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汽车周报:新车供给持续丰富,关注行业金九银十需求-20250818
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-08-18 15:27
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive industry, particularly focusing on the mid-to-high-end market and companies with strong alpha performance [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing supply of new vehicles and anticipates increased demand during the "golden September and silver October" period. It emphasizes the potential for robotics in various applications, suggesting a similar growth trajectory to that of autonomous driving seen 6-8 years ago [4]. - The report suggests focusing on companies with scene implementation capabilities and strong control over their respective markets, including NIO, JAC Motors, Li Auto, Xiaomi, and their supply chain partners [4]. - The report notes a significant increase in the retail sales of new energy vehicles, with a penetration rate of 57.6% in the latest week [4]. Industry Update - In the 32nd week of 2025 (August 4-10), retail sales of passenger cars totaled 375,000 units, down 18.83% month-on-month and 7.41% year-on-year. Traditional energy vehicle sales were approximately 159,000 units, down 26.73% month-on-month and 16.75% year-on-year, while new energy vehicle sales reached 216,000 units, down 11.84% month-on-month but up 0.93% year-on-year [4]. - The automotive industry saw a total transaction value of 606.26 billion yuan this week, reflecting a 15.90% increase compared to the previous week [4]. - The report indicates that the automotive industry index rose by 3.08% this week, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which increased by 2.37% [15]. Market Situation - The report identifies 183 stocks in the automotive sector that rose in value, with the largest gains seen in Feilong Co., Tenglong Co., and Shentong Technology, which increased by 39.1%, 35.1%, and 29.0%, respectively. Conversely, the largest declines were observed in Yibin Technology, Feile Audio, and Construction Industry, with decreases of -7.7%, -7.6%, and -7.3% [19]. - The report highlights significant events, including the announcement of new vehicle models by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and the expansion of strategic cooperation between XPeng and Volkswagen in electronic and electrical architecture [8][10]. Investment Analysis - The report recommends focusing on domestic strong alpha manufacturers such as Li Auto, NIO, Xiaomi, and XPeng, as well as companies involved in the integration of state-owned enterprises like SAIC and Dongfeng [4]. - It also emphasizes the importance of companies with strong performance growth, robotics layout, or overseas expansion capabilities in the parts sector, recommending companies like Fuyao Glass, New Spring Co., and others [4].