Workflow
民企地产债
icon
Search documents
中枢1.9%的焦虑
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-07-08 15:25
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - As of July 7, 2025, the valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise real estate bonds and industrial bonds in the outstanding credit bonds are generally higher than those of other varieties. Compared with last week, the yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds and real estate bonds have generally declined, and the short - end varieties of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds have a larger decline. Among them, the 1 - 2 - year public and 1 - year private non - perpetual bonds of private enterprises have declined by 19.6BP and 14.2BP respectively. The 2 - year private enterprise real estate bonds are more popular [3][8]. - In financial bonds, the varieties with high valuation yields and spreads include urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools and leasing company bonds. Compared with last week, the yields of financial bonds have generally declined. For example, the yields of 3 - 5 - year non - perpetual leasing bonds have declined by more than 8.5BP, and the yields of 1 - year joint - stock bank secondary perpetual bonds have declined by nearly 13BP [4][8]. - In public offering urban investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces are both below 2.3%. The urban investment bonds with yields exceeding 4.5% are in prefecture - level cities and districts and counties of Guizhou. The spreads in Yunnan, Gansu and other regions are also relatively high. Compared with last week, the yields of public offering urban investment bonds have basically declined, and the average yield of varieties within 1 year has declined by 11.5BP [2][16]. - In private placement urban investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields of coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong and Fujian are below 2.7%. The varieties with yields higher than 4% appear in prefecture - level cities of Guizhou and Shaanxi. The spreads in Yunnan, Gansu, Heilongjiang and other regions are also relatively high. Compared with last week, the yields of private placement urban investment bonds have mainly declined [2]. Group 3: Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Overall Outstanding Credit Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise real estate bonds and industrial bonds are generally higher than those of other varieties. The yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds and real estate bonds have generally declined, and the short - end varieties of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds have a larger decline. The yields of financial bonds have also generally declined [3][4][8]. - The data in the table shows the weighted average valuation yields, spreads, and their changes compared with last week of different types of bonds (including urban investment bonds, non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds, real estate bonds, financial bonds, etc.) under different issuance methods (public offering and private placement) and different maturities [9][12][13]. 2. Public Offering Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces are below 2.3%, while those in Guizhou's prefecture - level cities and districts and counties exceed 4.5%. The spreads in Yunnan, Gansu and other regions are relatively high. The yields have basically declined compared with last week, and the 1 - year varieties have an average decline of 11.5BP. The varieties with a large decline in yields include 1 - year non - perpetual bonds of Jiangsu provincial level, 1 - year perpetual bonds of Hebei provincial level, etc. [2][16]. - The table shows the weighted average valuation yields, spreads, and their changes compared with last week of public offering urban investment bonds at different administrative levels in various regions [17][19][21]. 3. Private Placement Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields of coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong and Fujian are below 2.7%. The varieties with yields higher than 4% appear in prefecture - level cities of Guizhou and Shaanxi. The spreads in Yunnan, Gansu, Heilongjiang and other regions are relatively high. The yields have mainly declined compared with last week, and the varieties with a large decline in yields include 1 - year perpetual bonds of Shandong district and county level, etc. [2]. - The table shows the weighted average valuation yields, spreads of private placement urban investment bonds at different administrative levels in various regions [25][28].
2.3%以上的意外拉久期
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-06-17 14:28
截至 2025 年 6 月 16 日,存量信用债估值及利差分布特征如下: 公募城投债中,江浙两省加权平均估值收益率均在 2.4%以下;收益率超过 4.5%的城投债出现在贵州地级市及区县级; 其余区域中,云南、甘肃等地的利差也较高。与上周相比,公募城投债收益率普遍下行,3-5年品种平均下行达到3.7BP。 具体来看,收益下行幅度较大的品种的包括 1 年内内蒙古地级市非永续、1-2 年吉林区县级非永续、1-2 年黑龙江地 级市非永续及 3-5 年吉林地级市非永续城投债。 私募城投债中,上海、浙江、广东、福建等沿海省份的加权平均估值收益率在 2.8%以下;收益率高于 4%的品种出现 在贵州、陕西地级市、云南地级市及区县级;其余的甘肃、黑龙江等地的利差也较高。与上周相比,私募城投债收益 率基本下行,2-3 年、3-5 年品种平均下行 3BP、5BP 之多。具体来看,收益率下行幅度较大的有 1 年内辽宁地级市非 永续、3-5 年广西区县级非永续、3-5 年青海区县级非永续、3-5 年河北地级市永续债,分别对应下行 20.6BP、19.9BP、 18.6BP 和 13.7BP。 存量信用债中,民企地产债和产业债估值收益率 ...
信用策略备忘录:高波动率与防守策略要点
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-05-17 13:56
量化信用策略 截至 5 月 9 日数据,银行永续债及券商债策略近期胜率不低。从策略期限来看,上周短端策略超额收益有限,城投下 沉组合落后于中长端基准;中长端策略方面,除城投久期、哑铃型策略外,其余策略组合超额收益均为正,其中,金 融债与非金信用重仓策略近四周累计超额收益进一步拉开差距,尤其是金融债久期策略近期收益弹性有所增加。 品种久期跟踪 二级资本债成交久期创年内最高。截至 5 月 9 日,城投债、产业债成交期限分别加权于 2.09 年、2.51 年,城投债与 产业债均处于 2021 年 3 月以来 90%以上分位数水平,商业银行债中,二级资本债、银行永续债以及一般商金债加权平 均成交期限分别为 4.19 年、3.59 年、2.30 年;从其余金融债来看,证券公司债、证券次级债、保险公司债、租赁公 司债久期分别为 1.58 年、1.98 年、3.75 年、1.27 年,其中证券公司债、证券次级债位于较低历史分位,保险公司 债、租赁公司债位于较高历史分位。 票息资产热度图谱 截至 2025 年 5 月 12 日,存量信用债中,民企地产债估值收益率及利差整体高于其他品种。与节前一周相比,非金融 非地产类产业债收 ...
信用策略备忘录:高波动率的信用策略要点
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-11 14:50
量化信用策略 截至 4 月 3 日,利率风格组合优势明显,二级资本债重仓策略收益随之出现不小涨幅。节前一周债市超预期上涨,各 类策略组合综合收益趋近年初水平。其中,信用风格二级资本债重仓策略周度收益上涨 26.4BP,为涨幅最大的一类策 略,久期及混合哑铃组合单周绝对收益均接近 0.6%,而利率风格组合收益普遍超过对应信用风格组合。 品种久期跟踪 城投债、产业债、保险公司债久期处于较高历史分位。截至 4 月 4 日,城投债、产业债成交期限分别加权于 2.12 年、 2.75 年,城投债与产业债均处于 2021 年 3 月以来较高位水平,商业银行债中,二级资本债、银行永续债以及一般商 金债加权平均成交期限分别为 3.82 年、3.17 年、2.23 年;从其余金融债来看,证券公司债、证券次级债、保险公司 债、租赁公司债久期分别为 1.52 年、1.95 年、4.06 年、1.20 年,一般商金债、证券公司债、银行永续债位于较低历 史分位,保险公司债位于较高历史分位。 票息资产热度图谱 截至 2025 年 4 月 7 日,存量信用债中,民企地产债估值收益率及利差整体高于其他品种。与上周相比,非金融非地 产类产业债 ...