2025.12.15 本文字数：2663，阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 |第一财经 曹璐 年内仅剩十余个交易日，基金年终排名战的硝烟已进入最浓烈时刻！ Wind数据显示，截至12月12日，已有67只基金年内收益率突破100%，其中57只主动权益基金跻身"翻倍 俱乐部"。头部阵营中，永赢科技智选A以218%的收益率遥遥领跑，冠军宝座基本锁定。 永赢科技智选A的身后战况激烈，第三名之后的排位战更是悬念拉满，相邻名次差距甚小，终局随时可 能改写。不过，这些"尖子生"的制胜密码高度趋同，算力芯片、光模块（CPO）等标的近乎"标配"。在 当前市场震荡背景下，年内领涨的科技主线能否延续？ "光通信产业链的核心驱动力是来自下游需求的爆炸性增长，以及宏观政策与市场环境形成的有力共 振。"招商基金资深策略分析师汪洋说，今年的强势表现是技术、需求、资金共同作用的结果。明年该 板块仍将是科技投资图谱中的重要组成部分，但其内部或将显著分化。 长城基金高级宏观策略研究员汪立对第一财经表示，考虑到前期股指大幅调整、总量政策加码与险资等 增量资金入市，当下或是布局"春季行情"的重要窗口。春节前具备产业趋势的大盘成长风格有望占优， 投资组合或可 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the intense competition among funds for year-end rankings, highlighting that as of December 12, 67 funds have achieved over 100% returns this year, with a significant focus on technology sectors such as computing chips and optical modules [3][5]. Fund Performance Summary - As of December 12, 67 funds have surpassed 100% returns, with 57 being actively managed equity funds, marking the best performance in five years [5][9]. - The top-performing fund, Yongying Technology Smart A, has a return rate of 218%, leading the second-place fund by over 51 percentage points [5][6]. - The competition for rankings is fierce among mid-tier funds, with several funds showing returns above 140%, indicating a narrow margin for potential ranking changes in the remaining trading days [6][8]. Investment Trends - The leading funds have a high concentration of investments in AI-related stocks, particularly in computing chips and optical modules, which are seen as essential components in the technology sector [8][9]. - The performance of the computing and optical module indices has been significant, with year-to-date increases of 93.83% and 172.08%, respectively [8]. Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that the technology sector's strong performance may continue into the next year, but there will be significant internal differentiation within the sector [3][10]. - The focus for investors is shifting from thematic investments to performance verification, emphasizing the importance of tracking technological advancements and profitability [12][13]. - The market is expected to favor companies with solid fundamentals, particularly in AI, pharmaceuticals, and high-end manufacturing, as these sectors are likely to see sustainable growth [13].

前十"门槛"达136.83% 年内仅剩十余个交易日，基金年终排名战的硝烟已进入最浓烈时刻！ Wind数据显示，截至12月12日，已有67只基金年内收益率突破100%，其中57只主动权益基金跻身"翻倍 俱乐部"。头部阵营中，永赢科技智选A以218%的收益率遥遥领跑，冠军宝座基本锁定。 永赢科技智选A的身后战况激烈，第三名之后的排位战更是悬念拉满，相邻名次差距甚小，终局随时可 能改写。不过，这些"尖子生"的制胜密码高度趋同，算力芯片、光模块（CPO）等标的近乎"标配"。在 当前市场震荡背景下，年内领涨的科技主线能否延续？ "光通信产业链的核心驱动力是来自下游需求的爆炸性增长，以及宏观政策与市场环境形成的有力共 振。"招商基金资深策略分析师汪洋说，今年的强势表现是技术、需求、资金共同作用的结果。明年该 板块仍将是科技投资图谱中的重要组成部分，但其内部或将显著分化。 观察这些业绩领先的基金持仓，一个显著特征是：投资组合"含科量"较高，大多重仓了人工智能相关概 念股，仅在具体席位排名与持仓比重上有所不同。尤其是算力芯片、光模块等AI产业链龙头公司，成 为这些基金的领跑"密码"。 第一财经根据三季报统计，目前主动权益基金 ...

由于部分基金此前已实现优厚回报(22只主动权益基金年内收益超100%，最高收益超过200%)，公募在 跨年布局上出现了明显分歧：浮盈明显的基金想保存收益平稳度过年关，前期回报不明显的基金则想再 冲一把。 11月至12月5日，不少翻倍基的净值波动已在放缓，但依然有基金在进取博弈，取得了逾10%的收益 率，年内收益突破20%。这些分歧背后，公募还要考虑比以往更为复杂的情况：年末市场流动性、风格 切换方向、海外扰动因素等。 "想把排名往上拉一拉" 根据Wind统计，截至12月5日年内回报超过100%的主动权益基金数量(均为偏股混合型基金)，达到22只 (以初始基金为统计口径，下同)。其中，永赢科技智选A回报率为202.13%，是唯一一只年内回报超过 200%的主动权益基金。紧跟其后的是中航机遇领航A，年内回报率为144.12%。恒越优势精选A、中欧 数字经济A、信澳业绩驱动A的年内回报率均在120%以上。 除科技主题产品外，22只翻倍基中还有聚焦北交所、港股、医药等领域。其中，中信建投北交所精选两 年定开A年回报率为101.96%，中银港股通医药A回报率为104.47%。此外，另有18只普通股票基金和49 只偏股混 ...

图虫创意/供图 证券时报记者 余世鹏 临近年末，跨年行情预期升温。但公募在跨年布局上则各有各的"心思"：浮盈明显的基金想保存收 益平稳收尾，前期回报不明显的基金则想最后再冲一把。 不过，公募投研人士认为，在年底有限的时间里去博取收益难度会有所增加，市场内外干扰因素不 少，还要考虑岁末流动性等多方面因素。 "想把排名往上拉一拉" 根据Wind统计，截至12月5日，年内回报率超过100%的主动权益基金数量（均为偏股混合型基 金）达到22只（以初始基金为统计口径，下同）。其中，永赢科技智选A回报率为202.13%，是唯一一 只年内回报超过200%的主动权益基金。紧跟其后的是中航机遇领航A，年内回报率为144.12%。恒越优 势精选A、中欧数字经济A、信澳业绩驱动A的年内回报率均在120%以上。 北京一位公募权益基金经理对记者表示，2025年剩下的交易时间不多了，加上近期热门板块有所回 调，出现一小部分获利赎回资金。从过往情况来看，岁末年初A股虽会在日历效应下出现跨年行情，但 也可能会出现风格切换。今年上涨的热门赛道较为集中，积累的获利盘估计也不少。年末时间去博取收 益，不确定性可能会增加不少。 年末博取收益难度增加 ...

临近年末，跨年行情预期升温。但公募在跨年布局上则各有各的"心思"：浮盈明显的基金想保存收益平 稳收尾，前期回报不明显的基金则想最后再冲一把。 不过，公募投研人士认为，在年底有限的时间里去博取收益难度会有所增加，市场内外干扰因素不少， 还要考虑岁末流动性等多方面因素。 年末博取收益难度增加 和上述观点类似，从11月至今的业绩情况来看，主动权益基金之间呈现出不少分歧。有的基金采取了进 取姿态，比如永赢高端装备智选A在11月至今的收益率达到14.56%，年内回报率为41.56%。华西优选价 值A年内回报22.37%，其中有10.14%的收益为11月以来的这段时间里实现的。平安资源精选A年内回报 约为13.39%，11月至今的回报率为9.94%。 相比之下，年内取得高收益的基金，11月以来净值波动率普遍不高。比如，年内回报超过200%的永赢 科技智选A，11月以来的收益率只有0.50%。年内收益率超过130%的中欧数字经济A，11月以来下跌 1.91%。富国创新科技A、易方达科融、华泰柏瑞质量成长A、中银港股通医药A等翻倍基，11月以来的 净值波动率基本在4%以内。 "这种现象不难理解的，此前取得丰厚回报的基金，其主 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the rising expectations for the year-end market rally, with significant divergence among public funds regarding their strategies for year-end positioning [1][2] - As of December 5, 22 actively managed equity funds have achieved returns exceeding 100% this year, with the highest return being 202.13% from Yongying Technology Smart A [3][4] - The performance ranking shows a significant gap between the top fund and others, indicating a competitive environment among fund managers to improve their rankings before year-end [4][6] Group 2 - There is a notable split in strategies among funds, with some aiming to preserve gains while others seek to capitalize on the year-end rally, reflecting differing performance levels throughout the year [5][6] - The market environment is described as complex, influenced by factors such as year-end liquidity, style rotation, and external disturbances, which may affect the potential for a year-end rally [6][7] - Historical data indicates that the timing of the year-end rally can vary, with the current year being particularly complicated due to external factors and market sentiment [7][8] Group 3 - Key sectors such as artificial intelligence, semiconductor equipment, and high-end manufacturing are highlighted as areas of focus for future investment, while traditional sectors like real estate and consumer goods are recovering more slowly [8] - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring structural shifts in the market, with potential opportunities arising from changes in investment focus and market dynamics [8]

Group 1 - The market has shown signs of recovery this year, with nearly 100 billion yuan in new fund issuance in November, totaling 966.16 billion yuan for the month and 136 new funds established, primarily in equity funds (stock and mixed) [1] - The private equity market reached a record high of 22.05 trillion yuan in October, but subjective strategies have struggled compared to quantitative strategies, marking the highest underperformance of subjective private equity against public equity since 2021 [2] - Active equity funds are experiencing intense competition for annual rankings, with 25 funds doubling their returns year-to-date by the end of November, led by the Yongying Technology Select Fund with a return of 191.71% [2][3] Group 2 - The top-performing funds include those managed by Zhang Wei, Wu Haining, Han Hao, and Feng Ludan, all exceeding 120% returns, occupying the top five positions in performance rankings [3] - The performance table lists the top funds, with the Yongying Technology Select A fund leading at 191.71% return and a total fund size of 11.52 billion yuan [5] - Market analysts predict that December may face unlocking pressures with an estimated 420 billion yuan in A-share unlocks, potentially leading to market fluctuations, while the overall market remains in a recovery phase with positive influences from policy and fundamental improvements [7]

Core Insights - The average performance of actively managed equity funds in China reached 27.48% in the first 11 months of the year, with some funds achieving over 191% returns [4][7][9] - The overall market saw a slight decline of 1.67% in November, but the annual upward trend remained intact, benefiting public equity funds [2][6] Performance of Major Indices and Funds - Major indices such as the ChiNext Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index saw significant gains, with year-to-date increases of over 40% [2][6] - Actively managed equity funds outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with an average net value growth rate of 27.48% compared to the index's 16.02% [6][7] Outstanding Fund Performances - A total of 865 actively managed equity funds recorded a net value growth rate exceeding 50%, with 38 funds doubling their value [9][10] - The top-performing fund, managed by Ren Jie, achieved a net value growth rate of 191.72%, capitalizing on opportunities in the cloud computing sector [9][10] Sector Performance - Key sectors such as electronics, communication equipment, and semiconductors showed strong performance, contributing to the success of many funds [9][18] - The communication equipment sector was highlighted as a major winner, with related index funds achieving returns over 95% [13][14] Future Market Outlook - Analysts expect a favorable cross-year and spring market for A-shares, driven by structural improvements in the domestic economy and a downward trend in risk-free interest rates [17][19] - Investment strategies are suggested to focus on technology sectors, consumer goods, and financials, with an emphasis on AI, new energy, and internet industries [18][19]