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票息资产热度图谱:精选短债策略
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-09-23 14:03
Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core Viewpoints - As of September 22, 2025, the valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise industrial bonds and real estate bonds in the outstanding credit bonds are generally higher than those of other varieties. Compared with last week, the yields of most varieties in non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds have increased, while the adjustment range of real estate bond yields is relatively small. In financial bonds, the yields of medium - term varieties from 1 - 3 years have mostly declined [2][3][8] - In public urban investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields in Jiangsu and Zhejiang are below 2.7%, and the yields of urban investment bonds in prefecture - level and district - county levels in Guizhou exceed 4.5%. In private urban investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields in coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian are below 3%, and the yields of varieties in prefecture - level cities in Guizhou and Yunnan are higher than 4% [2][14][22] Summary by Directory Chart 1: Outstanding Credit Bond Weighted Average Valuation Yield - Displays the weighted average valuation yields of various types of outstanding credit bonds as of September 22, including urban investment bonds, non - financial non - real estate industrial bonds (state - owned and private enterprises), real estate bonds (state - owned and private enterprises), financial bonds, etc. [10] Chart 2: Outstanding Credit Bond Weighted Average Spread - Presents the weighted average spreads of various types of outstanding credit bonds as of September 22, with the calculation benchmark being the same - term China Development Bank bonds [11] Chart 3: Change in Outstanding Credit Bond Weighted Average Valuation Yield Compared to Last Week - Shows the changes in the weighted average valuation yields of various types of outstanding credit bonds as of September 22 compared to last week, calculated based on the yields of September 22 and September 15 [12] Chart 4: Change in Outstanding Credit Bond Weighted Average Spread Compared to Last Week - Illustrates the changes in the weighted average spreads of various types of outstanding credit bonds as of September 22 compared to last week, calculated based on the spreads of September 22 and September 15 [13] Chart 5: Public Urban Investment Bond Weighted Average Valuation Yield - Details the weighted average valuation yields of public urban investment bonds in different administrative levels and regions as of September 22, such as provincial, prefecture - level, and district - county levels in various provinces [15] Chart 6: Public Urban Investment Bond Weighted Average Spread - Displays the weighted average spreads of public urban investment bonds in different administrative levels and regions as of September 22 [17] Chart 7: Change in Public Urban Investment Bond Weighted Average Valuation Yield Compared to Last Week - Shows the changes in the weighted average valuation yields of public urban investment bonds in different administrative levels and regions as of September 22 compared to last week [19] Chart 8: Private Urban Investment Bond Weighted Average Valuation Yield - Presents the weighted average valuation yields of private urban investment bonds in different administrative levels and regions as of September 22 [23] Chart 9: Private Urban Investment Bond Weighted Average Spread - Displays the weighted average spreads of private urban investment bonds in different administrative levels and regions as of September 22 [25]
2.3%找扛跌资产
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-09-16 15:18
Group 1: Investment Ratings - No investment ratings for the industry are provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views - As of September 15, 2025, private enterprise real - estate bonds and industrial bonds have higher valuation yields and spreads compared to other varieties. The yields of non - financial and non - real - estate industrial bonds and real - estate bonds have generally increased compared to the previous week [3][8]. - Among financial bonds, urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary instruments and leasing company bonds have higher valuation yields and spreads. Financial bond yields have generally risen compared to the previous week [4][8]. - In the urban investment bond market, public urban investment bonds in Jiangsu and Zhejiang have relatively low weighted average valuation yields, while those in Guizhou, Yunnan, and Gansu have higher yields or spreads. Private urban investment bonds in coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian have relatively low weighted average valuation yields, and those in Guizhou have higher yields [2][14][23]. Group 3: Summary by Category Urban Investment Bonds - **Public Urban Investment Bonds**: The weighted average valuation yields in Jiangsu and Zhejiang are below 2.65%. Bonds with yields over 4.5% are in prefecture - level and district - county - level areas of Guizhou. Yields in Yunnan, Gansu and other regions also have higher spreads. Compared to last week, the overall yields have increased, with an average increase of over 3BP for 2 - 3 - year and 3 - 5 - year varieties [2][14]. - **Private Urban Investment Bonds**: The weighted average valuation yields in coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian are below 3%. Bonds with yields higher than 4% are in prefecture - level areas of Guizhou. Yields in Yunnan, Gansu and other regions also have higher spreads. Compared to last week, the overall yields have increased, with an average increase of 3.8BP for 2 - 3 - year varieties [23]. Industrial Bonds - **Non - financial and Non - real - estate Industrial Bonds**: Yields have basically increased. The yields of 2 - 3 - year private enterprise public perpetual bonds and private non - perpetual bonds have increased significantly [3][8]. - **Real - estate Bonds**: All yields have increased, with the adjustment of varieties over 1 year being stronger than that of short - term bonds. The yields of 1 - 2 - year state - owned enterprise private and private enterprise public non - perpetual bonds have increased by about 5BP [3][8]. Financial Bonds - **Leasing Company Bonds**: There has been some adjustment, with relatively large increases in the yields of 1 - 2 - year perpetual and 2 - 3 - year private perpetual varieties [4]. - **Bank Sub - debt**: It is the most volatile bond type among financial bonds. The yields of secondary capital bonds over 1 year and perpetual bonds over 2 years have significantly adjusted [4]. - **Commercial Financial Bonds**: They have strong defensive attributes, with all varieties having an adjustment within 3BP, and the yield of state - owned bank varieties within 1 year has decreased by 1BP [4]. - **Securities Company Bonds**: The performance varies by term. Some varieties within 2 years have stable yields, while the yields of 2 - 3 - year and 3 - 5 - year public sub - debt have increased by around 5BP [4].
拥挤到疏散的力度
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-08-12 15:21
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - As of August 11, 2025, in the stock of credit bonds, the valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise industrial bonds and real estate bonds are generally higher than other varieties. Compared with last week, the yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds mostly declined, with the 1 - year - within private enterprise private non - perpetual varieties having a relatively larger decline, averaging 6.9BP; in real estate bonds, the yields of each variety basically declined, and the 1 - year - within varieties also had a larger average decline. In financial bonds, varieties with high valuation yields and spreads include leasing company bonds, urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools, and securities sub - bonds. More than half of the yields of each variety of financial bonds declined compared with last week [3][8]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 General Information on Credit Bonds - As of August 11, 2025, in the stock of credit bonds, private enterprise industrial bonds and real estate bonds have higher valuation yields and spreads. Non - financial non - real estate industrial bonds and real estate bonds' yields mostly declined compared with last week, and financial bonds' yields also had a downward trend in more than half of the varieties [3][8]. 3.2 City Investment Bonds 3.2.1 Public Offering City Investment Bonds - In public offering city investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces are below 2.4%. Bonds with yields over 4.5% are in prefecture - level and district - county - level areas of Guizhou. Guangxi, Yunnan, Gansu and other regions also have high spreads. Compared with last week, the yields of public offering city investment bonds mainly declined, especially in key provinces. The varieties with large downward amplitudes include non - perpetual bonds of prefecture - level cities in Inner Mongolia within 1 year, non - perpetual bonds of prefecture - level cities in Gansu within 1 year, perpetual bonds of district - county - level areas in Chongqing from 1 - 2 years, and non - perpetual city investment bonds of prefecture - level cities in Hebei from 1 - 2 years [2][14]. 3.2.2 Private Offering City Investment Bonds - In private offering city investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields in coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian are below 2.8%. Bonds with yields higher than 4% are in prefecture - level cities in Guizhou. Shaanxi, Yunnan, Gansu and other regions also have high spreads. Compared with last week, the yields of each variety in private offering city investment bonds mostly declined. The varieties with large downward amplitudes are non - perpetual bonds of prefecture - level cities in Inner Mongolia from 2 - 3 years, non - perpetual bonds of prefecture - level cities in Yunnan from 3 - 5 years, non - perpetual bonds of prefecture - level cities in Liaoning within 1 year, and perpetual city investment bonds of prefecture - level cities in Shaanxi from 3 - 5 years, with corresponding declines of 10.7BP, 9.4BP, 9.0BP, and 8.8BP respectively [2][24]. 3.3 Industrial Bonds - The valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise industrial bonds and real estate bonds are generally higher than other varieties. Non - financial non - real estate industrial bonds' yields mostly declined, with the 1 - year - within private enterprise private non - perpetual varieties having an average decline of 6.9BP. Real estate bonds' yields also basically declined, and the 1 - year - within varieties had a larger average decline [3][8]. 3.4 Financial Bonds - Financial bonds with high valuation yields and spreads include leasing company bonds, urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools, and securities sub - bonds. More than half of the yields of each variety of financial bonds declined compared with last week. In leasing bonds, private varieties had more significant declines, with private perpetual bonds within 2 years declining by more than 6BP. In general commercial financial bonds, the interest rates of each variety fluctuated within a narrow range, not exceeding 1.5BP. In Tier 2 capital bonds, the varieties with more significant declines were mostly perpetual bonds of urban and rural commercial banks within 1 year, and the decline amplitude of perpetual bonds of urban commercial banks within 1 year was greater than 5BP. In addition, the yield of 2 - 3 - year private non - perpetual sub - bonds of securities companies increased by 2.9BP [4][8].
截至2025年7月21日,存量信用债估值及利差分布特征如下:
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-07-22 14:20
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - As of July 21, 2025, the valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise real estate bonds and industrial bonds in the outstanding credit bonds are generally higher than other varieties. Compared with last week, the yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds have all declined, with private enterprise bonds declining more than state - owned enterprise bonds, and short - term bonds being more favored than those over 1 year. Real estate bond yields mainly declined, with the yield of public non - perpetual bonds within 1 year dropping by more than 5BP. In financial bonds, urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools and leasing company bonds have relatively high valuation yields and spreads. Compared with last week, financial bond yields generally declined, with some adjustments in 3 - 5 - year non - perpetual varieties [2][3][8] Group 3: Summary According to Related Catalogs 1. Overall Outstanding Credit Bonds - The valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise real estate bonds and industrial bonds are higher than other varieties. Non - financial non - real estate industrial bond yields declined, with private enterprise bonds having a larger decline. Real estate bond yields mainly declined, and 1 - year - within public non - perpetual real estate bonds had a yield reduction of over 5BP. Financial bond yields generally declined, with certain adjustments in 3 - 5 - year non - perpetual varieties [2][3][8] 2. Urban Investment Bonds Public Urban Investment Bonds - In Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces, the weighted average valuation yields are below 2.3%. Yields over 4.5% are in Guizhou's district - level. Yunnan, Gansu and other regions have high spreads. Compared with last week, yields generally declined, with an average decline of less than 2BP. Larger decline varieties include 2 - 3 - year and 3 - 5 - year non - perpetual bonds of Guangdong provincial level, 2 - 3 - year perpetual bonds of Shaanxi district - level, and 1 - 2 - year non - perpetual bonds of Yunnan prefectural - level [2][15][16] Private Urban Investment Bonds - Coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian have weighted average valuation yields below 2.8%. Yields higher than 3.5% are in Shaanxi prefectural - level, Guizhou and Yunnan prefectural - and district - levels. Gansu, Heilongjiang and other regions have high spreads. Compared with last week, yields mainly declined. Larger decline varieties include 2 - 3 - year non - perpetual bonds of Tianjin provincial level, 1 - year - within non - perpetual bonds of Guizhou district - level, 3 - 5 - year perpetual bonds of Shaanxi prefectural - level, and 2 - 3 - year non - perpetual bonds of Heilongjiang prefectural - level, with declines of 10.5BP, 11.1BP, 21.8BP, and 13.5BP respectively [2][24][25] 3. Non - Financial Non - Real Estate Industrial Bonds - Yields declined compared with last week, with private enterprise bonds having a larger decline than state - owned enterprise bonds, and short - term bonds being more popular [3][8] 4. Real Estate Bonds - Yields mainly declined, and the yield of 1 - year - within public non - perpetual bonds dropped by more than 5BP [3][8] 5. Financial Bonds - Valuation yields and spreads are relatively high in urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools and leasing company bonds. Yields generally declined compared with last week. 1 - year - within private and 2 - 3 - year public perpetual leasing bonds had large declines, while 3 - 5 - year non - perpetual varieties had adjustments. Commercial financial bond yields declined within 4BP, and 3 - 5 - year urban and rural commercial bank varieties had callbacks. Short - duration bank sub - bonds performed better than medium - and long - term ones [4][8]
票息资产热度图谱:绝对收益低位分布
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-07-15 15:10
Group 1: Report's Core View - As of July 14, 2025, private enterprise industrial bonds and real estate bonds generally have higher valuation yields and spreads. Compared with the previous week, the yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds and real estate bonds have been adjusted, with varying degrees of increase in different varieties. In the financial bond sector, the yields of most varieties have also increased [2][3][8] Group 2: Summary by Bond Type Urban Investment Bonds - **Public Offering**: The weighted average valuation yields in Jiangsu and Zhejiang are below 2.4%. Yields exceeding 4.5% are found in Guizhou's district - level bonds. Spreads in Guangxi, Yunnan, Gansu, etc., are relatively high. Compared with last week, yields mostly increased slightly, with 3 - 5 - year varieties having a larger adjustment [2][17] - **Private Placement**: The weighted average valuation yields in coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian are below 2.8%. Yields above 4% are in Guizhou's prefecture - level bonds. Spreads in Shaanxi, Yunnan, Gansu, etc., are relatively high. Yields of most varieties increased, with some having significant increases [2] Industrial Bonds - **Non - financial and Non - real estate (Private Enterprises)**: The 1 - year - within private non - perpetual varieties had an average yield increase of 9.7BP [3][8] - **Real Estate (State - owned Enterprises)**: The yields of private non - perpetual varieties all increased, with the 1 - year - within variety rising by 4.1BP [3][8] Financial Bonds - Valuation yields and spreads are high for leasing company bonds, urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools, and securities sub - bonds. Yields of most financial bond varieties increased. For example, the yields of leasing bonds over 1 year increased by about 5BP, and the 2 - 3 - year urban commercial bank secondary capital bonds rose by 12.3BP [4][8] Group 3: Summary of Key Data Tables Overall Credit Bonds - **Weighted Average Valuation Yield**: Data shows the weighted average valuation yields of various bond types and maturities as of July 14, 2025 [10] - **Weighted Average Spread**: Displays the weighted average spreads of different bond types and maturities on July 14, 2025 [12] - **Change in Weighted Average Valuation Yield**: Compares the weighted average valuation yields of this week (July 14, 2025) and last week (July 7, 2025) [14] - **Change in Weighted Average Spread**: Compares the weighted average spreads of this week (July 14, 2025) and last week (July 7, 2025) [16] Public Offering Urban Investment Bonds - **Weighted Average Valuation Yield**: Presents the weighted average valuation yields of public offering urban investment bonds in different regions and administrative levels on July 14, 2025 [18] - **Weighted Average Spread**: Shows the weighted average spreads of public offering urban investment bonds in different regions and administrative levels on July 14, 2025 [20] - **Change in Weighted Average Valuation Yield**: Compares the weighted average valuation yields of public offering urban investment bonds in different regions and administrative levels between this week (July 14, 2025) and last week (July 7, 2025) [23] Private Placement Urban Investment Bonds - **Weighted Average Valuation Yield**: Displays the weighted average valuation yields of private placement urban investment bonds in different regions and administrative levels on July 14, 2025 [27] - **Weighted Average Spread**: Presents the weighted average spreads of private placement urban investment bonds in different regions and administrative levels on July 14, 2025 [30]
4张表看信用债涨跌(7/7-7/11)
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-07-13 08:02
Report Summary Core View - Among AA-rated urban investment bonds (subject rating) with a high discount margin, "24 Jinhua Rongsheng MTN005" has the largest valuation price deviation. Among the top 50 bonds with the largest net price decline, "24 CCCC MTN003B" has the largest valuation price deviation. Among the top 50 bonds with the largest net price increase, "24 CRCC K2" has the largest valuation price deviation. Among the top 50 Tier 2 and perpetual bonds with the largest net price increase, "25 China Minsheng Bank Tier 2 Capital Bond 01" has the largest valuation price deviation [2]. Summary by Directory Chart 1: AA-rated Urban Investment Bonds with High Discount Margin - The table lists information such as remaining term, valuation price, valuation net price, valuation yield, etc., for multiple AA-rated urban investment bonds. "24 Jinhua Rongsheng MTN005" has a remaining term of 2.41 years, a valuation price deviation of -0.22%, and a valuation net price of 100.58 yuan [4]. Chart 2: Top 50 Bonds with the Largest Net Price Decline - The table shows details of 50 bonds with large net price declines, including remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, etc. "24 CCCC MTN003B" has a remaining term of 13.95 years, a valuation price deviation of -0.30%, and a valuation net price of 105.41 yuan [6]. Chart 3: Top 50 Bonds with the Largest Net Price Increase - This table presents information on 50 bonds with large net price increases. "24 CRCC K2" has a remaining term of 29.05 years, a valuation price deviation of 0.76%, and a valuation net price of 109.35 yuan [9]. Chart 4: Top 50 Tier 2 and Perpetual Bonds with the Largest Net Price Increase - The table lists Tier 2 and perpetual bonds with large net price increases. "25 China Minsheng Bank Tier 2 Capital Bond 01" has a remaining term of 4.80 years, a valuation price deviation of 0.25%, and a valuation net price of 101.13 yuan [13].
中枢1.9%的焦虑
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-07-08 15:25
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - As of July 7, 2025, the valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise real estate bonds and industrial bonds in the outstanding credit bonds are generally higher than those of other varieties. Compared with last week, the yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds and real estate bonds have generally declined, and the short - end varieties of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds have a larger decline. Among them, the 1 - 2 - year public and 1 - year private non - perpetual bonds of private enterprises have declined by 19.6BP and 14.2BP respectively. The 2 - year private enterprise real estate bonds are more popular [3][8]. - In financial bonds, the varieties with high valuation yields and spreads include urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools and leasing company bonds. Compared with last week, the yields of financial bonds have generally declined. For example, the yields of 3 - 5 - year non - perpetual leasing bonds have declined by more than 8.5BP, and the yields of 1 - year joint - stock bank secondary perpetual bonds have declined by nearly 13BP [4][8]. - In public offering urban investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces are both below 2.3%. The urban investment bonds with yields exceeding 4.5% are in prefecture - level cities and districts and counties of Guizhou. The spreads in Yunnan, Gansu and other regions are also relatively high. Compared with last week, the yields of public offering urban investment bonds have basically declined, and the average yield of varieties within 1 year has declined by 11.5BP [2][16]. - In private placement urban investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields of coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong and Fujian are below 2.7%. The varieties with yields higher than 4% appear in prefecture - level cities of Guizhou and Shaanxi. The spreads in Yunnan, Gansu, Heilongjiang and other regions are also relatively high. Compared with last week, the yields of private placement urban investment bonds have mainly declined [2]. Group 3: Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Overall Outstanding Credit Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise real estate bonds and industrial bonds are generally higher than those of other varieties. The yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds and real estate bonds have generally declined, and the short - end varieties of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds have a larger decline. The yields of financial bonds have also generally declined [3][4][8]. - The data in the table shows the weighted average valuation yields, spreads, and their changes compared with last week of different types of bonds (including urban investment bonds, non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds, real estate bonds, financial bonds, etc.) under different issuance methods (public offering and private placement) and different maturities [9][12][13]. 2. Public Offering Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces are below 2.3%, while those in Guizhou's prefecture - level cities and districts and counties exceed 4.5%. The spreads in Yunnan, Gansu and other regions are relatively high. The yields have basically declined compared with last week, and the 1 - year varieties have an average decline of 11.5BP. The varieties with a large decline in yields include 1 - year non - perpetual bonds of Jiangsu provincial level, 1 - year perpetual bonds of Hebei provincial level, etc. [2][16]. - The table shows the weighted average valuation yields, spreads, and their changes compared with last week of public offering urban investment bonds at different administrative levels in various regions [17][19][21]. 3. Private Placement Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields of coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong and Fujian are below 2.7%. The varieties with yields higher than 4% appear in prefecture - level cities of Guizhou and Shaanxi. The spreads in Yunnan, Gansu, Heilongjiang and other regions are relatively high. The yields have mainly declined compared with last week, and the varieties with a large decline in yields include 1 - year perpetual bonds of Shandong district and county level, etc. [2]. - The table shows the weighted average valuation yields, spreads of private placement urban investment bonds at different administrative levels in various regions [25][28].
票息资产热度图谱:极致 2.0%的顾虑
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-07-01 11:19
Report Summary Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Report's Core View - As of June 30, 2025, private enterprise industrial bonds and real estate bonds in the outstanding credit bonds had higher overall valuation yields and spreads compared to other varieties. Compared with the previous week, the yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds were mostly adjusted, with the 1 - 2 year private enterprise private non - perpetual variety having a relatively larger upward range, averaging 9.7BP. Among real estate bonds, the yields of state - owned enterprise private non - perpetual varieties increased more overall, with the 1 - 2 year variety rising 4.8BP. - In financial bonds, varieties with higher valuation yields and spreads included leasing company bonds, urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools, and securities sub - bonds. Compared with the previous week, the yields of most financial varieties increased. Specifically, the yields of 1 - 2 year private perpetual and within 1 year public perpetual varieties in leasing bonds increased by more than 5BP; the interest rate increase of each variety of general commercial financial bonds was less than 2BP; among Tier 2 capital bonds, the adjustment range of urban and rural commercial bank varieties was larger, with the yield of 2 - 3 year rural commercial bank Tier 2 bonds increasing by 9.8BP, but the yield of 3 - 5 year rural commercial bank Tier 2 bonds decreasing by more than 12BP; in addition, the yield increase of each maturity variety in securities company bonds and sub - bonds was controlled within 5BP. - For urban investment bonds, in public urban investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces were both below 2.4%; urban investment bonds with yields exceeding 4.5% appeared in prefecture - level and district - county levels in Guizhou. In private urban investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields in coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian were below 2.8%; varieties with yields higher than 4% appeared in prefecture - level cities in Guizhou, Shaanxi, and Yunnan. Compared with the previous week, the yields of most public urban investment bonds increased slightly, and the yields of most varieties in private urban investment bonds also increased [2][3][4]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overall Outstanding Credit Bonds - **Valuation Yields and Spreads**: Private enterprise industrial bonds and real estate bonds had higher overall valuation yields and spreads. The valuation yields and spreads of leasing company bonds, urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools, and securities sub - bonds in financial bonds were relatively high [2][3][4]. - **Yield Changes Compared to Last Week**: Non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds had yield adjustments, with the 1 - 2 year private enterprise private non - perpetual variety having an average increase of 9.7BP. Among real estate bonds, the 1 - 2 year state - owned enterprise private non - perpetual variety increased by 4.8BP. Most financial varieties saw yield increases, with specific increases varying by bond type [3][4]. Urban Investment Bonds Public Urban Investment Bonds - **Valuation Yields**: The weighted average valuation yields in Jiangsu and Zhejiang were below 2.4%, while yields exceeding 4.5% were in Guizhou's prefecture - level and district - county levels. Other regions like Guangxi, Yunnan, and Gansu had relatively high spreads [2]. - **Yield Changes Compared to Last Week**: Yields mostly increased slightly. Larger - increase varieties included 2 - 3 year non - perpetual bonds of Sichuan provincial level, 3 - 5 year non - perpetual bonds of Anhui provincial level, within 1 year non - perpetual bonds of Guizhou prefecture - level cities, and within 1 year perpetual bonds of Hebei provincial level [2]. Private Urban Investment Bonds - **Valuation Yields**: Coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian had weighted average valuation yields below 2.8%. Yields higher than 4% were in prefecture - level cities in Guizhou, Shaanxi, and Yunnan. Regions like Heilongjiang, Qinghai, and Gansu had relatively high spreads [2]. - **Yield Changes Compared to Last Week**: Yields of most varieties increased. The varieties with larger upward ranges were 3 - 5 year non - perpetual bonds of Guangxi prefecture - level cities (9.9BP), 1 - 2 year non - perpetual bonds of Shaanxi district - county levels (9.7BP), 1 - 2 year non - perpetual bonds of Jilin prefecture - level cities (8.0BP), and 3 - 5 year non - perpetual bonds of Liaoning prefecture - level cities (7.7BP) [2]. Industrial Bonds - **Non - financial and Non - real estate Industrial Bonds (State - owned Enterprises)**: The yields of private and public bonds were mostly adjusted compared to the previous week, with different adjustment ranges for different maturities [12]. - **Non - financial and Non - real estate Industrial Bonds (Private Enterprises)**: The 1 - 2 year private non - perpetual variety had a relatively large upward range in yield, averaging 9.7BP [3]. - **Real Estate Bonds (State - owned Enterprises)**: The yields of private non - perpetual varieties increased more overall, with the 1 - 2 year variety rising 4.8BP [3]. - **Real Estate Bonds (Private Enterprises)**: No information on private bonds; for public bonds, some maturity varieties had yield decreases [12]. Financial Bonds - **Leasing Company Bonds**: The yields of 1 - 2 year private perpetual and within 1 year public perpetual varieties increased by more than 5BP [4]. - **General Commercial Financial Bonds**: The interest rate increase of each variety was less than 2BP [4]. - **Tier 2 Capital Bonds**: Among urban and rural commercial bank varieties, the 2 - 3 year rural commercial bank Tier 2 bonds' yield increased by 9.8BP, while the 3 - 5 year rural commercial bank Tier 2 bonds' yield decreased by more than 12BP [4]. - **Securities Company Bonds and Sub - bonds**: The yield increase of each maturity variety was controlled within 5BP [4].
2.3%以上的意外拉久期
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-06-17 14:28
Group 1: Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content Group 2: Core Viewpoints - As of June 16, 2025, the valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise real estate bonds and industrial bonds in the outstanding credit bonds are generally higher than those of other varieties. Compared with last week, the yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds mostly declined, while those of some bonds such as private perpetual bonds of state - owned enterprises within 1 year and 3 - 5 years increased. The yields of real estate bonds also mainly declined, especially those of private public non - perpetual bonds within 1 - 2 years, with a yield reduction of more than 4.5BP. In financial bonds, the varieties with higher valuation yields and spreads are leasing company bonds and capital supplementary tools of urban and rural commercial banks. More than half of the yields of financial bonds declined compared with last week [3][8]. - In public urban investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces are both below 2.4%. The urban investment bonds with yields exceeding 4.5% are in prefecture - level and district - county - level areas of Guizhou. The spreads in other regions such as Yunnan and Gansu are also relatively high. Compared with last week, the yields of public urban investment bonds generally declined, with an average decline of 3.7BP for 3 - 5 - year varieties [2][14]. - In private urban investment bonds, the weighted average valuation yields in coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian are below 2.8%. The varieties with yields higher than 4% appear in prefecture - level areas of Guizhou and Shaanxi, and prefecture - level and district - county - level areas of Yunnan. The spreads in other areas such as Gansu and Heilongjiang are also relatively high. Compared with last week, the yields of private urban investment bonds basically declined, with an average decline of 3BP and 5BP for 2 - 3 - year and 3 - 5 - year varieties respectively [2][23]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Chart 1: Weighted Average Valuation Yield of Outstanding Credit Bonds (as of June 16, unit: %) - Displays the weighted average valuation yields of different bond types (such as urban investment bonds, non - financial non - real estate industrial bonds, real estate bonds, etc.) in different time periods (1 year or less, 1 - 2 years, 2 - 3 years, 3 - 5 years) and different issuance methods (private or public) [10]. Chart 2: Weighted Average Spread of Outstanding Credit Bonds (as of June 16, unit: BP) - Presents the weighted average spreads of different bond types in different time periods and issuance methods, with the calculation benchmark being the same - term government - developed bonds [11]. Chart 3: Change in Weighted Average Valuation Yield of Outstanding Credit Bonds Compared with Last Week (as of June 16, unit: BP) - Shows the changes in the weighted average valuation yields of different bond types compared with last week, calculated as (this week's weighted average valuation yield - last week's weighted average valuation yield) * 100 [12]. Chart 4: Change in Weighted Average Spread of Outstanding Credit Bonds Compared with Last Week (as of June 16, unit: BP) - Illustrates the changes in the weighted average spreads of different bond types compared with last week, calculated as this week's weighted average spread - last week's weighted average spread [13]. Chart 5: Weighted Average Valuation Yield of Public Urban Investment Bonds (as of June 16, unit: %) - Provides the weighted average valuation yields of public urban investment bonds in different administrative levels (provincial, prefecture - level, district - county - level) of various provinces [15]. Chart 6: Weighted Average Spread of Public Urban Investment Bonds (as of June 16, unit: BP) - Displays the weighted average spreads of public urban investment bonds in different administrative levels of various provinces, with the calculation benchmark being the same - term government - developed bonds [17]. Chart 7: Change in Weighted Average Valuation Yield of Public Urban Investment Bonds Compared with Last Week (as of June 16, unit: BP) - Shows the changes in the weighted average valuation yields of public urban investment bonds in different administrative levels of various provinces compared with last week [20]. Chart 8: Weighted Average Valuation Yield of Private Urban Investment Bonds (as of June 16, unit: %) - Presents the weighted average valuation yields of private urban investment bonds in different administrative levels of various provinces [24]. Chart 9: Weighted Average Spread of Private Urban Investment Bonds (as of June 16, unit: BP) - Displays the weighted average spreads of private urban investment bonds in different administrative levels of various provinces, with the calculation benchmark being the same - term government - developed bonds [26].
票息资产热度图谱:2.3%以上的下沉路径
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-05-20 14:07
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report As of May 19, 2025, private enterprise industrial bonds in the outstanding credit bonds had higher overall valuation yields and spreads compared to other varieties. Compared with the previous week, the yields of non - financial and non - real estate industrial bonds generally declined, with the 1 - 2 year private enterprise public and state - owned enterprise private non - perpetual bonds declining by 9bp and 5.9bp respectively, and the yields of most other varieties decreasing within 5bp. The yields of real estate bonds also mainly declined, especially the state - owned enterprise public non - perpetual bonds within 1 year and 1 - 2 years, which both saw a reduction of over 10bp. Among financial bonds, the varieties with high valuation yields and spreads were leasing company bonds and urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools. More than half of the financial bond yields declined compared to the previous week. Specifically, leasing bonds were the better - performing bonds among financial bonds, with the yields of 2 - 3 year private perpetual and non - perpetual bonds declining by 9.1bp and 4.9bp respectively. The performance of commercial financial bonds varied by term, with the yields of varieties within 1 year all decreasing, while most varieties over 1 year had varying degrees of adjustment, among which the 1 - 2 year large - bank commercial financial bonds had the largest adjustment range. Bank sub - bonds were slightly weak, with the yields of 3 - 5 year perpetual bonds consistently declining, especially the urban and rural commercial bank varieties, which declined by more than 3.5bp, and the 2 - year - within national and joint - stock bank Tier 2 perpetual bonds generally rebounded. In addition, the 1 - 2 year and 2 - 3 year private non - perpetual varieties of securities company bonds received some attention [3][4][8]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Overall Outstanding Credit Bonds - As of May 19, 2025, private enterprise industrial bonds had higher overall valuation yields and spreads. Compared with the previous week, non - financial and non - real estate industrial bond yields generally declined, and real estate bond yields also mainly declined. Financial bond yields had more than half declining, with leasing bonds performing well, commercial financial bonds showing term - based differentiation, bank sub - bonds being slightly weak, and some securities company bond varieties attracting attention [3][4][8]. 3.2 Urban Investment Bonds 3.2.1 Public Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces were below 2.5%. Bonds with yields over 4.5% were in prefecture - level and district - county - level areas of Guizhou. Yunnan, Gansu and other regions also had high spreads. Compared with the previous week, the yields basically declined, with the 1 - 2 year varieties having an average decline of 5.8bp. The varieties with larger yield declines included 1 - 2 year non - perpetual bonds of Yunnan prefecture - level cities, 2 - 3 year non - perpetual bonds of Yunnan prefecture - level cities, 1 - 2 year non - perpetual bonds of Yunnan district - counties, and non - perpetual bonds of Gansu prefecture - level cities within 1 year [2][14]. 3.2.2 Private Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average valuation yields of coastal provinces such as Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian were below 3%. Varieties with yields higher than 4% were in prefecture - level and district - county - level areas of Guizhou and Yunnan, and prefecture - level areas of Shaanxi. Gansu, Liaoning, Heilongjiang and other regions also had high spreads. Compared with the previous week, the yields mainly declined. The varieties with larger yield declines included 2 - 3 year perpetual bonds of Shaanxi district - counties, 2 - 3 year non - perpetual bonds of Yunnan prefecture - level cities, non - perpetual bonds of Shanxi district - counties within 1 year, and 1 - 2 year non - perpetual urban investment bonds of Gansu prefecture - level cities [2]. 3.3 Industrial Bonds - Private enterprise industrial bonds had higher valuation yields and spreads. Non - financial and non - real estate industrial bond yields generally declined, with 1 - 2 year private enterprise public and state - owned enterprise private non - perpetual bonds declining by 9bp and 5.9bp respectively, and most other varieties having yield declines within 5bp. Real estate bond yields also mainly declined, especially state - owned enterprise public non - perpetual bonds within 1 year and 1 - 2 years, which had a reduction of over 10bp [3][8]. 3.4 Financial Bonds - Leasing company bonds and urban and rural commercial bank capital supplementary tools had high valuation yields and spreads. More than half of the financial bond yields declined. Leasing bonds performed well, with 2 - 3 year private perpetual and non - perpetual bonds having yield declines of 9.1bp and 4.9bp respectively. Commercial financial bonds showed term - based differentiation, bank sub - bonds were slightly weak, and some securities company bond varieties received attention [4][8].