央行公告称， 11 月 24 日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了 3387 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作，操作利率 1.40% ，投标量 3387 亿元，中标量 3387 亿元。 Wind 数据显示，当日 2830 亿元逆回购到期，据此计算，单日净投放 557 亿元。 （*数据来源：Wind-央行动态PBOC） 2. 资金面 1. 公开市场操作 中国银行间市场周一资金面宽松无虞，主要期限回购利率低位盘整，存款类机构隔夜回购利率小降并徘徊于 1.32% 附近。匿名点击（ X-repo ）系统上， 隔夜报价亦仍在 1.3% ，供给规模在千亿元左右；非银机构质押信用债融入隔夜资金，报价在 1.47%-1.48% 附近。交易员指出，资金面情绪暂时无忧；不 过本周进入跨月周，资金面或仍伴有风浪，关注 央行 周二 MLF 续做规模及后续逆回购投放力度。 海外方面，最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为 3.91% 。 （IMM） // 债市综述 // 3. 同业存单 （*数据来源：Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏） 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新成交在 1.64% 附近，较上日小幅上行。 （*数据来源：Wind-同业存单 ...

中金研究 展望未来，短期我们认为此种态势或维持，不过需要关注股市走势，如果持续下跌则可能带来部分固收+产品的赎回，从而引发持仓债券抛售，对收益率 也会产生上行压力。但是正如我们前期判断，信用债在进入开放期的摊余成本法债基新增需求的支撑下，或相对更抗跌，信用利差仍会在低位震荡，信用 债收益率或仍将跟随利率波动。更长期限来看，2026年上半年仍有较大规模的摊余成本债基进入开放期，其中5年及以上的占比会上升，我们认为对5-7年 左右的信用债需求支撑或增加。 债市延续小幅震荡 上周现券市场窄幅震荡。周一买断式逆回购超量续作，现券多数走强，长端表现好于短端。二至周五，债市整体缺乏明显方向，股债跷跷板影响日内走 势，债券利率整体窄幅震荡。和上周五相比，10年期国债收益率上行1bp收于1.82%，10年期国开债收益率收平于1.94%，30年期国债收益率上行1bp收于 2.16%。信用债方面，上周非金融信用债一级发行量为4096亿元，较上周的2702亿元大幅增长，偿还量差异不大，故净融资额亦增长明显，由上周的231 亿元增长至1324亿元。二级方面，本周债券收益率中等久期品种表现较好，具体而言，1Y基本不变、3Y下行0-2b ...

查看完整报告 特别申明： 点击注册小程序 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 1、一级市场 注：本篇报告的信用债口径包括定向工具、短期融资券、公司债、金融债（不含同业存单和政金债）、中 期票据、企业债。 2025年11月17日至11月21日（以下简称"本周"），信用债共发行455只，发行规模总计5812.11亿元，环比 增加27.63%。 发行规模方面，本周，产业债共发行233只，发行规模达2515.05亿元，环比增加48.22%,占本周信用债发 行总规模的比例为43.27%；城投债共发行166只，发行规模达1036.56亿元，环比增加26.83%,占本周信用 债发行总规模的比例为17.83%；金融债共发行56只，发行规模达2260.50亿元，环比增加10.83%,占本周信 用债发行总规模的比例为38. ...

中国人民银行天津市分行表示，下一步，将继续加强宣传推广和政策指导，鼓励中小金融机构通过柜台 渠道参与债券投资交易，推动柜台债券业务为实体经济发展注入更多金融动能，助力建设多层次债券市 场。(完) （文章来源：中国新闻网） 据统计，今年1至9月，天津市柜台债券成交规模31.57亿元，是去年同期的7.13倍；截至9月末，柜台债 券投资者共开立账户6.87万户，是去年同期的2.17倍；持债规模21.33亿元，是去年同期的12.81倍。 中新网天津11月20日电 (记者周亚强)记者20日从中国人民银行天津市分行获悉，日前，在该行推动和指 导下，天津渤海集团财务有限责任公司通过中信银行天津分行，依托中国外汇交易中心本币交易平台成 功落地首笔"柜台业务旗舰店"交易，金融债标的规模5000万元，标志着债券市场流动性提升，优化金融 服务模式取得新进展。 2025年以来，中国人民银行天津市分行召开柜台债券业务推动会，柜台交易品种和交易方式进一步扩 充，新增公募基金产品等柜台债券投资者类型，支持柜台渠道同业存单质押再贷款等，提升投资交易便 利性。 ...

截至 2025 年 11 月 17 日，存量信用债估值及利差分布特征如下： 城投债： 公募城投债中，江浙两省加权平均估值收益率均在 2.5%以下；收益率超过 4.5%的城投债出现在贵州区县级；其余区 域中，云南、甘肃等地的利差也较高。与上周相比，公募城投债收益率超过半数下行，其中，3-5 年品种收益率平均 下行幅度达到 1.2BP。具体来看，收益下行幅度较大的品种的包括 3-5 年河南区县级非永续、3-5 年贵州区县级非永 续、1 年内及 2-3 年广西区县级永续债。 私募城投债中，上海、浙江、广东、福建等沿海省份的加权平均估值收益率在 2.85%以下；收益率高于 3.5%的品种出 现在云南、贵州地级市及区县级、以及甘肃区县级；其余的广西、青海等地的利差也较高。与上周相比，私募城投债 收益率普遍下行，3-5 年品种收益平均下行 2.6BP。具体来看，收益下行幅度较大的有 1 年内福建地级市永续、2-3 年 河北地级市永续、2-3 年山西区县级非永续及 1-2 年宁夏地级市非永续债，分别对应下行 8.6BP、9.3BP、12.6BP 和 22.7BP。 产业债： 民企地产债和产业债估值收益率及利差整体高于其他品 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hangzhou Bank is committed to enhancing shareholder returns through consistent cash dividends, reflecting a strong focus on investor value amidst a growing financial landscape [1][2][3] Dividend Distribution - Hangzhou Bank will distribute a cash dividend of 0.38 yuan per share, totaling approximately 2.75 billion yuan, which represents 24.74% of the net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders for the first half of 2025 [1] - The bank's cash dividend for 2025 increased from 0.37 yuan per share in the previous year, with a total cash dividend amounting to 2.755 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of over 24% [2] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Hangzhou Bank reported a revenue of 28.88 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.35%, with net interest income rising by 9.96% to 20.09 billion yuan [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 15.885 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 14.53% compared to the previous year [3] - The total assets of Hangzhou Bank exceeded 2.29 trillion yuan, growing by 8.67% from the end of 2024, with total loans increasing by 9.39% to 1.025 trillion yuan [3] Risk Management - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.76%, with a provision coverage ratio of 513.64%, indicating strong risk management capabilities [4] - The bank's proactive measures in risk control have positioned it among the industry leaders in terms of risk resilience [4] Business Strategy - Hangzhou Bank is focusing on high-quality development by enhancing customer service and optimizing its business structure, which has led to significant growth in its wealth management and retail banking sectors [5][6] - The small and micro finance segment has seen substantial growth, with loans to small enterprises increasing by 37.8% year-on-year [6] Market Position - The bank successfully issued 15 billion yuan in financial bonds, contributing to a decrease in overall funding costs and improving its market position in various financial services [6] - Hangzhou Bank's comprehensive financial service capabilities continue to strengthen, positioning it well for sustainable growth and shareholder returns [6]

信用债周策略 20251117 地方盘活存量资产，稳固行业发展势头 2025 年 11 月 17 日 ➢ 扩内需政策及行业供需关系改善，部分行业价格出现了稳定增长趋势 2025 年 10 月份，随着扩内需等政策措施持续显效，叠加国庆、中秋长假带动， CPI 环比上涨 0.2%，同比上涨 0.2%；扣除食品和能源价格的核心 CPI 同比上涨 1.2%，涨幅连续第 6 个月扩大。受国内部分行业供需关系改善、国际大宗商品价 格传导等因素影响，PPI 环比由上月持平转为上涨 0.1%，为年内首次上涨；同比 下降 2.1%，降幅比上月收窄 0.2 个百分点，连续第 3 个月收窄。 各行业价格正在反复振荡中呈现有所回升趋势，部分行业出厂价格开始出现持续 修复迹象，例如煤炭、光伏、水泥、计算机、锂离子电池、集成电路等，这与近 期国家实施"反内卷"政策有关，也与各行业供需关系持续改善有关。同时，核 心 CPI 出现持续增长现象，目前已涨至 1.2%，且预计未来仍然存在进一步提升 的空间；此趋势若能延续至 2026 年，则 CPI 与 PPI 存在大幅度改善的可能性。 ➢ 地方政府正在积极盘活存量资产，拓展新的增量发展空间 2 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating The report does not provide an industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - The transformation effect of market - oriented business entities remains to be seen, and it is difficult to expect significant incremental bond supply. The supply - demand relationship of traditional credit bonds remains tight, and the pricing of outstanding bonds among market - oriented entities may become more differentiated in the future [3][35] - The concentrated opening of amortized open - end bond funds may directly benefit general credit bonds (such as urban investment bonds and industrial bonds), especially 3 - 5Y medium - and long - term credit bonds. High - rated (AAA - and above) medium - term notes are recommended as key trading targets in the future [7][75][76] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Platform Market - Oriented Transformation - **Local Bond Issuance for Debt Resolution** - Special Refinancing Bonds: As of 2025/11/9, 19,934 billion yuan of the 2 - trillion - yuan debt quota allocated in 2025 has been issued, almost fully utilized. Except for Henan, all other regions have completed the issuance of special refinancing special bonds within the annual quota [14] - Special New Special Bonds: As of 2025/11/9, 12,818 billion yuan of special new special bonds have been issued in 2025, exceeding the annual limit of 80 billion yuan. The excess may be used to repay non - implicit debt corporate arrears [20] - **Progress of Bond - Issuing Urban Investment Entities Exiting the Platform** - From 2025/1/1 - 11/9, 179 bond - issuing urban investment entities announced exiting the platform. Most provinces have a progress of over 50%, while Liaoning and Guizhou are relatively lagging, and future debt - resolution resources may be tilted towards them [24][27] - **Effect of Platform Market - Oriented Transformation** - The number of market - oriented business entities is increasing, but it has not led to a significant increase in bond financing scale. The reasons may be weak asset quality, cautious regulatory review, and limited investor recognition. The transformation effect remains to be observed [3][34] 3.2 Primary Market - **Net Financing Scale** - This week, the net financing of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) was 154.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 30.5 billion yuan from last week. The net financing of asset - backed securities was 35.9 billion yuan, an increase of 18.5 billion yuan from last week [36] - **Issuance Cost** - The issuance rate of AA industrial bonds increased by 30BP to over 3%. The issuance rates of other different - rated and different - type bonds fluctuated within 15BP compared to last week [45] 3.3 Secondary Market - **Trading Volume** - This week, the trading volume of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) decreased by 51.8 billion yuan compared to last week. The trading volume of asset - backed securities increased by 1.4 billion yuan [46] - **Yield** - The yields of different - rated and different - term credit bonds fluctuated within 3BP compared to last week [49] - **Credit Spreads** - Except for the slight compression of credit spreads in AA+ electrical equipment, light manufacturing, and automobile industries, the credit spreads of other industries and ratings slightly widened. The credit spreads of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and bank capital bonds also had small - scale fluctuations [54] 3.4 This Week's Bond Market News - The implied ratings of 20 bond issues of Lionbridge Financial Leasing (China) Co., Ltd. were downgraded; the implied rating of "Yuanhe 4B" issued by China Power Construction Group Hubei Engineering Co., Ltd. was downgraded; the entity rating of Beijing Aerospace宏图 Information Technology Co., Ltd. was downgraded, and the bond rating of "Hongtu Convertible Bond" was also downgraded [72] 3.5 Investment Recommendations - The central bank achieved a net injection of 626.2 billion yuan this week. Except for a few industries, the credit spreads of most industries and ratings slightly widened. The credit spreads of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and bank secondary and perpetual bonds had small - scale fluctuations [74] - The concentrated opening of amortized open - end bond funds may benefit general credit bonds and 3 - 5Y medium - and long - term credit bonds. High - rated medium - term notes are recommended as key trading targets [75][76]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes maintaining duration as the year-end approaches, with a focus on medium to long-term credit varieties, particularly 4-5 year products which show marginal improvement in cost-performance despite still low spread levels [2][10][12] - The current yield range for long-term credit bonds (5 years and above) rated AA+ and above is between 2.16% and 2.66%, indicating a certain level of yield cost-performance [3][10] - The report notes that funds have significantly increased their allocation to 5-year and above credit bonds, reflecting a trend towards extending duration for yield [3][10] Group 2 - The report highlights key policies and events, including Tianjin's measures to support high-quality development of REITs, which aim to enhance capital market services for the real economy [4][19] - The upcoming revision of the "Commercial Bank M&A Loan Management Measures" is expected to broaden the scope of applicable loans and optimize loan conditions, which could facilitate mergers and acquisitions [4][19][24] - The report mentions that the National Development and Reform Commission has recommended 105 infrastructure REITs projects to the CSRC, with 83 already issued, indicating a normalization in the issuance of infrastructure REITs [4][19][24] Group 3 - The report indicates that the credit bond market has seen a majority of yields decline, with financial bonds performing better, while credit spreads have shown divergence [6][10] - The issuance scale of credit bonds this week was 269.9 billion, a decrease of 20.5 billion from the previous week, with net financing also down [7][10] - The report notes a decrease in trading activity in both the interbank and exchange markets for credit bonds, suggesting a decline in market liquidity [7][10]

Primary Market - In the week from November 10 to November 14, 2025, a total of 330 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 455.379 billion yuan, an increase of 25.31% week-on-week [4] - The issuance scale of industrial bonds was 169.680 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.09%, accounting for 37.26% of the total credit bond issuance [4] - City investment bonds issued totaled 81.729 billion yuan, down 19.25%, representing 17.95% of the total [4] - Financial bonds saw an issuance of 203.970 billion yuan, an increase of 139.20%, making up 44.79% of the total [4] - The average issuance term for credit bonds was 2.75 years, with industrial bonds averaging 2.25 years, city investment bonds 3.51 years, and financial bonds 2.13 years [4] - The overall average coupon rate for credit bonds was 2.12%, with industrial bonds at 2.06%, city investment bonds at 2.26%, and financial bonds at 1.94% [4] - Two credit bonds were canceled during the week [4] Secondary Market - In terms of credit spreads, the largest increase for AAA-rated industries was in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, which rose by 6.5 basis points, while the largest decrease was in steel, down by 3.5 basis points [5] - For AA+ rated industries, the largest increase was in electronics, up by 1.4 basis points, and the largest decrease was in automobiles, down by 16.6 basis points [5] - The largest increase in AA-rated industries was in transportation, up by 0.9 basis points, while the largest decrease was in mining, down by 3.9 basis points [5] - For city investment bonds, the largest increase in AAA-rated credit spreads was in Zhejiang, up by 3 basis points, and the largest decrease was in Yunnan, down by 10.2 basis points [5] - The total trading volume of credit bonds was 1219.783 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.53% week-on-week [6] - The top three types of credit bonds by trading volume were commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium-term notes [6] - Commercial bank bonds had a trading volume of 375.608 billion yuan, an increase of 3.93%, accounting for 30.79% of the total [6] - Corporate bonds had a trading volume of 414.081 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.86%, representing 33.95% of the total [6] - Medium-term notes had a trading volume of 243.078 billion yuan, down by 16.01%, accounting for 19.93% of the total [6]