"好想来"品牌零食母公司万辰集团已于9月23日向港交所递表申请上市。 量贩零食品牌的激进式拓店逻辑并不难理解。其商业模式的本质是砍掉中间商，从源头厂家直接进货， 再以低于商超、便利店的价格卖给消费者。据万辰集团招股书显示，其95%的产品直接采购自品牌厂 商，省去了中间多层流通环节，因此价格零售价格平均比大卖场、超市及便利店的同类产品低20%至 30%。 这家原本主营食用菌的企业，自2022年跨界进入量贩零食赛道。借助资本整合与门店版图的扩大，零食 零售业务的营收也从2022年的6656.9万元 激增至2024年的317.9亿元，增幅接近478倍。 过去三年，量贩零食赛道迅速升温，成为新消费领域最炙手可热的风口之一。"低价+量贩"的模式在下 沉市场疯狂复制，从县城、乡镇一路渗透到一线城市。万辰、鸣鸣很忙等头部玩家快速跑马圈地，动辄 万店规模，已形成双强争霸的格局。 万辰并非唯一冲刺资本市场的玩家。今年4 月，另一头部品牌 "鸣鸣很忙" 也已向港交所递交招股书。 作为赛道内最具竞争力的对手之一，"鸣鸣很忙"近年来同样保持着高歌猛进的扩张势头：截至2024年 底，其门店数突破1.4万家，营收规模也达到393.44亿 ...

又一平价零食巨头赴港上市。 作者 | 肖思佳 编辑 | 乔芊 零食品牌，红海激战 "好想来"品牌零食母公司万辰集团已于9月23日向港交所递表申请上市。 这家原本主营食用菌的企业，自 2022 年跨界进入量贩零食赛道 。 借助资本整合与门店版图的扩大 ， 零食零售业务的营收也从 2022 年的 6656.9 万 元 激增至 2024 年的 317.9 亿元，增幅接近 478 倍。 过去三年，量贩零食赛道迅速升温，成为新消费领域最炙手可热的风口之一。"低价+量贩"的模式在下沉市场疯狂复制，从县城、乡镇一路渗透到一线城 市。万辰、鸣鸣很忙等头部玩家快速跑马圈地，动辄万店规模，已形成双强争霸的格局。 万辰并非唯一冲刺资本市场的玩家。今年 4 月，另一头部品牌 "鸣鸣很忙" 也已向港交所递交招股书。作为赛道内最具竞争力的对手之一，"鸣鸣很 忙"近年来同样保持着高歌猛进的扩张势头：截至 2024 年底，其门店数突破 1.4 万家，营收规模也达到393.44亿元。另有消息称其门店数在2025年9 月已达到2万家。 随着两大巨头几乎同时谋求 IPO，资本力量或将成为决定行业格局的关键变量。 不过，薄利多销的模式同样隐含风险： ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 184.01 CNY, indicating approximately 20% upside potential from the current price of 150.11 CNY [7]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading player in the snack retail sector, with significant growth potential in the discount store format, which is becoming a new trend in the market [1][5]. - The snack retail market in China is projected to grow from 211 billion CNY in 2019 to over 1000 billion CNY by 2024, with a CAGR of approximately 40% from 2019 to 2023 and an expected CAGR of 18% from 2023 to 2027 [1][35]. - The company has rapidly expanded its store count to over 15,000, establishing a strong competitive position alongside its main rival [1][39]. Summary by Sections 1. Rapid Growth in Snack Retail Business - The company, founded in 2011, initially focused on edible fungi and has since diversified into the snack retail sector, achieving significant revenue growth [2][15]. - In 2024, the snack retail business is expected to generate revenue of 31.79 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 262.94% [15][26]. - The company has integrated five major snack brands and is actively developing its private label products to enhance profitability [4][5]. 2. Market Trends and Opportunities - The snack retail channel is still in a growth phase, with significant market expansion opportunities remaining [35][36]. - The company is transitioning towards a full-category discount store model, launching "Lai You Pin" and "Hao Xiang Lai" stores to diversify its product offerings beyond snacks [5][49]. - The competitive landscape is evolving, with major players like Lele and Aoleqi also entering the discount store space, indicating a shift in consumer preferences towards value-oriented shopping [44][45]. 3. Financial Performance and Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 54.15 billion CNY in 2025, with a net profit of 773.12 million CNY, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [6][4]. - The EBITDA is expected to reach 2.74 billion CNY in 2025, with a significant improvement in profit margins due to economies of scale and cost management [6][4]. - The report highlights a decrease in expense ratios, with the net profit margin improving from -1.57% in 2023 to 3.59% in Q1 2025 [29][28].

Investment Rating - Maintain "Add" rating for the industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the rapid expansion of the "Good Idea Whole Food Selection" stores in Jiangsu, focusing on a multi-category discount retail model that combines snacks, fresh fruits, and baked goods, aiming to cater to the upgrading consumption in lower-tier markets [1][2][4] - The store's product mix includes a significant focus on high-quality items, with a clear emphasis on customer service, such as offering free fruit cutting and washing services, indicating a shift from merely price-based competition to quality and service enhancement [2][11][15] - The report suggests that the head of the snack retail system is entering a phase of rapid expansion, with the potential for further differentiation in store types and a robust supply chain to support this growth [4][26] Summary by Sections 1. Multi-Category Expansion and Store Types - "Good Idea Whole Food Selection" is expanding its store types and product categories, with plans for rapid franchise growth [1][10] - The store has opened six locations in Jiangsu, focusing on community-centric locations with larger store sizes compared to traditional snack stores [11][13] 2. Product and Service Quality - The store's product categories have expanded to include fresh fruits, short-shelf-life baked goods, and a variety of dairy and beverage products, while maintaining a selective SKU approach [2][15] - The overall product quality is high, with pre-packaged fruits and well-known brand household products, enhancing customer loyalty through superior service [15][20] 3. Store Layout and Pricing Strategy - The store layout is designed for clear product zoning and customer flow, with a focus on larger single product displays [20] - Pricing remains competitive, with discounts on various categories compared to traditional supermarkets and online platforms, maintaining a value proposition for consumers [21][23] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the potential for significant growth in the snack retail sector, with established players poised to leverage their supply chain advantages and expand into new product categories [4][26] - The ongoing franchise model and the introduction of new store types are expected to enhance market coverage and operational efficiency [4][26]

Investment Rating - Maintain "Add" rating for the industry [5] Core Insights - The report highlights the transformation of retail through the expansion of multi-category discount formats, particularly focusing on the "Good Idea Whole Food Selection" in Jiangsu, which combines various store types and aims for rapid franchise expansion [1][4][10] - The "Good Idea Whole Food Selection" has successfully opened six stores in Jiangsu, emphasizing a community-centric approach with larger store sizes compared to traditional snack stores [11][24] - The product mix includes fresh fruits, short-shelf-life baked goods, and a selection of daily necessities, positioning the store more as a food supermarket rather than a simple discount retailer [2][15] Summary by Sections 1. Multi-Category Expansion and Store Types - The "Good Idea Whole Food Selection" is expanding its franchise model with multiple store types, aiming to adapt to various market needs and consumer preferences [1][10] - The company has introduced a diverse range of products, including fresh produce and baked goods, while maintaining a focus on cost-effectiveness and quality [2][11] 2. Store Layout and Customer Experience - The store layout is designed for clear product zoning and customer flow, enhancing the shopping experience and encouraging cross-selling among different product categories [3][20] - The stores feature a significant display area for selected SKUs, which contrasts with the dense layout of traditional supermarkets, thereby improving visibility and accessibility [20] 3. Pricing Strategy - The pricing strategy continues to emphasize value, with many products priced significantly lower than competitors like Hema and traditional supermarkets, maintaining a competitive edge in the market [21][23] - The report provides specific pricing comparisons, showing that many items are offered at discounts ranging from 50% to 80% compared to other retailers [23] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the industry is entering a phase of rapid expansion, with leading companies like Wanchen Group and Mingming Hen Mang poised to capitalize on their established supply chains and operational efficiencies [4][26] - The potential for further market penetration and the introduction of additional store formats is highlighted as a key growth driver for the industry [4][26]