Core Viewpoint - The intention of banks to guide depositors towards "short-term" deposits remains clear, as they respond to the pressure of narrowing net interest margins through refined pricing strategies to reshape the deposit market landscape [1][7][9]. Summary by Sections Deposit Rate Trends - Several banks previously exhibited extreme inversion in deposit rates, where shorter-term deposits offered higher rates than longer-term ones. However, this phenomenon has diminished with the recent wave of deposit rate cuts [2][6]. - As of May 21, 2023, major banks like China Merchants Bank have aligned their one-year and five-year deposit rates at 1.30%, eliminating the extreme inversion [2][9]. - Despite the disappearance of extreme inversions in some banks, certain smaller banks still exhibit varying degrees of rate inversion, particularly in their short- to medium-term deposits [5][6]. Market Response and Future Expectations - Analysts suggest that the trend of "large banks leading, smaller banks following" in deposit rate cuts will continue, potentially leading to a gradual disappearance of existing rate inversions in smaller banks [6][7]. - The recent deposit rate cuts are expected to positively impact banks' net interest margins, as the reduction in deposit costs may exceed the decline in asset yields for the first time historically [11]. Current Deposit Rates - As of May 21, 2023, the deposit rates for major banks are as follows: - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China: 1-year at 0.95%, 5-year at 1.30% - China Merchants Bank: 1-year at 0.95%, 5-year at 1.30% - Other banks like CITIC Bank and Minsheng Bank have similar rates for various terms [8][9]. Implications for Banking Sector - The banking sector is facing significant pressure on net interest margins, with the first quarter of 2023 showing a decline in net interest margin to 1.43%, a historically low level [9]. - The ongoing trend of financial disintermediation is leading to a "liability shortage" for banks, compelling them to attract deposits through higher rates in interbank markets, which could counteract the benefits of lower deposit costs [11].

Core Viewpoint - Recent adjustments in deposit rates by several banks indicate a trend towards lower interest rates, particularly among small and medium-sized banks, with expectations of further reductions following recent monetary policy changes [1][2][9]. Group 1: Deposit Rate Adjustments - Numerous small and medium-sized banks have lowered their deposit rates since April, with many now offering rates below 2% for various terms [2]. - For instance, Fujian Huatuo Bank has reduced its 3-year fixed deposit rate from 2.7% to 2.45% and its 5-year rate from 2.6% to 2.5% [2]. - Shanghai Huari Bank has also adjusted its rates, with the 3-year fixed deposit rate now at 2.5% and the 5-year rate at 2.4%, leading to a "rate inversion" where longer-term rates are lower than shorter-term rates [2][3]. Group 2: Rate Inversion Phenomenon - The phenomenon of "rate inversion" is becoming more common, where the average interest rate for 3-year fixed deposits (2.042%) is higher than that for 5-year deposits (1.883%) [4]. - Some banks, like China Merchants Bank, are offering 1-year rates (1.6%) that exceed both 3-year (1.5%) and 5-year (1.55%) rates, further illustrating this trend [4]. Group 3: Monetary Policy Impact - The People's Bank of China has recently lowered the 7-day reverse repurchase rate from 1.50% to 1.40%, which is expected to lead to a decrease in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) by approximately 0.1 percentage points [9]. - Analysts predict that this reduction in policy rates will encourage banks to further lower deposit rates, impacting the overall cost of financing in the economy [9]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The ongoing decline in deposit rates is anticipated to continue, prompting depositors to reconsider their asset allocation strategies [9]. - Financial experts suggest that individuals may need to diversify their investments beyond traditional savings accounts to include cash management products, government bonds, and potentially equities, depending on their risk tolerance [9].

Core Viewpoint - The continuous decline in deposit interest rates has raised concerns among depositors, with many banks reducing rates significantly, leading to a situation where depositors find it challenging to locate products with rates exceeding 2% [1][2] Group 1: Deposit Rate Changes - Since April, over 20 commercial banks have lowered their fixed deposit rates, marking a shift towards the "1 era" for deposit rates [2] - For instance, Qingxu Rural Commercial Bank's rates for various terms are now 1.6%, 1.7%, 1.9%, and 1.9% for 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, and 5-year deposits respectively [2] - The rates at Luoping Xingfu Rural Bank have also dropped significantly, with 3-month, 6-month, 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, and 5-year rates falling from 1.45%-2.25% to 1.10%-1.95% [2] Group 2: Impact on Depositors - A deposit of 10,000 yuan at Luoping Xingfu Rural Bank yields only 145 yuan in interest for one year, and the total interest over five years is less than 1,000 yuan [4] - The decline in deposit rates has resulted in a substantial reduction in returns for depositors [4] Group 3: Interest Rate Inversion - A notable phenomenon of "inversion" in deposit rates has emerged, where short-term rates are higher than long-term rates, such as a 3-year rate of 1.90% compared to a 5-year rate of 1.55% at China Construction Bank [6] - Other banks like Ping An Bank and Huaxia Bank also exhibit similar trends, with 3-year rates significantly higher than 5-year rates [6] Group 4: Reasons for Rate Inversion - Banks are lowering long-term deposit rates to encourage consumer spending and avoid long-term deposits that could hinder economic liquidity [7] - Concerns about future interest rate declines lead banks to reduce long-term rates to mitigate potential high-interest liabilities [7] Group 5: Future Outlook and Asset Allocation - The market interest rates are expected to continue declining, which may further reduce depositors' savings returns [9] - In the current environment, depositors are advised to adjust their asset allocation strategies based on their risk tolerance and investment needs, considering low-risk products like cash management funds and government bonds [11] - For those with higher risk tolerance, exploring stocks and equity funds may be appropriate, but caution is advised to avoid unnecessary risks [12][13]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant decline in deposit interest rates across various banks, with many institutions now offering rates starting with "1" percent, indicating a shift towards lower returns for savers [1][2][4] - Since April, over 20 commercial banks have reduced their fixed deposit rates, with rates above 3% becoming increasingly rare in the market [1][2] - Major banks, including state-owned and private banks, have joined the trend of lowering deposit rates, diminishing the previously perceived advantages of rural and private banks [2][3] Group 2 - There is a notable "inversion" in deposit rates, where the average interest rate for 3-year fixed deposits (2.042%) is higher than that for 5-year deposits (1.883%), indicating a shift in consumer preferences and bank strategies [4][7] - The trend of lowering long-term deposit rates is a strategy for banks to mitigate risks associated with high-interest liabilities in a declining interest rate environment [7] - The continuous decline in deposit rates is expected to lead to reduced savings returns for consumers, prompting a need for individuals to reassess their asset allocation strategies [7]

Core Viewpoint - The recent trend of banks lowering medium to long-term deposit rates reflects market expectations for future interest rates and is part of banks' efforts to manage liability costs effectively [2][4]. Group 1: Interest Rate Trends - Banks, including China Merchants Bank, have reduced deposit rates, with some experiencing "inversion" in fixed deposit rates [2]. - As of 2024, China Merchants Bank offers 1-year and 2-year deposit rates of 1.60% and 1.70%, respectively, with a minimum deposit of 1,000 yuan, while 3-year and 5-year rates are 1.50% and 1.55% with a lower minimum deposit of 50 yuan [1]. Group 2: Net Interest Margin (NIM) Performance - In 2024, the net interest margin for nine listed banks decreased, with China Merchants Bank maintaining a leading position at 1.98%, despite a decline of 0.17 percentage points from the previous year [3][8]. - The bank's management indicated that the trend of narrowing interest margins may continue, but they aim to improve the extent of the decline compared to the previous year [3][9]. Group 3: Deposit Growth and Cost Management - As of the end of 2024, China Merchants Bank's total customer deposits reached 9.09 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.54% year-on-year, with retail deposits growing by 15.43% [4][5]. - The average cost of customer deposits decreased from 1.62% to 1.54%, although retail deposit costs increased to 1.44% [5][6]. Group 4: Loan Performance and Asset Structure - China Merchants Bank's retail loan balance grew by 6.06% to 3.58 trillion yuan, while corporate loans increased by 11.58% to 2.59 trillion yuan [10][13]. - The average yield on retail loans fell to 4.58%, down from 5.02% the previous year, reflecting a broader trend of declining asset yields [10][11]. Group 5: Future Outlook and Strategy - The bank plans to increase customer deposits by 7%-8% in 2025, focusing on managing high-cost deposits and promoting low-cost deposits [9]. - Management emphasized the importance of retail banking as a competitive advantage and aims to adapt to changing economic conditions through innovative product offerings [15].

2025.04. 14 本文字数：2248，阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 王方然 近日，股份制大行、中小银行开始陆续下调银行存款利率，中长期限存款利率降幅在10BP～50BP 不等。目前，多数银行的定期存款的利率普遍低于2%，迈向"1时代"。 第一财经记者注意到，本轮存款利率调降后，出现不少新趋势。存款利率下行、贷款利率上行后，原 本在市场中存在的存贷利率套利空间正在逐渐消失。此外，多家银行利率调降后，出现存款利率期限 倒挂，部分银行五年期存款利率不如一年期存款。 江西江州农商银行于4月9日起调整存款挂牌利率。调整后定存期限利率全线倒挂，1年期、3年期、5 年期存款利率分别为1.5%、1.48%、1.47%。 业内专家认为，银行密集调降存款利率一方面是为了压降负债端成本，缓解日益增加的息差压力；另 一方面，今年年初，中国人民银行多次提及"择机降息降准"， 银行下调存款利率也与宏观政策方向 相契合。 多家银行下调存款利率至2%以下 "上周我们存款利率刚下调过一轮，基本都低至2%以下了。"平安银行深圳某网点工作人员对记者表 示。该行"平安存"产品三年期定存年利率由2.05%下调至1.65%，下调40个基 ...

Core Viewpoint - The phenomenon of inverted deposit interest rates is spreading across various banks in China, including state-owned banks, joint-stock banks, and rural commercial banks, indicating a significant shift in the banking sector's approach to deposit management and interest rate strategies [2][6]. Group 1: Inverted Interest Rates - The inverted interest rate situation has expanded to rural commercial banks, with notable examples from major banks like Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) and China Merchants Bank, where long-term deposit rates are lower than short-term rates [3][4]. - For instance, ICBC offers a three-year deposit rate of 1.90% and a five-year rate of 1.55%, resulting in a 35 basis point difference [4]. - Other banks, such as Ping An Bank and Guangzhou Rural Commercial Bank, also exhibit minimal differences between their short-term and long-term deposit rates, reflecting a broader trend in the banking sector [5][6]. Group 2: Reasons Behind the Inversion - The increase in inverted deposit rates is attributed to banks' internal decisions to optimize asset-liability management and reduce funding costs amid a slowing economy and weak corporate credit demand [6][7]. - Analysts suggest that banks are lowering long-term deposit rates to avoid the burden of high-interest liabilities in the future, aligning their asset and liability structures more effectively [6][8]. - The expectation of continued monetary easing by the central bank is influencing banks to adjust their deposit rates, as they anticipate a potential reduction in loan rates to support the real economy [7][9]. Group 3: Future Monetary Policy Outlook - The People's Bank of China has maintained the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) steady for five consecutive months, reflecting a cautious approach to monetary policy amid high funding costs and pressure on bank profitability [7][8]. - Analysts predict that while the timing of any LPR adjustments may be delayed, the overall direction remains towards monetary easing, with expectations for potential reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions in the near future [8][10]. - The average reserve requirement ratio for domestic financial institutions stands at 6.6%, indicating room for further reductions to support liquidity and lower financing costs [9][10].

以下文章来源于中国经营报 ，作者郝亚娟 王柯瑾 中国经营报 . 《中国经营报》由《中国经营报》社有限公司出版，与中国企业同步成长，对话商业领袖，传播商业理想，服务商业人群，掌控中国商界绝对话语权。 来源｜中国经营报 作者｜ 郝亚娟 王柯瑾 "存得越久利息越少"的现象，正成为银行业的"新常态"。 招商银行APP显示，某存款产品1年期利率为1.60%，而存5年显示的利率为1.55%。 这意味着，存1年反而比存5年更加划算。 一般来讲，定期存款的期限越长，利率越高。但从2022年开始，存款利率"倒挂"的现象开始出现。融360数字科技研究院此前发布的数据显 示，随着降息组合拳打出，存款降息空间打开，且降幅相对较大。 平均来看，3年期存款利率高于5年期。 招联首席研究员、上海金融与发展实验室副主任董希淼分析，我国市场无风险利率下行是长期趋势。从国外看，部分国家和地区还出现了存 款"负利率"现象。对居民而言，如果资产配置中的中长期存款、现金管理类理财产品较多，那么收益水平可能有所下降，建议平衡好风险与收 5年期利率比1年期利率低 近日，《中国经营报》记者登录招商银行APP发现，该行一款名为"灵动存"的存款产品1年期、2年 ...