is expected to accelerate the electrification process in the construction machinery industry, enhancing revenue and profits for manufacturers [9]. Group 6: Major Projects Impact - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, with an estimated total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to significantly boost demand for construction machinery [10]. - The project is anticipated to require around 120 billion to 180 billion yuan worth of machinery, with a focus on large excavators, rock tunnel boring machines, cranes, and concrete machinery [10].