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2026年信用债年度策略:信用利差扩大的观察之年
Soochow Securities· 2025-11-26 11:11
证券研究报告 2026年信用债年度策略: 信用利差扩大的观察之年 证券分析师:李勇 执业证书编号:S0600519040001 联系邮箱:liyong@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师:徐津晶 执业证书编号:S0600523110001 联系邮箱:xujj@dwzq.com.cn 2025年11月26日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 1、信用债市场及细分板块复盘与展望 2、从企业微观视角看信用扩张信号及基本面修复进程 3、风险提示 1、 信用债市场及细分板块复盘与展望 ✓ 信用债市场展望 ✓ 城投债板块展望 3 研究成果 摘要 ➢ 供给侧:规模预计继续维持小幅增长,结构预计延续2025年的"产业债为主、城投债补充",一方面主要源于"十五五"战略导向已明确"科技 自立自强",加之科创债ETF配置需求抬升,因此科技创新债券在政策引领下扩容概率较高,为信用债市场体量的增长构成新动能;另一方面主 要源于城投平台在经历数轮债务置换、压降后,大量平台主体已转型为产业化主体或正在探索产业化转型路径,而城投退平台的推进意味着打破 "借新换旧"掣肘的可能性日益增加,并带来新增融资需求 ➢ 需求侧:预计总量上变化不大,但结 ...
产业债投资策略:景气分化但估值趋同,产业债如何挖掘?
Orient Securities· 2025-11-24 01:46
景气分化但估值趋同,产业债如何挖掘? 固定收益 | 专题报告 产业债投资策略 研究结论 产业债挖掘策略:票息策略占优,关注收益增强机会。 主流发债行业研判:分化加剧,下沉挖掘性价比不高。 风险提示 政策变化超预期;信用风险暴露超预期;模型测算误差;数据统计可能存在遗误。 报告发布日期 2025 年 11 月 24 日 | 齐晟 | 执业证书编号:S0860521120001 | | --- | --- | | | qisheng@orientsec.com.cn | | | 010-66210535 | | 徐沛翔 | 执业证书编号:S0860525070003 | | | xupeixiang@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 票息策略优于久期策略:信用债市场周观 | 2025-11-17 | | --- | --- | | 察 | | | 信用债 ETF 将持续吸引资金流入:信用债 | 2025-11-11 | | 市场周观察 | | | 把握年末信用利差压缩行情:2025年11月 | 2025-11-06 | | 小品种策略 | | | 以中短信用为基本盘, ...
【固收】信用债发行量环比增加,各行业信用利差涨跌互现——信用债周度观察(20251117-20251121)(张旭/秦方好)
光大证券研究· 2025-11-23 00:04
查看完整报告 特别申明: 点击注册小程序 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 1、一级市场 注:本篇报告的信用债口径包括定向工具、短期融资券、公司债、金融债(不含同业存单和政金债)、中 期票据、企业债。 2025年11月17日至11月21日(以下简称"本周"),信用债共发行455只,发行规模总计5812.11亿元,环比 增加27.63%。 发行规模方面,本周,产业债共发行233只,发行规模达2515.05亿元,环比增加48.22%,占本周信用债发 行总规模的比例为43.27%;城投债共发行166只,发行规模达1036.56亿元,环比增加26.83%,占本周信用 债发行总规模的比例为17.83%;金融债共发行56只,发行规模达2260.50亿元,环比增加10.83%,占本周信 用债发行总规模的比例为38. ...
【财经分析】信用债低位震荡中不乏机遇 机构建议抓牢事件驱动型配置窗口
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 11:40
分析人士认为,展望2026年,在信用风险未明显抬升的背景下,信用利差预计维持较低水平,增量事件 带来的利差走阔将创造配置时点。 新华财经上海11月19日电 今年以来,债市信用利差总体处于低位,波段震荡特征明显。 信用利差低位震荡 中央国债登记结算有限责任公司提供的数据显示,截至11月18日收盘,银行间信用债市场收益率小幅波 动。举例来看,中债中短期票据收益率曲线(AAA)3M期限上探1BP至1.61%,3年期收益率下行1BP 至1.86%,5年期收益率稳定在1.99%附近;中债中短期票据收益率曲线(A)1年期回落1BP至6.90%。 值得一提的是,"信用债通常很难脱离利率债形成独立走势,因此,信用债的择时与波段操作本质上仍 是延续利率择时的框架。"曾羽表示,"在当前的市场环境中,基于增量事件的择时应为操作核心。从大 趋势上看,货币政策保持适度宽松,社会融资规模增长依赖政府债供给,信用市场资金供给多而债券供 给少的核心逻辑并未转变。也就是说,市场持续缓慢走强的格局在未来一段时间内难以转变。此间,增 量突发事件带来的信心变化和短期回撤将拉扯出估值空间,构成信用债配置和波段交易的时机窗口。 即,各机构需关注增量事件 ...
2.3%以上的债还有多少?
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-11-18 13:59
截至 2025 年 11 月 17 日,存量信用债估值及利差分布特征如下: 城投债: 公募城投债中,江浙两省加权平均估值收益率均在 2.5%以下;收益率超过 4.5%的城投债出现在贵州区县级;其余区 域中,云南、甘肃等地的利差也较高。与上周相比,公募城投债收益率超过半数下行,其中,3-5 年品种收益率平均 下行幅度达到 1.2BP。具体来看,收益下行幅度较大的品种的包括 3-5 年河南区县级非永续、3-5 年贵州区县级非永 续、1 年内及 2-3 年广西区县级永续债。 私募城投债中,上海、浙江、广东、福建等沿海省份的加权平均估值收益率在 2.85%以下;收益率高于 3.5%的品种出 现在云南、贵州地级市及区县级、以及甘肃区县级;其余的广西、青海等地的利差也较高。与上周相比,私募城投债 收益率普遍下行,3-5 年品种收益平均下行 2.6BP。具体来看,收益下行幅度较大的有 1 年内福建地级市永续、2-3 年 河北地级市永续、2-3 年山西区县级非永续及 1-2 年宁夏地级市非永续债,分别对应下行 8.6BP、9.3BP、12.6BP 和 22.7BP。 产业债: 民企地产债和产业债估值收益率及利差整体高于其他品 ...
信用债周策略20251117:地方盘活存量资产,稳固行业发展势头
Minsheng Securities· 2025-11-17 08:24
信用债周策略 20251117 地方盘活存量资产,稳固行业发展势头 2025 年 11 月 17 日 ➢ 扩内需政策及行业供需关系改善,部分行业价格出现了稳定增长趋势 2025 年 10 月份,随着扩内需等政策措施持续显效,叠加国庆、中秋长假带动, CPI 环比上涨 0.2%,同比上涨 0.2%;扣除食品和能源价格的核心 CPI 同比上涨 1.2%,涨幅连续第 6 个月扩大。受国内部分行业供需关系改善、国际大宗商品价 格传导等因素影响,PPI 环比由上月持平转为上涨 0.1%,为年内首次上涨;同比 下降 2.1%,降幅比上月收窄 0.2 个百分点,连续第 3 个月收窄。 各行业价格正在反复振荡中呈现有所回升趋势,部分行业出厂价格开始出现持续 修复迹象,例如煤炭、光伏、水泥、计算机、锂离子电池、集成电路等,这与近 期国家实施"反内卷"政策有关,也与各行业供需关系持续改善有关。同时,核 心 CPI 出现持续增长现象,目前已涨至 1.2%,且预计未来仍然存在进一步提升 的空间;此趋势若能延续至 2026 年,则 CPI 与 PPI 存在大幅度改善的可能性。 ➢ 地方政府正在积极盘活存量资产,拓展新的增量发展空间 2 ...
信用分析周报(2025/11/10-2025/11/14):平台市场化转型,成效几何?-20251116
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-16 12:17
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating The report does not provide an industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - The transformation effect of market - oriented business entities remains to be seen, and it is difficult to expect significant incremental bond supply. The supply - demand relationship of traditional credit bonds remains tight, and the pricing of outstanding bonds among market - oriented entities may become more differentiated in the future [3][35] - The concentrated opening of amortized open - end bond funds may directly benefit general credit bonds (such as urban investment bonds and industrial bonds), especially 3 - 5Y medium - and long - term credit bonds. High - rated (AAA - and above) medium - term notes are recommended as key trading targets in the future [7][75][76] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Platform Market - Oriented Transformation - **Local Bond Issuance for Debt Resolution** - Special Refinancing Bonds: As of 2025/11/9, 19,934 billion yuan of the 2 - trillion - yuan debt quota allocated in 2025 has been issued, almost fully utilized. Except for Henan, all other regions have completed the issuance of special refinancing special bonds within the annual quota [14] - Special New Special Bonds: As of 2025/11/9, 12,818 billion yuan of special new special bonds have been issued in 2025, exceeding the annual limit of 80 billion yuan. The excess may be used to repay non - implicit debt corporate arrears [20] - **Progress of Bond - Issuing Urban Investment Entities Exiting the Platform** - From 2025/1/1 - 11/9, 179 bond - issuing urban investment entities announced exiting the platform. Most provinces have a progress of over 50%, while Liaoning and Guizhou are relatively lagging, and future debt - resolution resources may be tilted towards them [24][27] - **Effect of Platform Market - Oriented Transformation** - The number of market - oriented business entities is increasing, but it has not led to a significant increase in bond financing scale. The reasons may be weak asset quality, cautious regulatory review, and limited investor recognition. The transformation effect remains to be observed [3][34] 3.2 Primary Market - **Net Financing Scale** - This week, the net financing of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) was 154.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 30.5 billion yuan from last week. The net financing of asset - backed securities was 35.9 billion yuan, an increase of 18.5 billion yuan from last week [36] - **Issuance Cost** - The issuance rate of AA industrial bonds increased by 30BP to over 3%. The issuance rates of other different - rated and different - type bonds fluctuated within 15BP compared to last week [45] 3.3 Secondary Market - **Trading Volume** - This week, the trading volume of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) decreased by 51.8 billion yuan compared to last week. The trading volume of asset - backed securities increased by 1.4 billion yuan [46] - **Yield** - The yields of different - rated and different - term credit bonds fluctuated within 3BP compared to last week [49] - **Credit Spreads** - Except for the slight compression of credit spreads in AA+ electrical equipment, light manufacturing, and automobile industries, the credit spreads of other industries and ratings slightly widened. The credit spreads of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and bank capital bonds also had small - scale fluctuations [54] 3.4 This Week's Bond Market News - The implied ratings of 20 bond issues of Lionbridge Financial Leasing (China) Co., Ltd. were downgraded; the implied rating of "Yuanhe 4B" issued by China Power Construction Group Hubei Engineering Co., Ltd. was downgraded; the entity rating of Beijing Aerospace宏图 Information Technology Co., Ltd. was downgraded, and the bond rating of "Hongtu Convertible Bond" was also downgraded [72] 3.5 Investment Recommendations - The central bank achieved a net injection of 626.2 billion yuan this week. Except for a few industries, the credit spreads of most industries and ratings slightly widened. The credit spreads of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and bank secondary and perpetual bonds had small - scale fluctuations [74] - The concentrated opening of amortized open - end bond funds may benefit general credit bonds and 3 - 5Y medium - and long - term credit bonds. High - rated medium - term notes are recommended as key trading targets [75][76]
【固收】信用债发行量环比增加,各行业信用利差涨跌互现——信用债周度观察(20251110-20251114)(张旭/秦方好)
光大证券研究· 2025-11-16 00:04
Primary Market - In the week from November 10 to November 14, 2025, a total of 330 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 455.379 billion yuan, an increase of 25.31% week-on-week [4] - The issuance scale of industrial bonds was 169.680 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.09%, accounting for 37.26% of the total credit bond issuance [4] - City investment bonds issued totaled 81.729 billion yuan, down 19.25%, representing 17.95% of the total [4] - Financial bonds saw an issuance of 203.970 billion yuan, an increase of 139.20%, making up 44.79% of the total [4] - The average issuance term for credit bonds was 2.75 years, with industrial bonds averaging 2.25 years, city investment bonds 3.51 years, and financial bonds 2.13 years [4] - The overall average coupon rate for credit bonds was 2.12%, with industrial bonds at 2.06%, city investment bonds at 2.26%, and financial bonds at 1.94% [4] - Two credit bonds were canceled during the week [4] Secondary Market - In terms of credit spreads, the largest increase for AAA-rated industries was in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, which rose by 6.5 basis points, while the largest decrease was in steel, down by 3.5 basis points [5] - For AA+ rated industries, the largest increase was in electronics, up by 1.4 basis points, and the largest decrease was in automobiles, down by 16.6 basis points [5] - The largest increase in AA-rated industries was in transportation, up by 0.9 basis points, while the largest decrease was in mining, down by 3.9 basis points [5] - For city investment bonds, the largest increase in AAA-rated credit spreads was in Zhejiang, up by 3 basis points, and the largest decrease was in Yunnan, down by 10.2 basis points [5] - The total trading volume of credit bonds was 1219.783 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.53% week-on-week [6] - The top three types of credit bonds by trading volume were commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium-term notes [6] - Commercial bank bonds had a trading volume of 375.608 billion yuan, an increase of 3.93%, accounting for 30.79% of the total [6] - Corporate bonds had a trading volume of 414.081 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.86%, representing 33.95% of the total [6] - Medium-term notes had a trading volume of 243.078 billion yuan, down by 16.01%, accounting for 19.93% of the total [6]
利率修复信用债大致平稳,二永债收益率小幅回落
Xinda Securities· 2025-11-15 15:23
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Interest rates are recovering, credit bond yields are generally stable, and credit spreads of high - grade bonds over 3Y are widening. The yields of credit bonds are generally stable, while the yields of government - developed bonds of 3Y, 5Y, 7Y, and 10Y are declining. Credit spreads of high - grade bonds over 3Y are mostly widening [2][5]. - Most urban investment bond spreads have slightly increased. The credit spreads of external rating AAA and AA+ platforms have generally increased by 2BP and 1BP respectively compared to last week, while the AA platform has generally remained flat [2][9]. - The spreads of industrial bonds have increased overall, and the increase in the spreads of mixed - ownership real - estate bonds is significant. The spreads of central and state - owned enterprise real - estate bonds, mixed - ownership real - estate bonds, and private real - estate bonds have all increased, with the mixed - ownership real - estate bonds having the largest increase [2][20]. - The yields of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds have slightly declined, and high - grade varieties are relatively advantageous. The yields of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds of all maturities have slightly decreased, with 3Y perpetual bonds performing strongly and high - grade varieties being more favorable [2][27]. - The excess spreads of 3Y industrial perpetual bonds have declined, and the excess spreads of urban investment perpetual bonds continue to diverge. The excess spreads of industrial AAA 3Y perpetual bonds have decreased, while the excess spreads of urban investment AAA 3Y and 5Y perpetual bonds show different trends [2][31]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Interest rates are recovering, credit bond yields are generally stable, and credit spreads of high - grade bonds over 3Y are widening - Yield changes: 1Y government - developed bond yields are flat compared to last week, while 3Y, 5Y, 7Y, and 10Y yields have decreased by 3BP, 2BP, 2BP, and 1BP respectively. For credit bonds, 1Y yields are flat, 3Y AAA - grade yields increase by 1BP, others decrease by 1BP; 5Y AAA - grade yields are flat, AA+ decreases by 1BP, AA decreases by 3BP, AA - decreases by 8BP; 7Y AAA - grade yields increase by 1BP, others decrease by 1BP; 10Y AAA - grade yields increase by 2BP, others are flat [2][5]. - Credit spread changes: 1Y credit spreads are flat; 3Y AAA - grade credit spreads increase by 4BP, others increase by 2BP; 5Y AA+ and above grade spreads increase by 1 - 2BP, AA grade decreases by 1BP, AA - grade decreases by 6BP; 7 - 10Y credit spreads increase by 1 - 3BP [2][5]. - Rating spread changes: 1Y spreads are flat; 3Y AAA/AA+ spreads decrease by 2BP, others are flat; 5Y AA/AA - grade spreads decrease by 5BP, others decrease by 1 - 2BP; 7Y and 10Y AAA/AA+ rating spreads decrease by 2BP, others are flat [5]. - Maturity spread changes: For AAA grade, 5Y/3Y decreases by 1BP, others increase by 1BP; for AA+ grade, 3Y/1Y decreases by 1BP, 10Y/7Y increases by 1BP, others are flat; for AA grade, 5Y/3Y and 3Y/1Y decrease by 1 - 2BP, others increase by 1 - 2BP [5]. 2. Most urban investment bond spreads have slightly increased - By external rating: The credit spreads of external rating AAA and AA+ platforms have generally increased by 2BP and 1BP respectively compared to last week, while the AA platform has generally remained flat. Among them, most AAA - grade platform spreads increase by 1 - 2BP, with Henan and Yunnan remaining flat; most AA+ - grade platforms are flat or increase by 1BP, with Guizhou, Yunnan, and Tianjin decreasing by 1 - 3BP, Gansu and Inner Mongolia increasing by 2BP; most AA - grade platforms are flat or increase by 1BP, with Shaanxi, Tianjin, Jilin, and Shandong decreasing by 1 - 3BP, Guizhou increasing by 4BP [2][9]. - By administrative level: The credit spreads of provincial and municipal platforms have generally increased by 2BP and 1BP respectively compared to last week, while the county - level platform spreads have remained flat. Most provincial platform spreads increase by 1 - 2BP, with Xinjiang, Anhui, and Zhejiang increasing by 3 - 4BP, Jiangsu increasing by 7BP, Yunnan and Shaanxi remaining flat; most municipal platforms increase by 1BP, with Yunnan decreasing by 1BP, Qinghai remaining flat, Zhejiang increasing by 2BP; most county - level platforms are flat or increase by 1BP, with Shaanxi, Jilin, and Jiangxi decreasing by 1 - 2BP, Guizhou increasing by 3BP [2][17]. 3. The spreads of industrial bonds have increased overall, and the increase in the spreads of mixed - ownership real - estate bonds is significant - Real - estate bonds: The spreads of central and state - owned enterprise real - estate bonds have increased by 1BP, the spreads of mixed - ownership real - estate bonds have increased by 123BP, and the spreads of private real - estate bonds have increased by 14BP. The spreads of Longfor have increased by 20BP, CIFI by 40BP, Midea Real Estate remained flat, and Vanke by 438BP [2][20]. - Other industrial bonds: The spreads of coal bonds of all grades have increased by 0 - 2BP; the spreads of AAA - grade steel bonds have increased by 1BP, AA+ by 5BP; the spreads of AAA - grade chemical bonds have increased by 2BP, AA+ remained flat. The spreads of Shaanxi Coal Industry have increased by 1BP, while the spreads of HBIS and Jinkong Coal Industry have decreased by 1BP [2][20]. 4. The yields of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds have slightly declined, and high - grade varieties are relatively advantageous - 1Y: The yields of all grades of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds have decreased by 0 - 1BP, and the spreads have compressed similarly [2][27]. - 3Y: The yields of all grades of Tier 2 capital bonds have decreased by 2 - 3BP, and the spreads have increased by 0 - 1BP; the yields of all grades of perpetual bonds have decreased by 3 - 4BP, and the spreads have compressed by 0 - 1BP [2][27]. - 5Y: The yield of AAA - grade Tier 2 capital bonds has decreased by 3BP, and the spread is flat; the yields of other grades of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds have decreased by 2BP, and the spreads have increased by 1BP [2][27]. 5. The excess spreads of 3Y industrial perpetual bonds have declined, and the excess spreads of urban investment perpetual bonds continue to diverge - Industrial perpetual bonds: The excess spreads of industrial AAA 3Y perpetual bonds have decreased by 1.38BP to 14.79BP compared to last week, at the 38.88% percentile since 2015; the excess spreads of industrial 5Y perpetual bonds are flat at 12.39BP compared to last week, at the 27.07% percentile since 2015 [2][31]. - Urban investment perpetual bonds: The excess spreads of urban investment AAA 3Y perpetual bonds have decreased by 2.04BP to 5.35BP, at the 5.14% percentile; the excess spreads of urban investment AAA 5Y perpetual bonds have increased by 1.83BP to 10.97BP, at the 17.02% percentile [2][31]. 6. Credit Spread Database Compilation Instructions - Calculation basis: The overall market credit spreads, commercial bank Tier 2 and perpetual bond spreads, and urban investment/industrial perpetual bond credit spreads are calculated based on ChinaBond Medium - and Short - Term Notes and ChinaBond Perpetual Bonds data, with historical percentiles since the beginning of 2015; the urban investment and industrial bond - related credit spreads are compiled and统计 by the R & D Center of Cinda Securities, with historical percentiles since the beginning of 2015 [36]. - Calculation methods: Industrial and urban investment individual bond credit spreads = individual bond ChinaBond valuation (exercise) - same - maturity government - developed bond yield to maturity (calculated by linear interpolation method), and then the credit spreads of industries or regional urban investments are obtained by arithmetic averaging; bank Tier 2 capital bond/perpetual bond excess spreads = bank Tier 2 capital bond/perpetual bond credit spreads - same - grade and same - maturity bank ordinary bond credit spreads; industrial/urban investment - type perpetual bond excess spreads = industrial/urban investment - type perpetual bond credit spreads - same - grade and same - maturity medium - term note credit spreads [38]. - Sample selection: Both industrial and urban investment bonds select medium - term notes and public corporate bonds as samples, and exclude guaranteed bonds and perpetual bonds. If the remaining maturity of an individual bond is less than 0.5 years or more than 5 years, it is excluded from the statistical sample. Industrial and urban investment bonds use external entity ratings, while commercial banks use ChinaBond implicit debt ratings [38].
信用债周度观察(20251110-20251114):信用债发行量环比增加,各行业信用利差涨跌互现-20251115
EBSCN· 2025-11-15 07:06
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report Core Viewpoints - From November 10 to November 14, 2025, the issuance volume of credit bonds increased month - on - month, and the industry credit spreads showed mixed trends [1] Summary by Directory 1. Primary Market 1.1 Issuance Statistics - From November 10 to November 14, 2025, 330 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 455.379 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 25.31% [1][11] - In terms of issuance scale, 161 industrial bonds were issued, with a scale of 169.68 billion yuan, a 4.09% month - on - month decrease, accounting for 37.26% of the total credit bond issuance scale; 122 urban investment bonds were issued, with a scale of 81.729 billion yuan, a 19.25% month - on - month decrease, accounting for 17.95% of the total scale; 47 financial bonds were issued, with a scale of 203.97 billion yuan, a 139.20% month - on - month increase, accounting for 44.79% of the total scale [1][11] - In terms of issuance term, the average issuance term of credit bonds was 2.75 years. The average issuance term of industrial bonds was 2.25 years, urban investment bonds was 3.51 years, and financial bonds was 2.13 years [1][15] - In terms of issuance coupon rate, the average issuance coupon rate of credit bonds was 2.12%. The average issuance coupon rate of industrial bonds was 2.06%, urban investment bonds was 2.26%, and financial bonds was 1.94% [2][19] 1.2 Cancellation of Issuance Statistics - Two credit bonds cancelled issuance this week, namely "25 Huadian Jiangsu SCP027" and "25 Xingmei 01" [3][24] 2. Secondary Market 2.1 Credit Spread Tracking - This week, industry credit spreads showed mixed trends. Among Shenwan primary industries, the largest upward movement in AAA - rated industry credit spreads was in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, up 6.5BP, and the largest downward movement was in steel, down 3.5BP; for AA + - rated industry credit spreads, the largest upward movement was in electronics, up 1.4BP, and the largest downward movement was in the automobile industry, down 16.6BP; for AA - rated industry credit spreads, the largest upward movement was in transportation, up 0.9BP, and the largest downward movement was in mining, down 3.9BP [3][26] - For urban investment bonds by region, among AAA - rated bonds, the largest upward movement in credit spreads was in Zhejiang, up 3BP, and the largest downward movement was in Yunnan, down 10.2BP; for AA + - rated bonds, the largest upward movement was in Fujian, up 2.6BP, and the largest downward movement was in Yunnan, down 10.6BP; for AA - rated bonds, the largest upward movement was in Chongqing, up 3.1BP, and the largest downward movement was in Henan, down 5.7BP [3][29] 2.2 Trading Volume Statistics - The total trading volume of credit bonds was 1219.783 billion yuan, a 5.53% month - on - month decrease. The top three in terms of trading volume were commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium - term notes. Specifically, the trading volume of commercial bank bonds was 375.608 billion yuan, a 3.93% month - on - month increase, accounting for 30.79% of the total credit bond trading volume; the trading volume of corporate bonds was 414.081 billion yuan, a 7.86% month - on - month decrease, accounting for 33.95% of the total volume; the trading volume of medium - term notes was 243.078 billion yuan, a 16.01% month - on - month decrease, accounting for 19.93% of the total volume [4][30] 2.3 Active Bonds Traded This Week - The report selects the top 20 urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds in terms of trading volume this week for investors' reference, including information such as bond codes, names, trading volumes, average trading yields, and issuers [32][33][34]