当地时间1月7日，谷歌母公司Alphabet迎来其资本市场的一个重要时刻，其股价逆市上涨2.43%，收报 321.98美元，市值增至3.88万亿美元，自2019年以来首次超越苹果公司，并拿下美股市值第二名的宝 座。 2025年以来，得益于在AI领域的卓越表现，Alphabet股价累计飙升逾60%，创下2009年金融危机以来的 最佳年度表现，并领跑美股七大科技巨头。反观苹果，去年其股价累计涨幅不足10%，在七巨头中仅略 高于亚马逊，其搭载AI功能的新一代Siri助手迟迟不能如期发布，加之硬件更新预期提前透支，导致市 场对其增长想象力的预期持续下降。 谷歌与苹果之间的的市值沉浮，显示出的不仅是市场对两家企业AI布局进展的"用脚投票"，更是AI时代 的到来，对科技巨头发展前景与产业话语权的深刻重构。当应用开发平台从Windows系统和个人电脑向 AI迁移，底层计算体系从以CPU为核心转向以GPU为核心，那些真正掌握AI核心能力的企业，才更有 可能在未来的科技变革中占得先机。 近日，谷歌母公司Alphabet以高达47.5亿美元对价，全资收购数据中心能源供应商Intersect的举措，即受 到业界广泛关注。作为大型科 ...

本周，中信建投发布点评研报称，联想集团受益于AI驱动，业绩较快增长，PC龙头地位稳固。 对于刚刚发布的中期业绩，研报点评如下： 三大业务集团均实现双位数增长，混合式 AI 战略成效显著。25/26 财年上半年，公司三大业务集团均 录得双位数同比增长。公司坚定执行"Hybrid AI for All"战略，AI 相关收入占总收入比重已达 29%，同 比提升 15 个百分点，显示出 AI 已成为驱动公司增长的核心引擎。在联想 Innovation World2025 上公司 推出了涵盖消费、商业、移动设备的完整人工智能驱动设备及体验，在高性能 PC、智能平板、沉浸式 游戏设备、摩托罗拉智能手机等细分方向上均推出新品，践行公司人工智能普惠愿景。 IDG 业务增长强劲，AIPC 渗透率快速提升。25/26 财年上半年，智能设备业务集团（IDG）收入同比增 长 15%。在第二财季，个人电脑业务全球市场份额同比上升 1.8 个百分点至 25.6%的历史新高，稳居全 球第一。作为 AI 战略的重点，AIPC 表现尤为亮眼，第二财季出货量占个人电脑总出货量的比例已提 升至 33 %，并在全球 Windows AI PC 市场 ...

联想集团发布2025/26 财年中期业绩，上半年营收及非香港财务报告准则下净利润分别实现18%和24% 的较快增长。公司三大业务集团均录得双位数同比增长，混合式AI 战略成效显著。I DG 集团个人电脑 全球市场份额创历史新高，领先地位进一步巩固，AI P C渗透率较快提升。ISG 集团在AI 服务器等基础 设施旺盛需求的驱动下实现高速增长，完善AI 产品与能力布局导致短期亏损扩大，海神液冷技术、产 品全面性等方面竞争优势有望为长期盈利奠定基础。SSG 集团保持高增速与高利润率水平，持续优化 公司整体盈利能力。我们维持盈利预测，预计公司2026-2028 财年营收分别为769.11/843.79/923.49 亿美 元， 净利润分别为16.94/19.13/21.96 亿美元，对应当前PE 分别为9/8/7 倍，维持"买入"评级。 事件 SSG 业务稳健增长，持续优化盈利结构。 25/26 财年上半年，方案服务业务集团（SSG）收入同比增长 19%，再创历史新高，经营溢利率高达22%，带动经营溢利同比大幅增长28%。支持服务、运维服务和 项目与解决方案服务均实现稳健增长，其中运维服务和项目与解决方案服务在总收 ...

Core Insights - Lenovo Group reported a record revenue of 146.4 billion RMB for Q2 of the fiscal year 2025/26, marking a 15% year-on-year increase, significantly exceeding market expectations [1] - Adjusted net profit rose by 25% to 3.66 billion RMB, indicating a faster growth rate compared to revenue [1] - The CEO emphasized the company's strategic clarity, operational excellence, and continuous innovation as key drivers behind the record performance [1] Revenue Breakdown - The Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) generated 108.1 billion RMB, a 12% increase, with PC market share surpassing 25% for the first time [1] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) achieved approximately 29.3 billion RMB in revenue, up 24%, with significant growth in AI infrastructure [1] - The Solutions and Services Group (SSG) reported nearly 20% revenue growth, marking the 18th consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [1] AI Business Growth - AI-related revenue now accounts for 30% of total revenue, a 13 percentage point increase year-on-year, highlighting AI's role as a core growth driver [2] - Lenovo's AI PC market share in the Windows AI PC segment is 31.1%, reinforcing user recognition of Lenovo's AI terminal experience [2] - AI server revenue saw high double-digit growth, with liquid cooling technology revenue increasing by 154% year-on-year [2] Future Outlook - The CEO stated the company will leverage its unique "global resources, local delivery" model to navigate uncertainties and seize opportunities presented by hybrid AI [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan maintains a "Buy" rating for Lenovo Group (00992), highlighting that the company's performance exceeded expectations with revenue and adjusted net profit growing by 14.58% and 25.18% year-on-year, respectively. The growth is primarily driven by the accelerated penetration of AIPC and strong performance in the AI server business, with expectations for continued high demand in the AI trend [1]. Performance Overview - Lenovo's FY25/26Q2 financial report showed revenue of $20.452 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.58%, and an adjusted net profit of $512 million, up 25.18% year-on-year. The adjusted net profit is emphasized due to significant impacts from the fair value changes of warrants [1]. IDG Smart Device Business Group - The PC business performed well, with the IDG segment achieving revenue of $15.107 billion in FY25/26Q2, a year-on-year increase of 11.79%. PC revenue was approximately $11.1 billion, reflecting a 17.58% increase, significantly outpacing the IDC's reported global PC shipment growth of 10.32% for Q3 [2]. AIPC Penetration - AIPC's global shipment accounted for 33% of total PC shipments, with a 30% share in the domestic market for notebooks, marking a 3 percentage point increase from the previous quarter, indicating accelerated market penetration [2]. ISG Infrastructure Solutions - The ISG segment reported revenue of $4.087 billion in FY25/26Q2, with a year-on-year growth of 23.65%. AI servers experienced double-digit growth, and the order backlog is strong. Revenue from the Neptune liquid cooling technology surged by 154%, indicating ongoing transformation in the AI server business [3]. Gross Margin and Supply Chain Management - The gross margin for FY25/26Q2 was 15.39%, reflecting a 0.66 percentage point increase quarter-on-quarter, validating the positive progress in the AI server business transformation. The company has a robust supply chain and has developed comprehensive strategies to address price increases in components [4]. Profit Forecast - Shenwan Hongyuan maintains its previous profit forecasts, expecting revenues of $79.49 billion, $91.55 billion, and $105.24 billion for FY25/26 to FY27/28, with net profits of $1.67 billion, $2.03 billion, and $2.43 billion, respectively. This outlook is based on Lenovo's leading position in the PC market and the ongoing advancement of AIPC products, alongside strong growth in AI servers driven by the AI trend [5].

Core Insights - The company reported FY25/26Q2 financial results that exceeded expectations, with revenue of $20.452 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.58%, and adjusted net profit of $512 million, up 25.18% [1] Group 1: IDG Smart Device Business Group - The IDG segment achieved revenue of $15.107 billion in FY25/26Q2, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.79% [1] - PC revenue was approximately $11.1 billion, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 17.58%, outperforming IDC's reported global PC shipment growth of 10.32% for Q3 [1] - The company's AIPC accounted for 33% of global PC shipments, with a 30% share of domestic notebook shipments, marking a 3 percentage point increase from the previous quarter, indicating accelerated market penetration [1] Group 2: ISG Infrastructure Solutions - The ISG segment reported revenue of $4.087 billion in FY25/26Q2, a year-on-year increase of 23.65%, with AI server sales showing double-digit growth and a strong order backlog [2] - Revenue from liquid cooling technology surged by 154% year-on-year, while the operating loss for the ISG segment was reduced significantly by $53.485 million [2] - The gross margin improved slightly to 15.39%, up 0.66 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, indicating effective management of rising storage costs due to a robust supply chain [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company maintains a "Buy" rating, projecting revenues of $79.49 billion, $91.55 billion, and $105.24 billion for FY25/26 to FY27/28, with net profits of $1.67 billion, $2.03 billion, and $2.43 billion respectively [3] - The strong growth in AI servers and the company's leading position in the PC market are key factors supporting this outlook [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Lenovo Group (00992) [1] Core Insights - Lenovo Group's FY25/26 Q2 financial results exceeded expectations, with revenue of $20.452 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.58%, and an adjusted net profit of $512 million, up 25.18% [6] - The Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) showed strong performance in the PC business, with revenue of $15.107 billion, a year-on-year growth of 11.79%, and PC revenue of approximately $11.1 billion, growing 17.58% [6] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) reported revenue of $4.087 billion, a year-on-year increase of 23.65%, with AI server sales experiencing double-digit growth [6] - The gross margin slightly improved to 15.39%, indicating effective management of rising storage costs [6] - The report forecasts revenue for FY25/26 to FY27/28 at $79.485 billion, $91.551 billion, and $105.244 billion, respectively, with net profits projected at $1.672 billion, $2.029 billion, and $2.433 billion [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for FY23/24 to FY27/28 are as follows: - FY23/24: $56.864 billion - FY24/25: $69.077 billion - FY25/26E: $79.485 billion - FY26/27E: $91.551 billion - FY27/28E: $105.244 billion [5] - Net profit projections for the same period are: - FY23/24: $1.011 billion - FY24/25: $1.384 billion - FY25/26E: $1.672 billion - FY26/27E: $2.029 billion - FY27/28E: $2.433 billion [5] - Earnings per share are expected to grow from $0.08 in FY23/24 to $0.20 in FY27/28 [5]

Core Insights - AI has become a substantial contributor to Lenovo's performance, with AI-related business revenue accounting for 30% of total revenue, a year-on-year increase of 13 percentage points [1] - Lenovo's revenue for the second fiscal quarter of 2025/26 reached 146.4 billion RMB, a 15% year-on-year growth, marking a historical high for the quarter [1] - Adjusted net profit increased by 25% year-on-year to 3.66 billion RMB, with all three main business segments achieving double-digit growth [1] AI Contribution to Growth - The significant rise in AI revenue share is attributed to double-digit growth in Lenovo's AI infrastructure and triple-digit growth in AI computers and services [3] - AI terminal revenue now constitutes 36% of the Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) revenue, with AI PCs accounting for 33% of Lenovo's total PC shipments [3] - The global PC market saw a 9.4% year-on-year increase in Q3 2025, driven by Windows 11 upgrades, pandemic-related device refresh cycles, and an emerging AI-driven replacement cycle [3] Performance of Business Segments - IDG revenue reached 108.1 billion RMB, a 12% year-on-year increase, with operating profit growing by 11% [4] - Lenovo achieved a 25% market share in the global PC market, with shipments of 19.4 million units, a 17.3% year-on-year increase [4] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) reported nearly 30 billion RMB in revenue, a 24% year-on-year growth, with AI server revenue experiencing high double-digit growth [4] Future AI Developments - Lenovo plans to launch multiple inference servers to drive ISG growth, supported by strong demand for AI infrastructure and a dual-track strategy for cloud and enterprise infrastructure [5] - The Solutions and Services Group (SSG) revenue increased by 18% year-on-year, maintaining double-digit growth for 18 consecutive quarters, with AI services being a significant growth driver [5] AI Market Perspective - The AI industry is transitioning from a training phase to a focus on inference, with predictions indicating a 44.6% year-on-year growth in the global server market by 2025 [4][5] - Lenovo's strategy includes developing hybrid architecture enterprise intelligence solutions to convert data into actionable results in key sectors like manufacturing and retail [7] Supply Chain Management - Lenovo has signed long-term supply contracts with key component suppliers to ensure stable supply and maintain gross margins amid rising chip and storage costs [8] - The company is transitioning from a traditional PC manufacturer to an "intelligent computing service provider," indicating a strategic long-term shift [8]

Core Insights - Lenovo Group reported a revenue of 146.4 billion yuan for the second fiscal quarter of 2025/2026, marking a 15% year-on-year increase, with adjusted net profit rising by 25% to 3.66 billion yuan [1] - The company achieved double-digit revenue growth across all business segments and regional markets, with the IDG smart devices business generating 108.1 billion yuan, a 12% increase, and capturing over 25% market share in the personal computer sector [1] - AI-related business revenue now accounts for 30% of total revenue, up 13 percentage points year-on-year, indicating AI's transition from a supportive role to a core growth driver for Lenovo [1][2] Business Segment Performance - The ISG infrastructure solutions business saw revenue of 29.3 billion yuan, a 24% increase, with significant growth in AI infrastructure revenue [1] - The SSG solutions and services business experienced nearly 20% year-on-year revenue growth, achieving double-digit growth for the 18th consecutive quarter while maintaining high profit margins [1] - In the personal smart devices sector, Lenovo's AI PC market share reached 31.1%, maintaining the global lead, with AI terminal device revenue rising to 36% of IDG's total revenue, a 17 percentage point increase [2] Strategic Direction - Lenovo's CEO emphasized the company's commitment to leveraging a "global resources, local delivery" model to navigate uncertainties and capitalize on the growth opportunities presented by hybrid AI [3] - The company plans to launch a personal super-intelligent device at the upcoming innovation technology conference in January 2026, enhancing the capabilities of terminal devices [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Lenovo's strategies and outlook in response to challenges in the tech industry, particularly regarding AI and component shortages, emphasizing that while there may be short-term pressures, the overall direction of AI development is positive and not a bubble [3][6]. Group 1: AI and Market Dynamics - Lenovo's chairman, Yang Yuanqing, believes that the current AI development phase is not a bubble, as it is entering a stage of widespread application and infrastructure investment, similar to the internet boom [3][6]. - The demand for components such as memory and solid-state drives is experiencing significant growth, with price increases expected to persist throughout 2026 [3][6]. Group 2: Supply Chain Management - Lenovo is one of the largest buyers of components in the industry, maintaining close relationships with suppliers and securing optimal contracts to ensure supply stability for the upcoming year [4][5]. - The company is cautious about user demand growth exceeding forecasts, which could impact pricing strategies [6]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the second fiscal quarter ending September 30, 2025, Lenovo reported a revenue increase of 15% year-on-year to 146.4 billion RMB, achieving a historical high for the quarter, with adjusted net profit rising 25% to 3.66 billion RMB [6][7]. - AI-related business revenue now accounts for 30% of total revenue, up 13 percentage points year-on-year, driven by AI devices, servers, and solutions [6][7]. Group 4: Business Segments - The IDG smart device segment generated 108.1 billion RMB, a 12% increase year-on-year, with AI terminal devices making up 36% of IDG's revenue, a nearly 17 percentage point increase [7]. - The ISG infrastructure solutions segment saw revenue of approximately 29.3 billion RMB, a 24% year-on-year increase, with AI server revenue experiencing high double-digit growth [7]. - Lenovo plans to launch a personal super-intelligent device globally in January, integrating various wearable and environmental sensing devices for enhanced user interaction [7].