南方财经8月28日电，长鸿高科(605008.SH)公告，公司决定终止与盘锦晟腾实业发展有限公司共同设立 合资公司的投资计划。原计划总投资5亿元，其中长鸿高科出资2.25亿元占45%股权，盘锦晟腾出资2.75 亿元占55%股权，旨在研发光伏POE胶膜及氢化丁腈橡胶。由于2023年三季度以来光伏产业链持续下 行，POE胶膜价格跌至历史低位且未见回暖迹象，未来盈利空间高度不确定。为保护公司及股东利益， 双方协商一致终止此次投资计划。 ...

Group 1: Market Trends - The implementation of algorithmic trading regulations began on July 7, 2025, with detailed provisions for reporting, trading behavior, information systems, and high-frequency trading management [7] - Major indices experienced varying degrees of increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.40% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.54% [7] - The total trading volume in A-shares reached 7.21 trillion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 1.44 trillion yuan, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 3.05% [7] Group 2: Company Analysis - Kaili New Materials (688269.SH) - Kaili New Materials announced a cash dividend of 0.3 yuan per share, totaling 39.21 million yuan, as part of its commitment to shareholder returns [8] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 626 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 105.25%, and a net profit of 22 million yuan, up 90.48% year-on-year [11] - The company is expected to maintain high growth rates in core product sales, with projected revenues of 2.037 billion yuan, 2.487 billion yuan, and 2.918 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 20.8%, 22.1%, and 17.3% respectively [9] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for Kaili New Materials, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of 1.22 yuan, 1.73 yuan, and 2.21 yuan for 2025 to 2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 26.8, 18.9, and 14.8 [9] - The company is expected to benefit from rising palladium prices, which have increased by 23.28% from their lowest point earlier in the year, potentially enhancing sales prices and profitability [11] - The company plans to distribute a total cash dividend of 0.5 yuan per share for the 2024 fiscal year, amounting to 65.35 million yuan, indicating a strong commitment to shareholder returns [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for Kaili New Materials (688269.SH) [1] Core Views - The company has demonstrated a strong commitment to shareholder returns through stable dividends, with a total cash dividend of 0.5 yuan per share for the 2024 fiscal year, amounting to 65.35 million yuan [4] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a record revenue of 626 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 105.25%, and a net profit of 22 million yuan, up 90.48% year-on-year [4] - The company is expected to maintain high growth in sales of core products, supported by sufficient production capacity of 3,000 tons from its Tongchuan facility, which is gradually coming online [4] - The price of palladium, a key raw material for the company's catalyst sales, has shown a recovery trend, which is anticipated to enhance the company's sales prices and profitability [5] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.037 billion yuan, 2.487 billion yuan, and 2.918 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.8%, 22.1%, and 17.3% [6] - The net profit forecast for the same years is 159 million yuan, 226 million yuan, and 289 million yuan, with growth rates of 72.1%, 42.1%, and 27.5% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.22 yuan, 1.73 yuan, and 2.21 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 26.8, 18.9, and 14.8 [6] Market Data - As of July 8, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 32.70 yuan, with a year-to-date high of 35.75 yuan and a low of 20.86 yuan [2] - The circulating A-shares amount to 131 million, with a total market capitalization of 4.274 billion yuan [2]

Industry Overview - Nitrile rubber is a copolymer made from acrylonitrile and butadiene, known for excellent oil resistance, high wear resistance, heat resistance, and strong adhesion [1][6] - The apparent demand for nitrile rubber in China has been increasing, reaching 300,000 tons, driven by downstream markets such as conveyor belts, foamed materials, and sealing products [1][10] - The industry's external dependence has decreased from 35.41% in 2017 to around 25%, indicating a healthy and high-quality development trend [1][10] Production Capacity - China's nitrile rubber production began in the 1960s, with the first production facility established in 1962, achieving a capacity of 1,500 tons [6] - By 2021, the domestic nitrile rubber production capacity reached 293,000 tons, and with recent capacity additions, it has now exceeded 300,000 tons [6][21] - Future projections indicate an increase of 180,000 tons in production capacity over the next five years, potentially reaching 455,000 tons annually, marking a 65.45% increase [6][21] Import and Export Dynamics - China remains a net importer of nitrile rubber, with imports consistently exceeding exports due to domestic production not meeting downstream demand [8] - In 2024, China's nitrile rubber imports are expected to reach 79,000 tons, a decrease of 5.82% year-on-year, while exports are projected to grow by 4.45% to 25,500 tons [8][24] - The increase in exports is attributed to domestic manufacturers expanding their overseas markets and the availability of domestic supply [8][24] Market Pricing - Despite reliance on imports, the overall demand for nitrile rubber has weakened due to a global economic slowdown, leading to a decline in market prices [12] - As of June 2024, the market price for nitrile rubber is reported at 15,900 yuan per ton, down from 20,900 yuan per ton in June 2021 [12] Competitive Landscape - The nitrile rubber industry in China is characterized by a high concentration of production capacity, with only six major manufacturers [14] - Lanzhou Petrochemical leads the market with a production capacity of 100,000 tons, accounting for 30.49% of the total capacity [14][16] - Other significant players include Ningbo Shunze and Zhenjiang Nandi, with capacities of 65,000 tons and 60,000 tons, respectively [14][16] Development Trends - The industry is experiencing continuous capacity expansion, with self-sufficiency rates improving from 35.41% in 2017 to 75.27% in 2023 [21] - There is a growing demand for high-performance products, leading to a shift towards high-end nitrile rubber products, such as hydrogenated nitrile rubber (HNBR) [23] - Export markets are expanding, particularly in Southeast Asia, driven by lower labor costs and manufacturing demand [24]

关键词：氢化丁晴橡胶、氢化丁晴橡胶市场规模、氢化丁晴橡胶行业现状、氢化丁晴橡胶发展趋势 相关上市企业：道恩股份（002838）、齐翔腾达（002408）、长鸿高科（605008）、凯立新材 （688269）、 相关企业：中国石油化工股份有限公司、山东京博控股集团有限公司、西安凯立新材料股份有限公司、 上海拉斯特橡胶密封技术有限公司、中国一重集团有限公司、天华化工机械及自动化研究设计院有限公 司、成都森发橡塑有限公司 一、行业概述 氢化丁腈橡胶（Hydrogenated Nitrile Butadiene Rubber，简称HNBR）是通过丁腈橡胶（NBR）的分子链 中碳碳双键加氢饱和反应制得的高度饱和特种弹性体。其分子结构中双键含量显著降低（甚至完全消 失），因此被称为"高饱和丁腈橡胶"。HNBR在保留NBR耐油、耐磨特性的基础上，进一步提升了耐热 性（150-180℃）、耐氧化性、耐臭氧性、耐辐射性及耐化学腐蚀性（如耐酸、碱、氟利昂等），综合 性能优异，可部分替代氟橡胶、硅橡胶等高端特种橡胶。氢化丁腈橡胶按丙烯腈（ACN）含量分类可 以分为标准型、高腈型和低腈型三大类。 二、行业发展历程 内容概况：中国氢化 ...