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品种久期跟踪:久期的极限位
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-07-13 08:01
其余金融债:从加权平均成交期限来看,保险公司债>证券次级债>证券公司债>租赁公司债,分别处于 79%、23%、 16%、68%的历史分位数,保险公司债和证券次级债久期较上周有小幅拉长。 截至 7 月 11 日,城投债、产业债成交期限分别加权于 2.44 年、3.77 年,均处于 2021 年 3 月以来 90%以上分位数水 平,商业银行债中,二级资本债、银行永续债以及一般商金债加权平均成交期限分别为 4.16 年、3.74 年、2.95 年, 其中银行永续债处于较低历史水平;从其余金融债来看,证券公司债、证券次级债、保险公司债、租赁公司债久期分 别为 1.43 年、1.83 年、3.56 年、1.20 年,其中证券公司债、证券次级债位于较低历史分位,保险公司债位于较高历 史分位。 城投债:城投债加权平均成交期限徘徊在 2.44 年附近。其中,广东地级市、河北省级城投债久期超 5 年,山西地级 市城投债成交久期缩短至 1.35 年附近。同时,江苏地级市、江苏区县级、浙江地级市、重庆区县级等区域城投债久 期历史分位数已逾 90%,湖南省级、河南地级市城投债久期逼近 2021 年以来最高。 产业债:产业债加权平均成 ...
债市调整中信用相对强势1Y期收益率逆势下行
Xinda Securities· 2025-07-12 13:22
债市调整中信用相对强势 1Y 期收益率逆势下行 —— 信用利差周度跟踪 [[Table_R Table_Report eportTTime ime]] 2025 年 7 月 12 日 证券研究报告 债券研究 [Table_ReportType] 专题报告 | ] [Table_A 李一爽 uthor固定收益首席分析师 | | --- | | 执业编号:S1500520050002 | | 联系电话:+86 18817583889 | | 邮 箱: liyishuang@cindasc.com | 朱金保 固定收益分析师 执业编号:S1500524080002 联系电话:+86 15850662789 联系电话:+86 15850662789 箱: zhujinbao@cindasc.com 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 歌声ue 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号金隅 大厦B 座 邮编:100031 3债市调整中信用相对强势 1Y 期收益率逆势下行 [Table_ReportDat ...
信用策略备忘录:逼仄行情备忘录
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-07-11 13:01
截至 7 月 4 日,二级资本债重仓策略显著修复,二级债子弹型、产业超长型策略周度收益趋近于近三个月最高。信用 风格二级资本债重仓组合收益均值回升 28bp 至 0.27%附近,其中,久期及混合哑铃型策略修复力度较大。超长债重仓 策略平均收益则出现 38bp 左右的大幅回升,二季度产业、二级超长型策略累计收益不及城投超长型,而本周收益几 乎位于近三个月最高点。超长端策略超额收益回升至 6 月初水平,近期久期策略从城投轮动至产业、二级债品种,特 别是上周二级超长型策略组合超额升至 17bp 以上,与此前连续三周的负项读数形成对比。 一般商金债久期从上周 2.1 年快速拉长至本周 3.3 年,逼近历史最高水平。截至 7 月 4 日,城投债、产业债成交期限 分别加权于 2.27 年、3.27 年,均处于 2021 年 3 月以来 90%以上分位数水平,商业银行债中,二级资本债、银行永续 债以及一般商金债加权平均成交期限分别为 4.28 年、3.73 年、3.27 年,其中银行永续债处于较低历史水平;从其余 金融债来看,证券公司债、证券次级债、保险公司债、租赁公司债久期分别为 1.52 年、1.69 年、3.33 年 ...
资金面边际收敛,多重利空影响下,债市明显走弱
Dong Fang Jin Cheng· 2025-07-11 09:08
债市早报 资金面边际收敛;多重利空影响下,债市明显走弱 【内容摘要】7 月 10 日,资金面边际收敛,主要回购利率均小幅上行;多重利空影响下,债 市明显走弱;转债市场跟随权益市场有所上行,转债市场个券多数上涨;各期限美债收益率普 遍上行,主要欧洲经济体 10 年期国债收益率普遍上行。 一、债市要闻 (一)国内要闻 【上交所面向投资端机构召开科创板"1+6"政策宣介会】据证券时报,近日,上海证券交易 所面向资本市场投资端组织召开科创板改革"1+6"政策专题宣介会,包括公募基金、证券公 司、保险资管、银行理财子等在内的三十余家市场机构代表近百人参会。下一步,上交所将全 方位多层次加强与市场主体的沟通交流和政策宣贯,凝聚市场共识,继续推动科创板各项改革 措施走深走实,加快构建更有利于支持创新发展的资本市场生态,为培育新质生产力、推动高 质量发展提供强有力的支持。 【国家发改委:以"两重""两新"资金为抓手,加大新型城镇化重点领域投入】近日,国家 发展改革委城市和小城镇改革发展中心表示,锚定到 2035 年基本实现新型城镇化目标,要顺 应规律、把握趋势,紧抓城镇化动力仍然较强的关键时期,高质量推进新型城镇化四大行动, ...
科创债专题研究系列(五):科创债全景透视:政策演进、发展现状与国际经验
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2025-07-11 09:07
2025 年 6 月 专题研究 科创债全景透视:政策演进、发展现状与国际经验 ——科创债专题研究系列(五) 民企债券融资支持力度再升级,新举措能 否带来新突破?——交易商协会民企14条 点评,2025 年 3 月 如需订阅研究报告,敬请联系 中诚信国际品牌与投资人服务部 作者: 中诚信国际 研究院 袁海霞 hxyuan@ccxi.com.cn 谭 畅 chtan@ccxi.com.cn 卢菱歌 lglu@ccxi.com.cn 郝云龙 ylhao@ccxi.com.cn 债市"科技板"启航,五方面速览科创债 增量政策,2025 年 5 月 新一轮增量金融政策的四大关注——5月7 号国新办发布会点评,2025 年 5 月 《民营经济促进法》落地,法治升级对债 市影响几何?——《民营经济促进法》点 评,2025 年 5 月 赵 耿 010-66428731 gzhao@ccxi.com.cn www.ccxi.com.cn 1 月价格数据点评 通胀水平延续回落、物价稳中 CPI、PPI 双双回落,通胀压力处于可控范围-- 12 月价格数据点评及 2022 年展望,2022 年 1 月 12 日 CPI、PPI 双 ...
债市早报:资金面边际收敛;多重利空影响下,债市明显走弱
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-11 02:36
【内容摘要】7月10日,资金面边际收敛,主要回购利率均小幅上行;多重利空影响下,债市明显走 弱;转债市场跟随权益市场有所上行,转债市场个券多数上涨;各期限美债收益率普遍上行,主要欧洲 经济体10年期国债收益率普遍上行。 一、债市要闻 (一)国内要闻 【上交所面向投资端机构召开科创板"1+6"政策宣介会】据证券时报,近日,上海证券交易所面向资本 市场投资端组织召开科创板改革"1+6"政策专题宣介会,包括公募基金、证券公司、保险资管、银行理 财子等在内的三十余家市场机构代表近百人参会。下一步,上交所将全方位多层次加强与市场主体的沟 通交流和政策宣贯,凝聚市场共识,继续推动科创板各项改革措施走深走实,加快构建更有利于支持创 新发展的资本市场生态,为培育新质生产力、推动高质量发展提供强有力的支持。 【国家发改委:以"两重""两新"资金为抓手,加大新型城镇化重点领域投入】近日,国家发展改革委城 市和小城镇改革发展中心表示,锚定到2035年基本实现新型城镇化目标,要顺应规律、把握趋势,紧抓 城镇化动力仍然较强的关键时期,高质量推进新型城镇化四大行动,为中国式现代化提供有力支撑。其 中,要以"两重""两新"资金使用为抓手, ...
打破产业企业融资壁垒 上交所着力推动高成长产业债发行
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-07-10 22:58
Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) has successfully launched 53 high-growth industrial bonds, totaling 37.3 billion yuan, with over 80 non-bank institutions participating, indicating a growing interest in these bonds as a means to enhance investment returns [1] Group 1: Market Context - High-growth industrial bonds emerged last year due to a long-standing disconnect between market financing parties, with a notable decline in investment yields amid falling interest rates, leading to a structural asset shortage [1] - The need for funding among industrial enterprises remains critical, as they face challenges in accessing financing, resulting in high costs and limited channels [1] Group 2: Solutions and Initiatives - SSE aims to create a "high-yield bond" market that aligns with China's bond market investment habits and regulatory requirements, encouraging credit differentiation to facilitate financing for various industrial enterprises [1] - A full-chain service team for high-growth industrial bonds has been established by SSE to assist enterprises with good repayment intentions and credit records in overcoming financing barriers [2] Group 3: Market Perception and Challenges - Many industrial enterprises face difficulties in their initial bond issuance due to a lack of confidence from brokers and investment institutions, leading to challenges in selling bonds [2] - Concerns about the risks associated with high-yield bonds persist among market participants, stemming from previous experiences of credit contraction in the bond market [2] Group 4: Future Developments - SSE's high-growth industrial bond team has created a dynamic project database to provide tailored services and is planning to promote regular issuance of these bonds, aiming for a scale of 100 bonds by the end of the year [3] - The SSE will conduct market-wide training and project collection to enhance the understanding of investment value in industrial enterprises [3]
影响市场重大事件:商务部已部署开展打击战略矿产走私出口专项行动
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-10 22:47
Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce has initiated a special action to combat the smuggling and export of strategic minerals such as antimony and gallium, which have military and civilian applications [1] - The Ministry of Commerce, along with nine other departments, has released a work plan aimed at promoting employment in the domestic service sector, focusing on rural labor [3] - The establishment of the Commercial Aerospace Industry Innovation Center in Hainan with a registered capital of 100 million RMB, focusing on satellite services and rocket development [4] Group 2 - The photovoltaic glass industry is responding to the "anti-involution" policy, with many companies planning to reduce production by 30% to improve supply conditions due to falling prices [5] - The basic pension for retirees will be increased by 2% starting January 1, 2025, based on various economic factors [6] - The National Energy Administration has released key industry standards to support energy security and green transformation, including regulations for distributed phase-shifting devices [7] Group 3 - The Ministry of Commerce is promoting summer consumption by integrating travel, culture, and sports, and organizing activities to enhance the supply of quality goods and services [8] - Liu Guozhong emphasized the need for innovation in the pharmaceutical sector to better support public health, advocating for policies that enhance financing and approval processes for innovative drugs [9] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is developing a high-growth industrial bond market to address financing challenges for SMEs and private enterprises, with 53 bonds issued totaling 37.3 billion RMB [10]
力争年底达到百单!上交所这一新品种直面债市投融资难题
证券时报· 2025-07-10 13:35
上交所推出的高成长产业债是什么?"市场需要一款既有收益,又能让投资机构买得放心的特殊产品,这就是我们目前提出的高成长产业债。"面 对市场的疑问,上交所债券业务中心有关负责人近日这样向记者解释。 高成长产业债的诞生源于市场投融双方长期存在隔离。在利率中枢明显下行的过程中,投资机构收益率同步下降,长期遵循的"重城投、轻产业"的投资逻辑无 法继续,甚至形成所谓"资产荒"的结构性欠配。与此同时,急需资金助力的产业类企业难以获得资金支持,融资渠道不够畅通,融资难、融资贵的情形仍然存 在。 债券市场投融资风格亟待变革。在这样的背景下,高成长产业债2024年应运而生。截至6月30日,上交所累计已有53只高成长产业债成功落地,多地区、多 类型企业相继完成创新性发行,金额合计373亿元;同时年内已有80余家非银机构参与该产品投资,高成长产业债已成为各类投资机构增厚收益的重要选择。 据了解,今年下半年,上交所将推动产品常态化发行,力争年底高成长产业债发行规模达到百单。 "在上一轮2018年前后债券市场信用收缩过程中,我们投资产业企业遭受一定损失,甚至至今部分债券仍未处置完毕;所以现在面对产业债,我们既关注相对 较高的收益,但也担 ...
直面债券市场难题 上交所打造高成长产业债市场
Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) has introduced high-growth industry bonds to address the financing challenges faced by industrial enterprises and to provide a reliable investment product for institutions amid declining interest rates [1][2]. Group 1: Market Context and Product Introduction - High-growth industry bonds were created in response to a long-standing disconnect between investment and financing parties, exacerbated by a structural asset shortage and declining yields for investment institutions [1][2]. - As of June 30, 2024, the SSE has successfully launched 53 high-growth industry bonds, totaling 37.3 billion yuan, with over 80 non-bank institutions participating in these investments [1][2]. Group 2: Support for Enterprises - The issuance of high-growth industry bonds has been positively influenced by policy support and market demand, with notable examples such as the successful issuance by Guangxi Modern Logistics Group [2]. - The SSE has established a comprehensive service team to assist enterprises with good credit records in overcoming barriers to bond issuance, promoting a "market主体唱戏" model [2]. Group 3: Addressing Investor Concerns - Concerns regarding high-yield bonds are prevalent due to past experiences with credit contractions, leading to a cautious approach from investors [3]. - The SSE aims to clarify the positioning of high-growth industry bonds, encouraging a tiered credit system to facilitate financing for various industrial enterprises while maintaining regulatory standards [3]. Group 4: Investor Protection and Market Mechanisms - High-growth industry bonds include investor protection clauses, encouraging issuers to understand potential investor intentions and establish performance commitments [4]. - The SSE is enhancing secondary market liquidity by guiding underwriters to provide market-making services for these bonds, ensuring investors can enter and exit the market effectively [4]. Group 5: Future Development and Challenges - The SSE aims to normalize the issuance of high-growth industry bonds, targeting a total of 100 bonds by the end of the year, while addressing challenges such as credit risk management and the role of intermediary institutions [5]. - A dynamic project database has been established to provide tailored services to enterprises, with plans for market-wide training and collective roadshows to promote the bonds [5].