2025年我国60岁及以上人口已达3.2亿，占总人口比重上升至23%，预计2035年前后，我国银发族人口数量将突破4 亿，到2050年左右突破5亿。 这为银发经济创造了前所未有的需求基数。 随着年龄增长，银发族代谢功能下降，导致银发族饮食结构被迫调 【国信食饮|张向伟团队】银发经济行业专题：掘金银发餐桌，从"吃饱"到"吃对" 银发族人口数量持续上升，健康食品成为蓝海市场。 随着年龄增长，银发族代谢功能下降，导致银发族饮食结构被迫调整，健康属性从可选变为刚需。 受益标的：#西麦食品，燕麦食品赛道龙头。 公司从燕麦谷物产品起步，在过去三十多年的发展历程中，公司产品矩阵逐渐丰富起来，近年来还推出了以生物 科技为技术基础的大健康产品。 目前西麦食品在燕麦食品行业以26.0%的市占率占据榜首（第二名为外资品牌桂格，18.2%），在渠道、品牌、供 应链等方面展现竞争优势。 我们认为公司主要看点有三： 1）饮食健康化、人口老龄化趋势促进燕麦食品渗透率加速提升，西麦食品近年来#在渠道端取得突破，不仅率先 覆盖多类新兴渠道，也持续强化渠道运营能力、针对细分渠道适配差异化产品，#预计公司燕麦业务基本盘稳健成 长并快于行业大盘； ...

第 1页 共 5页 第 2页 共 5页 一、研究背景评估 | 项目 | 说明 | | --- | --- | | 研究机构 | 国信证券经济研究所 | | | 具备中国证监会许可的证券投资咨询业务资格，专注于行业与公司研究。 | | 1. 权威性说明 | 专业资质：分析师张向伟、杨苑均具备证券投资咨询执业资格，研究体系规范。 | | 2. | 数据来源：引用国家统计局、Euromonitor、公司公告、海关总署、USDA 等权威数据源。 | | 3. | 连续跟踪：长期发布食品饮料行业周报、专题报告，对银发经济与健康食品有深度积累。 | | 4. | 机构背书：国盛证券（原文中提及，但报告为国信证券）为持牌金融机构，报告服务于机构投资者。 | | 样本数量 | 宏观数据分析，非抽样统计。覆盖银发人口、燕麦行业、公司经营等多维度数据。 | | 研究时间范围 2025 | 年及未来预测，数据更新至 2025 年末，并展望至 2027 年，具备强时效性。 | | 报告性质 | 行业专题研究报告，聚焦银发经济中的食品饮料机会，并以西麦食品为例深度分析。 | 二、范围与边界确认 | 研究维度 | 具体范围 | | -- ...

Group 1: Macro and Strategy - The report highlights three major industry opportunities for the 2026 bull market: 1) The technology sector led by AI, with a shift from hardware to application expansion, focusing on humanoid robots and AI+ fields 2) The "double low" characteristics of real estate and liquor industries, indicating potential recovery as valuations and institutional holdings are at historical lows 3) Changes in supply-demand dynamics in resource products, supported by global factors, enhancing the value of resource allocations [8][10][11] Group 2: AI Industry - The AI industry is expected to transition from hardware to application, with significant growth in sectors such as governance, finance, manufacturing, education, and healthcare, driven by policy support and technological advancements [9] - The report emphasizes the importance of the AI application acceleration, particularly in edge computing and AI+ related fields, as well as the continued investment in the computing power supply chain [9] Group 3: Nuclear Fusion Industry - The nuclear fusion sector is identified as a key area for future energy systems, with its potential for near-infinite energy, high energy density, and minimal environmental impact, making it a strategic focus for development [12][13] - The report outlines the challenges of achieving controlled nuclear fusion, including the extreme conditions required for the reaction and the need for advanced materials and technologies [13][14] - Various approaches to achieving nuclear fusion are discussed, with magnetic confinement (Tokamak) being the most mature and commercially viable option [14] - The report forecasts significant market potential for nuclear fusion, estimating an investment scale of around 200 billion yuan during the 14th and 15th Five-Year Plans, with a total market space of 8-10 trillion yuan if fusion power plants replace 20% of China's total electricity generation [16] Group 4: Financial Strategies - The report suggests a strategic asset allocation of 35% in equities, 25% in bonds, 25% in commodities, and 15% in cash, indicating a recovery phase in the economic cycle [28] - It highlights the importance of emerging markets as a diversification strategy, particularly in the context of high valuations in developed markets [29] Group 5: REITs Market - The REITs market is showing signs of recovery, with significant inflows into commercial real estate REITs and a notable increase in the number of public offerings [21][22][25] - The report notes that data center, consumer, and energy REITs have performed well, indicating a positive trend in these sectors [24]

本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确、完整、没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、担保情况概述 桂林西麦食品股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2024 年 12 月 6 日召开第 三届董事会第十二次会议，2024 年 12 月 24 日召开 2024 年第一次临时股东大会， 审议通过了《关于申请银行授信额度暨为下属公司提供担保的议案》，同意公司 及合并报表范围内下属公司向银行申请不超过 6.8 亿元的贷款授信额度，且公司 为合并报表范围内下属公司就前述授信事项提供担保，公司担保额度总计不超过 （www.cninfo.com.cn）的相关公告。 二、担保进展情况 公司与交通银行股份有限公司宿迁分行于近日签署了《保证合同》。根据该 保证合同，公司为全资子公司江苏西麦食品有限责任公司提供担保，保证方式为 连带责任保证，担保金额为人民币 4,000 万元，该担保事项已经公司第三届董事 会第十二次会议审议通过。 证券代码：002956 证券简称：西麦食品 公告编号：2025-031 桂林西麦食品股份有限公司 保证范围：各类贷款，透支款，贴现款/或各类贸易融资款，债权人因已开 立银行承兑汇票、信用证或担 ...