自2021年第二季度起，国内房地产市场便在持续的楼市调控政策下步入了显著的调整期。曾经一度攀升 至每平方米1.1万元的全国平均房价，如今已回落至9526元，跌幅高达15%。国家统计局的最新数据显 示，截至今年6月，在70座重点监测城市中，二手房价格倒退至两年前水平的城市多达34个，更有27个 城市房价低于三年前，6个城市房价更是回到了五年前的水平，其中牡丹江的房价甚至跌回了15年前。 其次，小产权房的处境也日益艰难。过去，人们之所以选择购买或持有小产权房，除了其价格相对较低 的优势外，还抱有一丝"转正"的期望。然而，如今这种希望已然渺茫。其主要原因在于，小产权房的质 量参差不齐，房屋安全隐患令人担忧。此外，小产权房多为未经批准的私自搭建，其性质已严重违反国 家相关规定，故而根本不具备合法转正的可能性。因此，小产权房在未来的交易过程中，将面临巨大的 出售阻力，极难找到买家。 第三类，城市周边偏远地区的楼房。此前，许多购房者倾向于选择城市周边地区的房产，主要看中其相 对较低的价格。然而，这些地区的房产往往存在配套设施不完善、交通不便利等问题。更重要的是，在 房价普遍下跌的市场环境中，这类房产的跌幅往往比市中心地段 ...

农村人进城 买房?慎重 I 进城买房避 坑指南 | 3 本學展 城市置业 避坑指南 村口小卖部旁，王哥蹲在台阶上抽着烟，手里攥着张县城楼盘宣传单："你说咱要不要在县城买房？孩子明年上小学，去城里读能好点，可又怕买了房供不 起，以后房子还贬值。" 旁边择菜的李婶也搭话："可不是嘛！我侄子去年在市里买了高层，现在月供 3000 多，工作不稳定，天天愁得睡不着。听说现在买房的人少了，以后高层可 能成贫民窟，这钱要是砸进去，不是打水漂了？" 最近不少农村人都在纠结进城买房的事，一边是孩子上学、看病方便的诱惑，一边是购房率下跌、人口下滑的担忧。今天就用大白话给大伙讲清楚，农村人 到底该不该进城买房，哪些情况能买，哪些情况要慎买，再说说要避开的坑。 国家统计局 2025 年 1-10 月数据（中国政府网可查）：全国商品住宅销售面积同比下降 8.2%，其中三四线城市下降 12.5%，县城楼盘去化周期平均达 28 个 月（超过 18 个月就算供过于求）； 第七次全国人口普查及后续年度报告（国家统计局官网）：2021-2025 年全国总人口年均减少约 80 万人，县域常住人口平均下降 3.1%，不少县城出现 "人 口外流、房子 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant overcapacity in the real estate market, with a total of six billion properties in China, averaging over one property per household, indicating a potential devaluation pressure in the future [1] - The article warns that five types of properties may become "hot potatoes" for investors starting next year, as some early investors are already exiting the market [1] Group 2 - The myth of "one shop supports three generations" has been shattered, as the investment in commercial properties has become risky due to rising vacancy rates and lower-than-expected rental returns [3][4] - Properties in city centers, once valued for their potential demolition compensation, have seen significant price drops due to changes in urban renewal policies, with prices in Shanghai halving from their peak [5][7] - High-priced homebuyers who entered the market between 2018 and 2021 are facing substantial losses, with some cities experiencing price declines exceeding 30%, leading to forced sales to mitigate losses [8] - Suburban properties are struggling due to a lack of essential amenities, making them less attractive to buyers compared to well-equipped city center properties, prompting owners to sell off excess properties [9] - Small property rights homes, lacking proper approval and ownership documentation, face an uncertain future as the government has ruled out the possibility of their legalization, leading some owners to cash out [10]

为了提振低迷的市场，各地纷纷出台政策试图松绑。据不完全统计，已有23座城市发布了"限跌令"，更 有城市取消了"限购令"，并下调房贷利率。一些城市甚至直接对购房者进行现金补贴。然而，这些举措 并未能有效扭转房地产市场的颓势。 城郊偏远楼房： 曾经，城市周边地区的房产因其相对低廉的价格而备受青睐。然而，这些区域往往配 套设施不完善，交通不便。在房价下跌时，城郊偏远地区的房产往往比市中心房产跌幅更大，甚至难以 找到买家。因此，城市周边偏远地区的房产未来或将成为无人问津的"烫手山芋"。 楼市的寒意也同样传递到了开发商的销售业绩上。今年上半年，全国商品房销售额仅为6.6万亿元，与 去年全年18.1万亿元的销售额相比，差距悬殊。时间过半，销售额却不足去年全年的40%。2022年1-7 月，中国房地产企业销售业绩排行榜显示，TOP100房企的销售额同比大幅下降47.3%。 高层住宅： 过去备受追捧的高层住宅，如今却暴露出诸多弊端。首先，高层住宅的公摊面积远大于多 层住宅，通常在25?0%之间，而多层住宅仅为10?5%。这意味着购房者需要承担更多公摊面积上的物业 费和供暖费。其次，高层住宅在发生火灾或地震等灾害时，住户逃生难 ...

Core Viewpoint - The myth that "housing prices only rise" is fading, with significant price declines observed in the real estate market since the second half of 2021, leading to a shift in investment sentiment [1][4]. Group 1: Housing Price Trends - From 1998 to mid-2021, the national average housing price increased from 2000 yuan per square meter to 11,000 yuan per square meter, a rise of 5.5 times; in first-tier cities, prices surged from 3000 yuan per square meter to 65,000 yuan per square meter, exceeding 20 times [1]. - As of August this year, only 29 out of 100 key cities in China saw new housing prices increase, while 69 cities experienced price declines; in the second-hand housing market, only 23 cities had rising prices, with 74 cities facing declines [4]. Group 2: Developer Strategies - In response to the cooling market, developers are resorting to price cuts and promotions to quickly recover funds, while the number of second-hand homes listed for sale has surged, with 13 cities reporting over 100,000 listings [3]. Group 3: Investment Risks - Experts warn that by 2025, certain types of properties may become "hot potatoes," leading savvy investors to exit the market. These include high-rise residential buildings, small property rights houses, homes over 20 years old, and properties located in remote urban areas [5][7][8]. - High-rise buildings face challenges such as excessive shared area costs, reliance on elevators, safety hazards, and high demolition costs, making them difficult to resell [5]. - Small property rights houses lack the potential for legalization and face quality issues, leading to diminished resale value [7]. - Homes older than 20 years may struggle due to tightening bank lending policies and a preference for newer, higher-quality homes [8]. - Properties in remote areas are less desirable due to inadequate infrastructure and are more vulnerable to price declines compared to central city properties [8].

Group 1 - The article discusses the trend of "1 yuan starting bid" auction properties, particularly in Shenzhen, where a small property is set to be auctioned with a starting price of 1 yuan, attracting significant attention despite no current bidders [1] - The property in question is located in a demolition area, and the auction details indicate that any compensation from future demolition will go to the buyer, highlighting the potential for financial gain despite legal uncertainties surrounding such transactions [1] - There has been a notable increase in the number of similar properties auctioned in the area, with over 25 properties sold since the end of 2024, most starting at 1 yuan, indicating a trend in the market for low-cost auction properties [1] Group 2 - Industry experts caution that "1 yuan starting bid" auctions may be a marketing gimmick, and buyers should be wary of hidden costs and liabilities associated with these properties [2] - The market for small property transactions has cooled significantly, with prices dropping nearly 30% from their peak, reflecting a broader trend of reduced investment interest in this segment [2] - Regulatory actions have been taken against small property transactions in Shenzhen, including restrictions on documentation and legal support for such transactions, indicating a tightening of the market environment [2][4] Group 3 - The Guangdong Provincial Natural Resources Department has issued guidelines prohibiting the legitimization of illegal land use or construction through property registration, reinforcing the regulatory stance against small property transactions [3][4] - The guidelines specifically state that properties built in violation of land use regulations, including small properties, will not be registered, further complicating the market for these types of real estate [4]

Group 1 - The Guangdong Provincial Natural Resources Department issued guidelines to address historical issues related to the registration of real estate on state-owned construction land, effective from August 4, 2025, for a duration of five years [1] - The guidelines apply to urban residential properties built and sold on state-owned construction land before December 31, 2024, which have not completed the initial or transfer registration of land use rights and property ownership, leading to difficulties in registration and protection of legal rights [1] - The guidelines propose measures for eight types of historical issues, including incomplete land use procedures, unclear or missing application subjects, and inconsistencies in land and property information, providing a policy basis for resolving these registration issues [1] Group 2 - The small property market, despite being illegal, has thrived as an underground market for years, but recent government crackdowns have significantly cooled investment interest in this sector [2] - Real estate intermediaries noted that the process of purchasing small properties involved signing transfer agreements and lacked legal protection, leading to issues such as multiple sales and owner retraction [3] - Regulatory measures have been intensified against small properties and speculative activities related to relocation and resettlement housing, as highlighted in a 2021 notice from Shenzhen's housing and planning authorities [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent issuance of guidelines by the Guangdong Provincial Natural Resources Department aimed at addressing historical issues related to real estate registration on state-owned construction land, effective from August 4, 2025, for a duration of five years [1]. Summary by Sections Guidelines Overview - The guidelines apply to urban residential properties built and sold on state-owned construction land before December 31, 2024, which have not completed the initial or transfer registration of land use rights and property ownership, leading to difficulties in registration and protection of legal rights [1]. - The guidelines address eight types of historical issues, including incomplete land use procedures, planning verification, unclear or missing application subjects, incomplete acceptance procedures, unpaid land transfer fees and taxes, inconsistent land and property information, cross-plot construction, and existing mortgages or seizures [1]. Prohibitions and Restrictions - The guidelines explicitly prohibit the legalization of illegal land use or construction through registration and forbid the processing of projects that have followed normal application procedures under the guise of historical issues [1]. - It is stated that "small property houses," constructions violating permanent basic farmland and ecological protection red lines, are not eligible for registration [1]. Market Context - The article notes that despite the illegal status of small property houses, the market for them has thrived for years as an underground market, although recent years have seen a significant decline in investment interest due to government crackdowns [2]. - Interviews with real estate agents indicate that the purchasing process for small property houses lacks legal protection, with common issues such as multiple sales of the same property and owner retraction [4]. - A 2021 notice from Shenzhen's housing and planning authorities highlighted increased enforcement against the trading of illegal residential properties, including small property houses and speculative practices surrounding relocation and resettlement housing [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses five types of properties that may become undesirable in the real estate market starting next year, highlighting the changing dynamics and risks associated with these properties [1]. Group 1: Types of Properties - Old and dilapidated school district houses are losing their appeal due to policy changes like multi-school zoning and teacher rotation, leading to a significant drop in value [1]. - Small property rights houses are problematic as they lack legal ownership certificates, making them vulnerable to disputes and government actions, which could result in financial losses for buyers [3]. - Large suburban houses are becoming less attractive due to long commuting times and inadequate local amenities, leading to difficulties in selling even at reduced prices [3]. - Commercial-residential mixed-use properties have short ownership periods and higher living costs, along with complex living environments that deter potential buyers [4]. - Properties with ownership disputes present significant risks, as unclear ownership can lead to legal troubles for buyers, making them hard to sell [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of cautious home buying in the current real estate market, advising buyers to avoid certain types of properties to ensure value retention and avoid potential losses [1][5][18]. Group 1: Real Estate Market Trends - The real estate market has undergone significant changes over the past two decades, with current prices remaining high and many buyers delaying their home purchases [1][3]. - The cyclical nature of the real estate market has diminished, as evidenced by the lack of significant sales during traditionally strong periods in 2023 [3][18]. - Government policies aimed at stabilizing the housing market have been in place since 2016, with a clear focus on housing as a necessity rather than an investment [1][3]. Group 2: Buying Guidelines - Buyers are advised to follow an "8-character rule": avoid purchasing four types of properties and two types of commercial spaces [5][18]. - "Four types of properties" to avoid include: - Small property rights houses, which lack legal protection and have poor living conditions [6]. - Tourism properties that may not provide a good return on investment due to inadequate infrastructure and low visitor traffic [8]. - Retirement properties that are often located far from urban amenities, posing risks for elderly residents [10]. - Court auctioned properties, which come with high risks and strict payment requirements [12]. Group 3: Commercial Property Considerations - The article advises caution when investing in commercial properties, particularly those in poor locations or on the second floor, as their investment potential has significantly decreased [14][18]. - Key factors to consider when purchasing commercial properties include foot traffic, surrounding environment, and future development prospects [16].